Gold Price Trend Analysis on December 13, 2024As of December 12, 2024, gold is trading around $2,717 per ounce, continuing its upward trend amid declining U.S. inflation and expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut. Geopolitical tensions and a weakening USD further support the rise in gold prices.
Technical Analysis:
Market Trend:
Primary Trend: Bullish.
Key Support Levels: $2,700 (50-day MA) and $2,696 (50% Fibonacci retracement).
Resistance Level: $2,732 (previous high).
Scenario 1: Continued Uptrend (Breakout)
If price breaks above the $2,732 resistance with high volume, it may target $2,750.
Trading Strategy:
Enter long positions upon a close above $2,732.
Set Stop Loss at $2,720.
Take Profit 1: $2,750.
Take Profit 2: $2,760.
Scenario 2: Rejection at Resistance
If price fails to break $2,732 and shows reversal patterns, a correction to $2,710 or $2,700 may occur.
Trading Strategy:
Enter short positions near $2,732 upon bearish reversal signals like a Pin Bar or Doji.
Set Stop Loss at $2,740.
Take Profit 1: $2,710.
Take Profit 2: $2,700.
Scenario 3: Pullback to Support and Rebound
A pullback to the $2,700 support that holds may offer buying opportunities in line with the uptrend.
Trading Strategy:
Enter long positions at $2,700.
Set Stop Loss at $2,688.
Take Profit 1: $2,732.
Take Profit 2: $2,750.
Recommendations for Traders:
Prudent Risk Management:
Limit risk per trade to no more than 2% of account equity.
Monitor Economic News:
Key data such as Federal Reserve interest rate decisions or CPI reports significantly impact gold prices.
Await Confirmatory Signals:
Avoid impulsive trades; enter positions only upon clear signals at critical price levels
Metals
GOLD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisGOLD is creating symmetrical triangle and is moving in a descending AND is moving in an UPWARD channel.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity GOLD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
Gold Pullback to Buy Zones Before 2737 TargetTrading Idea Summary CAPITALCOM:GOLD TVC:GOLD
The price has been very **bullish**, and the initial expectation was for it to reach and test the **4-hour order block at 2737**. However, it is now pulling back to **strong buy zones** before continuing higher.
---
Updated Analysis:
1. **Pullback to Key Buy Zones:** The price is approaching critical support levels, such as **Fibonacci 0.5** and high-volume areas.
2. **Preparing for Further Upside:** These zones can serve as good entry points for the continuation of the bullish trend.
---
Strategy:
- **Entry:** Around Fibonacci 0.5 (2,669-2,670) or the "golden pocket" zone (0.71-0.75).
- **Target (TP):** 2737 (4-hour order block).
- **Risk Management:** Stop-loss below high-volume areas, maintaining at least a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio.
### Conclusion:
The price is showing a healthy pullback, creating a great buying opportunity before resuming the bullish trend towards 2737.
Gold Pullback to Buy Zones Before 2737 TargetTrading Idea Summary CAPITALCOM:GOLD TVC:GOLD
The price has been very **bullish**, and the initial expectation was for it to reach and test the **4-hour order block at 2737**. However, it is now pulling back to **strong buy zones** before continuing higher.
---
Updated Analysis:
1. **Pullback to Key Buy Zones:** The price is approaching critical support levels, such as **Fibonacci 0.5** and high-volume areas.
2. **Preparing for Further Upside:** These zones can serve as good entry points for the continuation of the bullish trend.
---
Strategy:
- **Entry:** Around Fibonacci 0.5 (2,669-2,670) or the "golden pocket" zone (0.71-0.75).
- **Target (TP):** 2737 (4-hour order block).
- **Risk Management:** Stop-loss below high-volume areas, maintaining at least a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio.
### Conclusion:
The price is showing a healthy pullback, creating a great buying opportunity before resuming the bullish trend towards 2737.
XAU/USD 11.12.24OANDA:XAUUSD
Hello traders,
After the bullish move to 2720, we have reached my maximum Fibonacci extension level for the major wave 3. I am now anticipating an ABC structure for wave 4. Wave B might rise above 2720 to trigger stop-losses for sellers, so avoid placing your stop-loss too tight. Allow the trade some room to breathe, as we could then see some bullish momentum—possibly even another 1-2-3-4-5 setup within our white count for wave 3.
Why Gold will sell off again!!As we saw in previous year gold always has a pattern that it follows after a massive rally, we now in the phase of accumulation and it rotating around the POC level of massive move down,
now its try to break the recent resistance but I think it will fail cause of it accumulation nature.
Watch out for new and trade has nice risk to reward!!
Use proper risk management!!
FOLLOW me for more breakdown!!!
Silver May Face More Weakness After A Corrective RallySilver is making sharp reversal down from recent highs, even breaking a lower trendline support of an ending diagonal which is an important indication for a top in place. As such, we are aware of much lower prices, maybe even back to the start of a diagonal at around 27/28 as drop from 4h time frame has an impulsive bearish structure into wave A/1.
But we see some bounce now that can be an A-B-C irregular/expanded flat correction into wave B/2, where subwave (C) can be now in progress. Resistance is then around 31.60-33 area, and from where we will have to be aware of further weakness within wave C or 3.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-12: Breakaway PatternToday's video goes into detail related to the general SPY/QQQ trending and the continued potential for a price Anomaly Event.
It is likely that the markets continue a Santa Rally phase - attempting to push higher throughout the end of 2024 and into 2025.
I want everyone to understand that the anomaly event I keep suggesting may happen is an outlier event. It would be driven by some news, political, financial or other type of market event.
If that event does not happen, then the markets will likely continue to push higher and higher.
So, remember, the markets want to push higher into the typical Santa Rally. My Anomaly event would be a potential outlier event - driving a moderate pullback in price.
Gold and Silver should move into a moderate topping pattern today - possibly pulling downward a big. This would be a goo setup for the next rally phase higher. That rally may come tomorrow or into early next week.
Bitcoin is trapped within a consolidation range. The rally yesterday was nice to see, but right now we are seeing Bitcoin struggle below resistance. So, we still need to be cautious about rolling downward. Yet, the general trend for Bitcoin right now is upward.
Get Some.
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Trend resistance analysisGold closed positive on the daily line. A new high was reached in the Asian session. If we look at the trend from the perspective of the K-line, the triangle breakout bulls will continue, so the idea is to mainly buy low today. Is this low buy more after a decline or directly buy more? The support is currently at 82-76!
Gold started to break through strongly in the US session yesterday. Gold is obviously strong. Now it is still strong. It continues to buy more after a decline in the Asian session. Now it has risen sharply. Many friends are concerned about where gold will rise. There is no need to guess. Just continue to buy more with the trend.
Gold's 1-hour moving average continues to diverge upward. Gold bulls continue to be strong. The previous high of gold at 2676 now forms support. Today, it falls back to 2676 and continues to buy on dips. Gold can start to buy more after falling back to around 2690 in the Asian session.
First support: 2690, second support: 2676, third support: 2662
First resistance: 2710, second resistance: 2721, third resistance: 2735
GOLD to extend it's gains?Gold - 24h expiry
There is no indication that the rally is coming to an end. Our short term bias remains positive. 5 positive daily performances in succession. Price action continues to trade around significant highs. We look for gains to be extended today. A break of the recent high at 2728.5 should result in a further move higher.
We look to Buy a break of 2728.5 (stop at 2708.5)
Our profit targets will be 2778.5 and 2788.5
Resistance: 2726.3 / 2735.7 / 2750.0
Support: 2710.0 / 2695.0 / 2675.5
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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Gold Price Hits Monthly HighGold Price Hits Monthly High
The XAU/USD chart shows:
→ A notable peak in November near the $2716 level (indicated by the first arrow);
→ Yesterday, gold surpassed this peak, reaching a new one-month high.
Factors Supporting Bullish Sentiment
→ Yesterday’s US Consumer Price Index data met analysts’ expectations. This bolstered market speculation about a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December, enhancing the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold.
→ Geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe and the Middle East, along with uncertainty surrounding the policy direction and tariff plans of newly elected US President Donald Trump, are contributing to gold’s safe-haven appeal.
Technical Analysis of XAU/USD
Gold prices have been rising since August within a channel, with the lower boundary marked as Support 1. However, in November, Support 2—a line with a gentler slope—gained relevance, potentially signalling waning demand strength.
If buyers are indeed losing momentum, a price reversal from the fresh high could occur. This would suggest a false bullish breakout above the mid-November peak near $2715. Early trading action on the XAU/USD chart this morning lends weight to this potential scenario.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
XAIISD: Today's Market Analysis and StrategiesTechnical analysis of gold
Daily resistance 2725, support below 2627.
Four-hour resistance 2725, support below 2686
Gold operation suggestions:
From the 4-hour analysis chart, we focus on the 2725 line for upper pressure, and the 2700/2686 line for lower support. The operation is mainly based on pullback buying, trading with the trend, and focusing on the 2725 pressure.
BUY: 2701near
BUY: 2686near
The strategy only provides trading directions.
Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
XAUUSD | 15M | SCALPING TIME Hello guys, I made OANDA:XAUUSD analysis for you. For this kind of analysis, please value my analysis with your likes Thank you very much to everyone who supports me by liking
SIGNAL ALERT
SELL XAUUSD 2717.00 - 2718.00
🟢TP1: 2714.90
🟢TP2: 2710.90
🟢TP3: 2705.90
🔴SL: 2731.60
Stay with love guys.
GOLD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GOLD is making a bullish rebound on the 4H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 2,667.233 level.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Gold Is GO! And Everything Lined UpThe open was above the Center-Line and everything else lined up nicely.
To me this is a fair Long, with a good Stop below the last MoMo Candle.
I like to take partial profits, so I have two in this case. The first at the 1/4 line, since price has a tendency to bounce there. The second one is the Upper-Medianline-Parallel (U-MLH).
Let the fireworks begin
Interest rate expectations and geopolitics still drive GOLDOANDA:XAUUSD corrected after rising sharply as the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates next week increased significantly after the release of US CPI data.
CME Group's "FedWatch" tool shows traders see a 98.5% chance the Fed will cut another 25 basis points at its December 17-18 meeting, a significant increase from the 86% chance before CPI data is released.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.3% month-over-month and 2.7% year-over-year in November, both in line with market expectations. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones previously expected this number to increase an average of 0.3% month-on-month and 2.7% year-on-year.
Excluding food and energy costs, the US core CPI rose 3.3% year-on-year in November and was up 0.3% month-over-month. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones on average expect core CPI to rise 0.3% month-on-month and 3.3% year-over-year.
The market is now focusing on today's (Thursday) US Producer Price Index (PPI) data to shed more light on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut roadmap.
Geopolitical news once again boosted OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold corrected after approaching the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level and temporary upside was limited by this technical level.
However, in terms of overall structure, the gold price has enough technical conditions to increase after breaking the falling price channel and bringing the main activity above the EMA21 line. Along with that, the Relative Strength Index also rose above 50, which should be considered a positive signal for the bullish outlook of gold prices.
On the other hand, gold is likely to open a new bullish cycle when it breaks above the $2,730 level of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement then the target is the Volume profile POC point, more so the $2,761 level and all-time highs. era established earlier.
During the day, the technical outlook for gold is bullish with notable points listed below.
Support: 2,700 – 2,693 – 2,676USD
Resistance: 2,730 – 2,742 – 2,761USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2741 - 2739⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2745
→Take Profit 1 2734
↨
→Take Profit 2 2729
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2669 - 2671⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2665
→Take Profit 1 2676
↨
→Take Profit 2 2681
Gold Supported by Fundamentals, Testing Key Technical ResistanceTechnical Analysis
Gold is trading at $2,719, approaching a critical resistance level at $2,735 (Fib 0.786). A breakout above this resistance could pave the way for further upside toward $2,743 and $2,758, marking significant levels for long-term trend continuation. On the daily chart, the price has held firmly above the 50-day SMA, supported by a bullish RSI, indicating the potential for continued strength.
- Key Resistances :
- $2,735 (Fib 0.786).
- $2,743 and $2,758.
- Key Supports :
- $2,700 (short-term support).
- $2,693 (Fib 0.618).
In the short term, gold has encountered resistance at $2,720 and shows signs of a possible pullback. The RSI in the overbought zone suggests that a correction toward $2,700 and potentially $2,693 is likely before any continuation to the upside.
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Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices remain near two-week highs, supported by geopolitical tensions, central bank buying, and expectations for the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy. Markets are now pricing a 95% chance of a 25 bps rate cut by the Fed next week , per the CME FedWatch tool, with a further 22% chance of another cut in January.
Key Developments Driving Gold:
1. Chinese Central Bank Gold Buying:
The People's Bank of China resumed gold purchases in November, adding 160,000 fine troy ounces to its reserves. This significant move has bolstered global gold demand and added upward momentum to prices.
2. Middle East Geopolitical Tensions:
The collapse of the Syrian government and subsequent military actions by Israel have increased investor interest in gold as a safe-haven asset.
3. US Inflation Data (CPI):
November's CPI data showed a 2.7% YoY increase, aligning with expectations and reinforcing the case for rate cuts. The core inflation rate remained stable at 3.3%. These figures have kept gold's bullish momentum intact.
---
Upcoming Data to Watch
The Producer Price Index (PPI) for the US, scheduled for release tomorrow, will provide further clues about inflation trends.
- Forecasts:
- Core PPI m/m: 0.2% (previous: 0.3%).
- PPI m/m: 0.2% (previous: 0.2%).
- Unemployment Claims: 221K (previous: 224K).
Potential Scenarios for PPI:
1. Stronger-than-expected PPI (above 0.2%):
Higher PPI could indicate persistent inflationary pressures, potentially boosting the US Dollar and pressuring gold prices lower. In this case, gold may test short-term supports at $2,700 or $2,693.
2. Weaker-than-expected PPI (below 0.2%):
A weaker PPI could further strengthen the case for Fed rate cuts, weakening the US Dollar and providing additional upside for gold. A breakout above $2,735 would open the path toward $2,743 and $2,758.
---
Conclusion
Gold remains strong in the long term, with $2,735 as a critical resistance level. A breakout above this level could trigger a rally to $2,743 and $2,758. However, in the short term, the price is expected to correct to $2,700 or $2,693 before resuming its uptrend. The upcoming PPI report is pivotal and will shape market sentiment ahead of the Fed's rate decision next week.
Recommendation
Monitor the PPI report and Fed commentary closely. A pullback to $2,700 may offer a buying opportunity, with targets set at $2,743 and $2,758 if bullish momentum persists.
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Long to resistance area of 2717.733.Colleagues, the previous forecast is still active, but I decided to make a new one to show in more detail what exactly is going on.
I believe that the price is in a five-wave upward movement and now we are expecting a lower and middle-order wave “3”.
Therefore, I believe that the upward movement will continue and the price will reach the level of 2717.733.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
XAUUSD: 11/12 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2725, support below 2627
Four-hour resistance 2704, support below 2676
Gold operation suggestions: 4-hour chart bottomed out and rebounded, it is expected that the probability of falling below the 4-hour low of 2675 is not high, then look for opportunities above 2675 to continue to arrange long orders, and there may be opportunities to short if the daily high of 2704 is not broken. Radicals can try it, and admit defeat and exit after breaking the daily high of 2704
From the current 4-hour analysis, the upper short-term pressure focuses on 2700-2720, and the lower short-term focus is on the 2676 first-line support. The operation is mainly based on retracement and long
Pay attention to avoid the time of CPI news release to prevent hitting SL due to high market liquidity
BUY:2660near
BUY:2678near
The strategy only provides trading directions.
Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
GOLD NEXT MOVEDear Friends,
Let’s take a closer look and trade accordingly.
From the chart, we are witnessing a promising setup as the price has successfully broken out of the consolidation phase, reaching the $2726 level.
Theoretically, based on Elliott Wave Theory, the pair is currently moving within Wave 4, a corrective wave following the completion of Wave 3, which closed below the $2722 level.
What’s next? The price is likely to test a key liquidity zone, building momentum for a strong Wave 5, targeting $2758—a compelling and significant resistance level.
Good luck, and may you achieve abundant profit:)