1D CHART BITCOIN BULLRUN GUIDEThe Idea is simple. We will have 3 hits to the EMA50 on the 1D timeframe on Bitcoin. We saw this price action during the 2021 Bullrun aswell. Check the 1D chart back then. We flushed the many longs positions out of the market yesterday. It was crystal clear imo that we flush on the 1st day of uptober. We can also say that 3 is a psychological number - google it. So 3 hits to the 1D chart EMA50 seems possilbe. Time will tell. Trade SAFE!
Meanreversion
4hr Bitcoin mean reversionIt looks like Bitcoin is doing a mean reversion on the 4 hour time frame at the moment. We dumped in the opening of the Asian session tonight. Liquidations are also seen above the current high that we could take out. Let's wait and see what the London and New York session brings and how price reacts. We should be watching closely for a break through the EMA50 on the 1 hour time frame to confirm a continuation of the trend.
Points of Interest on BITCOIN before FOMCI'm watching the price action closely today as we approach the CME gap at $61.5k.
We have not yet taken the previous high on the CME chart. The gap is still open a little bit. We've also accumulated some liquidity at about $57.2k. It is also wednesday, which is know for it's trend reversal.
False move monday on BitcoinWe are currently sitting at the EMA50 on the 4hr timeframe. It looks like we are doint a mean reversion here again. The top was quick and formed a wick but I couldn't finde any vector candle that could be liquidity pools to recover. We also have a CME GAP at $54.2k which will be recovered soon in my opinion. We had the retest of the $58k level which was very important but I expected it to happen on wednesday. Lets observe price action but my observation leans towards shorting.
Quick pump on monday? BITCOINWe could see a rapid rally on Monday that will last until Wednesday when the CPI data is released. We are currently in a mean reversion as show with the arrow. We broke through the ema50 and are retesting it right now. The order books are also pointing to $56k as there is a lot of liquidity in the form of orders looking to be filled.
BITCOIN BULL & BEAR SCENARIO FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKIn this scenario, we retest $58k and move lower to reach the low at $54.6k. These price moves should be watched closely as they can become volatile with falling stock prices and economic data. Today the JOLTS job openings will be released which could cause volatility. If the economic data turns out to be bad for the dollar in the next few days, the upside scenario could continue and we would re-enter the area where we are trading sideways.
4hr BITCOIN mean reversion rejection - Leave the rest for laterIn #Bitcoin's 4-hour chart scenario, we reject the EMA50 we are currently at and take the low at $56k in the next couple of days. We get a lot of economic data in the next few days until Friday, which could strengthen the US dollar and lead Bitcoin into a sell-off. Chart-wise, it looks like a rejection of the 4hr EMA50. The first target would be $56k and if things look really ugly, we should also consider $51k as a possible target.
Bear and bull scenario for today (MONDAY)We recovered the wick from Sunday with the move lower just before the close of the weekly candle. I could see some mean reversion here on the table and a possible break or rejection near the daily open (offset) at $58.4k. Like always $58k region is key. A possible rejection can happen at the psychological low at $58.2k. Right now we are still in the range of $58k - $61k. London Session starts in 8 min and will start the day. Let's go. Trade safe!
Potential double bottom on ICP on the 1WHere's an idea about the Internet Computer Protocol. It looks like we are forming a double bottom at the orange market support level. We are still trading below the EMA50 on the 1W which could be the biggest short term resistance for a breakout. This is a long term idea that might be worth keeping an eye on.
Potential PO3 in formed on BitcoinThis fundamental analysis shows the potential of a PO3 pattern forming. We went to the EMA50 on the 1 hour time frame which was the manipulative move in the Po3 pattern. At the moment we are back in the consolation area, but there is a chance to go back to older lows that were respected by the last decline, which could have its turn now. So $56k is the target for now.
Bearish trend continuation for the weekThat's my idea for the current downtrend if we continue it. Nvidia earnings today at 10pm could be a factor for volatile price action. I see the possibility of a move up to the 1hr EMA50 at around $61.2k if earnings come out well. This is a scenario where we continue the current downtrend. Check out my bear scenario for this week here on tradingview to see the bigger picture. The level to keep an eye on is the $56k level as the price could be interesting there due to pools of liquidity. I have also marked the current price levels where we are again. These are the levels of the consolidation range we were in last week.
Bitcoin bearish scenario for the weekI made this analysis yesterday. In this case, we also expect a move closer to $62k, so based on this analysis, we have time to analyze until Tuesday to decide which way to go. The bears case explains the price action as the following. We broke out of last week’s consolidation with a manipulative move over the weekend/late Friday, so we trapped the longs by let the believing in higher prices by hold the price at the GETTEX:64K level. The EMA will not hold in this case and we go back to the lows of August 6 at around $51,000.