EURNZD SHORT Analysis by Wave FX AcademyHi Traders, here is my analysis for this pair, Comment your thoughts or like if you agree. All feedbacks are welcomed. An entry will be taken only if all rules of my strategy are satisfied. Add pair to your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy provides an entry.
Marketanalysis
NIFTY - Correction expected from next week.Nifty will face strong resistance from Monday first at 10648 and if it manages to cross that then again immediately at 10788.
Also the larger pattern in which it has been moving is a Rising Wedge and a correction towards the bottom line of the wedge 10333 is expected.
$SPY Fill your shorts or be cautious out there$SPY swimming in deep waters, I shared the chart Thursday laid out with simple trend lines and setups and now here it is again with some EMA and Ichimoku matching up on point. I think we run up towards 320 before falling under 280. Check it out and let me know what you think!
One last try??BTCUSD in a falling wedge channel pattern. Will it make one more attempt to burst up to $10K? or fall out of the channel and keep falling... a lot depends on stock markets also. Were on the verge of bad Q2 results, Virus issues arising again... what will happen next? we wait and see what happens, Limbo continues...
3 big drops since BTCUSD ATH and the next move is going to ...Given that:
For the time being, Bitcoin (BTC) is well correlated with traditional markets.
What this chart shows me:
Bitcornz on the Weekly TF. 3 major drops since ATH. All the bullish rallies and comebacks to date have yet to really break free of the downtrend, however it's above it longer now the previous times. it's like watching an asset dance on a knife edge for as long as it can before it makes the next move either way.
How The Biggest Whale Affects Everything:
As long as the Fed keeps buying the FAANG bonds and basically p0wning the market / transforming the USA into more like the USSA .. central Kontrol over everything. ... well as long as the charade lasts, trads keep up the PAMP and bitty may ride along, for now, anyway.
The Great Comparison:
However if you look at the markets compared to right before the Great Depression ... Well ... it basically looked a lot like this. See DJI for example. Highly overvalued stocks being propped up by artificial cash infusions in to the markets. and there was a signal dump and recovery and then shortly after there was the big drop. It looks an awful lot like that now, too. of course systems are "stronger" now but still ... the system is also so much bigger .. the damage from any crash now or in an even larger, more centrally controlled future, will be proportionally bigger as well, in all likelihood.
WDUT?
Is A 1.6% Upside Target Worth The Risk?Without carefully crafted historically backtested strategies, the kinds of trades available on short-time frames within the current market structure are high risk.
Check this one out. 3 'white soldiers' candle formation on the 4 hour chart. Looks good. MACD pushing up. But look at the overhead resistance level. It's just 1.6% above current price. Would you risk leveraging long for such a small move? Or would you wait for stronger momentum on a higher time frame?
Market Analysis for June 12, 2020This is trading strategies trendline...
Trendline gives us better idea to go with the trade as per trendline...now market has tested its high of 10300 as per trendline and now after touching high as detracted so till the time its not positively go beyond 10200 above level no point in holding long position.
If we analyse DII and FII data, FII pumped 14000 cr in Indian Equity Market in 13178 cr in the month of May 2020 and even in June 12195 cr till date in the month of June 9, but in the last 3 days they are doing some profit booking. on the other side DII invested 11356 cr in indian equity market in the month of May 2020 but in june they are booking profit as taken 2000 crore out of the market.
So coming will be highly volatile for the market as it can again drop another 8-10% to sub 9000 level.
be cautious do your trade accordingly.
First rebound of the 2020 market crash is DONE! GOING DOWN!The figure shows how long the previous market crashes have taken in time and how the crashes have always had significant upwards retracements in it. The overall trend of 2020 is now confirmed to bearish and there is a lot to come in the near future. Stay tuned!
Waiting for the stark reality of economy to be exposed!Op-ed: The charts show global stocks could retest their March lows later this year
www.cnbc.com
Key points:
From a technical analysis perspective , global stock indexes in March wiped out critical long-term support factors pertaining to the entire multiyear rallies since the conclusion of the global financial crisis bear markets, that have driven many stock indexes to all-time highs.
From our technical perspective, although the short-term outlook into June remains for further upside, we do not see most of the major benchmarks challenging the current 2020 cycle highs.
Given that markets remain contained below the peaks from the first quarter of 2020 at the end of the second quarter and taking into consideration the above-mentioned damage inflicted to the long-term charts, the threat in the next two quarters is for a roll back down lower into the very wide ranges established by the first-quarter sell-offs.
From a macroeconomic perspective , a more negative outlook could be driven by the lifting of lockdowns allowing for the removal of fiscal accommodation by governments, which could expose the stark reality of a post-pandemic global economy, damaged by the measures taken during global lockdowns.
Furthermore, there is also the risk of a second wave of coronavirus cases and deaths as lockdowns are eased, potentially seeing lockdown measures reinstated. Finally, the growing resumption of tensions between China the U.S. (as well as other nations), could lead to a renewal of the 2019 trade war.
With most commentators agreeing that the economic recovery is likely to be U-shaped at best or even L-shaped at worst, the likelihood of a V-shaped recovery by the global economy seems unlikely, which is likely going to be needed to continue the aggressive V-shaped rebound in stock indexes.
In summary then, although the short/intermediate-term outlook remains for renewed upside for the major global stock averages into June, we do not see a resumption of intermediate or longer-term bull trends. Rather, markets could likely be contained within the broader ranges defined by the first-quarter 2020 bear markets, or possibly even into the second half of 2020 to retest the March 2020 bear move lows.
Signs Of A CONFUSED MarketHi @FollowMyForex traders,
Earlier this week I was reading about how managers at some hedge funds were
removing their money from the markets because they just didn't know how to read
the markets right now. It said, "even the big boys are getting slaughtered".
Currently, we are experiencing a confused market if there ever was one. Just
take a look at the current H1 move on the USDJPY . A
60 pip drop followed by a 60 pip rise isn't any way you'd see the market move
in recent history.
We've been seeing this up-down whipsawing the whole week. Some big traders have
been taking shots this month like never before in their careers. I even know of
two who have reached their maximum drawdown and is going to take a break from
trading for 7 days now. Ouch!
It's in times like these that the most important aspect of trading becomes
clear again - risk management.
It's easy to forget about it when it's raining pips like during the period from
the end of February until end of April, but it's a bad habit to get into,
whether it's going good or not.
Why?
Because you never know when an unpredictable change in the fundamental
way the market is trading is going to happen and hit your account
hard.
If you got out of trades when you saw markets were behaving erratically - good
for you.
If you maintained strict management and never risked more than you should to
recover from a loss - good for you.
If you are ending the week anywhere between profitable and 1% - 2% down - GOOD
FOR YOU. You were practising diligent money management.
Thanks to everyone who traded with us this week and congrats on the winning
trades!
Trade safe and have a great weekend.
♦ P.S. Dear reader, if you liked this post, I would greatly appreciate a
thumbs up! And if you want more commentaries like this, trade ideas and
signals, remember to follow me. Thanks!
Dow Jones Index- BULLS COMING TO MARKET Big Bos : "God damn it. People hungry. I will have a big event after this. You are my supporter or not?"
Subordinates: "But Boss, colleagues and our friends still afraid about...."
Big Boss: "Quite all of you. I tell you. Now get going to them. Tell them, I want market rising. Bearish its over. Don't you think i am stupid. All of you already full enough buying stocks in cheaper price. The holiday is ended. I want market rising. God damn it. Do you understand?"
Subordinates: "Roger Bos. We do it right away" .
--------------------------------------------------------
And we see bulls coming to the market. Voila ...
Q: " J, i wanna ask. This market movement is just temporary or not?"
J: " Well. I still dont know if the market can breakout 26740 or not. But I feel that market will not drop sharply like the past. It will be ranging in level 22750-26740. They will make the market like that way for a while. That's my thought".
Q:" Ah i see. So it is the time to buy?"
J: " You buy when the market dropping. or when it is under correction. Whatever the correction it has. By the way, correction has multiple form. But I don't want to let you know about that. Maybe later in future...Lol
Q: " okay, okay man. Then i will prepare ..."
J" " Prepare your money to buy?"
Q:" No man. Prepare to have a bath. You want to come with me?"
J": God damn it. (throwing roll of tissue )....
-J
$CADJPY Short against Weekly Close of 78.00With this weekly close below the EMA9, the CADJPY continues to test a firm resistance and retreat. The $CADJPY is looking like a Short against Weekly Close of 78.00 for a test of the low at 73.00. The current price is at 76.68, which would provide a good risk to reward for this pair. Only weekly close above the weekly high of 78.00 would negate this pair's bearish pattern.
My analysis is not to be taken as final target or exact numbers, but as an exchange rates heat map of where sentiment and expectations are going. Take profit when you feel necessary or cut your losses.
Please feel free to like and comment.
Let's make some money together!
Happy Trading!
Dr. Lydia Smith
Long $USDCAD against 1.3900The USD/CAD has held support at 1.3900 over the last few weeks. This on a weekly and monthly charge would show that a triangular pattern formation is being formed, if the support holds. This along with fundamentals of supporting the dollar rise, Would support a long here. Therefore I am looking to buy the usd/cad on a weekly basis for a test of recent high of 1.4100. Unless the other pairs can break the range, the pattern favors a strong dollar over the coming weeks.
If you are looking to trading make sure the shorter time frames are in oversold to maximize profit. Risk to Reward.
Only a close below weekly support would negate trade.
If you like this analysis, make sure to like, and comment, which is appreciated.
Let's Make some money together!
Happy Trading
Dr. Lydia Smith
AUD/USD Long The Aud/Usd recently broke above the 100MA, and broke a new high and then retreated. However, the didn't break back below the .6500 or the 100 MA. This show buyers are ready to take the Aud/USd for a test of .66 or the 200MA.
Please like, and comment. Thanks
Let's Make Money Together.
Dr. Lydia Smith