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Manipulation

After his success manipulating the US stock market...Donald Trump wants to devaluate the US dollar. From the South China Morning Post: "The euro – which has dropped nearly 10 per cent against the dollar since early 2018 – is 22 per cent undervalued versus the greenback, according to a purchasing power parity measure of the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development. The dollar itself is considered too strong: in the Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s latest fund manager survey, a record 60 per cent of respondents saw the greenback as overvalued." Got my trading accounts in USD (and in XBT on my little Bitmex account :p). May be time to turn it to euro... The euro downtrend got weaker and weaker and it is looking like a possible reversal and it is undervalued anyway. I think it should go up in the long term. But I only think it would go up something like 10%, over a several months period. Not a huge deal. I see at least a buy trade if we go visit that area. I do not think it is necessary to look for a bottoming chart pattern. Stop loss can be set at 1.11 or a little below. Entry 1.11250 maybe. Are we going to get Trump tweets to try to move the USD valuation like with the stock market?
Long
by MrRenev
2
SPOOKY MANIPULATION IS HAPPENING! Chainlink Bullish Wedge Part 2Welcome to the games. I just want to start by saying that this is some of the most OBVIOUS market manipulation I have ever seen and this gives me some serous doubts about the long term health of this market. It seemed like before we would reach our target of around 24k sats region, but we ended up taking profits at the 22k as we started to turn downwards. I posted a swing trade near the lows to try to catch the 15.5k region dip, which we successfully did. If you had been following my ideas you would have increased your chainlink stack by a nice amount already! However, it is important to use limit orders because we were there and gone in a matter of minutes before bouncing back. Now this chapter of the game is spooky, so be warned. You know that fib levels can be scarily accurate, and this can sometmes be chance or sometimes pure manipulation for who knows what reason? Well that last dump pretty much confirms that fib levels, especially the .618 golden ratio are vitally important to some of the big players (look up numerology, it's a rabbit hole and the elites love this stuff.) So previously, the target of the bullish wedge on this graph didn't match any fib levels really. But now that you pull down the fib retracement to the new low, the target of the wedge is NOW equal to the .618 fib level, at 23233 sats. It's almost as if some group of people decided that it NEEDED to be this way and were willing to dump and liquidate many traders while risking and burning a lot of capital to make it happen, since they saw the wedge was playing out but it wouldn't hit a fib level that was good for them. Of course this bizarre theory could all just be in my head and it's just a trap to play the same game again in the opposite direction as we have seen many times. Further TA shows it could possibly be a short term bearish wedge with a target of in the 15600 sats region, so I will be taking a percentage profits from my rebuy already to try and load up on some more down there. Let me know what you think, and please don't forget to leave a like! Previous analysis:
Long
by Etch1234
3
20k Before August? 75k Before 2020? So looks like 20k is within sight before the end of next month. 75k before the end of this year. Bitcoin was supposed to bounce around in that channel between the red top trendline and the green bottom trendline for a year and a half. We didn't double bottom we didn't double golden cross we skipped all that and we aren't going to slowly break our 10k 11.5, 13.5, etc resistances slowly over the course of a year. We're going straight back to 20k. IF in fact this same pattern is valid. And I just copied and moved the pattern from 2015/16 market to where we are now. See for yourself. I was waiting to buy after a correction. But we did not double bottom, and a correction doesn't appear to be possible. If they can print tether 100% pump bitcoin 200%, why not keep going? Who is gonna stop them?
BNC:BLXLong
by pacman7331
Bitcoin Stopped Correlating to 2015-2016 Bear / Bull market It was a very close correlation for all of 2018 and into early 2019 between 2015 and 2018 bear market. But now that correlation has ended. As you can see we should have double bottomed on the 200 weekly moving average if we were still following the 2015 pattern, then have a 2nd golden cross and pumped 200% +. We skipped over that and have already pumped 200%. Thanks to tether printers. coinmarketcap.com We should also therefore stop expecting a massive sell off in the markets, tether is a major bitcoin support. Lowest price will probably not even touch 6xxx anymore. Even though this tether printing has the exact pattern of the bitcoin price explosion. FOMO Joe was able to return to the whales 1 dollar for every dollar the tether printer pressed. FOMO Joe already pumped bitcoin higher than the parabola did in 2015. Tether only had to print 100% more for a 200% bitcoin ROI . Our major support is going to be that red and green trendline . If we had correlated continuously we should see 250 - 350k by the end of this bull market. But now I suppose that target will be even higher.
BNC:BLX
by pacman7331
1
Tether Bubble / cryptocurrency bullshit So yea... As has been pointed out before this market is being driven by tether printing. You can see (unfortunately I can’t insert on tradingview) coinmarketcap.com A 200% increase in USDT over a period of December 2018 to today and a 200% in price of bitcoin in the same period of time. If you wanna ride the whales, just go to the chart on coin market cap. And when you see the tether market cap go up try to get into bitcoin before they do! The trend is 1:1. Tether is being used to pump a bitcoin bubble. Aside from that I think this market is totally illegitimate, people behind USDT and exchanges that use it to buy and sell bitcoin should all go to jail. Problem is internet is worldwide and these exchanges are hiding in 3rd world countries away from any jurisdictions which can prosecute them for manipulation. If any of you know where you can trade your USDT for real money let me know! Cuz all I know is that these billionaires may be able to do that, but the little guy can’t. If you trust the good will of these tether co. Hiding in 3rd world countries away from the cops to buy and sell bitcoin to you, good luck!
Short
by pacman7331
Potential trade setup: EUR/NZD analysisPrice has rallied towards a key dynamic resistance for the 3rd drive, 1.72250 could be a key barrier which many sell orders may be filled at these highs, however we may see some manipulative price action at and therefore take opportunities on additional -sell positions at spike levels that could potentially tap the 61.8% fib level, overpriced region, before price reverses to our highlighted target of 1.7000-1.69000 for a major correction. this could be a great risk-reward trade, 25 pips above spike and potential 200 pip move towards the downside, could ECB speech later on today be the boost needed?
Short
by danresdidualfx
Trade Setup: GBP/AUD analysisprice has created its 3rd drive into the highs of that dynamic resistance price region that price previously tested. IF 4HR candle can close as a Doji suggesting indecision and potential rejection at the key trendline we could see price form a new higher low? and correct to the 1.82000 level (61.8% retracement zone) before accumulating buying orders to break the key trendline and reverse to new highs - SL is set higher than our previous wick rejection, if price breaks above the resistance and closes above, it's likely that price could rally towards our long term targets of 1.85000 Risk reward ratio is 1:2
Short
by danresdidualfx
S&P 500 - potential for 2100 by Jan 2020In the upcoming days I'm confident we will see a continued rally in the S&P off of the news that Mr. Trump has solved "the problem" of the Mexico tariffs. While trying to remain as unbiased as possible, it is becoming more and more apparent that the current market news cycle could legitimately be subject to manipulation by Trump's continued belief that a strong market is indicative of his success in guiding the US economy. Seeing repeated bait and switch tactics on key economic policy decisions and the trade talks does not bode well for my confidence in long-term economic strength in both the real economy and the market. Barring a true resolution of our engagement with China, I believe we are on course to see this head and shoulders pattern playout over the next 6-8 months. If the 2500 level breaks and confirms this pattern, a 38.2% retracement back to the 2100 levels for the S&P is certainly possible. Keeping in mind that with such a long-term call as this, any major economic events that take place between now and then could drastically alter the circumstances that have preempted this view anticipating a continued decline on the major market indexes. I am by no means absolute on this position, and future developments will certainly be taken into account when assessing whether or not to maintain this position. In anticipation of this rally, I will be working to assess when there is disparity on the premiums on long-term puts extending into 2020 on SPY. I hope to take advantage of potential price movement back into 290, to get cheap "insurance" on this market as I can cannot be confident in continued bullish momentum at this time.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Captainsmugglebutt
1
BTC Retracement to 6,000 - before the next bull runAs you can see, BTC has gained a lot of selling pressure over the last few days. Perhaps due to bigger participants taking profits after we hit the psychological number of 9,000. The ADX shows buyers are starting to gain dominance, indicated by the red line crossing the green line. And volatility is starting to pick up. Furthermore, i have taken a previous move from the last major bullrun which is a mirror image of the current move. History tends to repeat itself. Furthermore, this matches up with a 50-61.8% retracement. For even more confluence this would tap the psychological number of 6,000. I will be cashing out my BTC into stable coins for the meantime, before a rentry after more confluence. As it is still possible this could be a major fakeout, even though that is unlikely, i like to consider all options. Conclusion - Bearish momentum to the downside (6,000) before a nice upside move. BULL MARKETS ARE BUILT ON BEAR BLOOD. BEARS WILL BE SELLING SELLING SELLING. THE MASSES WILL FOLLOW... THEN THE BULLS COME BACK TO FIGHT. Happy trading.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by ikdavis
Bull Market Is Inevitable - Steadily Approaching 10,000 USDHey guys I know I've been silent, especially during the most intense times of bitcoin in the past few weeks, I had personal matters to attend do, and plus I never had plans to FOMO into a parabolic trend anyway. Looks can fool you, the parabolic trend looks like money, but its not. Sometimes the best trade to make is no trade, standing aside and observing is very wise, and I did just that. And yes, we are steadily approaching 10,000 USD. However, we have a few loose ends before we make the next move. The history of this market will explain everything which is what I'll be covering mostly in this idea. Summary: 1. Green Area 2. Red Area 3. Bearish Divergence Whenever you look at a chart, it paints a picture, illustrating many things, this help us understand the psychology of the market, and as a result we can get a feel of what players are doing in the market based on its history. 1. The Green Area So we got ourselves a steady and steep uptrend. The bulls are trying to killing shorts by continuously buying up. This was the original strategy from the bulls when everyone didn't think we'll break through 6k, and how everyone was speculating about a new low. Not to mention, we barely have any selling pressure, the bulls were leaving no room for sellers, whenever there was an attempt, the bulls would just instantly buy up again. 2. The Red Area Alright, we've reached 8,500 USD and we now begin to see a change. The whales have decided its time for giant stop hunt, which is something we haven't seen in a while, they felt like it was perfect opportunity to punish the longs, which is a first. You got to remember that whales are famous for crushing people's spirits, especially when they get optimistic. Now if you look at the price movement, its starting to look different. Its starting to look like a bumpy ride, and that's because we're getting closer to 10,000 USD, which is an extremely and psychologically crucial number. Meanwhile, bulls are getting anxious. Its clear to me that we're seeing more selling pressure for a change. However, if you look at my yellow ovals highlighting those giant candles, it shows us that every time the market wants to drop, the whales are there to push it back up, supporting the uptrend. As a result, its only delaying the inevitable dump. As you can see the whales are playing along, up until 9,000 USD. The whales then decide punish the longs once more with another stop hunt. They're trying to send a message to everyone that something good like this never lasts forever. 3. Bearish Divergence I've spotted a bearish divergence which is strong evidence suggesting that we're heading down towards another drop. The green lines on the chart is going on an uptrend, making higher lows, and yet green line on the RSI is going on a downtrend, making lower highs. They both have opposite direction which leads us to believe that its a bearish divergence. All I can say is, something is going down, literally. Again, it comes back to the whales, I believe when you have whales prolonging or manipulating these events, it usually causes severe repercussions later down the road. Conclusion At the end of the day, whales really do want us to go up! Its inevitable that we eventually go above 10,000 USD, leading us into the real bull market. They will punish the bulls from time to time, but that doesn't stop their plans. When we get above 10,000 USD we will slowly see more FOMO kids, retail traders, and mommy and daddy investors entering the market again. With this in mind, we'll ride the train as high as possible, until the whales decide to make a massive sell and disrupt everything like always. Thank you for your time ladies and gentlemen, I wish you all a fantastic day! Twitter: @cyber_stocks Discord: CyberStocks#9378 Feel free to support me, any help is appreciated. All funds will directly support my personal finances, and most importantly, my mission of building an online brand :) BTC Donations: 1AuZiofHSqM5gV1ttxUddNovDhEtHgMUgA
BITMEX:XBT
by CyberStocks
BTC, what do I know?This "bull run" (laughs) is a complete fabrication fueled by manipulation. The top is most likely in, and it's all downhill from here. Bulls are in a state of elation and it's time for "them" to pull the rug. There will be a series of bulltraps as we fall down, with less and less strength as bulltards lag behind trying to long the "dips" until the reality of the situation sets in. First target is 7k Second is 6.3k Third is 5.7k NOTES - Breakouts from the bounces from each of those levels is possible. - Third level very well might not hold as sentiment will be heavily damaged by then - We could be back in the 3-4k region by August "They" will be laughing their asses off and reminiscing the execution of the biggest bulltrap in history. This entire idea invalidates with a close above $8.7k, and the scam bullrun probably continues in that case.
BITMEX:BTCUSD.PShort
by blockchaingetheworld
3
Daily "Manipulations"So here is a perfect example how the Institutions operate on a daily and weekly basis and how order flow works. We got this gap because the institutions trapped traders into the believe that price would go higher and many orders were stuck there over the weekend. Then we got a small gap signaling buying pressure while in reality the institutions sucked in orders to build their position (maybe only short term in a bigger cycle). The gap also faked some people out because they believed that this was a valid double Top there. They then just went 3.5 Pips higher to trick people into more buy orders so they could prepare for the final big move. Just another day, same methods. Trading is all about probabilities and order flow that creates those patterns. On the lower timeframes those "patterns" are unreliable because all the pending orders and such create heavy noise at important levels and those patterns are more a result of that noise and HFT firms than a planned move within itself. So we should stick to higher timeframe confluences. But anyways, this is how it works. Cheers
Education
by PaperChazeTrading
Dont be fulled into thinking this a bitcoin bull run!The yellow graph represents shorts being liquidated. Exchanges are pumping as much as they have to in order to liquidate these shorts that would clean them out if left checked. They know a dump is coming soon so they have to push price up before of that drop can happen. This is not organic growth as we have broke though major resistance like a knife through butter. With Binance suspending withdrawals and FOMO increasing profits for these exchanges manipulating price it is a win win for them. There a bubble expanding and its on the verge of popping! shorts are dropping but they are still stacked, so while there is room to more further to the upside.. I suggest you all grab a parachute because when start to drop it will be a free fall!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by snookerer
32
Bitcoin medium term very bearishBitcoin medium term outlook (2-4 weeks) is quite bearish for the following reasons - 1 week targets would be 4600-4700 -A break of the trend line of 4700 could see us head to 4100-420 -2-4 week targets would be 3-3.5k -Long term 1-2 months, I expect us to hit the bottom of the channel , which is around 2K area 1.TD Sequential hit 9 on the Weekly. While in strong trends it can be ignored, we have to remember that we are still in a bear market till we make a higher high, which would be roughly 6500-6800 area depending on which exchange you used. This means the TD sequential is giving us an alert on essentially counter-trend pattern, making it very strong likelihood of achieving. This was substantiated by the rally ending at the TD 9 Sequentaiil 2.Spinning Top on Weekly about to form ( closes in 1 day) -This shows price indecision at a significant resistance.We made a very strong bullish move recently but its likely that the bullish sentiment is waning 3.Rejection by significant resistances -We got rejected by the 21 Monthly EMA resistance -We got rejected by the 55 Weekly EMA Resistance -You can see this by the rejection wicks 4. Extremely overbought Stochastic RSI, and modified RSI of length 3, overbought=95, and oversold=5, shows we went past the 95 resistance RSI area and are now back below it, showing we rejected the overbought resistance area. If we were extremely bullish , we would have managed to not go back to the purple area but we have, showing a rejection 5.Contrarian Investing0Go short when others are going long and calling bull market -Everyoen is calling this a bull market -Retail Avg Joe heard the bitcoin buzz and is now going to buy -Remember the Crowd is rarely right. They are only right in significant trends. The 2017 bitcoin bubble had a huge frenzy between November to December and that was PRECISELY the top. So many retail investors got burnt 6. This rally seems to be artificial/manipulated. -According to a article titled -This rally was pumped by this huge whale market buying. -The article specially states " anonymous trader who recently placed $100 million USD worth of concurrent Bitcoin buy orders on Coinbase, Kraken and Bitstamp probably triggered a ‘frenzy’ of automated buys," -Essentailly after a certain price point a ton of stops got triggered. This, along with a breach of resistance likely made bots auto buy and caused this tremendous rally -This entire rally wasn't really the retail traders and bitcoin ecosystem showing renewed interest ( this would show we are actually transitioning to a bull market ), but just a big powerful whale -He likely bought a ton of bitcoin cheap 3-3.5k OTC, then went on the futures market and likely longed x100 ( since he knows it can only go up ). Then decided to market buy 100M on these exchanges. After a certain price, likely 4400-4500, bots took over and began a buying spree to push us higher. -Now, this same whale will likely market sell. And since retail things its a bull market, as soon as they see a drop of more then 10% in a span of a few hours, guess what will happen ( mass panic selling ) -This whale could likely be wanting to orchestrate a mass panic sell of bitcoin by trapping tons of bitcoin long orders and retail fomo in to cause a huge capitulation You can keep up with my trading setups at telegram-@CryptoFuturesGroup ( Its a public group, so just type in the username and it will pop up ). -
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by chartingman43
1
Kraken BTC/USD 1hr - Longs & Shorts - 4/9/19 1:30PM EDTNothing too exciting for now, however we do see the shorts creeping up a touch while the longs continue to flatline as is. A continued rise in the shorts with an increasing price might just mean there isn't blind and total faith in the BTC price increases at this point. If both price and shorts GRADUALLY rise, it's just caution with the masses - movement on the shorts is REACTIVE to price. If we see a SHARP move in the shorts this would be more indicative of ACTIVE play by the bigger players, similar to what we saw on the 8th with the sudden drop in shorts. What to look out for: If there is a sudden sharp move upwards with the shorts timed oddly close to a price increase with BTC then it is likely a setup. In that scenario someone would be stacking up their shorts while pumping the price of BTC to encourage some FOMO while they get ready to dump. Sharp movements in price or long/short numbers are the ones to watch, while gradual movements are the reactive players like us, just holding on for the ride. Bitcoin Manipulation & Technical Analysis: If anyone is doing technical analysis on immature assets like Bitcoin....just assume there's so much manipulation and the token volume so small you're trying to predict the future on a past with such a small sample size the analysis means very little. Bitcoin will get there, but the current state of the volume for crypto is a few major players on a few large exchanges poking the price around. And 267 fake exchanges copy those charts, candle for candle with wash trading from start to finish. We're not there yet folks, can't predict something that hasn't established a core set of players and predictable movement. The only shot is to try and see the motivations behind those that are moving the price around. Once we get enough real volume then you can trend patterns and analyze the past to predict the future.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by StartChart