Easy Money.. Just Follow the Green LineIt is not always this obvious but here it is. I am not going to complain about the ease of it. I did not always know how to predict them, I used to suck at it.. Now I cannot miss it. I can give you stocks, indices, Forex, Crypto.. does not matter. What I call it hits!! Then I tell you when to flip it into a buy. After this trade come back for more, I will not always be here so you better PM me before I am gone. I can send you daily signals. Back to trading!!
Learntotrade
TRIPLE TOP PATTERN. Tips on how to trade it 📚
🟢The triple top is a very powerful reversal pattern. Visually, it represents three consecutive peaks approximately equal in height. Formally, it can be considered as a special case of the head and shoulders formation, whose head height is approximately equal to the shoulders. Moreover, the differences between them are purely academic, since, from a practical point of view, both of them indicate a change in the uptrend to a downtrend.
✅The pattern reflects three consecutive unsuccessful attempts to break through a certain resistance level. At the same time, each subsequent unsuccessful attempt indicates a weakening of the bulls and increases the likelihood of a future reversal.
❗️To correctly identify the pattern, the analyst should pay attention to the following conditions.
1️⃣The formation of a triple top should be preceded by a solid upward (bullish) trend, which should last at least a month, and preferably several months.
2️⃣Three consecutive tops must be clearly expressed and be approximately the same height. Through their maxima, the upper resistance level is built. The maxima should differ from each other by no more than 1-2%.
3️⃣ The lower support level is built through the minimum of the retracement after the first and second peaks depending on which of them will be lower.
4️⃣ As the triple top forms, there should be a gradual decline in trade volumes. At the same time, a local increase in trading volumes in the area of a top formation is considered acceptable. This is a confirmation of the gradual weakening of bull pressure on the market and a sign of an approaching trend reversal.
5️⃣ The triple top gives its final confirmation only after breaking through the lower support level after the formation of the third top. The breakout should be accompanied by a significant increase in trading volumes, and the appearance of price gaps on the chart is also desirable. After breaking through, the support level becomes the resistance level, in the area in which subsequent corrective price movements are possible.
6️⃣ To determine the goal of the price movement, it is necessary to measure the distance between the lower support level and the maximum point of the triple top. Then this distance should be projected from a broken support level to the downside.
7️⃣ The reliability of the patterns directly depends on the duration of the period during which it was formed. It should be at least several months.
⚠️In technical analysis, the triple top is one of the most difficult to recognize and "insidious" figures for an investor. Until the third top is formed, this figure looks like a classic double top. Also, three consecutive peaks of approximately equal height are characteristic of the ascending triangle and rectangle patterns, which are trend continuation formations. Thus, the final confirmation of the triple top is received only after a consequent breakout of the lower support level, which should be accompanied by a sharp increase in trading volumes.
Do you trade triple top?🤔
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WHY 95% OF TRADERS FAIL | Top 6 Mistakes to Avoid 🙅♂️🙅♀️
Hey traders,
That is the absolute fact:
95% of traders will fail.
Working with hundreds of struggling traders from different parts of the world, studying their trades & following their reasoning I found a lot of commonalities. In this post, we will discuss the top 6 mistakes to avoid to succeed in trading.
🤖 Rather than studying the market structure, rather than learning price action, many traders are looking for a "secret indicator". The one that will accurately indicate when to buy or sell the market.
Failing to find the one, they start looking for a set of indicators giving them magic profit formula. At some stage, they stop analyzing the chart at all. They become obsessed with the indicators.
Remember, naked chart analysis always goes first.
The indicator is the tool in your toolbox that is applied as one of the confirmations.
💫 The expectations & mindset play a very important role here as well.
Many people come in trading with a desire to become rich quick. To buy a subscription to some signal service promising them thousands of pips monthly and quite their 9:5 job.
Or to watch a couple of educational videos about trading and after a couple of days of practicing become a whale of Wallstreet making thousands of dollars with a single trade.
Such a mindset is completely wrong. Instead, you must realize that trading is extremely hard. It will take many years and a lot of blown trading accounts before you get how to trade properly.
Moreover, even once you mature, you won't make millions of dollars. Professional trading is simply about winning slightly more than you lose and then living on a margin.
📉 Poor risk management is the primary reason for blown trading accounts. And here I am not talking about some "advanced" risk management techniques.
Many traders simply trade with oversized lots.
Having high leverage & 1000$ deposit at hand the one can simply open a trading position with 1 standard lot and be kicked in by a spread.
Or they open a trading position without a stop loss. Being wrong in their predictions instead of closing a losing position they keep holding it. And while the market keeps going against them they pray the God for a market reversal. At some moment they get the margin call.
You must learn to calculate a lot size for all your trades. Instead of risking a huge portion of your trading account, learn to set a stop loss and risk no more than 1% of your deposit.
📝 Lastly, discipline plays a crucial role in your success in trading. Once you developed a trading strategy & backtested that you must learn to follow its rules no matter what. Usually, once traders catch a losing streak they start changing their rules, they start adjusting their trading strategy. Remember that losses are inevitable. The only correct way to stay afloat is to be consistent and don't break the rules.
Avoiding these common mistakes your chances to succeed in trading will increase dramatically. I wish you be among 5% of traders who made it.
Did you make these mistakes?
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PRICE ACTION PATTERNS | Descending Triangle 🔰
Hey traders,
In this video, you will learn a classic price action pattern "Descending Triangle".
Main topics covered:
Structure of the pattern
Bias of the pattern
Triggers
Stop placement
Target selection
Real market example
Let me know in a comment section what pattern do you want to learn in the next video!
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Allcargo - Trade The FlagOur First stock in Trade The Flag - Allcargo
Allcargo Logistics is a leading multinational Company engaged in providing integrated logistics solutions and offers specialized logistics services across multimodal transport operations, inland container depot, container freight station operations, contract logistics operations and project and engineering solutions.
The company has a healthy dividend payout record.
Net profit has increased to the tune of approximately 239% over last financial year.
As compared to sales ending in Q1, sales increased by 1529 in Q2 and with improving conditions post covid-19 scenario:
Expected revenue growth of 33.53% for next year
Expected earnings growth of 54.32% for next year
Hopefully with another stellar performance in the coming half of the year we can see the price rising to 500 levels.
The price has already made an all time high and since has been moving in a sideways zone a break out above suggested levels would definitely take the price soaring high.
PRICE ACTION TRADING | Bearish Flag Pattern 🔰
Hey traders,
Bearish flag pattern is a classic trend-following pattern.
Being relatively simple to recognize, it is applied in various trading strategies.
⭐️ The pattern itself signifies the correctional movement after a strong bearish wave in a bearish trend.
After setting a new structure low, the asset starts growing in value and the price action legs start forming a rising parallel channel.
What is particular about this growth is the fact that the price grows within the range of the preceding bearish impulse.
🔔 The trigger that we are looking for to sell the market is a bearish breakout of the support of the flag pattern (we need at least a candle close below).
To not be caught by a false breakout, it is highly recommendable to wait for a bearish violation of the last higher low level as well.
Only then the flag breakout is confirmed.
The breakout signifies the end of a correctional movement.
Then the price will most likely return to a bearish trend.
⚡️Trading the market aggressively, one opens a short position on spot just after the breakout candle closes.
⚡️The conservative trader will wait for a retest of the broken support of the flag for a safer entry.
✔️Safest stop will lie strictly above the highest wick (the last higher high) within the flag.
✔️Initial target will be based on the closest key structure support.
Learn to recognize this pattern and be disciplined to wait for its confirmed breakout. Only then a high trading performance will be achieved.
What pattern do you want to learn in the next post?🤔
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COMPOUND INTEREST. Time is on your side📚
❗️As it turned out, not all traders are familiar with such an important concept as compound interest. Meanwhile, the use of compound interest in trading can be a very effective tool for making a profit. In short, compound interest is the accrual of interest on interest, and if in detail, then read on.
✅The formula for calculating compound interest has the form:
Compound percentage = (P (1 + g)^ n) – P, where
P – the amount originally invested;
r – interest rate;
n is the investment period.
Let's say you invested an amount of $ 10,000, every year the interest received is added to the principal amount, and new interest is accrued for a larger amount. If the investment period is 5 years, and the interest rate is 10% per annum, then after the specified period, taking into account the compound interest, you will receive a profit in the amount of:
(10000(1+0.10)^5)-10000=6105.1$
And without taking into account the compound interest, the profit for the same period will be:
10000*5*0,10-10000=5000$
As you can see, using compound interest (or in other words reinvesting profits) brought additional income in the amount of: 6105.1-5000 = 1105.1 $.
✅It seems that the figures presented above are not impressive, but the use of compound interest in trading can truly work wonders. In what way? Let's take another look at the compound interest formula described above. It is obvious from the formula that you can increase profit by increasing any of its components. Let's not touch the amount originally invested, but play with the value of the investment period and the interest rate.
To begin with, let's imagine that we will reinvest the profit not every year, but every month. Then the investment period will be 12 *5 = 60 months. The interest rate corresponding to this investment period will be equal to: 10%/12=0.833%. Let's substitute these values into the formula for calculating the compound percentage:
(10000(1+0.00833)^60)-10000=6449,8$
As you can see, under the same conditions, but with monthly reinvestment of profits, the income will already be $ 6449.8- $6105.1 =$344.7 more.
Well, if the trader's income is not 0.833% per month, but, for example, 5% monthly, then under the same conditions and for the same period, the profit will already be:
(10000(1+0.05)^60)-10000=176791,86$
Felt the difference, impressive, isn't it? And what if you reinvest profits not monthly, but daily? Let's figure it out. With an average yield of 5% per month, the average daily yield will be 5%/21= 0.238% (here 21 is the number of working days in a month). The investment period will be 5*360=1800 days. Let's substitute the data into the compound interest formula:
(10000(1+0.00238)^1800)-10000=711617,5$
This is already 711617.5-176791.86 = 534826 $ more than with monthly reinvestment of profits. More than half a million dollars (and this with an initial investment of only ten thousand)! That's impressive. That's what compound interest is in action.
⚠️This is about theory. In practice, it is impossible to achieve a constant percentage of profit every day. Some days a trader inevitably ends up with a loss, some with a profit, and the size of these losses and profits is always different. So it is unlikely to substitute the value of the percentage of profit per day in the above formula. However, the very essence of compound interest, clearly shown above in figures, gives the trader a fairly powerful tool for earning. A trader can and should use compound interest when creating his own money management system.
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FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT & EXTENSION | Trading Basics 📚
Hey traders,
In this video, I will teach you the basics of fib. extension & retracement.
In this lesson we will cover:
Settings for fib.retracement
Settings for fib. extension
Impulse leg & correct drawing
Application in a trending market
Let me know in a comment section if you want to see more lessons like that.
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Why Do You Need a Trading Journal? 📝
Hey traders,
📖 Trading Journal is a crucial element in your trading education.
Even though the majority tends to neglect it, in fact, it is considered to be the essential part of a daily routine of a professional trader.
In this post, we will discuss why you should keep a trading journal & how it enhances your trading performance.
Let's start with the obvious:
✍️ Trading journal is applied for recording your trading positions:
winning and losing ones.
With that, you can monitor your current performance, identify the mistakes that were made and examine your decisions.
❌ Analyzing the errors you learn your weaknesses & the situations when it is preferable not to trade. You adjust your trading strategy accordingly in order to avoid similar mistakes in future.
💪 Examining the winning trades you learn about your strengths.
You identify the trading instruments, the trading setups where your strategy reaches the highest accuracy.
⚖️ Working with the numbers you can measure your investing exposure and calculate your account drawdowns. You can analyze your losing streaks & your long-term/mid-term/short-term account statistics.
📈 Analyzing the figures you can measure your progress over time by comparing your current results with the old ones.
😡 Keeping the record of your emotions, you can measure & quantify the psychological element of your trading. You may calculate the percentage of emotional decisions being made and their effect.
🌟 Consistent journaling makes you disciplined. It teaches you to strictly follow the rules of your trading plan & constantly learn from your mistakes in order to hasten the path towards a more disciplined and profitable trading career.
A trading journal should be simple and tailored to your specific trading style and the goals you would like to achieve.
I hope that my words will inspire you to keep a trading journal!
Do you have the one already?
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FIBONACCI TOOL common reversal levels📊
❗️Fibonacci levels are one of the most popular tools for analysis. These are price levels that are located in certain parts of the movement corresponding to the mathematical Fibonacci numbers.
🟢What are Fibonacci numbers?
In the XIII century, the famous scientist Leonardo of Pisa lived in the Republic of Pisa – the first major medieval mathematician in Europe. On the cover of one of his most famous works was attributed filius Bonacci (son of Bonacci). Hence the nickname Fibonacci.
The Fibonacci numbers are a sequence of numbers derived from Leonardo's experiment on rabbits. The Pisan mathematician decided to find out how many pairs of rabbits will be in a fenced pen a year after the start of breeding (provided that there will be only one pair in the pen in the first month). In the third month, the cuts began to multiply recurrently – each subsequent number was equal to the sum of the previous two (1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, etc.).
If any number from the sequence is divided by the previous one, you get a number tending to 1.61803398875… This number is the "golden ratio". In algebra, such a number is called the Greek letter phi. When dividing any number from the sequence by the following, the inverse of phi 0.618 is obtained. When dividing any number from the sequence by the number following one, 0.382 is obtained. In this form, Fibonacci numbers are much more familiar to traders.
🔴Correction levels
Correction (retracement) - movement against an existing trend. The correction "absorbs" part of the trend movement. Of the Fibonacci numbers, 38.2 are mainly used for correction levels (from the previous trend movement), 50%, 61,8%, 78,6%.
Correction levels are based on candle wicks, in other words, on their maximum or minimum points. To build a correction level, you need to find a trend. Fibo levels can be asymmetrical, so it is especially important to pay attention to where the beginning and end of the wave on which the level is being built are located.
On a downtrend, 0% at the bottom, 100% at the top. When ascending, the opposite is true. The most significant correction level is 61.8. When a breakdown of this level occurs, a new trend in the opposite direction usually begins. After that, it is necessary to build a new corrective level.
Correction pattern – movement between minor correction levels. After such a move, the price usually moves to the key level of 61.8. 4 patterns are depending on which levels of correction the price concerns.
⚠️Even if the skills of analyzing the state of the market by Fibonacci levels will not be a big advantage in trading, then in any case it is a great (and to some extent integral) experience of technical analysis. Fibo levels can be combined with a footprint, deltas, and other tools. The trader will understand only in practice if it is possible to benefit from this or not.
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CUP & HANDLE. How the pattern works☕️
✅This pattern is not as popular among traders as "Head and Shoulders", "Double Top" and other classic patterns of technical analysis. However, this does not mean that it is not so effective. In fact, the "Cup & Handle" pattern is in no way inferior to the above patterns in its reliability and, if used correctly, can bring considerable benefits to the trader.
✅Below we will look at how the "Cup & handle" is formed, what are the signs of authenticity of the formed pattern, and the trading strategy for it.
⚠️How the "Cup & Handle" formation is formed
The formation of this pattern occurs on an uptrend and is a sure sign of its continuation (subject to the conditions of authenticity of the pattern). In essence, it is a cup - an uptrend correction. The price reaches a strong resistance level, cannot overcome it, and smoothly rolls back, forming the left wall of the cup. Then it smoothly unfolds along the bottom and rises to test the level again. Having reached the level, it rolls back down again. This rollback should be much smaller than the previous one, and it forms a handle. The handle of the cup is very often formed in the form of a "Flag" pattern.
The "Cup & handle" pattern is considered fully formed when the price, having formed a "handle", returns up and breaks through the resistance level from which the pattern formation began
⚠️Confirmation of the truth of the "Cup & handle" pattern
There are several conditions, without which the formed pattern cannot be considered true. These are the conditions:
1️⃣To begin with, as mentioned above, for the formation of this pattern, it is necessary to have an uptrend. Without a trend, there is no point in looking for this formation on the price chart, because even if you find a drawing of an ideal cup with a handle, it will be just a drawing that has no meaning.
2️⃣The depth of the forming cup should not exceed 2/3 of the height of the previous uptrend. The optimal depth of the cup is within 1/3 - 2/3 of this value.
The depth of the forming handle should not exceed a value equal to ½ of the depth of the cup.
3️⃣The most reliable is the "Cup & Handle" pattern formed on daily or weekly timeframes. Of course, it can also be formed on hourly charts, but where the probability of its triggering is somewhat lower.
4️⃣The "Cup & handle" pattern should be confirmed by the indicators of the volume indicator. Volumes should grow at a time when the price is moving in the direction of an uptrend and fall when it decreases. Also, a sharp surge in volume should accompany the moment of breaking through the price level at the end of the formation of the figure.
🟢Trading strategy based on the "Cup & handle"
The entry into the position is carried out after the completion of the formation of the figure. It is recommended to wait for the price to close above the resistance line. To do this, you must constantly monitor the schedule in anticipation of the right moment.
There is also a strategy for opening a position on a pending order, in which case there is no
need to sit and wait for the completion of the figure. A pending order is placed at a level slightly above the resistance level (approximately 10 points) and is triggered if the figure is completed.
The target level for this pattern is the height of the cup, laid up from the resistance level. Therefore, we set the profit-taking level of TAKE PROFIT either at the target level or 10-15 points below it.
As for the STOP LOSS limit order, it should be placed at the level of the bottom of the handle (or slightly lower).
❗️In conclusion, I will say once again how important it is to correctly identify the "Cup and Handle" formation before you start trading on it. Carefully re-read the rules confirming this pattern. Try not to mess with the patterns formed on small timeframes. Take your time, be patient, and remember that the absence of open positions can also be considered an excellent position.
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Three Steps to Become A PROFESSIONAL TRADER 👨💻👩💻
Hey traders,
The road to consistently profitable trading is hard and dangerous. This path can be split into three main milestones. Each of those requires discipline, time & patience.
📚The first step is your trading education.
Starting with a basic understanding of what are the financial markets & how they work and finishing with the sophisticated techniques of risk management, so many things must be learned.
In the beginning you will be most likely paralyzed by the complexity of the whole system. Even the choice of a trading education provider is not that simple taking into consideration the sheer amount number sources that could be found on the internet.
It is highly advisable for you to accompany your trading education with demo account trading so that you could apply what you’ve learned in practice.
💸It is imperative to invest in your education, while simultaneously saving up for your first(but not last) real trading account.
Spending your money on education & then saving in order to build your first trading account, a sufficient amount of money is required.
Be prepared for failures. Be prepared to blow your first and second trading account & fund it again. Be prepared that the majority of premium educational sources won't meet your expectations.
I don't know any trader who succeeded in trading without investing a huge amount of money in that.
👨💻With the money being invested & with the knowledge gained, you must practice on a real account.
You must choose the trading strategy that is appealing to you and start trading with that.
Quite soon you will realize that theoretical knowledge has nothing in common with real market conditions.
You will change trading strategies one after another until you finally find the one that truly makes sense to you.
Then you will spend a couple of years playing with that, learning the rules & constantly polishing your trading plan.
🏁At some moment you will stop losing. At some moment your trading account will start growing steadily and you will become a consistently profitable trader.
As the market conditions change constantly. You must be vigilant & learn to survive in a changing environment. Education, active investing & practice are required from you to keep being afloat.
I hope that this article will help you to build realistic expectations concerning trading.
If you are ready to learn a lot, invest money & practice many years not making a dime, then one day you will definitely make it.
Do you agree with my thoughts?
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Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #5 (short read)Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #5
---------------------------------------------------------------
What is the bid-ask spread? –
Bid-ask spread is the amount by which the ask price exceeds the bid price for a market. The bid-ask spread is the difference between the highest price that a buyer is willing to pay and the lowest price that a seller is willing to accept. An individual looking to sell will receive the bid price while the one looking to buy will pay the ask price.
A wide spread may indicate low supply or demand for a market at that point of time during the trading period, while a narrow spread would indicate sufficient supply and demand for a market meaning strong buying and selling competition is at play.
What is the role of a market maker in the financial markets? –
Market makers are market participants who ensure there is enough liquidity and volume of trading in the markets and offer to sell a market at the ask price and will also bid to purchase a market at the bid price to traders and investors.
How does the bid-ask spread relate to liquidity of a market? –
The size of the bid-ask spread from one market to another differs mainly because of the difference in liquidity of each market. Certain markets are more liquid than others and that commonly is reflected in their lower spreads. Price takers demand liquidity while market makers supply liquidity.
For example, foreign currency futures would have very low spreads during the trading day given the use of currencies as a medium of exchange to do business globally compared to live cattle futures, which relates more to businesses in the United States domestic market.
RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR CORPORATES AND INDIVIDUAL INVESTORS –
Diversification: Futures Spreads with Currency Futures –
A futures spread is usually created when one futures contract is sold simultaneously to the buying of a second related futures contract in order to capitalize on a discrepancy in price. Currency futures spreads combine the use of different currencies usually paired to the U.S. Dollar with the same contract month to express a relationship between the two currencies usually taking into account their strength or weakness relative to each other.
For example, the Singapore Dollar (USDSGD) may be seen to be strengthening (price movement is downward) while the South Korean Won (USDKRW) may be seen as being very weak (price movement is upward). To take advantage of this observation, we would want to buy Singapore Dollar (sell the USDSGD future) and sell the South Korean Won (buy the USDKRW future) and as a result eliminate the U.S. Dollar.
However, it must be noted that not all currencies are quoted in the same way like the Australian Dollar futures is quoted “AUDUSD”. It means then that to take advantage of a strong Australian Dollar and a weak South Korean Won quoted as “USDKRW”, an investor would need to buy both the AUDUSD future and the USDKRW future.
Diversification: Portfolio Risk Using FX Futures –
Individual investors taking a portfolio approach with managed futures and spot foreign exchange could be entering into emerging market currency positions including for example Hong Kong Dollar, Singapore Dollar or South Korean Won.
Depending on the view of each of the currencies in the portfolio, it could be constructed to eliminate exposure to the U.S. Dollar. However, there may be a time during which investors would like to introduce U.S. Dollar exposure and they could do so by using Mini U.S. Dollar Index ® Futures with a contract value of $10,000.
For example, the U.S. Dollar Index ® may be observed to be in a medium term uptrend and an investor may want to consider entering into a long position in the Mini U.S. Dollar Index ® Futures based on their strategy of choice and exit the position when either their profit target is achieved or their loss limits are triggered.
TRADDICTIV · Research Team
--------
Disclaimer:
We do not provide investment advice, nor provide any personalized investment recommendations and/or advice in making a decision to trade. Before you start trading, please make sure you have considered your entire financial situation, including financial commitments and you understand that trading is highly speculative and that you could sustain significant losses.
DEVELOPING YOUR TRADING PLAN | Your Whys and Hows 📝
Hey traders,
To trade the market profitably you need to have a plan.
A set of rules & conditions to rely on each and every time when you are searching for a trading opportunity.
A trading plan of a professional trader is very sophisticated. It consists of various different elements. The precision there is pushed to the limits.
In this article, we will discuss a trading plan of a newbie trader. A trader who just completed a basic educational course and looks for a trading strategy to trade with. The proposed trading plan will be based on very very essential elements that must be included in any trading plan.
💱Know what you trade.
Know exactly what market are you focused on and which trading instruments are on your radar.
For example, being a stock trader, you can not follow all the world stocks, you should narrow down your list and specify that.
⌛Know what time frame you analyze.
There are multiple styles of trading. Trading style can be defined by a trading time frame.
Trading setups taken on a daily time frame are dramatically different from setups spotted on 1-hour time frame.
📈Know exactly the desired market conditions.
There are two main states of a market:
The market can be in a trend and the market can consolidate.
Depending on the state of the market the trader can look for trend-following opportunities; trade the ranging market or look for reversal counter-trading setups.
💸 Know your desired risks.
The max amount of active trading positions,
risk percentage per a single transaction,
max allowable drawdown.
All these numbers must be considered & calculated precisely.
💡Know your entry reasons.
There are thousands of different reasons to open a trading position. However, they can be easily sorted by various categories.
Three universally accepted categories of entry conditions are:
patterns, indicators, fundamental news.
The trader must strictly know in advance the conditions that he is looking for to open a trading position.
🛑Specify your stop placement rules.
Losses are inevitable and must be strictly controlled.
As with the entry reasons, there are a lot of different stop placement techniques.
You must know exactly what do you rely on to place your stop wisely.
3 most common stop placement techniques are:
pip-based, structure-based and indicator-based.
🟢Know your targets.
Opening a trading position and catching a rally the trader must have strict rules for profit-protection/profit-taking.
The two most common ways of profit protection are take profit levels based on fixed levels/pip numbers & trailing stop.
All these elements must be strictly included in your trading plan.
If at least one of them is missing, don't trade.
With time, as you mature, you will have more and more elements & conditions in your trading plan. That will make your trading more precise & consistent.
Do you have a trading plan?
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SUPPORT & RESISTANCE. Explanation For Newbies👨🏫
✅Support and resistance levels are the price areas on the chart where the price has ever changed its direction. This place always attracts traders, because near the levels there are obvious places for setting stop losses and entering into a deal. Also, there are always limited orders of large buyers or sellers near the levels.
❇️We can say that the level is a price area in the market where traders consider the price to be overstated or undervalued, depending on the current market dynamics. Therefore, it is always important to pay attention to the key levels at which support and resistance have reversed roles or there has been a strong rebound in the price.
⚠️What is the support level?
🟢In theory, the support level is an area below the current market price where participants will make purchases and there are high chances to keep this area under pressure from sellers. At the time of the test of the support level, prices are repelled and begin to rise, therefore, the pressure from sellers decreases, since they cannot gain a foothold under the level to continue moving down. We can say that the buyers, in this case, were stronger.
🟢As a rule, such levels can be determined in advance on price charts. These can be both daily and hourly charts. However, experienced traders identify higher time intervals as more important. For example, the support level on the daily chart will be much stronger than the support area on the five-minute timeframe.
🟢On a daily time interval, prices can test support for weeks before bears can push the price lower. On a five-minute chart, sometimes one test is enough to gain a foothold below and move to the next level.
🟢Also, with the breakout of the support level, we can state the completion of the development of the upward movement. If prices are rising, and after the test of the support level, we constantly observe a rebound and a continuation of the rise. In this case, we can talk about the continuation of the upward trend. If at some point we observe a breakout of the support level, then we can think about the end of the upward trend on the chart.
⚠️What is the resistance level?
🔴The resistance level is the opposite of the support area. If the support is below the current market price, then the resistance area is above the current market price. Thus, resistance indicates an area where the pressure from sellers is much higher than the pressure from buyers, prices are repelled and a drop occurs. Therefore, at the moment of testing a strong resistance level, prices quickly push off and begin to move in the opposite direction.
🔴With the development of a downward trend, resistance levels represent a place for conservative selling in the direction of the current trend. Recall that the basic rule is to sell on resistance and buy near the support area. Therefore, if the trend goes down, then a correction occurs, after which prices test resistance. In this case, the buyers' strength runs out and there is a decline in the direction of the current trend.
❗️The ability to correctly draw support and resistance levels is one of the basic skills that every trader should have. Levels are also the basis for trading strategies and the right risk-to-profit ratio.
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PRICE ACTION TRADING | RISING WEDGE PATTERN 🔰
Hey traders,
Rising wedge pattern is one of the most accurate price action patterns.
Being relatively simple to recognize, it is applied in various trading strategies.
⭐️The pattern itself signifies the exhaustion of bulls.
Even though the asset keeps growing in value, the price action legs contract forming a narrowing channel.
Being stuck between two contracting trend lines, one serving as support and one serving as resistance, the price forms a wedge pattern.
🔔The trigger that we are looking for to sell the market is a bearish breakout of the support of the wedge (candle close below).
To not be caught by a false breakout, it is highly recommendable to wait for a bearish violation of the last higher low level as well.
Only then the wedge breakout is confirmed.
⚡️Trading the market aggressively, one opens a short position on spot just after the candle closes.
⚡️The conservative trader will wait for a retest of the broken support of the wedge though for a safer entry.
✔️Safest stop will lie strictly above the highest wick within the wedge.
✔️Initial target will be based on the closest key structure support.
Learn to recognize this pattern and be disciplined to wait for its confirmed breakout. Only then a high trading performance will be achieved.
What price action pattern do you want to learn in the next post?
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What are candlesticks in trading and how to use them?🕯
✅The price dynamics of an asset are displayed on the chart in different formats, including bars, lines, or candles. The latter format is most popular among traders and is often used in technical market analysis. What are candles and how to work with them?
🟢Candlesticks (Japanese candlesticks) are a graphical way of displaying price dynamics, in which vertical rectangles and lines are used. This method was invented on the rice exchanges of Japan in the 17th century, from where it got its name.
A price candle consists of two main elements:
1️⃣the body is a vertical rectangle that shows the opening and closing levels of trades;
2️⃣wicks (shadows, tails) - vertical lines from above and below the body of the candle, reflecting fluctuations in value in the interval between opening and closing.
❗️The main advantage of a candle over bars and a linear chart is that it allows you to get 4 important indicators for technical analysis at once:
High - the highest price for the period;
Low - the lowest price for the period;
Open - the opening price of the period;
Close - the closing price of the period.
🔴When using a linear graph to get the same information, 4 indicators would have to be displayed on the screen at once, which is inconvenient and complicates the perception of information.
At the same time, candles display the process of cost formation in a specific time interval, so the position and appearance of candles on the hourly and daily periods will differ significantly
Types of candles
⚠️Two main types of candlesticks correspond to market trends:
Bullish candle - formed when the closing price of the period was higher than the opening price. On the chart, such a candle is displayed in green (on b / w - white) and indicates the victory of buyers in this time.
A bearish candle - is formed if the period is closed at a price lower than it was opened. On the chart, bearish candlesticks have a red color (on b / w - black) and they show that sellers are dominating at the moment.
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The Most Common Mistakes in TradingHello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :)
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In today’s video, we will be looking at the most 3 common mistakes that traders do.
Now everyone makes mistakes but I have noticed that a lot of people make these mistakes again and again and they always wind up losing trades because of these mistakes.
Here are the most common mistakes in trading :
I hope that I was able to help you understand these mistakes better and if you have any more questions don't hesitate to ask.
This is not Financial Advice its a pure Educational video.
Hit that like if you found this helpful and check out my other video about the Moving Average, Stochastic oscillator, The Dow Jones Theory, How To Trade Breakouts, The RSI , The MACD , The Bollinger Bands , The Different Types Of Trading Strategies, Candlestick Charts Part 1 & 2 and 3 , Classic Chart Patterns you need to know.
links will be bellow
Patterns of possible market correction or reversal 📊
Trend reversal or correction chart patterns signify a reversal of the current trend on the observed chart. In a bullish trend, a reversal formation indicates a highly probable reversal and initiation of a bearish movement.
In a bearish trend, a reversal patterns leaves bullish clues and indicates a highly probable bullish accumulation.
No matter bullish or bullish reversal pattern is spotted,
The trigger that we are looking for is a breakout of the pattern’s support/resistance.
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Trade everything that moves. The mechanics of the position set💡
Trading on the market can be regarded as a full-fledged struggle for the right to survival, where the main enemies are two factors, infinite randomness and time.
By adapting your positions to what is happening, you risk becoming that very accident and you can only fight with time.
The mechanics of the position set includes a theory about the direction of the price.
Directivity theory
The essence lies in the continuous direction of the price when the distance from the selected zone is inevitable. It is important to highlight the level and work as soon as the price reaches these values.
How is the usual set of positions made
Opening a position in a certain direction, as soon as the price goes against the desired forecast, closing with a stop loss, abandoning the transaction, searching for a new entry point, and trying to predict the direction, is an extremely difficult task.
An example of a set of positions taking into account the theory of price orientation and risk control R
The mechanics of position recruitment are based on clear and simple principles of operation, flexible thinking, quick adaptation to market sentiment.
If you start to apply these mechanics in practice, you will notice how at first glance simple things are difficult to do the practice. There will be a feeling that nothing will work, there is no logical explanation for this, eventually, everything will be lost and a big chaotic high-speed car will crush you.
This is the basic principle, as long as the market is such, you have very little chance of the death of capital. While large funds, investors, and someone else is fighting among themselves for huge movements, we do not necessarily have to accept their rules of the game and play on their territory in predicting the general and long-term direction of the market.
You should think with your head and look for benefits primarily for yourself, taking into account all the nuances of what is happening.
But how to be flexible?
Constantly turning over a position is completely unprofitable, in the final execution, losses exceed the target profit. It is not at all clear where and when to put stops, overturns, and takeaways.
This is where the risk control system R will help us
She kicks down the door, breaks into our strategy, and, as the most important puzzle, falls into its rightful place!
From my experience, the optimal risk per trade for a beginner is $10
With a smaller volume, there will simply be no motivation to work.
But it is worth remembering that the deposit should not be extremely small, as it will not withstand a series of unsuccessful transactions
For example, if the deposit is $100, 1R= $10, the power reserve is 10 stops, this is extremely small
But with $ 400, you can already try, since the probability of getting 40 stops in a row is extremely small
Example of risk calculation for a $1000 deposit
The risk is reasonably low
R=$10
Power reserve 1000/10=100
100 stops
I recommend having a power reserve for the 200R series, from practice I can say that for training and the first results will be enough.
All calculations are carried out without taking into account the commission
A few tips for improving efficiency:
- Do not risk your funds in vain, TradingView provides an excellent opportunity for paper trading (demo) completely free of charge, where you can try out any of your ideas and strategies.
- Search for highly volatile tools and work with them.
- Analyze the broker (exchange) for conditions, commissions play a particularly important role, pay attention and look for more favorable conditions.
- Before you start trading, you should have a clear action plan, the most important component of which should be a risk control system.
- Your stop should be tied only to the mathematical component of the transaction.
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CANDLESTICK PATTERNS BASICS | Engulfing Candle 📚
Hey traders,
In this educational post, I want to discuss with you one of the most accurate REVERSAL candlestick patterns - the engulfing candle.
On EURUSD chart, I spotted for you bullish & bearish examples of this pattern.
The logic behind this pattern is quite simple:
⭐️In a bullish trend, after a strong directional movement, the price reaches some important structure level. Growing steadily and forming a sequence of green bullish candles the price suddenly forms a strong bearish candle.
What is particular about that candle is the fact that its total range (distance from the wick high to wick low) & body range (distance from body open to body close) exceed the ranges of a previous bullish candle.
🔻Such a candle we will call a bearish engulfing candle.
Most of the time it signifies a strong spike in selling volumes and willingness of sellers to push.
With a high probability, such a formation leads to a pullback or even a trend reversal.
⭐️In a bearish trend, after a strong short rally, the price reaches some demand cluster. Instead of breaking that and going lower, the price forms a strong bullish candle.
That candle engulfs the range of the previous bearish candle & its body size exceeds the size of the previous candle.
🟢Such a candle we will call a bullish engulfing candle.
Quite often such a formation leads to a pullback or even a trend reversal.
🔔And there is just one single tip that will dramatically increase your performance trading the engulfing candle:
It is recommended to rely on this pattern ONLY IF it is formed on a key level:
❗️Bullish engulfing candle must strictly form on a strong support.
❗️Bearish engulfing candle must strictly form on a strong resistance.
Forming beyond key levels, the pattern occasionally will give false signals.
⏳Preferable time frames to trade engulfing candles are daily/4h.
Learn to spot this pattern & you will see how efficient it is.
What candlestick patterns do you want to learn in the next posts?
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