USDJPYHi Guys,
As you remember i had short-term and long-term scenario in my last USDJPY analyse.You can see them here:
We are still in play like what i expect and close to an important moment now.as you see in main chart we are still in bearish wedge and near to testing that triangle as support.This test can show us what will happen in near future.
After reach triangle price can show several reactions.First one that i really prefer is to not break it and just break the wedge and continue to move along (and above)the triangle(dotted line).But we have a bad bearish sign in MACD that can be dangerous.Second possibility is that price jump again after reach triangle and wedge line and make another swing in wedge.And third one,is a totally short chance.After test of triangle if we break it,we will enter it again and drop to at least 106.This is a logical possibility with that bearish wedge.Look at chart bellow to see all 3 possibility:
I will update it as soon as i find new sign.
Good Luck
JPYUSD
USDJPYHi guys,we have a short term look at USDJPY and a long term prediction.
As you see in my chart i have a bearish wedge in blue that show it's time to short but in other hand i have a long term Symmetrical triangle that is a continuation pattern,we had a break out of it but one of the important part of these triangles is fake break outs.
So my first target is 111 in favor of bearish wedge and after a test of triangle as a support maybe we continue upward to black dashed line but have many resistance in way and i think we will break triangle and enter that again.
I will update this post with any new sign but what i'm sure about it now is a little drop from this area.
If you want to short don't forget stop loss.
Good Luck.
JPYUSD - Back in trading rangeJPYUSD has been trading in a specific range (0.00873 - 0.00925) for quite some while. It tried to break out of it, however bears pushed it back into it. Since being back in the range, it has tested to top of the range again and immediately got pushed down. This is where I entered the trade. I can easily see us pushing towards the bottom of the range again the upcoming months.
If this trade succeeds, a good profit will have been made (~2000 pips).
If you look at the Stoch RSI on the daily chart, it's oversold.
If you look at the RSI on the daily chart, we just bounced of a trend line.
Trade with caution.
USDJPY - Bullish buy signal off of key supportI provided analysis two week ago where I laid out a case to go long on a pullback to the 109 region. There were two ways to trade this, either a more risky zone trade or waiting for a price action setup to go long. Price did reach this zone and then formed a double inside-bar pattern that broke out very strongly to the upside. Looking ahead I will be watching to see if price pulls back to this 109 zone again for a second chance to go long, or if price shoots off in a very bullish manner I will be watching for any pullbacks in price to get long with the overall trend.
USDJPY analysis on the M30 chart for short termUSDJPY M30 chart
As the short-term indicators show decline but the uptrend will continue in the daily terms.
***This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only.***
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Weekly overview USD & EUR pairs. Short everything. No survivors.LEAVE NO ONE ALIVE!
Everything but the USD is going down. JPY less weak than the rest.
They do not care what they sell, people want to sell.
It has started.
*** EURUSD ***
Trend: Bearish.
Recommendation: Short if we go up. If we go to 0.5 fib where the 100WMA and 200WMA are and the daily RSI < 30, go long.
*** AUDUSD ***
Trend: Bearish.
Recommandation: Short only (in particular on 50DMA & 100WMA).
*** GBPUSD ***
Trend: Bearish.
Recommandation: Short. If it goes to 0.618 with Daily RSI < 30 go long.
*** NZDUSD ***
Trend: Bearish.
Recommandation: Short only.
*** USDCAD ***
Trend: Unsure.
Recommandation: Avoid.
*** USDCHF ***
Trend: Bull.
Recommandation: Long only. Long it if it goes to 50DMA & 100WMA.
*** USDJPY ***
Trend: Short term bull going back to bear main trend, or bull trend long term start.
Recommandation: Avoid for now.
*** EURAUD ***
Trend: Short term bear, long term possibly turning bearish too.
Recommandation: Short it if Daily RSI recovers and resistances are close.
*** EURCAD ***
Trend: Short term bear, long term possibly turning bearish too.
Recommandation: Short. Long on big supports if it is oversold.
*** EURCHF ***
Trend: Short term bear, long term possibly turning bearish too.
Recommandation: Short. Long on big weekly MA's if it is oversold.
*** EURGBP ***
Trend: Unsure.
Recommandation: Avoid.
*** EURJPY ***
Trend: Bearish.
Recommandation: Short. Long it on 0.618 fib & 100 Monthly MA.
*** EURNZD ***
Trend: Start of bear.
Recommandation: Short & long... There's supports and resistances all around...
DANGER FOR EVERYTHING AFFECTED BY US DOLLAR STRENGTH!!!Dear friends, as we can see, the dollar broke out of a year-long-term bear trend through a rectangular type consolidation and is now extremely bullish. I expect commodities to suffer. This includes oil, gold and all precious metals, all foreign currencies are at risk. US stocks potentially at risk!
Time to buy USD/JPYwww.tradingview.com
Time to set the position in the pair USD / JPY -0.09% came. I recommend that you start buying US dollar against the yen. While carefully, you need technical confirmation or easy panic, which will send JPY to level 104-105.
The widespread avoidance of risk has provoked large players to liquidate part of their positions in stock assets, and along with this, a wave of sales in the US debt securities market swept. Managers had a "free dollar" on their hands and they, as if on command, rushed into defensive assets. As you know, these very assets on the market are not so many, but liquid ones capable of absorbing a huge financial flow of a unit, and in a compartment with a huge alleged US budget deficit of 1 trillion. $, market participants amicably understood that the weakening of the US currency will continue.
In such a situation, it remains to wait a little and begin to pick up the cheaper USD, since a strong Japanese currency and a very weak American currency is unprofitable for both states, and soon it is necessary to wait for at least verbal interventions from the FRS and the Bank of Japan.
Japan's stock market may be poised to break higherThe chart shows monthly bars on the NIKKEI 225 future. The index is returning to the 21000 key level, a level its failed to surpass since 1992. Price is above its 52 week Moving Average, and momentum is up for the only second time since the 1980's.
Whilst the rest of the Worlds post Global Financial Crisis recovery began in 2009, Japan's was delayed until the massive stimulus by Prime Minister Abe in 2011. This was offset by a JPYUSD fall in almost perfect sync. Interestingly the recent rally in 2017 has been positively correlated to JPYUSD, demonstrating that the rally is driven by higher inflation and growth expectations, building a solid case for further gains.
In summary the case for a Japan bull market is:
1. Improving earnings outlook with a strengthening domestic economy
2. Currently attractive equity valuations compared to developed market peers
3. Inflation picking up
4. Continued monetary stimulus
USDJPY approaching 2012 trend lineUSDJPY (Daily) is nearing five year long up trendline, will price break the trend line ? or will be this another retest
to break 2015 highs ? Since last year this pair is moving side ways with successful retest of support zone three times.
Now price is in the support zone and RSI is over sold @25. Last time RSI oversold like this in the support zone was
back in April,2017 after that price zoomed to the resistance. This time support zone is the confluence of 2012 trendline,
50% and 61.80% fib retracement from August 2016 and 38.2% fib retracement of 2012 low.Break of this trend line
will bring this pair to 100.
#JPY targets <100 in the next 2 years
Japanese yen is expected to appreciate in the next years, according to my TA (please see the chart.)
100 level, as expected, is a very strong support line but JPYUSD will try to breach this zone once again, like it did in 2016.
For the near future, the currency seems to appreciate against the US dollar.
Currently, JPYUSD is in an ABC correction. This year will be a strong correction year.
JPY/USD (JPY Futures) - Buy 0.88585 (Target 0.89265)Signal:
Buy - 0.88585
Take Profit - 0.89265
Stop Loss - 0.87400
JPY/USD (J6 JPY Futures) Buy Limit 0.87400, 0.87000 -Target 0.89JPY/USD (J6 JPY Futures) - J6Z2017
December 2017 Contract
Signal:
Buy Limit 1 - 0.87400
Buy Limit 2 - 0.87000
Take Profit - 0.89000
Stop Loss - 0.85900