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USDJPY's Breakout and Economic IndicatorsGreetings Traders, In today's trading session, our focus shifts to USDJPY, where we are actively monitoring a potential selling opportunity around the 144.600 zone. After trading in an uptrend, USDJPY has experienced a significant breakout to the downside. The currency pair is currently navigating a correction phase, steadily approaching the critical retrace area at the 144.600 support and resistance zone. A deeper analysis involves considering recent economic indicators. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) data play pivotal roles in understanding the broader economic landscape. The most recent FOMC meeting revealed a dovish stance, with an emphasis on supporting economic recovery. Additionally, the CPI figures highlight inflation easing, contributing to the cautious approach of the central bank. Moreover, the latest Institute for Supply Management (ISM) figures underscore the challenges faced by the U.S. manufacturing sector, with the index slipping to 50.6, below both the forecasted 52.5 and the previous 52.7. This unexpected downturn in manufacturing adds a layer of complexity to USDJPY's correction phase, potentially furthering the weakening of the U.S. dollar. As USDJPY hovers around the 144.600 level, traders should exercise vigilance and consider the broader economic context when making trading decisions. The confluence of technical and fundamental factors enhances the significance of this monitoring session, urging traders to remain adaptable to evolving market conditions. Trade safe, Joe.
Short
by JoeChampion
2
UJ at a flip zoneHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. Looking at a potential double bottom to break to the upside, if that doesnt happen UJ likely gonna move lower ,waiting for h1 confirmation... Do check out my stream video for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
EURJPY, USDJPY, GBPJPY: Thoughts and AnalysisWelcome to 2024 Traders and Tradingview community. So far this week, we have seen plenty of volatility to start the new year. Crypto has seen solid moves, and the USD has been mainly positive into the first week of the year. The JPY has also been seeing movement, but mainly to the downside into 2024. It's the majors that have caught our attention today as we have watched higher moves contnue. We have run over the USD, GBP, and EUR to the JPY and reviewed what we like and what we are looking for to see further higher moves and possibly new trends or continuations develop. What do you think? Could we see new continuations if we see pullbacks and new higher highs?
by Eightcap
1
NZDJPY to form another swing high?NZDJPY - 24h expiry The trend of lower highs is located at 90.50. We expect a reversal in this move. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels. A move through 89.75 will confirm the bearish momentum. The measured move target is 89.50. We look to Sell at 90.30 (stop at 90.70) Our profit targets will be 89.30 and 89.05 Resistance: 90.30 / 90.50 / 90.65 Support: 89.75 / 89.60 / 89.50 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
USDJPY to see a limited rally?USDJPY - 24h expiry The medium term bias remains bearish. Trading within the Channel formation. The sequence for trading is lower lows and highs. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. We look to Sell at 143.25 (stop at 143.85) Our profit targets will be 141.75 and 141.35 Resistance: 143.25 / 143.75 / 144.50 Support: 142.25 / 141.50 / 140.60 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
Charting USDJPY: A Comprehensive Fundamental ExaminationGreetings Traders, In the current trading session, our focus is squarely on USDJPY, where we are actively evaluating a potential selling opportunity around the 143.300 zone. As USDJPY navigates a downtrend, the ongoing correction phase places it in proximity to the trend at the pivotal 143.300 support and resistance area. This analysis takes a deep dive into the fundamental landscape, delving into key indicators such as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decisions and Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Commencing with the FOMC, the most recent meeting held on December 13, 2023, maintained the interest rate at 2.00%. While the rate itself remains stable, the accompanying rhetoric from the Federal Reserve has exhibited a consistently dovish tone. The central bank's commitment to supporting economic growth amidst inflationary pressures suggests a cautious approach to monetary policy. This dovish stance has potential ramifications for USDJPY, as a weaker dollar could contribute to further downsides. Shifting our attention to the CPI data, the latest figures indicate a year-over-year inflation rate of 1.2% for October 25, 2023. This marks a slight increase from the previous 0.8%, though still below the FOMC's target. The easing inflation is a critical factor influencing the dovish stance, allowing the Federal Reserve flexibility in its approach to interest rates. Analyzing the interest rate differentials between the United States and Japan further amplifies the potential for USD weakness. As of December 14, 2023, the Federal Reserve's interest rate stands at 2.00%, whereas the Bank of Japan has maintained a consistent interest rate of -0.10%. This stark contrast highlights the divergence in monetary policy approaches, potentially placing downward pressure on the USDJPY pair. Considering the technical downtrend in USDJPY and the dovish fundamentals, traders must exercise caution and consider the broader economic context. The interplay of interest rates, inflation, and central bank policies creates a nuanced environment that demands a comprehensive understanding for informed decision-making. In conclusion, as we monitor USDJPY for a selling opportunity around the 143.300 zone, the confluence of FOMC decisions, CPI data, and interest rate differentials underscores the potential for USD weakness. Traders are urged to approach this opportunity with a keen awareness of the intricate interplay between technical and fundamental factors shaping the currency pair. Best of luck in your trades, Joe
Short
by JoeChampion
1
USDJPY Outlook (1st Qtr 2024)Is it going to be the same story again for the USDJPY? In 2022, the USDJPY climbed to reach just below 152 before turning down to the 128 support level. The similar price movement played out in 2023 as the USDJPY rose from the 128 support level to retest the 152 resistance level. The USDJPY has reversed down to the 140 price area (50% Fibonacci retracement level), primarily due to the weakness of the DXY as markets began to price in rate cut scenarios from the US Federal Reserve. This move lower was also due to rumors that the BoJ could end its ultra-loose monetary policy at the December 2023 meeting. However, the BoJ has so far maintained its current policy stance as it continues the fight to bring inflation down to its 2% target level. The longer the BoJ persists with its negative rates regime in 2024, this could continue to bring weakness to the Yen. Combined with some retracement on the DXY, the USDJPY could retest the 143-144 price area (38.2% Fibonacci retracement) in the short term. Look for the BoJ to signal a plan for policy normalization in 2024, to lead to further downside. However, it'll be crucial for the USDJPY to break below the 138-round number support and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level before we can see a significant downside to the 128-support level again.
Short
by JinDao_Tai
USD/JPY: Yen Strengthens Amid Policy ExpectationsThe Japanese Yen gains support from anticipated BoJ policy shifts, fostering a safer environment and limiting USD/JPY within lower USD demand. Investor focus on US economic data before FOMC minutes remains crucial. Technically, breaching the 200-day SMA signals a USD/JPY downtrend. Daily chart indicators suggest potential further losses. Any upward movement could prompt selling near 142.00, leading to short-term profit-taking around 142.40 and targeting the 200-day SMA at 143.00. Support lies at 141.00, guarding against declines toward recent lows near 140.25 and the psychological level of 140.00. A firm break below 141.00 may accelerate a decline towards 139.35, aiming for levels near 139.00, 138.75, and 138.00 (the July 28th low).
by Larissa-Trader
USD/JPY: Earthquake Fallout and Technical Signals Shape Trading USD/JPY: Earthquake Fallout and Technical Signals Shape Trading Dynamics The Japanese Yen (JPY) faces early selling pressure on the first trading day of 2024, weighed down by the aftermath of a devastating earthquake in central Japan. This unfortunate event, coupled with a recovering US Dollar (USD) and rising US Treasury bond yields, contributes to the USD/JPY pair distancing itself from recent lows. Earthquake Impact and Thin Trading Volumes: The seismic tremors in central Japan cast a shadow on the domestic currency, influencing market sentiment in a day marked by relatively thin trading volumes. The immediate impact on the Japanese Yen underscores the complexities of external factors impacting currency movements, adding a layer of unpredictability to the trading landscape. Technical Analysis and Bearish Signals: Examining the technical landscape, the USD/JPY pair remains ensconced within a bearish channel. Notably, the price appears to be consolidating in a range suggestive of a Bearish flag. Analysts are eyeing this pattern as a precursor to a potential fresh bearish impulse, particularly around the resistance area highlighted in the chart. The prevailing idea is one of bearish continuation in the short term. BoJ Policy Expectations: Amid the current dynamics, it's important to consider the expectations surrounding the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) policy stance. While external factors weigh on the Yen, expectations of an imminent policy shift by the BoJ act as a mitigating factor, potentially limiting deeper losses for the Japanese currency. Our preference Short positions below 143.000 with targets at 139.90 & 138.50 in extension.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
USDJPY Looking BearishOn the Monthly chart, this pair is currently retracing bearish inside a Bullish PB. On the Weekly, we can see that this pair is in a large bearish grind. We sent out a bearish analysis a few weeks back. If you didn't see it, be sure to take a look at it. Let's go further down in our analysis of this pair. On the Daily Chart, this pair has continued its bearish push, and it is currently holding 3 PBs to the downside. The story is not different on the 4-hour chart. The market is making 5 PB down on the 4 hour chart, and 4 PB down on the 1 hour chart. It is not very often to find a pair that aligns on bias across all of its timeframes. Here is a rare exception. To take our trade, we will be waiting for price to retrace bullish into our refined zone. When that happens, we will look to jump on the trade using the Panz Pips trader checklist.
Short
by PanzyPips
CHFJPY Short Idea Intra-day trading 4H entry TFHappy New Year Guys! Its your girl Forex Potatoe we smash the charts and here we are in 2024 ready to smash it again!. CHF JPY has been in a prolonged uptrend and showing weakness as buyers are beginning to loose steam and momentum slowing down from buyers side. Price broke weekly and daily lows and currently bias changed to Sell on 3 TimeFrames. What i hope to see before entering this trade is the trendline broken (which has broken a bit), i also need to see the support broken and the last low taken out before i'd be interested in taking a sell. I Predict CHFJPY sells to the TP point on the last Low. Kindly follow me as i would be breaking down my analysis from time to time and posting videos as well mostly for beginners and intermediate traders that need to understand market structure, and how to execute trades. My goal is to simplify the charts and smash it so you can be a better traders Tell me what you think about this idea.
Short
by ForexPotatoe
Cad/Jpy bounce backTrade Idea for CADJPY Bias: Very Bullish Overall Score: 9 Commitment of Traders (COT) Bias: 3 Institutional traders are showing a robust bullish sentiment towards CADJPY, indicating a forecast of continued upside. Retail Sentiment: 1 Retail traders appear to be bearish on CADJPY. Given the tendency for retail traders to often be on the losing side, their bearish sentiment serves as a contrarian bullish signal for us, supporting our bullish view. Seasonality: 1 Current seasonal trends favor a bullish momentum for CADJPY. Trend Reading: 2 CADJPY is on an upward trajectory, further underscoring the bullish momentum. GDP Growth: -1 A slight negative in GDP growth, but the dominant bullish indicators more than compensate for this. Inflation: 2 Inflation metrics are aligning favorably, adding to the bullish outlook. Unemployment: 0 Unemployment figures are neutral and do not sway our primary bullish perspective. Interest Rates: 1 Interest rate dynamics are pointing to CADJPY strength. Additional Factor: Increasing Oil Prices Canada's role as a major oil exporter means rising oil prices often buoy the CAD. This backdrop solidifies our bullish stance on CADJPY. Conclusion: With a mix of strong bullish indicators, particularly the COT bias, retail sentiment (considered contrarily), trend direction, and rising oil prices, CADJPY appears poised for bullish movement. LIKE and FOLLOW to stay updated for more ideas like this
Long
by Elite_Forex