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Chair Powell's Statements Impact on USDJPY: A Deep Dive AnalysisIn today's trading session, the focus is on the USDJPY pair, with traders eyeing a potential buying opportunity around the 148.100 zone. The currency pair is currently in an uptrend but undergoing a correction phase, with the price nearing the key support and resistance area at 148.100. This analysis is supported by recent statements from Chair Powell, who notably signaled a departure from market expectations by stating that a rate cut in March is not the Federal Reserve's base case. The strong payrolls report further reinforced this message, highlighting the robustness of the US economy. It's essential to consider Chair Powell's perspective, as he has access to more comprehensive information than the markets. Despite this, he chose to push back on rate cuts rather than keeping his options open, indicating confidence in the economy's trajectory. In such scenarios where US growth leads the way, it typically creates a positive environment for the Dollar, adding to the rationale behind monitoring the USDJPY pair for potential buying opportunities.
Long
by JoeChampion
2
SELL NZDJPY Bearish ChannelThe NZD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a well-defined bearish channel pattern. This pattern suggests ongoing downward pressure and a higher likelihood of further declines in the coming minutes or hours. Key Points: Bearish Channel: The price has been trading within a downward-sloping channel defined by two converging lines: a falling resistance line and a falling support line. This ongoing downtrend signals continued selling pressure. Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 89.95, which sits close to the channel resistance. This could offer an entry point near a potential reversal point. Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the support levels of 89.30 and 88.92, marking previous support zones within the channel. Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the channel resistance line at 90.30. This helps limit potential losses if the downtrend breaks unexpectedly. Fundamental Updates : JPY - Service PMI - Now comes with Positive data. Weaker New Zealand Business PMI: Recent data showed a decline in New Zealand's Business PMI for January, raising concerns about the country's economic health and potentially weakening the New Zealand Dollar (NZD).
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
10
Double top on GBP/JPY at key resistanceThe Japanese yen may have weakened following the BOJ’s latest ‘non decision’ regarding monetary policy, but markets clearly weren’t surprised enough for it to extend its bearish moves today. Not a single xxx/JPY pair managed to break above its cycle highs, and momentum is now turning lower on these pairs to show a strengthening of the yen. But what has caught our eye is the double top on the GBP/JPY daily chart, as it has stalled around the December 2015 high. Also note that the GB-JP 2-year spread is also quite low relative to spot GBP/JPY, and it makes us wonder if GBP/JPY has risen too far, too soon. The 1-hour chart shows that momentum has turned lower in the first half of Wednesday’s Asian session. Prices are trading beneath the 50-dar EMA and daily pivot, so we would consider shorts below 118.20 for an anticipated move to the weekly pivot around 187.25 – although the cycle lows or daily S1 between 187.32 – 187.40 could also be considered. A break beneath the weekly pivot point assumes a deeper retracement is playing out on the daily chart.
Short
by CityIndex
USD/JPY bulls eye a move to 150Trading conditions have been choppy over the past week and a half for currency traders whilst the US dollar index has remained trapped between its 50 and 20-day EMAs. But USD/JPY shows the most promise for a breakout, which we suspect could be to the upside. A false break below 147 last week suggests the corrective low could be in, and a 3-day bullish reversal (Morning Star pattern) hints of an upside breakout from its consolidation. The 10-day EMA is also providing support on the daily chart. From here, we're looking for dips within the bullish pattern and ideally for prices to hold above the 10-day EMA to initiate a long. Whilst prices remain above last week's low, the bias is for a move to the 149.58 - 150 zone.
Long
by CityIndex
USDJPY: Thoughts and AnalysisToday's focus: USDJPY Pattern – Consolidation Watch Support – 146.20 Resistance – 148.50, 151.70 Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at the USDJPY. After US employment data shocked on Friday and lifted the USD, we are wondering if we will see trend continuations on the USDJPY. So far, the price continues to travel on its uptrend after breaking the last downtrend in December. The key for buyers now is a break of 148.50 resistance. If we see that break, we will be waiting to see if buyers can retest 151.70 resistance. A close below 146.20 would be a worry for buyer momentum. Good trading.
Long
by Eightcap
EURJPY Bearish for this weekThis week, prevailing market dynamics suggest a bearish sentiment for the EUR/JPY exchange rate, propelled by a convergence of influential factors. Foremost among these is the European Central Bank's cautious monetary policy stance in response to lingering concerns surrounding inflationary pressures and economic recuperation within the Eurozone. Compounded by lackluster growth indicators and persistently subdued inflation figures, investor confidence in the euro is challenged, thus exerting downward pressure on the EUR/JPY pair. Heightened political uncertainties within the Eurozone and escalating global geopolitical tensions serve to amplify risk aversion among investors, fostering an inclination towards safe-haven assets like the Japanese yen. Concurrently, market participants remain attuned to nuanced shifts in central bank policies and interventions, which may further exacerbate selling pressures on the EUR/JPY exchange rate as market sentiment adjusts accordingly. In this intricate interplay of economic, political, and market variables, the prevailing forecast for the EUR/JPY pair appears decidedly bearish for the forthcoming trading week.
Short
by Area618
4
AUDJPY Bearish Stocks and potential downsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring AUDJPY for a selling opportunity around 96.900 zone, AUDJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 96.900 support and resistance area. Fundamentally we would like to consider the current pressure on stocks. The Australian dollar is considered a commodity currency, meaning its value is influenced by commodity prices, particularly those of key Australian exports like iron ore and coal. When global stock markets are performing well, it tends to reflect positive investor sentiment and increased demand for commodities, which can lead to a stronger Australian dollar. As a result, AUD/JPY may show a tendency to move in tandem with global stock indices during periods of market optimism.
Short
by JoeChampion
5
Buy GBPJPY Channel BreakoutGBP/JPY M30 Channel Breakout Hints at Potential Upside: Buy Opportunity Emerges The GBP/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential buying opportunity due to a recent upward breakout from a channel pattern. This pattern suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside, potentially offering entry points for short-term long positions. Key Points: Upward Channel Breakout: The price has been trading within a channel defined by two rising lines, one for support and one for resistance. This indicates ongoing buying pressure and potential for further advance. However, a recent break above the upper resistance line signifies a potential shift in momentum towards the upside. Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position around the current price of 186.60, which is close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near a potential continuation of the upward move. Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the resistance levels of 187.48 and 188.17, marking previous resistance zones within the channel. Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the support line of the broken channel, around 185.85. This helps limit potential losses if the price reverses and breaks back down. Fundamental Updates : BoE Meeting Minutes: Bank of England (BoE) meeting minutes reveal a hawkish tilt towards raising interest rates sooner than expected, it could strengthen the Pound against the Yen. Weaker Japanese Yen: The Yen has been weakening recently due to the Bank of Japan's continued loose monetary policy, potentially supporting a rise in GBP/JPY.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
26
USDJPY: Reacting to Strong NFP Following Fed's WarningIn today's trading session, our attention is on USDJPY, where we are eyeing a buying opportunity around the 147.400 zone. USDJPY has recently broken out of a downtrend and is currently in a correction phase, approaching the retrace area at the 147.400 support and resistance zone. Adding a fundamental layer to our analysis, we anticipate further strengthening of the USD. The Federal Reserve's indication that rate cuts in March are unlikely has bolstered the dollar's position in the market, contributing to the bullish outlook for USDJPY. Furthermore, today's release of the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data for January has added to the bullish sentiment surrounding the USD. The NFP report revealed a significant increase of 353,000 jobs, surpassing the expected figure of 180,000. This strong labor market performance suggests robust economic activity, potentially leading to increased investor confidence in the USD. Consequently, USDJPY may experience upward momentum as traders react to the positive economic data. t's essential to remain vigilant of both fundamental and technical factors influencing USDJPY's movement. The combination of a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve and better-than-expected economic indicators like the NFP data could fuel further appreciation of the USD against the JPY. Trade safe, Joe.
Long
by JoeChampion
AUDJPY to find sellers at market?AUDJPY - Intraday Broken out of the channel formation to the downside. We look to sell rallies. We expect a reversal in this move. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels. A move through 96.25 will confirm the bearish momentum. We look to Sell at 96.80 (stop at 97.30) Our profit targets will be 95.60 and 95.40 Resistance: 96.80 / 97.00 / 97.25 Support: 96.25 / 96.00 / 95.75 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
Predicted Path for GBP/JPY Traders, Let's delve into the forecasted path for GBP/JPY: Trend Analysis: Upon examining the daily chart, we notice a resilient bullish channel that, despite being broken previously, has resurfaced with vigor. Furthermore, the strength of bullish candles outweighs downward movements. Potential Obstacles: Anticipate some hurdles or resistances along the upward trajectory. These include: The daily resistance at approximately 188.600, The declining trendline, and The bottom of the channel. These levels can serve as strategic points for trade entries or exits. Potential Starting Point: Consider initiating the upward movement between the levels of 186.00 and 185.00. Keep a keen eye on these dynamics as you navigate GBP/JPY. Best of luck in your trading endeavors!
Long
by AliSignals
How to Earn Money Online by Shorting JPY Pairs 🚀Sure, I can help you with that. Here is a possible rewrite of your post with more engaging language and emojis, and the key word "earn money online": Title: How to Earn Money Online by Shorting JPY Pairs 🚀 👋Hey traders, are you looking for a hot tip to boost your profits? Well, you're in luck, because our AI screener has spotted a golden opportunity for you: JPYX is ready to soar like a rocket in the next few days! 🚀 📈JPYX D1 chart shows that it had a Displacement and ChoCh in the first week of December last year, which means it was overbought and due for a correction. And guess what? Last week, it bounced off the support level at 753 and formed another ICT Long setup around 750, where there was a FVG in November last year. This is a clear sign of weakness and exhaustion. 😵 📉We predict that JPYX will soon hit the resistance level at 767.2 and then fall back below 760.8, which is the Buy Zone of JPYX. This is the perfect time to short JPY pairs and earn money online with Swing trading. 💸 🔥But wait, there's more! Our AI screener also reveals that EURJPY, AUDJPY and GBPJPY are the weakest JPY pairs right now, with strong downward momentum. These are the best candidates for Short trading in both Swing and Daytrade strategies. Don't miss this chance to make some serious cash! 💰 ⚠️Disclaimer: Trading forex is risky and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. We are not responsible for any losses you may incur from following our signals. Always do your own research and analysis before placing any trades.
PEPPERSTONE:JPYXShort
by ICT_Trader_SB
Sell GBPJPY Triangle BreakoutThe GBP/JPY pair presents a potential selling opportunity on the H1 timeframe, fueled by a recent bearish breakout from a triangular consolidation pattern. Key Points: Bullish Triangle Breakout: Though seemingly counterintuitive, the price has broken downward from a bullish triangle formation, characterized by converging resistance and support lines. This often indicates a reversal of the prior upward trend and a shift in momentum towards the downside. Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price near 187.40, offering an entry point close to the breakout level. Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the support levels of 186.05 and 185.16, marking previous support zones within the triangle. Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the resistance line of the broken triangle at 188.70 Fundamental Updates : Bank of England (BoE) Meeting and Interest Rate Decision (Feb 2): While the BoE is expected to raise rates again, the focus will be on the size (25bps or 50bps) and future policy guidance. Dovish pronouncements could weaken the GBP and benefit selling GBP/JPY. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
8
GBPJPY Medium-term sellThe GBPJPY pair delivered the best sell signal possible on our last bearish call (November 30 2023, see chart below) as it got rejected exactly on the Higher Highs trend-line back to the Support of the Ascending Triangle: Today's analysis is on the 1D time-frame where you can see that the price then rebounded exactly on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and hit again the Higher Highs trend-line. That makes it again a technical sell opportunity and we can see the price already starting to reverse. So far it continues to be a symmetrical price action with 2021 and early 2022 and along these lines, we can argue that this is a similar Higher Highs rejection with early January 2022. As a result, we are taking that sell opportunity to target the 1D MA200 at 183.000 as the pair did on January 24 2022. When the 1D RSI hits the 30.00 oversold barrier again, we will take a long-term buy position expecting a break above the Higher Highs trend-line this time. We will update on the Target when that time comes. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
JPY: Tokyo driftThe sharp falls in Tokyo inflation for January remind investors of the ending of the BoJ’s YCC and/or NIRP in 2024 are not set in stone. Tokyo inflation is a very good leading indicator for the nationwide inflation data. Tokyo inflation excluding fresh food as well as headline inflation plunged below the BoJ’s 2% target to 1.6% YoY; well below the consensus forecasts. January is the first time Tokyo inflation excluding fresh food is below the 2% target in a bit over 18 months. Tokyo inflation excluding fresh food and energy dropped to 3.1% YoY; also well below the consensus forecast. The Tokyo inflation data will challenge the increased confidence expressed by BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda in his post-meeting press conference that the central bank will meet its inflation goal. This confidence helped the JPY stage a modest rally this week as JGB yields moved higher in anticipation of the formal ending of YCC as well as NIRP in the coming months. The Minutes to the BoJ’s December meeting continue to feed this speculation as Board members shared the view that deepening discussion on the timing and pace to raise rates was required. Another factor that can give ground to the Yen is the BOJ intervention in the Forex market which had already happened a couple of times in 2023. They are closely tracking the USDJPY rate and tend to intervene around the 150.00 level which is about to be tested soon. For now, BOJ prefers FX interventions as they are effective so far and not damaging the already deflating economy as real interest rate increases would do. The Japanese Governor Ueda is also using his words wisely as we can see, only speaking about potential interest rate hikes affects the currency as if they increased them already although getting out of the ultra-loose policy is highly unlikely in 2024. Check out my other ideas below:
PEPPERSTONE:JPYXShort
by Elite_Forex
USDJPY:Breakout and Eyeing a potential retrace.In the upcoming week's trading session, our focus is on USDJPY as we anticipate a selling opportunity around the 149.800 zone. USDJPY has recently shifted from an uptrend and is currently undergoing a correction phase, presenting an opportunity as it approaches the 149.800 support and resistance area. As traders, it's important to monitor USDJPY closely as it navigates this correction phase. The 149.800 zone serves as a significant level where price action may encounter resistance, aligning with the broader market sentiment and technical analysis.
Short
by JoeChampion
Sell NZDJPY Triangle BreakoutA bearish triangle pattern has emerged on the NZD/JPY 30-minute chart, signaling a potential decline in the pair's value. Key Points: 1. Triangle Breakout Pattern: The pair has been consolidating within a triangle formation, characterized by converging support and resistance lines. This often indicates indecision before a decisive move. 2. Sell Entry Opportunity: A break below the lower support line of the triangle, around 90.10, could signal a bearish breakout and offer a potential sell entry. 3. Bearish Targets: If the breakout materializes, initial bearish targets could be found at the support levels of 89.56 and 89.20. 4. Resistance Level: The resistance level at 90.40 may act as a barrier to further upward movement, reinforcing the potential for a downside breakout. 5. Risk Management: A stop-loss order could be placed above the upper resistance line of the triangle to manage risk in case the breakout fails. Fundamental Updates : Weaker New Zealand Trade Data: New Zealand's trade deficit widened in December, potentially weakening the Kiwi Dollar against the Yen. Risk Aversion: Recent geopolitical tensions and concerns about global economic growth could trigger risk aversion, pushing investors towards safe-haven currencies like the Japanese Yen. Thank you
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
1