JPN225 LongReason:
Market structure bullish
Fair value gap (2h timeframe)
break of structure
COT have been buying it long last week which tells us that bullish momentum will most likely continue
Jpy
GBPJPY dips continue to attract buyers.GBPJPY - Intraday
The primary trend remains bullish.
The selloff has posted a correction count on the daily chart.
Buying continued from the 50% pullback level of 188.30.
We look to buy dips.
Bespoke support is located at 188.70.
We look to Buy at 188.70 (stop at 188.20)
Our profit targets will be 189.90 and 190.20
Resistance: 189.70 / 190.20 / 190.70
Support: 188.70 / 188.20 / 187.70
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
GBPJPY Pull-back to the 1W MA50 as per historic pattern.The GBPJPY pair broke recently above the 2023 High has been consolidating these past 3 weeks. This consolidation can technically be the start of a new correction back towards the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) in order to test the market demand and get confirmation.
This is exactly what took place in October 2014, which as you can see, is the fractal that GBPJPY's 4-year Channel Up (since the March 2020 COVID bottom), is almost identical to. In fact we are at the +53.99% increase level since the bottom as the pair was on September 2014, displaying remarkable fractal symmetry.
Based on that, we are medium-term sellers on GBPJPY, targeting 183.000 (1W MA50) where we will reverse to a buy again and target the top of the Channel Up at 200.000.
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USDJPY Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a buying opportunity around 148.500 zone, USDJPY is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 148.500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDJPY Bullish for the rest of the year. Sell in 2025.This time we view the USDJPY pair from a very long-term perspective as there has been much confusion lately over its trend and we want to put things into context. As you can see on the 1M time-frame, the price is getting out of a consolidation phase (blue ellipse) that has been lasting for a little more than a year. The rally since the January 2021 bottom has been enormous but this is not the first time that the pair is pulling out something similar.
Since the April 1995 bottom, there have been another 2 such rallies (Nov 1995 - Aug 1998 and October 2011 - June 2015) of +85% and +66.75% respectively. The first peaked marginally below the 1.382 Fibonacci extension while the second marginally above it.
This indicates that the pair still has considerable room to extend this rally to and the confirmation is that it ust got out of the blue consolidation phase. The previous two give us a Sell Zone within 171.630 - 190.500. As a result, we will stay bullish on USDJPY probably until the end of the year and start selling in 2025 after the price enters the Sell Zone.
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Sell NZDJPY Channel PatternThe NZD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to the presence of a bearish channel pattern.
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 91.65, positioned near the current price within the channel.
Target Levels: The initial bearish target lies at the 91.15 level, which represents the previous support line within the channel. Further downside targets could be determined using other technical analysis methods like Fibonacci retracements or extensions.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken resistance line of the channel, ideally around 91.85. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
GBPJPY to form a higher low?GBPJPY - 24h expiry
The medium term bias remains bullish.
Trading within a Bullish Channel formation.
The sequence for trading is higher highs and lows.
Buying continued from the 61.8% pullback level of 189.20.
Previous support located at 190.10.
We look to Buy at 190.10 (stop at 189.70)
Our profit targets will be 191.10 and 191.35
Resistance: 191.10 / 191.60 / 192.00
Support: 190.10 / 189.60 / 189.10
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
GBPJPY: Key Resistance in Focus This Week - Breakout Potential?GBPJPY faces a critical juncture this week, with a formidable monthly resistance level at 193.659 coming into view. If the pair can surmount this hurdle, it could unlock a significant upside move towards 214.005, with limited resistance in the way.
Technical Analysis:
GBPJPY has been in a strong uptrend since the beginning of the year, gaining over 17%.
The pair is now approaching a key monthly resistance level at 193.659.
A break above this level could signal further bullish momentum, with a potential target of 214.005.
There is limited resistance between 193.659 and 214.005, suggesting that the pair could make a significant move if it breaks above the resistance level.
Fundamental Factors:
The Bank of England (BoE) is expected to raise interest rates at its next meeting in March.
This could support the pound sterling against the Japanese yen.
The Japanese economy is facing headwinds from rising inflation and a weak yen.
This could weigh on the Japanese yen and support GBPJPY.
Conclusion:
GBPJPY is poised for a significant move this week. A break above the key resistance level at 193.659 could signal further bullish momentum, with a potential target of 214.005. Traders should closely monitor GBPJPY's price action around the 193.659 level this week. A breakout above this resistance could indicate further bullish momentum, while a rejection could indicate a potential pullback.
Additional Information:
The pair has already broken the monthly pivot and pulled back to it, which could be a bullish signal.
The RSI indicator is also showing bullish momentum, with a reading of 65.
The MACD indicator is also bullish, with a crossover above the signal line.
Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. I am not a financial advisor. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions.
USDJPY: Your Trading Plan For This Week 🇺🇸🇯🇵
USDJPY is trading in a bullish trend.
After the price set a new higher high, we see quite an extended consolidation
within a horizontal range.
150.9 is the resistance of the range.
If the market breaks and closes above that on a daily,
we can anticipate a trend-following movement.
Next resistance will be 151.6
Alternatively, a bearish breakout of the support of the range
may trigger a bearish continuation.
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CADJPY: Next stop the monthly falling trendline?There's not much in the way of this move from what I can see.
Yen continues to be the weakest currency in the G10 (for now, BoJ look set to intervene at some point this year) and for the short term I expect this to continue to meet the descending long-term trendline that's formed.
I'll be looking for sells around 115 with any LTF confirmation, but until then I'm going to be doing some long scalps not that local resistance has been broken and retested.
AUDJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow’s trading session we are monitoring AUDJPY for a selling opportunity around 98.100 zone, AUDJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 98.100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDJPY BUY USING PO3 ? (market cycles)hello guys i hope you are having a good week ,
today i am looking at USDJPY
this weekly candle on usdjpy closes as a hammer looking like candle indicating buy.
for the daily tf the price started consolidating for a while now (accumulation) , since friday candle closed as inverted hammer am guessing monday we are going to see a red candle possible the candlle that will do the manipulation.
my point of interest is the Orderblock/Demand zone on the 1Dtf i will llook for entries in that area it also serves as a rejection block we can see a candle leaving a big whick in that area.
but i have to be careful since the price is on the 150 zone this zone is notorious because of the manipulations caused by bank of japan in that price range it is also a psycological level that the price has been testing for a while now so my tp will not be crazy .
keep in mind very very action packed week ahead trade safe !
Usdjpy does looks heavy but...Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Looking at UJ it does look heavy, also on other jpy crosses they are turning with Lower low and lower highs. Could likely continue the downtrend with jpy strengthening~
Do check out my stream video for the week to have more explanation in place.
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USDJPY - Short Trade Idea (ICT)This is a short trade idea for the Gopher.
There are equal highs as a target above, but I believe we will possibly head to the downside first towards the sellside liquidity and a signature Weekly R2F Gap, coupled with a refined Daily and 6h gap.
What I will be looking for is a convincing shift in market structure and displacement on a lower timeframe to validate this narrative, of course, at an appropriate day of week and time of day.
Let's see how this plays out!
- R2F
EURJPY to form a lower high?EURJPY - Intraday
Buying pressure from 161.68 resulted in prices rejecting the dip.
The current move higher is expected to continue.
Short term bias has turned negative.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Although the anticipated move lower is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
We look to Sell at 162.95 (stop at 163.35)
Our profit targets will be 161.95 and 161.75
Resistance: 164.30 / 167.35 / 168.95
Support: 161.90 / 160.00 / 158.70
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EURJPY SELL BIASWeekly: Bullish, Retested unmitigated ob 163.150-750, Week closed above recent high, price is 300 pips above last major support and 120 pips from next major resistance.
Daily: Bullish, Rejection from major resistance the day before market close, Price is on a 100 pip bullish run breaking major zone without a valid pullback.
4hr: Consolidation, Double top pattern near major resistance, Strong
bullish trendline, Support that haven't been tested at 162.375.
1hr: Consolidation, In a zone formed after rejection of major resistance, Bearish choch, Recent rejection from bottom of consolidation zone, Unmitigated ob at 163.100 at the top of the zone, Unmitigated ob at 162.100, Rejection from .618 fib retracement.
15m: Consolidation, Currently under 50 ema, Bullish choch formed before market close, Rejection of minor resistance at 162.875, Bearish flag pattern Double top pattern, Unmitigated ob at 163.100, Unmitigated ob at 162.500.
I believe the bull run is about to reverse to the downside for a pullback to the last daily support at 161.925. i would like to see price exit and break and retest the last major 4hr support before entering a trade to and we can start aiming for the liquidity made from a break of the 4hr trendline.
Sell GBPJPY Channel BreakoutThe GBP/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined bearish channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside and a higher likelihood of further declines in the coming minutes or hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 190.62, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the previous support levels within the channel 190 and 189.62
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken support line of the channel, ideally around 191.00. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you
USDJPY is approaching a significant level.Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a buying opportunity around 149.000 zone, USDJPY is trading an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 149.000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Sell CADJPY Bearish Channel The CAD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to the presence of a well-defined bearish channel pattern. This pattern suggests ongoing selling pressure and a higher likelihood of further declines in the coming minutes or hours.
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 111.46, positioned close to the channel resistance. This offers an entry point near a potential reversal zone.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the support levels of 111.07 and 110.82, marking previous support zones within the channel.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken channel resistance line at 111.70. This helps limit potential losses if the trend unexpectedly reverses.
Thank You.
Sell EURJPY Triangle BreakoutThe EUR/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a triangle pattern.
Key Points:
Triangle Breakout: The price has been trading within a triangle pattern, characterized by converging trendlines. This pattern can be interpreted as a continuation of the prior trend or a potential reversal depending on the breakout direction. The recent break below the lower trendline signifies a potential confirmation of a downtrend continuation.
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 163.08, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the following levels 162.33 and 161.98
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken resistance line of the triangle, ideally around 163.40. This helps limit potential losses if the price reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you
CHFJPY NOT YET READY TO SELLCHFJPY have been on an uptrend for a long while, after breaking the resistance zone, price is expected to retest to the support zone and continue it's upward trend, also notice our 50EMA situated at that point ready for retest.
CHFJPY 4HR Analysis My name is Kieran Trewick and I am a full-time trader with 6 years of experience in the industry. With my coaching service, you will have the opportunity to work directly with me to learn the ins and outs of Forex trading and gain the knowledge and skills you need to become a successful trader. One of the unique aspects of my coaching service is that it goes on indefinitely. This means that even after you become confident in your own trading abilities, you will still be able to communicate with me and receive ongoing support and guidance.
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