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USD/JPY Analysis Update 01.10.2024USD/JPY Analysis Update: The market has moved slightly higher than expected, and currently, a bearish divergence appears to be forming on the 1H chart, indicating a potential pullback soon. We expect a support/resistance flip in the highlighted area on the chart, which served as resistance and now should act as support. This zone will be the entry level, with yesterday’s low as the invalidation point. The target remains unchanged from the previous analysis. Additionally, the diagonal trendline supporting the uptrend from yesterday’s low has been broken, which further strengthens the case for a potential pullback from the current levels. If the price holds above this level, we could see continuation; otherwise, a deeper correction might follow. ⚠️ Disclaimer: ⚠️ 🚫 This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly and conduct your own research before making any decisions.🚫
by RhinoAkaBear
USDJPY Short - A Bearish Setup in the Making?As we dive into the USDJPY chart, I'm seeing several key technical signals that suggest a potential move to the downside. Let’s break it down step by step: Weekly Timeframe: A Crucial Swing High First, we zoom out to the weekly chart, where we can observe that USDJPY is currently within a strong swing that recently broke a prior high. This is a crucial moment, as we often see a retest of the upper range of such a swing before the market decides its next move. Will it push higher, or are we preparing for a pullback? I’m leaning towards the latter. Daily Timeframe: Triple Failures at the High Dropping down to the daily, the story unfolds further. We’ve seen two previous attempts to break the current daily swing high, only for the market to flush down on this third attempt. This is my first major bearish signal, as failure to maintain momentum often precedes a reversal. 4-Hour Timeframe: No Support in the Pump On the 4-hour chart, things get even more interesting. I’m not seeing the kind of ladder formation that typically supports sustained pushes to the upside. Instead, the price action looks choppy, lacking the structure that would indicate buyers are in full control. This adds weight to the bearish case. Weak Stop-Loss Hunt: A Lackluster Liquidity Grab One more point to consider is the recent liquidity grab (or stop-loss hunt) on the 4-hour chart. While these wicks usually indicate a shakeout of weak hands, this one feels weak, more like a failed attempt to trap traders in the wrong direction. In my experience, when the liquidity grab doesn’t pack a punch, it often signals the market's lack of commitment to push higher. Timing is Key: The Tuesday Top Pattern Lastly, an interesting observation – USDJPY has a tendency to form local tops on Tuesdays, a pattern I’ve noticed over time. While this isn't a concrete rule, it’s an intriguing confirmation of the broader bearish setup we’re seeing here. Fundamental Analysis: Why the USDJPY Could Dump Fundamentally, USDJPY could be under pressure due to the divergence in monetary policy between the US and Japan. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) remains ultra-dovish, but there are growing signs of internal pressure to shift toward more normalization in policy, particularly with inflation running higher than expected. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve has signaled that it may pause or slow its rate hikes as US economic growth moderates. This narrowing of the policy gap could weaken the dollar against the yen, especially if we start seeing signs of a BoJ shift or weaker-than-expected US data in upcoming releases. Furthermore, concerns over global growth and risk sentiment could lead to a stronger yen as a safe-haven asset. If the stock market falters, capital tends to flow back into the yen, exacerbating the potential for a USDJPY decline. Conclusion: Eyeing the Lower Range All things considered, USDJPY looks poised for a move lower. A retest of the lower range of the current daily swing seems likely before any potential attempt to push back to the upside. Understanding swing highs and lows and their respective ranges is a key tool in this analysis. Let’s see how the price action plays out in the coming sessions.
Short
by Entropie2020
GBPJPYGBPJPY . Potential long opportunity. We believe that GBPJPY will continue to the upside after coming down to our PBA (Pull Back Area). Our entry is sitting at the pullback area at 190.402 . We are looking for breaks of 193.289 and 195.862 which would confirm our target 197.500 where our TP is sitting at. Our SL is sitting at 188.127 and if broken, it would result in deeper pullbacks which would not be out of the ordinary based on a weekly timeframe. PARAMETERS - Entry: 190.402 - SL: 188.127 - TP: 197.500 KEY NOTES - GBPJPY has fallen to our PBA. - Break above 193.289 and 195.862 would confirm higher highs. - Break below our SL would result in deeper pullbacks. Happy trading! FxPocket
Long
by FxPocket
2
Bearish drop?GBP/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 193.36 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 195.91 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 190.36 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Beaarish reversal off 50%% Fibonacci resistance?EUR/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 160.86 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 162.71 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 158.65 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
GBPJPY H8 - Short SignalGBPJPY H8 We have a nice setup here yet again, with our crosshairs on that 193 handle for GBPJPY. Last weeks price movement on Friday was wild, to say the least, over the eastern session we took off 100's of points, before closing the day down towards 190 price. 600 points from top to bottom we saw, from the likes of ***JPY, this was very impressive! With the exception of the fakeout to the upside, albeit it headline driven, we have now seen a subsequent correction, which takes us back towards that 193.000 handle, a confluence zone and an area we could look to sell. Stops would be around 50 points at 193.500 covering recent highs, and take profit targets would be every 100 points.
Short
by Trade_Simple_FX
Could price reverse from here?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 144.49 1st Support: 142.17 1st Resistance: 146.45 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
NZDJPY to continue in the upward move?NZDJPY - 24h expiry Price action looks to be forming a bottom. A Doji style candle has been posted from the base. Short term bias is bullish. Preferred trade is to buy on dips. Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 90.60 level. We look to Buy at 90.60 (stop at 89.88) Our profit targets will be 92.40 and 95.60 Resistance: 92.90 / 95.60 / 99.00 Support: 89.15 / 86.80 / 83.05 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
USDJPY - Short Trade Idea This is a short trade idea on the USDJPY pair. Recently, we traded into a 4M and 11M BISI, had a nice reaction to a Premium Array, now we had a breakdown again. Because of the Japanese Central Bank's decision to increase interest rates, I am expecting price to take a further nose dive. I have 2 targets based on my profit-taking criteria. 1st is the swing low as a Discount Array, and 2nd/final target is a 2D BISI below some relative equal lows. Depending on where price closes today, I would be anticipating price to trade back up into a 2D iFVG that was a previous R2F signature BISI on the 2D timeframe. Safest stoploss before invalidating the trade is at the swing high before the sudden dump at Japan election news. Let's see! - R2F
Short
by Road_2_Funded
Overlap support ahead?GBP/JPY is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 189.02 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level which is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 186.62 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 193.29 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
Potential bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 141.10 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 139.63 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 143.22 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci support?EUR/JPY is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 50% Fibonacci resistance. Pivot: 158.46 1st Support: 157.35 1st Resistance: 160.87 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Usdjpy could be seeing a turn ,mindful of spikes on monday Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. Chart wise it seems to be heading more to the downside resuming its downtrend.the friday's move was due to the election in japan. Now that the result is out, let's see how the market react on monday. Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
Short
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
GBPJPY: Inverse Head and Shoulders calls the bottom.GBPJPY got oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 28.124, MACD = -0.770, ADX = 29.222) as it was rejected today on the 1D MA50. On Sep 16th it touched the bottom of the long term Channel Up and rebounded, while the 1D RSI has been on a bullish divergence. We expect this bottom to be in the form of an Inverse Head and Shoulders. We are aiming for the 1D MA200 and the 0.5 Fibonacci level (TP = 150.500). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
1
The USDJPY correction is coming to an end H4 26.09.2024The USDJPY correction is coming to an end The yen is now forming a correction and the price has hit the marginal resistance zone around 145. From it I expect a bounce down to test the lower boundaries. Also, there was a rotation in the area of the zone in the past and periodically rebounds were made. Therefore, there is a probability that this time they will be able to bounce down at least locally. I don't see the options falling further than 139, but I aim for 140 approximately. OANDA:USDJPY
Short
by KovachTrader
2
Potential bullish bounce?GBP/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 193.28 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Stop loss: 190.41 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 199.15 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 161.80% Fibonacci extension. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
Bearish reeversal?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which is an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support level which acts as an overlap support. Pivot: 145.97 1st Support: 144.28 1st Resistance: 147.63 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
1
Buy NZD/JPY Bullish ChannelThe NZD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bullish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 90.80, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 91.49 2nd Support – 91.92 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 90.35. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
33
USDJPY: Going for the 1D MA200. Bottom priced in.USDJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.086, MACD = -0.760, ADX = 27.579) as it is recovering from the previous oversold state and is already approaching the 1D MA50. September 16th was technically the new HL on the one year Channel Up bottom, with the 1D RSI already on a bullish divergence. These are all formation we saw on its previous bottom on January 16th 2023, whose rebound that followed initially hit the 1D MA200 before going for a full yearly extension. That's our medium term target again (TP = 150.500). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
GBPJPY Best long-term buy signal you can get.The GBPJPY pair closed last week above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and this week opened above the 1D MA50 (red trend-line). The long-term pattern has been a Channel Up since the September 2022 market bottom and since the July-August Bearish Leg, the pair has been pricing its new bottom (Higher Low). The break-out above the 1D MA50, while at the same time the 1W RSI breaks above its MA, has been the ultimate long-term buy confirmation during the last bottom formation in February 2023. Since the Bullish Leg that followed rose by +20.15% and a little below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, we expect a similar rally, thus settling for a 220.000 Target. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot