Opening (IRA): IWM Jan 19th 157 Short Put... for a 1.58 credit.
Comments: Targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market. As I mentioned in my earlier post (See Below), shorter duration is probably paying, but I already have rungs on in the Nov 17th, Dec 15th, and Dec 29th expiries, so going out to 2024 here.
Naturally, I'll sell in shorter duration if I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on.
IWM
$NDX - Rising Trend Channel [MID-TERM]🔹Breakdown support of Rising Trend Channel in the medium long term.
🔹This indicates a slower rising rate at first, or the start of a more horizontal formation.
🔹Approaching resistance at 15800, which may give a NEGATIVE reaction.
🔹Once break upwards through 15800 will be a POSITIVE signal.
🔹Technically NEUTRAL for the medium long term.
Chart Pattern:
◦ DT: Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
◦ DB: Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
◦ HNS: Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
◦ REC: Rectangle | 🔵
◦ iHNS: inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
Opening (IRA): IWM October 20th 173 Short Put... for a 1.78 credit.
Comments: My weekly short put in the small caps exchange-traded fund, targeting the <16 delta strike in the shortest duration paying around 1% of the strike price in credit.
This is to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market without actually being in the stock.
IWM - the small caps get smallerBearish pennant "may be" done here. Above 203 on IWM and the idea is probably INVALID. I've pointed out the SPY/IWM monthly bull flag before (idea is linked below). If correct, it shows IWM losing considerably to the rest of the market. Why? Well I'm still wary of the Banks even though it's been a minute since anyone has really thought they are a problem. Interesting as KRE still looks completely bearish.
I believe IWM will lead the correction with Tech staying stronger for a short while. IWM bear pennant is hinting at a larger correction for the market, however if it's an ABC it would also be a wonderful buying opportunity when it's finished.
Good luck!
Opening (IRA): IWM Nov/Dec 158/151 Short PutsComments: Targeting the <16 delta strike in the shortest duration paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market. Generally, will take profit at 50% max, roll down and out for a credit if tested.
November 17th 158: 1.60 credit
December 15th 151: 1.51 credit
SPY divided by IWM, monthly Long term perspective.
Monthly and weekly charts showing a bull flag on this ratio chart with steep hidden bull divergence on monthly especially.
If we breakout of the flag it means IWM in general will start to lose much more value than SPY.
2.85 is the bull flag target but it could exceed that. Keep in mind this is a monthly chart so we're talking months and years of deterioration between these two etf's.
Good luck!
$IWM Bullish Daily Close AMEX:IWM Small Caps had a Bullish Daily Close. Tested my support level. Small caps will lead the broader market. The IWM is more sensitive to liquidity. I have been long since the blue arrow.
A "double bottom" is a bullish reversal pattern that occurs after a downtrend and is characterized by two consecutive lows at a similar price level, followed by a breakout above the pattern's neckline. This pattern suggests a potential reversal from the downtrend to an uptrend.
A "false breakdown" occurs when a price breaks below a support level but quickly reverses and closes back above it. This can be interpreted as a bullish sign, indicating that the selling pressure wasn't sustained, and buyers stepped in to push the price back up.
The idea that "the best moves come from failed moves" is a common adage in trading and investing. It suggests that when a market or a security initially breaks out or breaks down and then reverses, it can lead to strong price movements in the opposite direction. This is often attributed to the idea that traders who were positioned on the wrong side of the initial move are forced to close their positions, contributing to the momentum in the opposite direction.
It's important to note that while these concepts are commonly discussed in trading circles, they are not foolproof strategies. Technical analysis is just one approach to understanding price movements in financial markets, and it should be used in conjunction with other forms of analysis and risk management strategies. Markets can be unpredictable, and there is no guarantee that any pattern or signal will always lead to a profitable outcome.
NDX - Rising Trend Channel [MID-TERM]🔹Rising trend breaking downwards in medium long term.
🔹Support at 13700 and Resistance at 15800.
🔹Technically positive for the medium long term.
Chart Pattern:
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
SPY - Rising Trend Channel [MID-TERM]🔹Rising trend breaking downwards in medium long term
🔹Support at 430 dollars, indicating a potential positive reaction as it rises to 477 or more.
🔹Technically positive for the medium long term.
Chart Pattern:
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
DJI - Rising Trend Channel [MID-TERM]🔹Rising trend breaking downwards in medium long term.
🔹Support level is around 34425, indicating good buying opportunities.
🔹Support at 34200, potentially indicating a POSITIVE reaction, but a break downwards through 34200 indicating a NEGATIVE signal.
🔹Technically positive for the medium long term.
Chart Pattern:
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
PayPal Long?PYPL has been a slow grinder lower. Each time it gains momentum it somehows manages to lose it.
The only positive thing about this chart is the long divergence that is occurring between price & RSI.
When will this divergence bear fruit? Anyone's guess but you do have it on the daily, Weekly & Monthly time frame.
$COIN Retesting Breakout Area?There is a lot to like about this NASDAQ:COIN chart. First, it has had a long stage one base (about a year). It seems to have established an area of resistance during that basing period. Then on July 11, 2023, it broke-out with big volume, retested the next day the then on July 13th it had the biggest volume day since May 2022. Since that breakout it has consolidated and pulled back to the breakout area on lesser volume. I have no idea if it will take off again, but I like the prospects. See notes on chart for my thought process.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
IWM - Rising Trend Channel [MID-TERM]🔹Breakout resistance 179 in double bottom formation.
🔹Approaches resistance at 198 potential NEGATIVE reaction; upward break POSITIVE.
🔹Technically NEUTRAL for medium long term.
Chart Pattern;
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
$NFLX Pullback & Breakout?NASDAQ:NFLX looks to be breaking out after a short consolidation period. This pullback, even though it had big initial volume, has been orderly and shallow. I went long ½ size position on Friday July 28 on the gap up open and made it a full-sized position today. See notes on chart for my thinking.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Constructive comments always welcome. Thanks for looking. Hope this helps.
$DJI $NDX $SPX $RUT closesHow #indices closed last week.
TVC:DJI
After a BEARISH ENGULFING it then closed Friday with a doji = battle for the bulls and bears which is unresolved
NASDAQ:NDX
Fighting back but it is still showing Negative RSI Divergence.
SP:SPX
Suffering from Negative Divergence. We''ll how #SPX trades over the next few days, weeks. AMEX:RSP (Equal weight) was weaker. This means that the usual big boys pulled more weight.
TVC:RUT needs big move soon, lower highs.
Lots of earnings this week! Have a great trading week!
Potential upsides on RTYWe tried to reject the Weekly trend line but looks like it was a fake out and we might see a breakout.
We are sitting right at the weekly trend line with a bull flag on the daily timeframe
Entry - 1990
Stop - 1960 (I would like to see a daily close below this level)
First target - 2050
Final Target - 2100
Please share your views. Happy trading!
Opening (IRA): IWM December 15th 167 Short Put... for a 1.74 credit.
Comments: Going ahead and rounding out my broad market fourth quarter rungs here with an eye to adding in shorter duration if we ever get higher IV.
Targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market.
IWM Bearish Engulfing +5 CandleThe IWM ETF which tracks the Russel 2000 index put in an outside reversal, or bearish engulfing, candle today which eclipsed the 6 prior daily candles. When the body of a price candle completely engulfs the prior candle it is called a bearish engulfing candle. Since todays candle also engulfed the 5 candles prior to yesterdays it is called a bearish engulfing plus 5 candle(BE+5), for a total of 6 candles that were eclipsed by todays candle. The more candles that are engulfed by an outside reversal candle the more bearish the move and outlook.
Raising your stop-losses and/or taking some short bets against the market isn't a bad move here on an outside reversal day like today was, especially if markets close down going into the weekend. If markets close red on a Friday, they tend to close red the following Monday as well.
Opening (IRA): IWM November 17th 170 Short Put... for a 1.74 credit.
Comments: My weekly IWM short put in the shortest duration contract where the <16 delta is paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the market without actually being in stock.
The fact that I'm having to go out to November to do this is a testament to how crappy premium is at the moment, but will look to add in shorter duration should we get an uptick in volatility and/or weakness.
Opening (IRA): IWM October 20th 166 Short Put... for a 1.73 credit.
Comments: Targeting the <16 delta strike in the shortest duration paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market.
As usual, will look to add in shorter duration and at lower strikes if we ever get an uptick in volatility at some point.