Investing
BJP Election Jeete ya Haare BIKAJI FOODS ki Mithai to Banti hai
Company has delivered good profit growth of 39.5% CAGR over last 5 years
Delivered overall volume growth of 14.3% and value
growth of 33% in Q4 YoY
EBITDA margin expanded by 244 bps in FY 24 over FY
23. This was led by gross margin expansion by 329 bps
due to favourable material prices along with better
product mix and realisation.
In Q4 FY PLI income has been recorded amounting to
INR 930.5 millions (for FY 20-21, FY 21-22 and FY 22-23)
as all commitments have been fulfilled. Going forward
this will be recorded on accrual basis quarter on
quarter.
Total committed investment was done by 31 March 2024 as per committed timelines.
Realised amount of INR 484 millions for FY 2021-22 and FY 2022-23 in two tranches from Government.
Since commitment is completed, from this year onwards started booking PLI income in books of account under “other operating
revenue” as per accrual concept of accounting.
In current year booked income in books pertaining to FY 2021-22, FY 2022-23 and
FY 2023-24. Going forward same will be booked quarter on quarter basis.
Bikaji Foods International Ltd (previously Shivdeep Industries Limited) was founded in 1986 as a partnership concern and was converted to a limited company in October 1995. The erstwhile firm used to sell its product under the name of Haldiram, and from 1993 onwards, the company established the BIKAJI brand for its products. The company is engaged in the manufacturing and processing of bhujia, papad, namkeens, cookies, snacks and sweets, among other products. It also exports to more than 35 countries and contributes approximately 5% of sales. The company has ISO: 9001:2015 and ISO 22000:2005 certified manufacturing facilities in Bichhwal, Bikaner.
Bikaji Foods International Limited is one of India's largest fast-moving consumer goods ("FMCG") brands. The company's product range includes six principal categories: bhujia, namkeen, packaged sweets, papad, western snacks as well as other snacks which primarily include gift packs (assortment), frozen food, mathri range, and cookies.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 31, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the shortened trading week, the S&P 500 hit our expected resistance level of 5323 and promptly fell as part of the renewed upward movement toward the support level of 5257 and the nearby support level of 5221. A solid upward bounce is on its way to target our newly identified key resistance level of 5323 for the upcoming trading week.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 31, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In this week's trading, the Eurodollar bounced off our Mean Res 1.089 and 1.086, respectively, to our Mean Sup 1.081, with a swift and aggressive rebound back to Mean Res 1.086. On the downside, the currency is prone to hitting the Mean Support level of 1.080 once again and targeting a well-established price level of 1.075.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 31, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin gyrated in this week's trading between our major Mean Sup 67100 and the newly created Mean Res 69400. The upward movement target shows a continuous target of Bull Stage Squzee Rebound 73200, marked as Key Res 73200. The main obstacles are Mean Res 69400 and 71500, respectively. On the downside, we look at the established Mean Support at 65000 as a concrete target before a renewed upswing occurs.
ASHOKA METCAST LTD Chota Packet Bada DhamakaStock is trading at 0.58 times its book value
Promoter Holding Increased 9.66 % over Last 6 Years
From Year 2020 to 2024 Company Have Gradually Purchased their Fixed Assets of 20.57 CR .
in Year March 2018 Company Reported Total Annual Sales of 19.17 CR
Now in Year March 2024 Company Reported Annual Sales of 66.25 CR
Net Cash Flow Is Healthy
Cash Convertion Cycle and Working Capital Days have Also Decreased
Reserves and Equity Capital showing Increasing Strength
EMAMI LTD Have Broken & Sustaining at 6 Years High
Zandu Balm Mal.... Kaam pe Chal ...
Company is almost debt free.
Company has delivered good profit growth of 19.2% CAGR over last 5 years
Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 33.1%
Consolidated Net Sales at ₹ 881 crore grew by 8%
Revenue from Operations at ₹ 891 crore grew by 7%
Domestic Business grew by 8% (Volume growth of 6.4%)
International Business grew by 8% (Constant currency growth of 9%)
Gross Margins at 65.8% improved by 270 bps
EBIDTA at ₹ 211 crore grew by 6% despite 39% higher investments in A&P
PAT at ₹ 149 crore grew by 3%
Filecoin (FILUSD): Preparing for a Gap Fill - Levels to WatchFor Filecoin (FILUSD), we are currently looking at a scenario where there is a Weekly Fair Value Gap above us. We are quite confident that this gap will be filled; the only question is when. We believe there is a potential good entry point at the current levels.
Below us, we have several supports. The first support is a 12-hour demand zone. Additionally, we have an Order Block Cluster and a simple support zone. These levels, combined with a favorable volume profile, should provide enough momentum and support for an upward move.
Our primary target is the Weekly Fair Value Gap close. Once this target is reached, we will reassess the situation to determine whether the price will continue upwards or face a sell-off. This reaction will guide our next positioning. For now, our strategy is to aim for the gap close and position ourselves accordingly.
Additionally, when we examine the Liquidation Heatmap for Filecoin, we notice several liquidations above our current level, specifically between $6.35 and $6.65, just above the recent high. This indicates two possible scenarios:
Liquidations Triggered and Pullback: We might move up to trigger these liquidations, then experience a deeper pullback.
Liquidations Triggered and Continuation Upwards: Alternatively, we might fill our current support levels and then move upwards towards these liquidations.
If these liquidations are absorbed, we could either shoot through and continue upwards, or we might pull back after triggering them, leading to a potential continuation to the downside.
It's important to be aware of these scenarios. Given that there are few liquidations below the current level, we do not expect significant downward wicks or deep pullbacks.
Looking at Filecoin on the VWAP chart, we observe a sideways movement where the price repeatedly moves up and down but always returns between the 2024 Q1 VAL and the 2023 Q4 VAH. These two levels appear to be holding as our current range.
We expect a small pullback, supported by the 2024 Q2 VAL and the 2023 Q4 VAH. These should act as our support zones on the VWAP chart. On the upside, our target is the 2024 Q1 VWAP at $7.70. Above this level, we anticipate resistance around $9.32.
This analysis suggests a short-term strategy of buying at the support levels and targeting the identified resistance points.
Devyani: Looks like its Pizza Hut time!Hey there, Welcome back to a new case study.
Here is everything you need to know about NSE:DEVYANI :
- Devyani had a tepid journey so far since its IPO.
- The price stayed in a 50 point range for the last 20 months
- It defined support and resistance zones that were actually respected. Both bulls and bears have been trapped by the break of zones a.k.a. False breakout
- For the past 2 months, the price is consolidating at the resistance zone which is a huge plus
- The small bodies and big wicks show clear indecision. The volumes dried out during this phase. That usually happens when the price consolidates.
- It also has a 200 psychological level adding to its resistance
- Do give us a 🚀 for our efforts as it takes a lot of time to compile these pointers
- Stock is trading at 24.3 times its book value while the stock PE stands at 116
- A quick PE comparison at the same price point shows that the stock has gotten expensive (This is relevant if you invest with a long-term perspective. Trading is a game of momentum)
- A good close and sustenance above the resistance zone can bring momentum on the upside.
What do you think will happen next?
Have Requests, Insights, or Questions? Let us know in the comments below.👇
⚠️Disclaimer: We are not registered advisors. The views expressed here are merely personal opinions. Irrespective of the language used, Nothing mentioned here should be considered as advice or recommendation. Please consult with your financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Like everybody else, we too can be wrong at times ✌🏻
EURUSDHello everyone, as I mentioned this morning, the plan from Sunday remained relevant, and the primary target was achieved. I considered long positions on the euro this morning, but due to two stop hunts against us and the initiation of short orders, I refrained from opening any positions.
The targets for the day have been met. To make any further decisions, I need more information. See you tomorrow.
EURUSD 1Dthe daily timeframe is in a short context. Currently, we are in a corrective movement with the aim of overlapping the FVG. The lack of activity below the fractal compression (marked on the chart) inspires confidence. The target is 1.06. The scenario will be invalidated if the price closes above 1.088.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 24, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The S&P 500 reached our projected Outer Index Rally at 5342 and then quickly retraced as part of the primary reignited squeeze move path. It is unlikely that it will drop to the primary down target Mean Support at 5221. However, it may continue to advance towards the completed Outer Index Rally at 5342, the Inner Index Rally at 5408, and the next Outer Index Rally at 5450. The secondary reignited squeeze triggering points are at specified destination pinpoints.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 24, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar bounced off last week's established Mean Resistance level of 1.089 and reached our specified lower target of the Mean Support level of 1.082. The likelihood of revisiting the Mean Resistance level of 1.089 and reaching the Inner Currency Rally level of 1.091 is slim. On the downside, the currency is prone to hit the Mean Support level of 1.081 and target a well-established price level of 1.075.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 24, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin has broken through our Mean Resistance at 66900, completed our Inner Coin Rally at 69800, and then pulled back to the trading zone. The target for an upward movement is now set at the newly established Mean Resistance at 71500 and the aged Key Resistance at 73200. On the downside, we are looking at the newly established Mean Support at 67100 and a possible extension to Mean Support at 65000.
Ethereum (ETH): Strategic Entries and Potential DropsFor Ethereum, we're observing a chart pattern that has developed a weak divergence, and we believe it is now correcting wo the end of Wave 4 of Wave (3). We plan to place multiple entries; our first entry was at the upper range of the Wave 4 target area around $3200. However, the price has continued to decline. We are now looking to DCA and make a second entry at $2600, with a final entry in our worst-case scenario at $2277. We suspect there might be further downside potential, but the extent is uncertain, and we intend to buy additional spots. Those already in from the first entry can choose to hold or buy more—this is on yourself. Given the expected market weakness, there could be opportunities to establish substantial long-term spot positions.
Upon examining the annual VWAP, we're observing a scenario where the 2021 VAH is acting as a current resistance level. We briefly surpassed this level but quickly fell below it again. We believe there could be good entry opportunities in the area between the 2021 VWAP and the 2022 VAH, which closely align around $2,500 to $2,450. Below this, the next significant level could be the 2023 VAH around $2,000, indicating a substantial gap in the middle. This will be elaborated further in subsequent sections of our analysis.
However, this setup on the larger chart presents a probable scenario, yet we're also considering managing our positions above this range as shown above. The 61,8% Fibonacci retracement is still the second entry target for us.
12H
On the quarterly VWAP, we observe that the VWAP from Q4 2021 acted as resistance at exactly $4,100. Since then, we've experienced a downward trend and identified several levels acting as resistance or support. Currently, we're situated right at the 2022 Q1VWAP and the 2021 Q3VWAP, which could provide enough support to push us above the $3,000 mark. Ideally, surpassing the $3,200 mark would be beneficial, but we perceive this as challenging since the current quarter's VWAP is likely to act as resistance around $3,200. We think it's possible we might revisit the levels of the 2021 Q2VWAP to the 2024 Q1VAL, ranging between $2,670 and $2,426. While we don't anticipate falling much below these levels, it's not outside the realm of possibility. These remain our critical levels for now.
4H
Considering the monthly VWAP, there's a scenario where we might see an upward push toward the Previous Monthly VAL, given that the February VWAP has acted as support three times already. This aligns with the desire to see Ethereum exceed $3,200, which would surpass both the February VWAP high and the Previous Monthly VWAP. Achieving and maintaining a position above this level is crucial for a sustained upward move.
If we fail to reclaim and hold this level, it's plausible that Ethereum could revisit lower levels, potentially down to the February VAL around $2,500. Holding above the February VWAP is vital; otherwise, we might see a retracement to these lower support levels.
Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA): Bullish Divergence SignalsMarathon Digital Holdings is heavily influenced by developments in the cryptocurrency market. Despite this dependency, significant indicators on the RSI chart show repeated divergences. These divergences have previously resulted in substantial price movements and could potentially do so again. Currently, we have identified a bullish divergence on the daily chart, with the stock holding above the High-Volume-Node (HVN) Edge within a trend channel. These correlations suggest there could be enough momentum for the stock to retest the $34 level, which we consider a minimum target.
Marathon's stock is known for its rapid movements, meaning it can quickly move up or down. Should the stock move upwards, it could swiftly surpass the $34 mark. However, we must also consider the presence of equal lows on the chart. These equal lows are often a point of concern as they indicate significant liquidity below them, which the market tends to target. Therefore, it is possible that we might see a dip to collect this liquidity in the coming days, weeks, or even months, potentially bringing the price back to the trendline.
In the worst-case scenario, the stock might drop to the High-Volume-Node Point of Control at $9.67 before resuming its upward trajectory. Despite this risk, we believe that Marathon has substantial upside potential in the coming weeks. The confluence of bullish signals and strong support levels suggests that the stock could see significant gains if the bullish divergence plays out as expected.
BTC Long Term ViewIt feels like a very long time since we saw BTCUSD down at the 57k support level.
Now with the BTCUSD likely to continue ranging between 57k and 74k, buying at value seems to be the most appropriate approach.
Anticipation is that it will be a matter of time before the price eventually breaks out of the range to reach 92k (which coincides with the 100% Fibonacci extension level).
How much strength does it take to fill a gap?While I believe $87.50 is the point of contention for price action in the days to come, it’s difficult to say whether SBUX will be either below $70.00 or well above $100.00 by the end of Q4 2024. Either way a set up does present itself. The consumer is undergoing discretionary spending and currently this stock is down 15.43% year to date. When sentiment shifts, I see no reason as to why this asset couldn't be a decent performer in one's portfolio. The trading game plan is as follows.
1.) Short entry at 83.05 from the 100 4HR EMA
2.) SL set at 88.20
3.) TP 1 78.69
4.) TP 2 74.50
5.) TP 3 72.00
Why longer term charts are importantI took a look at the weekly gold/silver ratio and noticed a few significant patterns. For example, there was a notable acceleration downward following the break of a 3-year uptrend a couple of weeks ago. Additionally, there is support at the 74.65/63 level, which has been in place since January 2022.
This observation reminded me of the importance of examining long-term charts, regardless of your trading time frame. Longer-term charts provide essential context and clarity that short-term charts often lack.
Why everyone should be looking at longer term charts:
1. Identifying Trends
Long-term charts help in identifying significant trends that might not be visible in short-term data.
2. Smoothing Out Volatility
Short-term data is often noisy, with frequent fluctuations that can obscure the underlying pattern. Long-term charts smooth out this volatility, providing a clearer picture of the fundamental movement and reducing the influence of random, short-term events.
3. Contextualizing Current Movements
Long-term charts place current price or economic movements in a broader context. This helps investors and analysts understand whether a recent change is part of a larger trend or not.
4. Historical Comparisons
These charts allow for comparisons with past periods, making it possible to identify cycles, recurring patterns, and historical precedents. This historical perspective can be invaluable for forecasting future movements and making informed predictions.
5. Assessing Risk and Reward
By examining long-term performance, investors can better assess the potential risks and rewards of an investment. Understanding how an asset has performed over various market cycles helps in evaluating its stability and growth potential.
6. Avoiding Emotional Bias
Short-term market movements can evoke strong emotional responses, leading to impulsive decisions. Long-term charts provide a more detached view, helping investors stay focused on long-term objectives and avoid reacting to short-term market noise.
Conclusion
In summary, long-term charts offer a comprehensive view that is critical for understanding trends, reducing noise, contextualizing current events, making historical comparisons, assessing risk, avoiding emotional decisions, developing strategies, and analysing economic cycles. They are an indispensable tool for anyone involved in financial markets or economic analysis, providing the clarity and perspective necessary for informed decision-making.
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