Gold price todayDear readers, at the beginning of the new trading week, gold has clearly broken out of its previous downward trend channel. Currently, the price of gold is trading at $2022, marking a 0.44% increase for the day.
However, many analysts are predicting a short-term decline in the price of gold.
On another note, after the monetary policy meeting and comments from Fed Chairman Powell, it seems likely that the Fed will maintain a "higher rates for longer" stance. As a result, the possibility of a rate cut in March has been ruled out. Powell believes that the meeting minutes could pose a risk to gold as they may reveal or reinforce the hawkish stance that the Fed is pursuing, thereby strengthening the downward momentum of gold.
Intradaytrade
Gold shows signs of potential recovery and price declineDear friends, looking at the chart in general, we can see that gold is trading relatively calmly above a high level with a sharp downward trend on the 4-hour time frame.
The EMA 34 technical indicator shows signs of a reversal in gold prices in the price decline zone, which means that the price could touch the 2050 USD level before any downward scenario occurs according to the previous downward trend of the precious metal market.
However, if a downward scenario occurs, the next target for gold could be the old support level of 2015 USD. As long as it remains stable above this level, we can speculate on a new scenario within the narrow range of this long-term market.
EURUSD: Buying strategy?Hello dear friends, Currently, EURUSD is trading at 1.0763, continuing its short-term downward trend and losing 0.2% for the day.
Currently, the US Dollar remains strong as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell delays the timing of interest rate cuts amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
Amidst this, geopolitical tensions continue to escalate in the Middle East, and the USD could gain further strength if risk sentiment continues to deteriorate after the opening bell on Wall Street.
The "buy on dips" trading strategy for EURUSD still remains valid as long as the significant static support level of 1.0700 is maintained, signaling a breakout from the current downtrend channel.
What do you think? Good luck with your trading!
EURUSD: Bearish rumors still existDear friends,
Today, EURUSD continues to trade in a downward trend. At the time of writing, this currency pair is trading at 1.0771 and is gradually forming price reactions around the EMA 34 technical indicator.
Currently, the US dollar is struggling to find demand after Tuesday's decline and is helping this currency pair maintain its position ahead of the US mid-range data and Fedspeak. However, the price still has many short-term downside opportunities in the future as it still does not have any support to push the exchange rate to high levels.
My goal is still to wait for a price reaction, and if the bearish scenario occurs around the aforementioned EMA zone, it will correspond to a Fibonacci-based price decrease with the final touch zone emphasized at 1.618, which is 1.0611.
What about you? Do you agree with my conclusion?
XAUUSD: The upward momentum has not stoppedOn H1, the EMA technical indicator clearly indicates an upward trend. By using Fibonacci, I anticipate that gold will soon reach the 1.618 level, which is $2053, thanks to the strong support from EMA and the previous market breakout above $2030. As long as gold maintains this level, it would not be surprising to see this scenario unfold in the short term.
All attention will be focused on the upcoming release of the latest US consumer inflation data next week.
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EURUSD I Intraday long from support Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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Gold today continues to reverse and decrease in priceDear friends, today gold continues to trend downwards as it approaches the resistance level of $2030. The "hawkish" stance of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, given after last week's positive report on US employment and Q4 2023 GDP growth, indicates that the Fed is not rushing to lower interest rates in order to control inflation. With interest rates remaining high for an extended period, the cost of investment and storing gold increases, leading investors to sell off gold.
The price of gold may further decline if the US announces optimistic economic data and Europe releases its retail sales figures for December today.
Will gold really increase in price?Hello dear friends! Today, XAUUSD is trading at $2023 and undergoing a short-term downward trend, with an expected decrease that may require special observation at the $2000 level. However, the overall market trend remains bullish after breaking out of the downtrend channel as indicated in the technical picture.
Looking ahead, gold still has many opportunities to continue its price increase in the new week and in the near future, as the Chinese economy weakens and the US dollar faces several disadvantages in the market.
It is expected that this week will mark the beginning of a future upward trend for gold, as there have been bets on the Fed cutting interest rates in March. This raises hopes for a gold boom in the future.
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XAUUSD: sellDear friends, it can be observed that in recent days, gold has consistently shown certain upward movements above the support level of $2,015 or higher, reaching the lowest level in a week on the previous day.
However, this is insignificant as the technical movements on the chart indicate a tilt towards the sellers. Specifically, the price of gold continuously consolidates below the EMA 34, opening up the possibility of testing the $2,000 threshold if the round figure of $2,010 gives way.
USDJPY: Breakout from 149.00 resistance. Why?Hello dear friends!
In today's trading session, the upward trend continues, with USDJPY currently trading at 148.52, up 0.14% for the day and remaining stable at a high level.
The Japanese Yen has recovered slightly from its low earlier this year, amid the Bank of Japan's hawkish stance and political risks. The US dollar has halted its rally after the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, reaching its highest level in nearly two months and putting some pressure on USD/JPY. The increase in US bond yields supports prospects for further USD gains and will provide support for this currency pair.
Using Fibonacci retracement levels, the UJ downtrend needs to reach the perfect level of 0.618, which is 147.94, lower than the 0.618 level. If UJ accepts the strong psychological support mentioned above, it will break through the psychological resistance at 149.00 and rally strongly towards the 1.618 level, which is 150.23.
EURUSD: Experimental declineHello dear friends!
Overall, EURUSD experienced significant volatility yesterday after failing to sustain its previous recovery momentum.
Currently, in today's trading session, despite a slight price adjustment at 1.08216 as of the time of writing, highlighting a 0.03% increase for the day. However, this is still not enough evidence for a strong upward trend, especially after the Fed pushed back expectations of an early interest rate cut, boosting the US Dollar. The focus now shifts to EU inflation data.
From the 1H chart, we observe that there is a high probability from a DOW analysis perspective that the EU will continue its upward trajectory. By using the Fibonacci retracement level, a reasonable correction level for this currency pair would be the perfect 0.618 level, which is at 1.08304, followed by pushing this pair beyond the support level at 1.07950 and moving towards the Fibonacci touch zone at 1.618.
XAUUSD: 150 pips strategyHello dear friends!
The precious metal is trading below resistance at $2045, continuing its downtrend on the day although the outlook remains bullish, marking a $7 decline on the day.
With the possibility of a head and shoulders pattern forming, I expect gold to fall to the indicated level.
XAUUSD: SELL?Dear friends, the overall trend for gold today is downward, as indicated by the reversal of the EMA 34 signal. At the time of writing, the price is trading at $2023, a decrease of 0.82% for the day.
Based on recent statements and the number of jobs, it seems unlikely that a rate cut will occur in March.
The better-than-expected job market in the US has caused the USD to strengthen. Therefore, it is inevitable that gold will decline in the short term.
The support level around $2015 continues to hold strong for buyers. However, if sellers prove their strength by breaking through this support, gold will experience a significant decrease.
The resistance level, as indicated on the technical chart, serves as evidence for the ongoing conflict between buyers and sellers, as gold continues to react strongly.
Wishing you successful trading endeavors.
GBPUSD: Boring trading in narrow price wedgeGBPUSD continues to move within a narrow price range today, with short-term and medium-term prospects favoring an upward trend, breaking out of the range and continuing to rise.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of an interest rate cut in March has decreased from 80% at the beginning of the month to nearly 40% ahead of the Fed meeting. The USD index (DXY), which tracks the value of the USD against six major currencies, increased by 2% in January.
If the policy statement or Fed Chair Jerome Powell expresses an optimistic view on continuing the inflation reduction process and does not confirm that there will be no interest rate cuts in March, the USD may face selling pressure, allowing GBP/USD to rise after days of boring sideways movement.
USDJPY: Large liquidity adjustment of the marketIt's great to see you all again and discuss USDJPY today, promising to be a highly effective strategy.
Overall, USDJPY has demonstrated its strength with a remarkable breakout above 146.75, completely breaking free from the sideways trend and ending the previous strong uptrend. It's an impressive move from the bearish side up until now. Currently, this currency pair is trading around 146.64 and has lost -0.15% for the day.
Traders are opting to wait on the sidelines amidst uncertainty regarding the timing of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts. Therefore, the focus will still be on the highly anticipated policy decision by the FOMC later today. This decision will play a crucial role in influencing short-term momentum for the US Dollar (USD) and provide new direction for USD/JPY. Hence, it's not surprising that the main currency pair continues to face strong resistance around the 148.00 level.
In the short term, the 4-hour chart indicates a potential downward correction, with a projected retracement to the support level at 144.85 to readjust market liquidity as mentioned in the above overview.
USDJPY: become cautiousCurrently, USDJPY is displaying a sideways trend on the chart. There are two important levels to note: resistance at 148.15 and support at 147.28.
The market is currently cautious, especially with upcoming policy announcements from the Fed, which could potentially increase the value of the US dollar, even though US bond yields are weak. Additionally, the bleak economic situation in Japan is also impacting this currency pair. Attention is now focused on the Fed, as any new decisions from them could cause significant fluctuations in the direction of USDJPY.
There is a possibility that this major currency pair may decline. What are your thoughts on this? Feel free to share your perspective!
BTCUSDT: Getting hotThe price of Bitcoin is currently on an upward trend since last Thursday. BTC reached its highest point in two weeks at $43,990 before undergoing a correction. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $43,374.
Looking ahead, BTC faces a resistance level in the range of $43,870 to $45,562, which could lead to a further price drop.
In the event of a decrease, the price of Bitcoin may sharply decline to a psychological support level at $40,000. If this level is broken, the next support zone will be between $38,535 and $38,574.
BTCUSDT: Looking for opportunities under 40,000 USDBTCUSDT continues to experience slight decline on Thursday, trading around the $42,000 mark. The weakening trend has not yet ended as BTCUSDT shows signs of convergence between resistance and the 34, 89 EMA lines. Sellers are currently targeting the nearest profit-taking level at $41,700. If this level is broken, it could open up more opportunities for sellers around the $40,000 mark.
Developments: The revival of gold in the coming timeDear friends, The delayed recovery of US bond yields and the greenback has pushed gold prices further away from their previous highs, reaching a new two-week high around the $2050 per troy ounce mark.
The 4-hour chart also supports the upward trend. Technical indicators are higher and maintain a strong upward momentum in the positive territory. Furthermore, XAU/USD has surpassed all its moving averages (EMA).
Gold is currently receiving strong support at the $2032 level. Breaking below this level would lead to a significant price decline, while maintaining this level would result in price increase. Upon careful observation, it can be seen that this precious metal has surpassed the resistance level of both aforementioned moving averages. Both short-term and medium-term prospects indicate a strengthening upward trend.
A buying strategy is recommended when prices continue to decline.
Short-term price levels to consider are:
-Support levels: $2038.90, $2022.60, $2007.20
-Resistance levels: $2056.10, $2071.30, $2085.40
GBPUSD: Is the daily bullish streak still possible?Hello dear friends! Today, GBPUSD continues its sideways movement with little change from the beginning of the week.
On the daily chart, GBPUSD still maintains its upward trend, but any significant breakout from this trend could lead to a considerable price decrease. Holding onto this upward momentum and establishing 1.6365 as a new support level, our target of 1.2900 remains emphasized at this time.
Considering the current situation and the risk of news, what are your expectations for GBPUSD? Share your opinions below.
EURUSD: Moving in redEURUSD continues its losing streak this week, with the price of this currency pair trading around the 1.081 level and struggling to find any significant support on the chart. The primarily influencing factors are market news and investor sentiment, along with the volatility of the USD.
The strengthening of the US dollar seems to have sparked some downward movement around EUR/USD, causing it to break through the 1.0850 level and start the week on a negative note.
In addition to the influence of the US dollar, market participants are approaching the upcoming FOMC meeting with caution. Furthermore, the release of the US Non-Farm Payrolls report at the end of the week is also fueling the cautious stability among market participants.
If sellers regain control, EUR/USD could potentially return to the lows around 1.07500 and possibly even 1.06675. These are two significant support levels to watch. Conversely, if conditions favor EURUSD, it could bounce back from those levels and move higher.