Notcoin is Bullish or Bearish ?The chart is for the cryptocurrency pair BINANCE:NOTUSDT NOT/USDT from Binance , analyzed on a daily timeframe. Here is a breakdown of the analysis presented:
1. **Current Price**: The current price is approximately 0.015983 USDT.
2. **Price Zones**:
- **Fair Value Gaps (FVG)**: Two Fair Value Gaps are highlighted on the chart, indicating areas where price movement was rapid and may return to fill these gaps.
- The first FVG is around the 0.017000 USDT level.
- The second FVG is around the 0.013500 USDT level.
3. **Order Blocks (OB)**: These are areas of high buying or selling interest, often leading to price reversals.
- Two OB+ (Order Block) areas are noted, correlating with the FVGs.
4. **Liquidity Zones**:
- **Buyside Liquidity**: This is marked at a higher level, indicating an area where there may be a significant amount of buy orders. The specific levels are marked at 0.029300 USDT and 0.037000 USDT.
5. **Price Projections**:
- **Bullish Scenario**: If the price moves upward, it could aim for the buyside liquidity zones at 0.029300 USDT and then 0.037000 USDT.
- **Bearish Scenario**: If the price declines, it might target the lower OB and FVG areas around 0.013500 USDT.
6. **Volume Analysis**: The volume bars at the bottom indicate trading activity, with a notable increase during the recent price rise.
7. **50% Shadow**: A level marked as "50% Shadow" which might be an important retracement or equilibrium level.
### Interpretation:
- **Bullish Indicators**: If the price can sustain above the current FVG and OB areas, it may attempt to reach the higher liquidity zones. This bullish scenario is illustrated by the green and black arrows projecting upward movements.
- **Bearish Indicators**: A failure to maintain the current levels could result in the price dropping to fill the lower FVG, supported by the red arrows projecting downward movements.
### Conclusion:
This chart suggests a critical juncture where the price may either move up towards the higher liquidity zones if it can maintain above the current FVG and OB levels or potentially drop to fill the lower FVG if it fails to hold these levels. Monitoring the price action around these key zones and the volume dynamics can provide further insights into the likely direction.
Ictconcepts
US30USD: Potential Buy OpportunityGreetings, Traders!
Brief Description🖊️: Bullish momentum is building on US30USD after a retrace into discount prices, with potential for upside continuation.
Things I Have Seen👀:
- Bullish Momentum📈: Gain momentum after retrace into discount prices
- Respected Discount Arrays📊: FVGs holding, indicating potential for upside move
- Price Action📈: Push to upside to take H1 buy stops, followed by retrace into FVG
Analysis🔍:
- Anticipating hold of FVG and continuation to upside
- First Target Objective📉: H1 buy stops
- Second Target Objective📉: Order block, importance due to liquidity void needing to be filled
What's Important Now❗:
Monitor price action around key levels for confirmation of bullish continuation.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
US100USD: Promising Buy-Side Potential!Greetings, Traders!
Brief Description🖊️:
Currently, on US100USD, I am observing bullish momentum entering the market. After retracing into discount prices, the price began pushing upwards, engulfing bearish candles and indicating a change in state of delivery, which means a bullish order block formation. The price then retested this order block, found support, and another bullish order block was formed, which is currently being tested. The mean threshold (middle line of the order block) has been rejected multiple times, suggesting that the order block may strongly hold as support, allowing the price to continue rising.
Things I Have Seen👀:
Bullish Momentum📈: The market is showing signs of a bullish order block formation after retracing into discount prices and pushing upwards.
Order Block Support🟢: The mean threshold of the current order block is being rejected multiple times, indicating strong support.
Bullish Targets📉:
Failure Swings: These possess buy-side liquidity.
Liquidity Void: The main objective is to fill this inefficiency.
Balanced Price Range: Located above the liquidity void, it is the last point where the price was efficiently delivered.
What's Important Now❗
Monitor the price action around these key levels to confirm bullish continuation and identify profitable trading opportunities.
Best Regards,
The_Architect
Study/Analysis of Correlated Assets: US500, US100, and US30Greetings Traders!
Study/Analysis of Correlated Assets: US500, US100, and US30
In this tutorial, we'll delve into the study and analysis of correlated assets, specifically focusing on US500, US100, and US30. Understanding the relationship between these assets helps determine whether Smart Money is accumulating orders or distributing them.
Key Concepts:
Symmetrical Correlation: Indicates a continuation in price.
Non-Symmetrical Correlation: Indicates a reversal in price.
Steps to Follow:
Identify Correlation: Analyze the charts of US500, US100, and US30 to determine whether they exhibit symmetrical or non-symmetrical correlation.
Symmetrical Condition: If the assets move in sync (symmetrical correlation), expect a continuation in price movement. This indicates that the trend is likely to persist.
Non-Symmetrical Condition: If the assets move out of sync (non-symmetrical correlation), anticipate a potential reversal in price. This indicates that the trend might change direction.
Chart Analysis:
In the provided chart, we observe a non-symmetrical condition, suggesting a likely reversal.
Using this concept as confluence enhances your market analysis. For instance, in the US30 chart, I am anticipating a draw towards the sell stops. By examining the correlated assets, I can confirm whether it’s safe to look for selling opportunities.
If the market condition is non-symmetrical, it suggests that the assets are likely to reverse, making my sell idea high probability.
Conclusion:
Using the correlation between assets can provide additional confluence to your trading strategy. It helps in anticipating whether the market will reverse or continue in its current trend.
Smart Money Divergence Lecture:
For a deeper understanding of this concept, please follow this link to a detailed lecture on Smart Money Technique:
Best Regards,
The_Architect
US30USD: Key Insights for NFP FridayGreetings Traders!
Brief Description🖊️:
Currently, on US30USD, I see the potential for a shift into bearish order flow. Price is at premium levels, indicating a possible sell-off from the bearish order block.
Market Analysis📉:
We have observed a bullish narrative throughout the week, with price reaching bullish objectives, including the bearish order block. For a detailed analysis, refer to the linked post:
Things We Have Seen👀:
This week’s bullish price action filled the liquidity void and tapped into the bearish order block.
Now, I am looking for confirmations that the order block will hold and if it does this will indicate bearish price action.
Bearish Targets📉:
The engineered trendline liquidity with sell stops.
Main draw: Daily sell stops.
What's Important Now❗:
This potential move could coincide with tomorrow’s NFP release. If the order block holds, we may see bearish momentum. If not, continued bullishness is likely.
Best Regards,
The_Architect
US Indices Weekly Forecast: Top Trading Strategies Revealed!Greetings, Traders!
Brief Description🖊️:
Join me in this video as we analyze what to anticipate this week on the indices US500, US100, and US30. We'll delve deeper into US30 to understand today's trading opportunities. We will explore various ICT concepts, including draw on liquidity, fair valuation, order blocks, and most importantly, Smart Money Technique (SMT) and engineering liquidity, where smart money uses retail patterns such as trendlines, support, and resistance to trap traders into making investments.
Things We Will Cover👀:
ICT Concepts🧠:
Smart Money Technique (SMT): Study and analysis of correlated assets.
Draw on Liquidity💧 : Understanding how liquidity is targeted and manipulated.
Fair Valuation📊 : Assessing the true value of price levels.
Fair Value Gaps : How to choose high-probability FVGs.
Order Blocks📦 : Identifying high-probability order blocks.
Engineering Liquidity 🔄: Analyzing how smart money uses retail patterns to manipulate market movements.
Trading Opportunities📉📈:
Potential Price Movements: Providing a comprehensive outlook on possible market shifts.
Strategies for the Week : Uncovering strategies that could make this week profitable.
If you'd like to further understand how to use SMT, please follow the link below.
Happy Trading,
The_Architect
NZDCAD: Bearish scenarios...! (Details on caption) By checking the hourly NZDCAD chart we can figure out that the bearish scenario is high probability.
the price cleared the liquidity above the daily candle and then shifted the market structure and also had a bearish reaction to the bearish order block.
Now, we can see the sell side liquidity which formed as equal lows, trend line liquidity, and daily FVG which can be our last target.
For seeing this bearish move I can expect two scenarios that you can see on the chart.
First, the price can move down from here.
second, because of the clean buy-side liquidity we can expect the price to sweep the liquidity first and then move down. (I prefer to follow this scenario)
As always we need LTF confirmation for entry.
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
🔎 DYOR
🗓️07/06/2024
💡Wait for the update!
GBPJPY: Month-Long Bearish Outlook Revealed!Greetings Traders!
Brief Description🖊️:
The market's movements are governed by smart money, which controls the majority of liquidity. It is not governed by retail traders. They dictate market terms, while we trade patterns they generate. Smart money has two primary objectives: order pairing (entering the market against liquidity) and order booking (scaling out their positions). Due to their substantial liquidity, smart money enters the market against large amounts of liquidity, typically found on higher timeframes. This movement is necessary for them to enter and exit the market, driving market dynamics.
Market Analysis📉:
Currently, on GBPJPY, buy stop liquidity has been taken, indicating that smart money has entered their positions in a premium. The expectation is a draw towards the downside, targeting significant liquidity areas such as relatively equal lows and trendline liquidity. The daily bearish order block is expected to resist price, initiating bearish institutional order flow.
Things We Have Seen👀:
Relatively Equal Lows: These areas possess substantial liquidity, making them attractive targets for smart money.
Sell-Side Liquidity: A significant amount of investments exist at these lows.
Engineered Trendline Liquidity: More investments exist at these lows, increasing the plausibility of the market drawing towards this level to absorb the existing liquidity.
What's Important Now❗:
Stay observant of how the market reacts at these critical levels. Understanding the objectives of smart money can provide valuable insights into potential price movements.
Best Regards,
The_Architect
XAUUSD: HTF Narrative | NFP | Fair Value Gap Theory | EntriesGreetings, Traders!
In today's video, I will provide an in-depth analysis of Gold to establish what I anticipate for today's trading, as well as for tomorrow, especially with the upcoming NFP news release. This video will be both narrative-driven and educational, covering the Fair Value Gap (FVG) theory. You will learn how to identify high-probability FVGs, which will help you understand the market narrative and predict its likely direction. Additionally, we'll discuss entry strategies using the FVG theory.
For a deeper understanding of why I anticipate a bullish draw on Gold, please follow the link below to yesterday's post.
Best Regards,
The_Architect
ES1! PM long opportunity using algorithmic levelsToday we'd seen beautiful reaction to algorithmic levels! +1/3 AWR acted as support after yesterday push above it and -1/3 ADR likewise! another confluence was D -M OHLC statistical mapping (tool) and H4 IFVG!
ADR is usually TRUE Support & Resistance! and most of the time we can use it within Higher Time Frame context. same goes with OHLC statistical mapping when we are bullish we use -manipulation! combining this with ADR/&AWR can be really helpfull!
Trading GBPUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 05/06/2024 At 8:25 AM EST, we got to our trading desk and started the day doing the basics on our Judas Swing strategy checklist which includes:
- Making sure the timezone is set to New York time
- Making sure we're on the 5 min timeframe
- Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30
- Marking the high and low of the zone
We then waited for liquidity to be taken on either side of our trading zone, which will give us our directional bias for the trading session. Liquidity was taken at the highs after 15 minutes, signaling our focus would be on identifying potential selling opportunities.
Precisely at 10:00, there was a significant bearish shift in GBPUSD that broke the structure, creating an FVG in the process. Keep in mind that high-impact news for the USD occurred at 8:15 and 10:00 EST, which can influence price movements.
We then waited for price to retrace, filling or touching the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), and only executed our trade once the candle that touched or entered the FVG had closed.
After executing the trade, price initially moved against us to fill part of the FVG left behind, it later moved slightly in our direction. However, it took a turn towards our stop loss. Despite this, we maintained confidence in our strategy, given its extensive backtesting, which has demonstrated a win rate of 52% on GBPUSD trades.
Accepting the calculated risk of 1% of our account for the possibility of a 2% return, the closeness of the price to our stop loss did not shake us, and we kept our faith in the strategy. We anticipated an average position duration of 6 hours and 35 minutes, which could extend to 2x longer for the trade.
We waited patiently, but our persistence did not yield results this time, resulting in a 1% loss in our trading account. It's important to note that we were on a winning streak for a few weeks and it's normal to have losing trades; no strategy guarantees a 100% win rate. However, with proper risk management and a favorable risk-reward ratio, the potential for profit can outweigh the losses.
ICT Long setup of a Hong Kong stock: Tencent (700)👋Hello Traders,
Our 🖥️ AI system detected that there is an H1 or higher timeframe ICT Long setup in Hong Kong stock : 700 for Swing trade.
Please refer to the details Stop loss, FVG(Buy Zone),open for take profit.
For more ideas, you are welcome to visit our profile in tradingview.
Have a good day!
Please give this post a like if you like this kind of simple idea, your feedback will bring our signal to next better level, thanks for support!
YM countertrend short from -M OHLC maanipulation!Beautiful example of algorithmic precision! Tapped -M D OHLC manipulation to the tick and then news spooled price to 1/3 ADR & +M D OHLC maanipulation (opposing manipulation where we also got opportunity go long!) This repeats every single week.
OHLC manipulation + ADR really often stop the "Judas Swing" alias fake move against orderflow
and tends to reverse there! then we can target opposing manipulation or another ADR!
ICT Short setup AUDJPY, H4 timeframe👋Hello Traders,
Our 🖥️ AI system detected that there is an H4 or higher timeframe ICT Short setup in AUDJPY for Swing trade.
Please refer to the details Stop loss, FVG(Sell Zone),open for take profit.
For more ideas, you are welcome to visit our profile in tradingview.
Have a good day!
Please give this post a like if you like this kind of simple idea, your feedback will bring our signal to next better level, thanks for support!
BTCUSDT - Market Analysis (ICT Concepts)Hi everyone,
Here is a quick analysis on Bitcoin using predominantly the Monthly and Daily chart for my analysis.
We see a reaction from a Monthly Bisi with price moving higher. On the Daily timeframe for a closer look, we see that there is a Premium Sibi and a Discount Bisi. So we may see some back and forth movement between the two. But, I will be looking for where the Daily candle(s) close in the Premium Sibi, either inside/below it, or above it. This will likely determine my next course of action. I provide further analysis in the video so do check it out.
- R2F