SELL IDEA ON GOLDWill be looking forward to take shorts on XAUUSD as our lower time frame trend is currently bearish. Our entry is based on our 30M OB and FVG POI which formed at a break of structure, will be waiting for a retracement in that area to take our trade. Will be also taking longs when TP hits to continue with the higher time frame trend which is bullish.
ENTRY: 2369
TAKE PROFIT: 2337
SL: 2381
Ictconcepts
US30-Dow JonesAs shown, the price in the 40,000 areas, fell strongly. It broke the structure, and gave us a change in direction. After that, it gave us a correction in the form of a clear ascending price channel. And then today, it is still strongly from the 75% Fibonacci levels. Therefore, we expect the continuation of the downward trend around 38,000.
EURUSD: Bullish Order Flow Continuation into a further Premium!Greetings Traders!
Current Market Analysis:
At the moment, EURUSD appears to be positioned for a continuation of bullish institutional order flow. Despite reaching deep premium prices, evidence suggests that the price may push into even higher premium levels.
Key Observations:
Predominant Bullish Trend: The market has exhibited a strong bullish trend since last week, indicating sustained upward momentum.
Deep Premium Prices: Although we are currently at deep premium prices, the price action suggests a potential push into even higher premium areas.
Engineered Liquidity: The price is currently engineering liquidity on the buy stops by forming a retail pattern (resistance zone). This pattern entices retail traders to enter short positions, placing their stop losses above the highs. Smart money will use these buy stops to sell against, providing further evidence of anticipated bullishness.
Trading Strategy:
Continuation of Bullish Order Flow: Given the evidence of engineered liquidity and the sustained bullish trend, we anticipate further upward movement in EURUSD.
Target Levels: Target the resistance zone and look for price action indicating a continuation into deeper premium prices as to reach into the daily premium order block.
Conclusion:
By understanding the current bullish institutional order flow and leveraging the key observations, we can effectively anticipate and execute trades on EURUSD. The evidence of engineered liquidity and the predominant bullish trend support a bullish outlook, guiding our strategy towards capitalizing on buying opportunities in the market.
Happy Trading,
The_Architect
EURUSD: Bearish Institutional Order Flow & Sell PotentialGreetings Traders!
Current Market Analysis:
At the moment, EURUSD is trading in deep premium prices, and the smaller timeframes have already started to shift into bearish institutional order flow. Given these conditions, we are looking for premium arrays to short the market into discount areas where we can book our profits.
Key Observations:
Premium Prices: Currently, EURUSD is in deep premium prices, making it an opportune moment to seek shorting opportunities into discount areas.
Bearish Institutional Order Flow: The shift into bearish institutional order flow on smaller timeframes signals a strong downward momentum.
Premium Arrays : Multiple premium arrays are aligned on the chart, indicating areas where the market is likely to respect and initiate new selling. These areas include:
Order Block: Anticipated as a level where new selling will occur.
Breaker Block: Expected to act as an institutional resistance level, where smart money mitigates buy orders and reinstates new selling orders.
FVG and Liquidity Void: Inefficiencies in these areas present fair value for smart money to short against.
Trading Strategy:
Focus on Confluence: The alignment of these premium arrays provides strong confluence, suggesting a continuation of the market's downward movement.
Target Levels: Our primary target is the H1 discount sell stops, where we will look to book our profits.
Conclusion:
By understanding the current bearish institutional order flow and leveraging the aligned premium arrays, we can effectively anticipate and execute short trades on EURUSD. The confluence provided by the order block, breaker block, FVG, and liquidity void supports a bearish outlook, guiding our strategy towards taking advantage of short opportunities in the market.
Happy Trading,
The_Architect
EURUSD looks clean!!Daily Outlook
- According to the next day Model, we are anticipating the next daily candle (Monday) to be bullish
- We are close to the DOL, so I believe we will sweep the high before going for the Daily FVG
4H Outlook
- We created CISD, therefore I am anticipating a retest on the OB then from there we are going for the DOL
- IRL ♻️ERL
1H Outlook
- We have a 1H FVG that could potential push price to ERL, however I would love to see a deeper LTF retracement into the OB then a push to the upside.
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST Part 1: DXY, INDICES, GOLD, SILVER, US OILThis is Part 1 of the Weekly Forex Forecast.
In this video, we will cover:
USD Index, S&P500 NASDAQ DOW JONES DAX GOLD SILVER US & UK OIL
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
My Bullish Idea For USOIL Trade - Here is Why am Buying USOILFOREXCOM:USOIL
Here is why am bullish on USOIL.
1. The daily time frame structure is extremely bullish.
2. The 4hour is also bullish.
3. The 1hour chart structure is extremely bullish such that there is no reason to go short.
The orderflow on 1hour is very bullish, price is respecting bullish PD Arrays like Fair value Gaps (FVG), Bullish Orderblocks, bullish breaker etc.
My entry, target and stop loss are all on the chart.
I hope this inspires you.
Drop your idea in the comment section.
GBPCAD: 700+ pips swing move in making; what you think? FX:GBPCAD
After looking at the daily timeframe, we have identified the price pattern with this particular pair, we pointed out the upcoming big move based on similar move that this pair has made. Currently price has been rebounding from the strong buying zone where we expect a large volume to kick in the market. First our main aim will be to see how price react at the downtrend trendline and if price successfully breakthrough the region. We can then enter more entries with this pairs targeting long term 700+ pips. Good luck and trade safe.
Fetch.aiThe currency is preparing for an inevitable price explosion. I personally have stored a good amount and I advise you to do this. The first goal for the currency is $4 and its price is now 1.14 cents. Imagine how much you can achieve from it if you store $1,000 of this currency for only a month. Imaginary profits. Good luck. We will meet a month from now.
Trading GBPUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 02/07/2024Last week saw a lull in trading activity for the Judas Swing, concluding with no trading opportunity on the four major currency pairs we monitor ( FX:EURUSD , FX:GBPUSD , OANDA:NZDUSD , FX:AUDUSD ). This pause in activity has heightened our anticipation for engaging in some promising trades this week. As is customary, at 8:25 AM EST, we commenced the day by reviewing the essential items on our Judas Swing strategy checklist, which comprises:
- Setting the timezone to New York time
- Confirming we're on the 5-minute timeframe
- Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30
- Identifying the high and low of the zone
The next step on our checklist is to await the sweep of liquidity on either sides of the zone, which will give us a directional bias for the trading period. Liquidity was taken at the highs after 20 minutes, signaling our focus would be on identifying potential selling opportunities.
Although a bias has been established for the trading period, we do not proceed to sell indiscriminately. To enhance the probability of successful trades, we await a break of structure (BOS) on the sell side. Following the BOS, we expect the price to pull back to the initial Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed during the development of the leg that broke structure.
Next on the checklist, we wait for the price to retrace into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and execute the trade only after the candle that entered the FVG has closed.
After executing the trade, we were in profit for about 10 minutes before the price reversed, leading our position into a drawdown. During the drawdown, we remained calm because we had risked only 1% of our trading account on the trade, aiming for a 2% gain if the trade was successful. We were aware that our strategy does not guarantee a 100% win rate but rather hovers around 50%, indicating that some losses were inevitable. To avoid becoming emotional over the position, we let the trade run its course and accepted whatever the outcome would be.
We later reviewed the position and discovered it was once again moving in our favour, only to reverse direction and head towards our stop loss. We anticipated an average position duration of 6 hours and 35 minutes for the trade, so we let the trade run.
We waited with patience, yet our perseverance did not bear fruit on this occasion, as our position reached the stop loss after 4 hours and 40 minutes, leading to a 1% reduction in our trading account. It's important to note that we were on a winning streak for a few weeks and it's normal to have losing trades; no strategy guarantees a 100% win rate. However, with proper risk management and a favorable risk-reward ratio, the potential for profit can outweigh the losses.
Week of June 30 NQ/10Y/CL/GCWeek of June 24 NQ/10Y/CL/GC
I'm back! After a much needed vacation and a break from the charts at ATH - I am BACK on TradingView with a fresh weekly forecast.
This week will mark the start of Q3 - which is really important as we need to check back to reference the quarterly charts to see if there is any unfinished business we left behind. I am expecting Q3 to mark the final high in a parabolic fashion - that we wont see again in our lifetimes.
I will be discussing the Nasdaq NQ1! and the Dow YM1! as these 2 components when averaged together - constitute the SPX.
Nasdaq has a Quarterly IRL that we need to visit and rebalance. We saw a decent sell-off at the start of Jan and April for the start of Q1 and Q2 - I am expecting somewhat similar into July for Q3. SPX and the NDX are the only things that actually have a quarterly IRL to go revisit from here - so a slight pullback in tech and then the market is ready to run.
Weekly I wanna see this weeks high or possibly ATH swept to start a sell program to fill this qIRL. Downside targets could be anywhere between 18-18.6k.
We will know more once we see where it bottoms.
10yr backed up a little this week - but we are continuing our march lower. Bonds are SLOW moving - but they are clean.
Rates are headed lower because the global economy is weakening - and the bond market knows that. Stocks don't tend to ask WHY rates are dropping - at least not at first.
OIl has gone nowhere - we are the same price as April and October 23. I have no weekly context on oil so there is no trade for me in there - for now.
Gold was flat on the week - but it looks like the final move higher is coming soon.
From HERE - I want to see us flush back to the 2250 area - there is a confluence down there on the quarterly and weekly charts of a volume imbalance - and it also happens to be the quarterly CE.
Timing of this would make sense too - as precious metals and energy are typically the LAST sectors to rally in the final stage of a bull-market.
So here is the setup I am watching for this week;
I am looking for indexes to start a pullback this week led by NQ. Any pullback I expect to be fast and sharp - so that nobody can capitalize on it. Set your alerts - I am looking for ~ 18.5k on NQ1!
I want to see Gold sweep the 2304 level, the continue to nATH.
Until next week - We'll be watching.
IPDA + Seasonality EUR/USDAnalysis as of 29/06/24
1. Seasonality Analysis + IPDA Levels:
After the quarterly shift in June, we are moving downwards.
2. Immediate Targets:
Our immediate targets are the IPDA 20 low and the Previous Month Low (PML).
3. Seasonal Trends:
According to 20-year seasonal trends, we should take out the low of the second quarter, which in our case is the IPDA 60 low.
4. July Projections:
In July, we expect a sharp upward move aiming to take out the Buy Stop Liquidity (BSL), Previous Month High (PMH), and the IPDA 20 high. This is also supported by seasonal trends.
Conclusion
Based on the seasonality analysis and IPDA levels, the market is expected to continue its downward movement in the short term, followed by a significant upward trend in July. This aligns with historical seasonal patterns, providing a solid foundation for trading strategies in the coming weeks.
XAUUSD 15 MIN If we look at the daily frame, we can notice the market structural change from bullish to bearish. That is, after the price was breaking consecutive highs, we notice that the price has started to form a lower bottom than the bottom, which shows that we have changed from bullish to bearish. This is the daily frame. Now we return to the 15-minute frame to see what we can do automatically. Returning to the mentioned team, we notice that the price has broken the structure again, and made a structural change. According to Spleen, we made a structural change with the price accelerating and leaving a gap behind at the top. From there, we can enter some sell deals. All you have to do now is wait for the formation of two highs so that the price takes liquidity from them, and as many traders as possible exit before the price drops to target the bottom of the previous day. Thank you. If you have any questions, see you in the comments.
EURUSD: Bearish Institutional Order Flow Ahead!Greetings Traders!
Current Market Analysis:
At the moment, EURUSD is exhibiting multiple signs confirming a bearish institutional order flow.
Key Observations:
Divergence with DXY: Yesterday’s price action formed a divergence with the DXY (Dollar Index). Utilizing the Smart Money Tool (SMT), we recognize that such a divergence—where EURUSD and DXY, which usually move symmetrically, exhibit non-symmetrical movement—signals an anticipated reversal in price action. This divergence resulted in the price continuing downward after the buy stops were taken, indicating a bearish draw.
H1 Bearish Order Block: The primary point of interest is the H1 bearish order block. The presence of inefficiencies (liquidity voids and fair value gaps) below it signifies that it is a strong order block likely to be respected by the price.
Secondary Consideration: If the H1 bearish order block does not hold, the next point of interest is the H1 buy stops. If these buy stops are taken, I will look for a confirmation entry to the downside.
Trading Strategy:
Focus on Bearish Order Flow: Given the evidence of bearish institutional order flow, I am targeting the H1 bearish order block as the primary entry point for short positions.
Contingency Plan: Should the H1 bearish order block fail to hold, I will wait for the H1 buy stops to be taken before considering a confirmation entry towards the downside.
Target Levels:
Draw on Liquidity: The targets are displayed on the chart, with a specific focus on the engineered trendline liquidity. Sell stops are resting below these lows, making them a prime objective.
Conclusion:
By understanding the current bearish institutional order flow and leveraging key support and resistance levels, we can effectively anticipate and execute trades on EURUSD. The divergence observed with DXY and the strong H1 bearish order block support a bearish outlook, guiding our strategy towards taking advantage of short opportunities in the market.
For a detailed explanation on how to use the Smart Money Tool (SMT), please follow this link to one of my lectures:
Understanding Trend Analysis, SMT and ICT Concepts
Happy Trading,
The_Architect
DAILY MARKET WATCH: USDCAD Is Bulllish!This pair is moving toward the LRLR (Low Resistance Liquidity Run).
I mentioned this move in my Weekly Forex Forecast, and price is now reaching for the old highs.
I am mindful that tomorrow's economic news, Core PCE, will likely turn the market volatile, and
potentially turn the bias. We'll see.
Best to wait until after the news announcement for new entries.
My Theory Bias on Gold⚱️#XAUUSD (GOLD / U.S. Dollar)
⏰Time Frame : 4-hour
📌Status : Neutral
‼️ Important
📆26.06.2024
By investigating the #gold graph on the 4-hour time span, we can see that in the wake of stirring things up around town focus of $2337 from our last examination, gold confronted weighty selling pressure and neglected to arrive at the ensuing targets. Following this, gold encountered a huge drop, remedying down to $2304, and has since seen recharged request in the wake of social occasion liquidity underneath this level. As of now, gold is exchanging around $2315. We really want to check whether the cost can remain over this basic level for the following 8 hours. Assuming the cost falls beneath $2309 once more, it will probably enter the $2200 territory. Notwithstanding, in the event that gold can settle above $2320, we could see it rise again to $2329. This investigation will be refreshed appropriately.
GBPUSD: Short-Term Bullish Prospects and Key LevelsGreetings Traders!
Current Market Analysis:
At the moment, I am observing a bullish draw towards the upside on GBPUSD, particularly evident on the smaller timeframes. The institutional order flow is currently bullish, supported by the presence of bullish fair value gaps.
Key Observations:
Bullish Fair Value Gaps: Price is being consistently supported by bullish fair value gaps. These gaps are aligned with bullish order blocks, indicating new funds being invested at these points to sustain bullish momentum.
Liquidity Target: The market typically seeks areas with substantial liquidity. Presently, there is engineered trendline liquidity at the premium prices, which I am targeting as a potential area for price to draw towards.
Previous Week's High: Another significant target is last week's previous high, known to hold large bodies of liquidity.
Trading Strategy:
Focus on Bullish Order Flow: With the evidence of bullish institutional order flow, I am looking to enter long positions, taking advantage of the support provided by the fair value gaps and bullish order blocks.
Upside Targets: The primary targets are the engineered trendline liquidity and the previous week's high. These targets align with the current bullish momentum and offer significant profit potential.
Conclusion:
By understanding the current bullish institutional order flow and identifying key liquidity targets, we can effectively plan and execute trades on GBPUSD. The confluence of fair value gaps and bullish order blocks provides a robust support zone, guiding our strategy towards profitable buying opportunities.
Happy Trading,
The_Architect
ICT Longsetup HK50👋Hello Traders,
Our 🖥️ AI system detected that there is an H1 or higher timeframe ICT Long setup in HK50.
Please refer to the details Stop loss, FVG(Buy Zone),open for take profit.
For more ideas, you are welcome to visit our profile in tradingview.
Have a good day!
Please give this post a like if you like this kind of simple idea, your feedback will bring our signal to next better level, thanks for support!
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD), here is an analysisKey Elements
45M Order Block: This represents a significant price zone where institutional orders might be present. Price is likely to react when it reaches this area.
LQ Sweep 1: Liquidity sweep, indicating a point where the market takes out previous lows or highs to grab liquidity before reversing. This is a common stop-hunt area.
FVG + Imbalance: Fair Value Gap and Imbalance areas suggest zones where price may return to fill gaps. These can act as potential targets or reversal points.
Shift 2 and OB (Order Block): Another area indicating potential supply where price previously reacted, suggesting future resistance or target.
CHOCH (Change of Character): This marks a potential trend reversal point where the market structure shifts from a bullish to bearish trend or vice versa.
Lower High / Break of Structure (LH / BOS): Indicates a break in the market structure, confirming a trend change.
OB Unmitigated: This shows an order block that hasn't been tested yet, indicating a potential area of interest for buy orders.
$$$: Representing areas of high liquidity, often targeted by the market.
Current Setup and Projection
Entry and Stop-Loss: The green area shows a long entry position with a stop-loss slightly below the OB unmitigated area.
Target: The target is set at the FVG+ area, suggesting a significant upward move from the current price level.
Trade Idea
The chart suggests entering a long position near the current price level of around 2324.725, with a stop-loss set around 2313.000. The target for this move is around 2349.500, aiming for the FVG+ or imbalance area.
Additional Observations
Liquidity Sweeps: Multiple liquidity sweeps indicate attempts to grab liquidity before making significant moves, suggesting volatility.
Trendlines and Structure: The chart shows a mixture of bullish and bearish structures, indicating potential consolidation before a breakout.
Conclusion
The chart indicates a bullish setup, with the expectation that the price will move towards the FVG+ area after filling the order blocks and imbalances below. The setup suggests a long position with a risk-reward ratio favoring the upside, targeting the next significant supply area.
If you have any specific questions or need further details on this analysis, feel free to ask!