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Ict

Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 43 - USDSEK - (14th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions. A couple of things to note: - I cannot see news events. - I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range. - I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks In this session I will be analyzing USDCOP, starting from the 3-Month chart. If you want to learn more, check out my TradingView profile.
TVC:DXY
by Road_2_Funded
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 42 - USDCOP - (14th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions. A couple of things to note: - I cannot see news events. - I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range. - I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks In this session I will be analyzing USDCOP, starting from the 3-Month chart. If you want to learn more, check out my TradingView profile.
by Road_2_Funded
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 41 - USDIDR - (13th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions. A couple of things to note: - I cannot see news events. - I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range. - I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks In this session I will be analyzing USDIDR, starting from the 3-Month chart. If you want to learn more, check out my TradingView profile.
by Road_2_Funded
GBPUSD: Intraday Trade Alert - Potential Sell OpportunityGreetings Traders! Analyzing Bearish Institutional Order Flow At the moment, I am observing continuous bearish institutional order flow stepping into the market to reach sell-side objectives. I am selling price action off the M15 bearish order block, which is strong due to an inefficiency (FVG & liquidity void) resting below it. As price reached into the order block, it filled those inefficiencies and has now reached a balanced price range, which I expect to hold. Therefore, I am considering a risked entry on the order block to target the M15 sell stops. Key Observations: Bearish Momentum: Order Block Resistance: Price is using the M15 bearish order block as resistance, indicating strong bearish momentum. Targeting Sell Stops: The primary objective is the M15 sell stops. As well as the H1 Discount Sell Stops. Buy Stop Bearish Scenario: m15 Buy Stops: If price moves towards the M15 buy stops, I will look for a confirmation entry to sell price towards the downside. Trading Strategy: Primary Focus: Entering a risked sell entry on the M15 bearish order block to target the M15 sell stops. Secondary Consideration: Monitoring the m15 buy stops, if they get taken I will look for confirmation entries to sell towards the bearish targets. GBPUSD & DXY Video Analysis: Key Expectations and Trends Ahead! If you'd like to further understand why I am anticipating a bearish draw towards the downside on GBPUSD, please watch my end-of-week outlook video on GBPUSD and the DXY through the link provided. It's important to know how you will be approaching the market, so please conduct further analysis to make well-informed trading decisions. Kind Regards, The_Architect
Short
by The_Archi-tect
*SMC* DXY correlated with US02Y Bonds As we can see on the daily tf, DXY has created Relative Equal High at 105.459 which translate to this level being a liquidity pool. We are likely to see 105.459 being taken out put where can it go? As we can see, above 105.459, the closer PDArray is the OrderBlock (made the 30 Apr) which confluate with the 75% of the Dealing Range and another buyside liquidity pool at 105.742. I dont expect DXY to trade above the mean threshold of the OrderBlock and if it touched I expect a strong reaction to the downside. Concerning the 02 year Bonds , the body has respected the OrderBlock (30 Apr) creating relative equal low which has been taken out (june 12). There is a ''crack'' in correlation right now between the DXY and the major Bonds of the US which leads me to think that there is a higher probability for the DXY to follow the Bound and drop lower. Fundamentally, Powell has been pointing out the progress that has been made (which could eventually lead to a cut of rates) However, the ''Dot Plot' ' surprised the market of a likely to only 1 cut this year instead of 2-3 rate cut priced-in, which could be the reason why DXY has been going higher the last couple of days.
TVC:US02Y
by ezod
2
GBPUSD & DXY Analysis: Key Expectations and Trends Ahead!Greetings, Traders! Join me in today's video for an in-depth analysis of GBPUSD and DXY, where we'll explore key expectations for today's and tomorrow's trading sessions, as well as summarize this week's trends. This analysis is pivotal as it sets the tone for next week's trading. We've reached a critical juncture on both the DXY and GBPUSD charts, making it essential to understand the potential market movements ahead. What do you think will be the major market mover going into next week? Stay tuned for valuable insights, and don't hesitate to leave any questions or comments below. Happy Trading, The_Architect
by The_Archi-tect
2
CL / Crude Oil ShortContext: • Monthly: First signs of bearish orderflow. Bearish FVG in the making • Weekly: Bearish FVGs getting respeced • Daily: Rejection and break below prev. day low. Caution because of two bullish FVGs Idea: • 1h-4h Mitigation Block with 1h close below prev day low. • Respecting 1h FVgs • Inside current 1h candle on 15min closed last 15min bullish FVG • Potentially building a balanced price range on 15min → Long around prev. day low about 77.88 Target: • 1st would be currend day low • 2nd: Upper limit of daily FVG at 77.22 Entry / Stop: • Reversal Setup with stop above the entry signal • Or at 77.88 with stop about 78.05 Signal invalidated: • breaking lower withoug looking back • Prive going above 78.05 I want the current 15min-Candle to close inside the range of the previous 15min candle. Be careful about News in about 30minutes! Please feel free to comment
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by MichaelBw
Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 06/06/2024Despite taking the loss on 05/06/2024, we remained committed to our strategy. The thorough testing of the Judas Swing strategy has bolstered our confidence, allowing us to continue trading whenever our setup forms. The next day 06/06/2024 At 8:25 AM EST, we got to our trading desk and started the day doing the basics on our Judas Swing strategy checklist which includes: - Making sure the timezone is set to New York time - Making sure we're on the 5 min timeframe - Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30 - Marking the high and low of the zone Now that we have established the day's low and high, we await the sweep of liquidity on either side of the zone to determine our bias for the trading session. Liquidity was taken at the lows after 20 minutes, signaling our focus would be on identifying potential buying opportunities. To avoid getting trapped, we waited for price to create a Break of Structure (BOS) to the buy side which occurred at 09:40. Subsequently, our focus shifted to identifying the initial Fair Value Gap within the displacement leg that broke structure. Price then retraced into the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), so we waited and only executed our trade once the candle that touched or entered the FVG had closed. After executing the trade, price moved in our intended direction with minimal drawdown. Similarly, we entered a trade on NZDUSD, and it was also progressing well towards our take profit target. Price nearly reached our take profit (TP) level but then reversed, prolonging our position in the trade. On average, we anticipate being in a trade for approximately 8 hours and 6 minutes, so we remained calm and trusted our strategy. Our patience was rewarded when we achieved our target on both AUDUSD and NZDUSD trades, resulting in a 4% gain (2% from each trade), having risked a total of 2% (1% on each trade).
by CleoFinance
Gold Analysis 12/06/24Analyzing the provided gold (XAU/USD) chart on a 4-hour timeframe, here are the potential scenarios based on the CPI data release: 1. *Positive CPI (Higher than expected inflation):* - *Interest Rate Hike Likely:* If CPI data is positive (indicating higher inflation), the Federal Reserve might consider raising interest rates to combat inflation. This scenario can lead to a strengthening US dollar and typically puts downward pressure on gold prices. - *Price Movement:* - *Key Level to Watch:* If gold price closes below the current support level of approximately 2,290.390, we can expect a downward movement towards the next support levels of 2,278 to 2,265, as marked on the chart. - *Technical Indicators:* The chart shows clean traffic below this level, suggesting potential for a more significant drop if this support breaks. 2. *Negative CPI (Lower than expected inflation):* - *Interest Rate Hike Unlikely or Rate Hold:* If CPI data is negative (indicating lower inflation), the Federal Reserve might hold off on raising rates or even consider rate cuts. This scenario can weaken the US dollar and generally supports higher gold prices. - *Price Movement:* - *Key Level to Watch:* If gold price closes above the resistance level of approximately 2,318.071, we can expect an upward movement towards the next resistance levels of 2,325 to 2,337. - *Technical Indicators:* The chart indicates clean traffic above this level, suggesting potential for further gains if this resistance is broken. *Scenarios Summarized:* - *If CPI is positive (high inflation):* Gold price could drop below 2,290.390, targeting 2,278 to 2,265. - *If CPI is negative (low inflation):* Gold price could rise above 2,318.071, targeting 2,325 to 2,337. In General im Bearish with Gold , i think gold might Drop way more But Not for long i'll explain why after posting i'll share some News that may help , i dont take trades based on News unless its confirmed those news might be wrong or right
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TraderFa9ir
GBPUSD: What Should We Expect from Today's CPI Release?Greetings Traders! What to Expect in Today's CPI Release At the moment, GBPUSD is showing a relationship with bullish order blocks. We observe that after buy stops (external range liquidity) have been taken, the market moves into bullish order blocks (internal range liquidity), and these order blocks are consistently supporting the price. This indicates that the current price action is being driven by bullish institutional order flow, which may continue further today. Key Observations: Bullish Momentum: Order Blocks Support: Price is supported by bullish order blocks, indicating strong bullish momentum. Targeting Buy Stops: The main liquidity draw is towards the buy stops at the high. There is minimal resistance in this direction due to the heavy downward moves during Friday's NFP release. Potential Bearish Shift: Market Shift: If there is a market shift towards the downside, or if the order flow from the bullish order blocks is broken, we may see a downward draw towards the sell stops. Cautious Approach: While the current bias is towards bullishness, any invalidation of this bias will lead to a reassessment of trading opportunities. Trading Strategy: Primary Focus: Anticipating upward movement towards buy stops based on current bullish order flow. Secondary Consideration: Monitoring for any signs of a bearish market shift and avoiding sell-side trades if the bullish bias is invalidated. Please conduct further analysis on your own to complement this overview and to make well-informed trading decisions. Kind Regards, The_Architect
Long
by The_Archi-tect
BTC local levels to watch out for You can see here the FVG below that was taken during the Asian Range, and there's an order block above. These are key levels to watch out for when we get the NY-AM open for the CPI release today. I suspect we'll see a trade setup form around that time. Right now, I'm just eyeballing these levels, with the REH (relatively equal highs) just above the Asian range. This could act as a reversal point if we get a displacement from this level or the order block above. It's a bit too early to tell what will happen, so let's wait for the setups to develop. #BTC #Crypto #Trading #CryptoTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #TradingView
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by salamanka
Gold Analysis 12/06/24Analyzing the provided gold (XAU/USD) chart on a 4-hour timeframe, here are the potential scenarios based on the CPI data release: 1. *Positive CPI (Higher than expected inflation):* - *Interest Rate Hike Likely:* If CPI data is positive (indicating higher inflation), the Federal Reserve might consider raising interest rates to combat inflation. This scenario can lead to a strengthening US dollar and typically puts downward pressure on gold prices. - *Price Movement:* - *Key Level to Watch:* If gold price closes below the current support level of approximately 2,290.390, we can expect a downward movement towards the next support levels of 2,278 to 2,265, as marked on the chart. - *Technical Indicators:* The chart shows clean traffic below this level, suggesting potential for a more significant drop if this support breaks. 2. *Negative CPI (Lower than expected inflation):* - *Interest Rate Hike Unlikely or Rate Hold:* If CPI data is negative (indicating lower inflation), the Federal Reserve might hold off on raising rates or even consider rate cuts. This scenario can weaken the US dollar and generally supports higher gold prices. - *Price Movement:* - *Key Level to Watch:* If gold price closes above the resistance level of approximately 2,318.071, we can expect an upward movement towards the next resistance levels of 2,325 to 2,337. - *Technical Indicators:* The chart indicates clean traffic above this level, suggesting potential for further gains if this resistance is broken. *Scenarios Summarized:* - *If CPI is positive (high inflation):* Gold price could drop below 2,290.390, targeting 2,278 to 2,265. - *If CPI is negative (low inflation):* Gold price could rise above 2,318.071, targeting 2,325 to 2,337. In General im Bearish with Gold , i think gold might Drop way more But Not for long i'll explain why after posting i'll share some News that may help , i dont take trades based on News unless its confirmed those news might be wrong or right
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TraderFa9ir
Bitcoin is Bearish or Bullish?To analyze the INDEX:BTCUSD Bitcoin to USD (BTC/USD) chart using the ICT style, we focus on the following key points and concepts: 1. Overall Trend Observation: The chart shows that Bitcoin's price has been in an upward trend starting from October 2023 and continuing until June 2024. Currently, a slight decline in the price is observed. 2. Liquidity Zones : - **Buy-Side Liquidity**: At higher levels (strong resistances), there are buy-side liquidity zones that can be considered as targets for an upward move. These zones include around $72,500, which is seen as a major resistance level. - **Sell-Side Liquidity**: At lower levels (strong supports), there are sell-side liquidity zones. These zones include around $60,000 and $55,000, which are seen as strong support levels. 3. Order Blocks : - **Bullish Order Block**: There is a bullish order block in the area of $63,000 to $64,000, indicating buying interest in this zone. - **Bearish Order Block**: If the price moves to lower levels, the bearish order block around $55,000 could be a significant area for a price reversal. 4. Fair Value Gaps (FVG): - If the price continues to drop, there might be fair value gaps between $60,000 and $62,000 that could be filled. 5. Volume Analysis: - Increasing volume during price rises confirms the upward trend. - Decreasing volume during price drops can indicate seller weakness and increase the likelihood of a price reversal from support levels. 6. Key Levels to Watch: - **Support**: $60,000 and $55,000 act as key support levels. - **Resistance**: $70,000 and $72,500 act as key resistance levels. Conclusion: According to the ICT analysis, Bitcoin is in an overall upward trend but has recently seen a price drop. The price might move towards lower support levels before potentially reversing. Monitoring trading volume and price behavior near key liquidity zones, order blocks, and fair value gaps can provide good guidance for trading decisions.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Pedi_wxe
Notcoin is Bullish or Bearish ?The chart is for the cryptocurrency pair BINANCE:NOTUSDT NOT/USDT from Binance , analyzed on a daily timeframe. Here is a breakdown of the analysis presented: 1. **Current Price**: The current price is approximately 0.015983 USDT. 2. **Price Zones**: - **Fair Value Gaps (FVG)**: Two Fair Value Gaps are highlighted on the chart, indicating areas where price movement was rapid and may return to fill these gaps. - The first FVG is around the 0.017000 USDT level. - The second FVG is around the 0.013500 USDT level. 3. **Order Blocks (OB)**: These are areas of high buying or selling interest, often leading to price reversals. - Two OB+ (Order Block) areas are noted, correlating with the FVGs. 4. **Liquidity Zones**: - **Buyside Liquidity**: This is marked at a higher level, indicating an area where there may be a significant amount of buy orders. The specific levels are marked at 0.029300 USDT and 0.037000 USDT. 5. **Price Projections**: - **Bullish Scenario**: If the price moves upward, it could aim for the buyside liquidity zones at 0.029300 USDT and then 0.037000 USDT. - **Bearish Scenario**: If the price declines, it might target the lower OB and FVG areas around 0.013500 USDT. 6. **Volume Analysis**: The volume bars at the bottom indicate trading activity, with a notable increase during the recent price rise. 7. **50% Shadow**: A level marked as "50% Shadow" which might be an important retracement or equilibrium level. ### Interpretation: - **Bullish Indicators**: If the price can sustain above the current FVG and OB areas, it may attempt to reach the higher liquidity zones. This bullish scenario is illustrated by the green and black arrows projecting upward movements. - **Bearish Indicators**: A failure to maintain the current levels could result in the price dropping to fill the lower FVG, supported by the red arrows projecting downward movements. ### Conclusion: This chart suggests a critical juncture where the price may either move up towards the higher liquidity zones if it can maintain above the current FVG and OB levels or potentially drop to fill the lower FVG if it fails to hold these levels. Monitoring the price action around these key zones and the volume dynamics can provide further insights into the likely direction.
by Pedi_wxe
2