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Breaking: $HYPE Coin Set for Another Breakout After New ATHIntroduction In the fast-paced world of decentralized finance (DeFi), GETTEX:HYPE is making waves once again. Days after reaching its all-time high (ATH) of $29, the token is showing signs of another bullish breakout. With its strong technical setup and solid fundamentals, traders and investors are closely watching as momentum builds for the Layer 1 decentralized exchange (DEX) token that offers up to 200x leverage. What is Hyperliquid? Hyperliquid represents a next-generation Layer 1 (L1) blockchain platform designed to revolutionize the DeFi space. At its core, Hyperliquid prioritizes performance, scalability, and user efficiency with its innovative features: 1. Custom Layer 1 Blockchain: Built from the ground up, Hyperliquid eliminates traditional blockchain bottlenecks, supporting a high throughput of 100,000 orders per second with block latency under 1 second. 2. HyperBFT Consensus Mechanism: A proprietary consensus inspired by Hotstuff ensures rapid transaction finality and robust security. 3. Fully On-Chain Order Book: Unlike most DEXs relying on off-chain solutions, Hyperliquid’s on-chain order book enhances transparency and trust. 4. Zero Gas Fees: Transactions occur without gas fees, significantly lowering the cost barrier for perpetual futures trading. 5. Native Applications: The flagship product, Hyperliquid DEX, facilitates perpetual futures trading directly on the L1 blockchain, positioning itself as a pioneer in on-chain perpetual exchanges. Hyperliquid’s self-funded approach ensures independence and focus, with a development team comprising alumni from Harvard, Caltech, MIT, and professionals from top-tier tech and financial firms. Market Performance and Metrics Hyperliquid’s impressive growth is backed by strong market activity: - Current Price: ~$28.10 (down 3.01% from ATH) - 24h Trading Volume: $353.4 million (+0.40%) - Market Cap: $9.5 billion (Rank #26 on CoinGecko) - Fully Diluted Valuation: $28.4 billion - All-Time Low: $3.81 (Nov 29, 2024) – Up 639% since its lowest point With a 107.1% price increase over the past 7 days, GETTEX:HYPE has significantly outperformed both the global cryptocurrency market (+8.8%) and its Smart Contract Platform peers (+8.4%). The token’s liquidity and trading demand remain robust, with centralized exchanges like KuCoin, BingX, and CoinW driving the bulk of its volume. The HYPE/USDT pair alone saw $13.5 million in trading volume on KuCoin in the last 24 hours. Technical Analysis On the daily chart, GETTEX:HYPE displays a bullish symmetrical triangle, a continuation pattern that typically precedes a breakout. - Current Price: ~$28.10 (up 4.45%) - Key Resistance: $29.03 (ATH) - Next Target: $35 - Potential Upside: A confirmed breakout could send GETTEX:HYPE soaring toward $50, representing a 50% move from its current level. Indicators Supporting the Breakout 1. Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 59, the RSI signals plenty of room for further upward movement before entering overbought territory. 2. Volume Surge: A 33% increase in trading volume over the past 24 hours underscores growing bullish momentum. 3. Price Action: A move above the recent high of $29 would invalidate any bearish sentiment and likely trigger FOMO-driven buying. With GETTEX:HYPE consolidating near its ATH, the breakout scenario appears increasingly likely, given the strong technical and fundamental tailwinds. Conclusion Hyperliquid’s innovative Layer 1 blockchain and fully on-chain perpetuals exchange position it as a trailblazer in the DeFi space. With a combination of: - Strong fundamentals (zero gas fees, high throughput, and a top-tier team), - Exceptional market performance, - Bullish technical patterns (symmetrical triangle and RSI at 59), GETTEX:HYPE is set for another potential breakout. A move above $29 could trigger a surge toward $35 and beyond, with an upside target of $50 in sight. As always, investors and traders should proceed with caution, conduct thorough research, and stay alert for market developments. However, the momentum behind GETTEX:HYPE appears undeniable as it continues to capture the attention of the crypto world.
KUCOIN:HYPEUSDTLong
by DEXWireNews
DYM - A Whole Different Dimension...Dear TradingView community and fellow traders, I am Richard, also known as theSignalyst. I find the DYM daily chart to be intriguing as it appears to be following the famous Wyckoff Cycle. I would like to apply Richard Wyckoff's four market stages/phases to this chart for analysis as a practical example. 1️⃣ MarkDown After being listed, DYM was bearish making lower highs and lower lows. 2️⃣ Accumulation DYM is currently trading within a big range between $1 and $2.4 in the shape of symmetrical triangle. 3️⃣ MarkUp For the MarkUp phase to start, a break above the upper bound of the range at $2.4 is needed. I hope you find this post useful, and I would appreciate your likes and support. Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen first? and why? 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard
Long
by TheSignalyst
4
NVDA: Riding the AI Hype Wave to $250!NASDAQ:NVDA just hit its all-time high last friday, reaching my swing trade target. While I took profits as part of my routine discipline, I still believe there's plenty of upside left, with $250 in sight. Here's why: Strong Fundamentals: Nvidia consistently beats earnings expectations, with EPS climbing from $0.11 to $0.68 over recent six quarters. This growth trajectory shows no signs of slowing down, reinforcing the stock's upward momentum. Analyst Confidence: Out of 65 analysts, 51 rate Nvidia as a "Strong Buy," with none suggesting a sell. While the average price target is $149.81, the highest target of $202.79 shows strong backing from the financial community. Bullish Technicals: Weekly and daily moving averages, from the 10-day to the 200-day, are flashing "Buy" across the board. Add to that a myriad of other indicators in different time frames (basically, you name it), and it’s signaling "Buy." In short, everything is pointing towards continued bullish momentum and potential for further gains. Market Leadership: Nvidia's dominance in AI and high-performance computing continues to grow. Its cutting-edge AI chips, as well as its strong presence in data centers and gaming, put the company in a prime position to capitalize on key growth sectors. And finally, why am I more bullish than even the highest analyst target? Well, it’s simple: the hype. Nvidia is at the forefront of the most exciting and disruptive technologies today—AI, data centers, gaming—you name it. The market's enthusiasm surrounding these sectors is growing exponentially, and Nvidia is perfectly positioned to ride that wave. Sometimes, fundamentals and technicals align with pure market excitement, and that’s where I see Nvidia pushing past those conservative estimates toward $250. Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only. It should not be considered as financial or investment advice. Trading stocks involves risk, and you should perform your own research or consult with a professional before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by CF_444
Palantir: A Star Poised to AscendIn the world of cutting-edge technology, Palantir stands out as a beacon of innovation and transformative power. Its revolutionary software platform, Foundry, has revolutionized the way organizations harness the power of data to drive meaningful insights, enhance decision-making, and optimize operations. As the demand for data-driven solutions continues to surge, Palantir is poised to become an indispensable force shaping the future of business and society. Palantir's exceptional growth trajectory and expanding client base speak volumes about its transformative potential. The company's expanding reach across industries, from government and defense to healthcare and finance, underscores its ability to address a wide range of critical challenges. Palantir's commitment to innovation and its ability to adapt to evolving market needs further solidify its position as a leader in the data intelligence space. As Palantir continues to scale, its stock is set to soar, reflecting the immense value it delivers to its clients and the profound impact it has on the world. Investors who recognize the company's transformative potential are well-positioned to reap significant rewards from Palantir's meteoric ascent.
PLong
by SabahEquityResearch
6
TSLA rallies based on comments, it wont lastAfter an earnings call, TSLA rallied overnight by 10%. The financials show the company failed to beat reduced expectations from analysts, so what gives? Elon Musk has proven once again his skills at being a show man. Rallies based on comments and hype of whats to come dont last. AAPL recently went through a similar situation, stock rallied on news they finally would release AI products in the future, soon after it continued dumping. People are buying the
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by ratchet-mint
Real World Assets (RWA) : The Future of Finance or Hype !?The cryptocurrency market has evolved significantly over the past decade, moving beyond its initial focus on digital currencies to encompass a broader range of assets, including real-world assets (RWAs). RWAs represent tangible assets such as real estate, commodities, and financial instruments that are tokenized and traded on the blockchain. The integration of RWAs into the crypto ecosystem offers a multitude of benefits, including: Enhanced Access to Financial Markets: RWAs democratize access to traditional financial markets, enabling individuals and institutions to participate in asset classes that were previously inaccessible or illiquid. Increased Transparency and Efficiency: Blockchain technology provides a transparent and immutable record of asset ownership and transactions, reducing counterparty risk and improving operational efficiency. Fractional Ownership and Reduced Investment Barriers: Tokenization of RWAs allows for fractional ownership, lowering investment barriers and enabling broader participation in asset classes that were traditionally reserved for high-net-worth individuals. Diversification and Risk Mitigation: RWAs introduce diversification opportunities into crypto portfolios, potentially reducing overall portfolio risk and enhancing risk-adjusted returns. Top 5 RWA Coins with Promising Potential: LINK: Chainlink (LINK) is a decentralized oracle network that connects blockchains to real-world data and services. It plays a crucial role in bridging the gap between the crypto and traditional worlds, enabling the development of RWA-based applications. Technical Analysis: LINK's weekly chart exhibits a massive range consolidation pattern, suggesting a period of accumulation. A recent liquidity sweep below the range followed by a surge in price indicates a potential breakout. The current price action near the $12 support level could trigger another upward move. PENDLE: Pendle (PENDLE) is a decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol that enables users to create customized fixed-rate or yield-bearing tokens for any asset. It facilitates the creation of RWA-based derivatives, expanding the range of investment options available in the crypto space. Technical Analysis: PENDLE's daily chart showcases an ascending channel pattern with a recent breakout and retest of the upper trendline. This bullish pattern, combined with the coin's relatively new status in the market, suggests strong upside potential. A price target of $12 appears achievable. MKR: Maker (MKR) is the governance token of the MakerDAO decentralized stablecoin platform. It plays a central role in maintaining the stability of the DAI stablecoin, which is often used as a collateral for RWA-backed loans. Technical Analysis: MKR's daily chart displays a liquidity sweep below the 1800-1900 support range followed by a surge to $3400. The recent pullback and retest of the 0.5 daily imbalance level at $2500 presents an opportunity for a potential rally to $5000, aiming to fill the imbalance gap. SNX: Synthetix (SNX) is a DeFi protocol that enables the creation of synthetic assets, including those pegged to RWAs. It offers a decentralized alternative to traditional asset trading, expanding access to a wider range of assets. Technical Analysis: SNX's weekly chart exhibits a large triangle pattern, indicating a period of price consolidation and building tension. The recent breakout and retest of the trendline signal a bullish trend. A price target of $7 appears feasible if the trendline support holds. ONDO: Ondo Finance (ONDO) is a DeFi protocol that focuses on structured products and options trading. It utilizes real-world market data to create innovative financial instruments, enabling users to hedge against risks and speculate on market movements. Technical Analysis: ONDO's daily chart displays an ascending trend with consistent retests and positive momentum. The coin's ability to efficiently utilize liquidity is evident in its price action. Continued accumulation of liquidity could propel ONDO to new highs. Conclusion: Real-world assets (RWAs) are poised to revolutionize the cryptocurrency market, introducing new investment opportunities, enhancing financial inclusion, and bridging the gap between traditional and decentralized finance. The top 5 RWA coins discussed in this article – LINK, PENDLE, MKR, SNX, and ONDO – represent promising projects with the potential to shape the future of RWAs in the crypto ecosystem. As the adoption of RWAs continues to grow, these coins are well-positioned to capture significant value in the evolving financial landscape.
Long
by Yaroslav_Krasko
QREDO THE NEXT MOON COIN : IT START WITH BUILDING!Thanks for reading this update. QREDO seems an interesting coin where data shows that this can be the bottom to new highs. We know from more trends that whales try to increase always from the Bottom trend. We see this coin able to break in the coming times. Data shows that this coin can do the unexpected increase ' This coin did enter a long-term stability trend, but there seem some changes going on in the coin. Soon more updates. This is not trading advice.
QLong
by SatochiTrader
9
FRONT THE NEW COINHelloTrader, Thanks for taking the time to read our update. Please note that this is not trading advice. FRONT, the recently introduced coin, appears to be displaying noteworthy trading volume, which could potentially serve as a promising indicator for further confirmation in the near future. As of now, it is exhibiting characteristics of a volume coin. DATA: We will closely monitor this coin's performance to determine whether it can successfully establish and validate new price levels, specifically aiming at milestones such as $0.80 and $1.00 USD.
FLong
by SatochiTrader
4
CTRM Jumps Today Reports in the MorningOn the 15-minute chart, I see CTRM as being well-positioned among traders for high volatility on the report of earnings. The pump today has printed a tight flag pattern with consolidation this afternoon. If earnings are okay or even better I see this penny stock making another 10-15% move just like today. If on the other hand, if there is a miss, a drop of 5-8 % as a retracement could easily unfold ! The meat of the matter, is reading the price action and volumes in the premarket and preparedness overall. Stop loss 0.497 below the Doji candle. First target 10% second 15%
NASDAQ:CTRMLong
by AwesomeAvani
Is AI excitement creating a stock market bubble?History shapes our views and we are always seeking analogs comparable to current events. Even if we know that ‘past performance is not indicative of future performance’, we are still comforted when we draw parallels to the past. Many are now drawing parallels of the current tech enthusiasm to the dawn of the internet. The quintessential example of a ‘bubble’ occurred in the late 1990’s. Some hallmarks of that time: When companies put the suffix ‘.com’ on their names, their share prices soared. Any company can do this and it has nothing to do with any real business prospects or potential. With the absence of profits or even sales, new metrics were created to make the case for progress in businesses like webpage visits or clicks. Many of the leading internet companies did not have positive earnings but, even in the more established S&P 500 which required profitability to get included, we approached price levels of 100x earnings for many large cap names. Hundreds of billions of dollars of market capitalisation was supported by dreams of wild future profits. And for what is happening in the first half of 2023: There are companies putting ‘AI’ (artificial intelligence) into their names, but it is not yet a huge number and, alongside this, the transition of big numbers of private companies tapping the public markets has not yet happened. Additionally, companies putting AI into their names have real business reasons for doing so. Naturally, investors will look to track measures like the intensity with which firms are using AI or engaging with data. Because people remember the 2000-02 ‘Tech Bubble’ period, we doubt that investors will also then say that ‘earnings don’t matter’ or ‘revenues don’t matter’—or at least that could still be some time away. When people look at how the big indices, like the Nasdaq 100 Index and the S&P 500 Index, are being driven higher by the largest companies, we see that all of those large companies are ‘real businesses’. They have revenues, they have cash flows, and they have earnings. It’s absolutely true that investors might look at Nvidia, as an example, and think that the multiple is too high for the growth that they expect to see—but it’s not a case where Nvidia is selling the dream of making a chip one day. Nvidia chips exist, they are sold, and Nvidia is the clear leader in providing the graphics processing units (GPUs) that allow AI to run. Even if the market could very well be ripe for a near-term correction after a nearly 6-month run, and even if that run was accompanied by a hype cycle in AI, we are not seeing signals that the broad technology focused stocks are in bubble territory. Let’s look at some numbers During the ‘Tech Bubble’ investors decided to not consider the classic statistics. We will not make that mistake here. We create a view of the ‘Expanded Tech’ sector. Companies like Meta Platforms and Alphabet are in ‘Communication Services.’ Amazon.com (even accounting for that .com suffix) is in ‘Consumer Discretionary’. Information Technology includes Microsoft and Apple. If we use this ‘Expanded Tech’ designation, we capture a broader cross section of technology.1 In 1998-2000, roughly speaking, this index was hitting a forward P/E ratio2 of more than 55x. The initial run up was based on prices and euphoria—the second spike into the 50x range would have been from the quick drop in forward earnings expectations when the popping of the bubble was clear. Looking at what the same Index is currently trading at in terms of forward P/E present, it is still below 30x. 28.4x is not ‘cheap’, so we are not seeking to indicate that tech is currently cheap in any way. Back in 2000, real interest rates were higher. However, we would note that this multiple expansion has occurred alongside a higher interest rate environment—not always an easy feat for stocks to achieve. Back in 2000, when the tech sector was over 55x forward earnings, real interest rates (measured by TIPS bonds) were double where they are currently. We can see how the ‘other stocks’ that are not tech have been doing by way of valuation. These other stocks never broke a 30x forward P/E ratio during the tech bubble. The current valuation of the ex-tech part of the S&P 500 is at 16.7x, and is very close to the average over the full period. This is not ‘cheap’, but certainly not getting into the more expensive territory. The bottom line: a bubble is not just ‘a bit expensive’ but, rather, a bubble represents a situation where there is a clear case that prices have gone extremely far beyond fundamentals. Forcing ourselves back to a classic figure, forward P/E ratio, we don’t see evidence of that being the case. Dealing with the AI hype cycle Still, we understand that performance in thematic equities can come in waves. One way to deal with these waves is to allocate to certain themes and then recognise that, over a cycle (something closer to 10 years than 5 years), there are going to be periods of strongly positive and strongly negative returns. In many cases, knowing whether the themes are working or not is something completely different from looking at the share price performance. What we know today is that, in the current quarter, Nvidia is expecting revenues in the range of $11 billion USD3. It will be critical to watch that trajectory, which then indicates a 12-month run rate above $40 billion. Do we actually see that materialise? Similarly, companies like Microsoft and Alphabet will continue to talk about the topic and launch new options for their customers. These are the kinds of things that we can honestly see and monitor. Signals of a greater degree of froth could entail seeing a much more robust IPO (initial public offering) market in specific AI companies, which may happen in the future but is not here yet. We are not saying that one day there cannot ultimately be a bubble—we are all still human, and human behaviours create bubbles—but what we are seeing at this moment is not yet there. Sources 1 This is akin to older definitions of the section before GICs made some changes to internet and communications stocks. 2 P/E ratio = price to earnings ratio. 3 Source: Factset, as of Nvidia’s earnings guidance given on their Q1 2023 earnings call. This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
FRED:NDQ100
by aneekaguptaWTE
Mitigate Nvidia risk with a value-chain exposure to AIThe recent earnings announcement from Nvidia was historic. It’s not often that a firm shifts revenue guidance for an upcoming quarter from $7 billion to $11 billion. Nvidia’s total market capitalisation touched $1 trillion, something very few companies ever achieve1. An overzealous valuation? Professor Aswath Damodaran of New York University2, well known for his work on valuation, has said he cannot rationalise a $1 trillion valuation. Damodaran estimates Nvidia has a roughly 80% share of the artificial intelligence (AI) semiconductor market, which is around $25 billion today. Using bullish assumptions, which may not prove accurate, he looks to see growth in the AI semiconductor market to reach $350 billion within a decade. If Nvidia captured 100% future market share (a bold assumption), Damodaran’s valuation still resides about 20% below current prices. Nvidia is essentially a hardware company. One can see them try to ramp up software, but that is not the main driver. Other companies that achieved the $1 trillion market capitalisation level have software companies with network effects that draw vast numbers of end users into ecosystems. These software businesses have many ways to earn revenue from new products and services. Professor Damodaran’s valuations do not necessarily lead to share prices that immediately decline—but it may be difficult to keep the return momentum coming with equal fervor. Nvidia’s products do not operate in a vacuum WisdomTree spends a lot of time focusing on the AI megatrend. Nvidia’s products do not exist in a standalone fashion, as they are plugged into cabinets containing other hardware functioning in concert. If the AI semiconductor market grows, as many now expect, a lot of companies will benefit. Nvidia cannot, by itself, manufacture its semiconductors end-to-end. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) is responsible for this part of the puzzle. There is a whole semiconductor value chain, and each element captures a different-sized slice of the economic value pie. There are a range of companies associated with ‘generative AI’ over the period from the release of ChatGPT. Alphabet, Meta and Microsoft represent companies developing large language models (LLMs) to allow users to directly access generative AI. Meta was beaten down in 2022, due to disappointment with the firm’s metaverse efforts, but AI and cost cutting is helping them in 2023. Alphabet and Microsoft are at the centre of the generative AI battleground. Microsoft, so far, is winning on the cloud computing battle front with its Azure platform, whereas Alphabet’s Google is going to be very difficult to fend off in the internet search space. It’s interesting to compare Nvidia to Samsung and SK Hynix. Running AI models, especially large AI models, requires memory, and Samsung and SK Hynix are in the memory chip space. Excitement, at least in recent years, fluctuated in waves across the broad semiconductors market. Right now, during the explosion of generative AI, graphics processing units (GPUs), where Nvidia is the leader, are all the rage. Synopsys and TSMC represent notable, necessary value-chain plays on semiconductors. Nvidia chips cannot be created in a vacuum. Synopsys provides necessary electronic design automation capabilities, whereas TSMC is among the only companies with a manufacturing process advanced enough to fabricate Nvidia’s most advanced chips. Is AI over-hyped? The Gartner Hype cycle characterises one way to view new technologies. In the short term, excitement leads to money flows. Share prices and valuations benefit. At a certain point, a realisation sets in that true success, growth, and adoption takes time, so at this point there is usually a lot of selling and a tougher return environment. Finally, there is a recognition that pessimism is also not quite appropriate as the technology is still important and still being used, so growth rates and returns then tend to be more reasonable. AI is not any one single thing. Today we think of it as ChatGPT, LLMs or generative AI, but other disciplines and functionalities are still there, they just aren’t grabbing headlines in same way. ‘Generative AI’ and ‘foundation models’ might be nearing a peak of inflated expectations. Have you been excited about self-driving vehicles recently? No? Well, that could be part of the reason why ‘autonomous vehicles’ might be near the trough of disillusionment. Computer vision, which has been around for quite some time, is making its way up the so-called ‘slope of enlightenment’. The hype cycle is not an exact science. Any discipline on this graph could generate any sort of return, positive or negative, going forward. It’s simply a tool that helps us place all of these different topics on a broader continuum. The only thing we seem to know for sure is that all of the topics do not generate the same levels of excitement or pessimism all the time. Conclusion: it’s possible to mitigate single company risk by looking across the AI ecosystem The hype cycle illustration points out that the various applications of AI are at different points of adoption, excitement, and development. No one knows the future with certainty, but we believe there is growth occurring in all of these disciplines. The world is enthralled with generative AI now, but the world was similarly excited about autonomous vehicles a few years ago. Progress is occurring, even if we are not seeing it reflected in every headline. WisdomTree has a broad-based AI index to capture these AI trends. While Nvidia’s valuation is getting stretched, according to Professor Damodaran, WisdomTree’s AI index did not change much following the Nvidia surge. The entire ecosystem of AI defined by WisdomTree is not as beholden to the moves of any single company. AI has the potential to impact every industry which is why WisdomTree built a broad-based, ecosystem-oriented approach as opposed to concentrating on any single stock. Sources 1 Source: Bloomberg. 2 Source: Hough, Jack. “Nvidia Is the New Tesla, the ‘Dean of Valuation’ Says. It’s Time to Cash Out.” Barrons. May 31, 2023.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by aneekaguptaWTE
CAPP: The New Apple VR Hype Coin of 2023CAPP is poised to become a significant cryptocurrency for the future of VR development. It has already garnered the attention of renowned companies like NVIDIA, known for their substantial contributions to VR technology, including Cappasity. The initial rollout of Apple Vision Pro will primarily target businesses, with subsequent versions intended for customer use. These later versions are expected to be more affordable, starting at a beta price. Anticipation is high that this development will ignite a new wave of excitement in the VR industry, and Cappasity stands a good chance of experiencing increased trading volume and price action as a result. Currently, Cappasity is listed on Kucoin, but with the potential for greater trading volume, it may be listed on additional exchanges in the near future. Cappasity is adding to the important APPLE development list with NVIDIA.
CLong
by Goldenbreakout
2
Pepe prediction Now I'm not entirely sure I can do TA on a hype meme coin but il try as I want to buy some. Pepe might be the next meme coin champion next cycle 🤷‍♂️ We over shot the 1.13 fib massively because of crazy fomo hype (circle) but ultimately came back down, retested and got rejected. All ups have thier downs and I expect pepes to be a deep retrace. X marks where il hopefully be able to pick some up 🤞🔥 This price was pepe's last resistance which was not retested. This price is also the 0.886 fib from the first up swing. Price is also the 1.13 from the most recent swing.
Short
by Connix
Long AI Short HypeFighting innovation is a fool’s errand. Getting entangled in hype is no less. Generative AI is drawing attention. ChatGPT skyrocketed in popularity since launch last November. With its intuitive responses, it has become the fastest-growing app in history reaching one million users in five days and 100 million in two months. In contrast, Google took 12 months and Facebook required four years to get there. The virality highlights the potential disruptive power of generative AI. Disruptive innovation is not new. Railways in 1800s to Blockchain in the recent past provide ample history. As observed before, innovation takes time to mature. Yet the hype cycle races ahead only to plunge in time to normalise. This paper uses iShares Exponential Technologies ETF (XT) as a proxy to cutting edge innovation. XT invests in global firms with exposure to exponential tech, which displaces older tech. It invests across nine themes comprising of firms in both developed and emerging markets that create or use exponential tech. This paper argues for gains to be harvested from sinking hype using a spread trade. A long position in CME Micro E-Mini Nasdaq Futures (MNQ) combined with a short position in XT will deliver a compelling 1.49x reward to risk ratio. HISTORY OF HYPED INNOVATION Gartner hype cycle graphically depicts disruptive innovation journey. First comes the climb to peak hype. Second, fall to trough of disillusion. Third, slope of enlightenment followed by plateau of productivity. Using Google Trends as a proxy for hype cycle, it shows that market mania around AI is not new. AI searches surged in 2011 with the launch of Siri, Cortana, and IBM’s Watson. With natural language processing tech still in infancy, practical applications were limited then. And soon, the frenzy fizzled. Innovation in new machine learning algo such as convolutional neural networks and deep learning led to the launch of ChatGPT. Its potential is clear. Yet the tech is in early stages requiring a lot more work before it can mount serious challenge to existing tools. Tech parity will take considerable time let alone the meaningful monetisation which requires legal and ethical AI use hurdles to be cleared. One of the foremost examples of Gartner’s Hype Cycle is the boom in US Railways between 1840-1860. Hopes of ever-increasing returns attracted large scale investments only to result in eventual disappointment. Illustrations from recent past (Crypto, IoT, and Blockchain) shows similar fate of over-hyped tech. CURRENT HYPE IN XT, C3 AI, AND BEIJING DEEP GLINT A 23% surge in price in iShares Exponential Technologies ETF since mid-October last year is emblematic of Gartner’s hype cycle. This is even more evident in the share price of C3.ai. Founded by legendary entrepreneur Tom Siebel, this company was named C3 Energy when formed. It changed its name to C3 IoT in 2016 and then renamed again to C3.ai in 2019 to ride the waves of hype. US equities cannot claim monopoly over hype. Equities elsewhere get swayed too. Shares in Beijing Deep Glint Technology also rallied 80% spurred by ChatGPT. However, last week, the company announced challenges in offering ChatGPT-linked products causing its shares to tank 10%. ROAD AHEAD FOR GENERATIVE AI Generative AI is here to stay. Infancy for now but the tech will mature. Competition will rise. Winners will emerge. But monetization is another story altogether. Favouring innovation while frowning on hype fuelled by inflated expectations, this case study proposes a spread trade. A long position in CME Micro E-Mini Nasdaq Futures (MNQ) combined with a short position in iShares Exponential Technologies ETF (XT) delivers a compelling 1.49 reward to risk ratio. TRADE SET UP Why a spread trade? In the short term, elevated levels of uncertainty have left experts puzzled on whether we are in a bull market or a bear market rally. Hence, to extract pure alpha (by neutralising beta) of securing gains from diminishing hype, this case study proposes a spread trade. The spread will gain in a bullish market when MNQ rises relative to XT. Similarly, the spread will gain in a bearish market when XT falls more than MNQ. CME’s Micro E-Mini Nasdaq-100 Index Futures expiring in June 2023 (MNQM2023) provides a notional exposure to $2 x Nasdaq-100 index. With MNQM2023 settling at 12,525.50 on February 17th, the futures provide a notional exposure of $25,051. XT settled at $52.58 on the same day. A spread requires notional value of both the legs to be identical. Therefore, this requires short selling 476 units of XT for a short exposure of $25,028. • Entry: 238.218 • Target: 255 • Stop: 227 • Profit at Target: $ 1,760 • Loss at Stop: $ 1,180 • Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 1.49x MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description. REFERENCES www.cmegroup.com www.cmegroup.com
CME_MINI:MNQM2023Long
by mintdotfinance
18
MSFT still respecting key levels (options)Trading options based on key levels to take profit can be an effective strategy for investors looking to capitalize on short-term price movements. These key levels, also known as support and resistance levels, are often identified by analyzing historical price data and identifying areas where prices have previously stalled or reversed. By entering trades at these key levels and setting profit targets accordingly, investors can limit their risk and potentially realize gains in a shorter period of time. However, it's important to remember that trading options involves risk and investors should have a solid understanding of options trading and market analysis before attempting to use this strategy. I created these key levels on MSFT in December and they still hold true today. Red levels are daily levels, yellow are hourly levels, and orange are your intraday levels. By my estimation, MSFT looks like it will bounce and find resistance at $260, but if it breaks through, it should go to $264 next. However, if MSFT breaks down tomorrow, we should reasonably target a move to $253 and a further move would go to about $247. Todays price action was lackluster. There was a nice trendy move at the beginning of the day but it almost completely reversed itself. Watch the wavemaster indicator on lower timeframes for a sign of what is to come next. Right now, I see us in the middle of a range with a higher potential we bounce tomorrow vs go down.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by bitdoctor
BITCOIN IS OVERBOUGHT! RSI shows the price will go back downTo everyone that is overly exited with Bitcoin right now... Calm down! Yes Bitcoin has rallied quite a bit for the past day, but don't jump on it too quickly because it is extremely overbought. As shown on the RSI, the price is largely above the 70 mark, meaning that people are buying excessively and that the price will soon come back down. If you gained from the bullish movement, think about selling soon and buying again when the price will come back down because it certainly will according to the RSI.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by YanakTrading
1