Hang Seng HSI
HSI approaching support, potential bounce! HSI is approaching our first support at 25562 (78.6%, 61.8% fibonacci retracement, 61.8% fibonacci extension, horizontal swing low support) and a strong bounce might occur above this level pushing price up to our major resistance at 26619 (61.8% fibonacci retracement, 61.8% fibonacci extension, horizontal swing high resistance).
Stochastic (34,5,3) is also approaching support and we might see a corresponding bounce in price should it react off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks
HSI approaching support, potential bounce!Hang Seng Index is approaching our first support at 25562 (horizontal swing low support, 61.8% Fibonacci extension, 78.6%, 61.8% fibonacci retracement ) where a strong bounce might occur above this level pushing price up to our major resistance at 26619 (61.8% fibonacci extension, 61.8% fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing high resistance). Stochastic (34,5,3)is approaching support and we might see a corresponding bounce in price above this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
Rejection from Fibbs and trendline1. Good RR with stoploss above structure
2. Pin bar rejection from the fibb level
3. Volume is low on the pullback
4. Rejection from trend line.
5. Lower close of previous low in 1hour time frame. Good reason for entry
HSI testing resistance, potential drop! Price is testing our first resistance at 26619 61.8% fibonacci retracement, 61.8% fibonacci extension, horizontal swing high resistance) where a strong drop might occur pushing price down to our major support at 25562 78.6%, 61.8% fibonacci retracement, 61.8% fibonacci extension, horizontal swing low support).
Stochastic (34,5,3) is also approaching resistance where we might see a corresonding drop at this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
Hong Kong HSI will test upward trend line2018.12.06 Hong Kong HSI will test upward trend line, if HSI cross below upward trend line, will have more chance to go lower.
HSI approaching resistance, potential drop! HSI is approaching our first resistance at 27336 (100% fibonacci extension, 78.6% fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing high resistance) and a strong drop might occur pushing price down to our major support at 25050 (61.8% Fibonacci extension, 76.4% Fibonacci retracement, Horizontal swing low support).
Stochastic (89,5,3) is also approaching resistance and we might see a corresponding drop in price should it react off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
Hang Seng IndexThe Hang Seng index should have a sharp wave 4 rebound as wave 2 is a sideway movement. we should aim for 27200-28000 target.
then a wave 5 again. so wait for the sweet spot for sell or buy into to the rebound now.
Hang Seng reversalI'm gonna let this G20 bullish mania settle a bit and see how these indices react to these gap ups before making a move but this looks like a clear cut reversal head and shoulders coming off an island bottom. Looks bullish. Might miss some of the move if it keeps running from here but if it actually ends up being a valid reversal there will be plenty of profit getting in a bit late.
HSI approaching resistance, potential drop! HSI is approaching our first resistance at 26619 (Horizontal swing high resistance, 61.8% fibonacci retracement, 61.8% fibonacci extension) and a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 24316 (horizontal swing low support, 61.8% fibonacci retracement, 61.8% fibonacci extension).
Stochastic (34,5,3) is also approaching resistance and we might see a corresponding drop in price should it react off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks
HSI ShortsPrice is revisiting previous swing high levels. Although resistance is around 26400, price can definitely continue to increase further before coming down. Thus it is only logical to place your Stop Loss above the previous Swing Highs. The Stop Loss level of 26800 is part of my strategy. If you are following this trade, do not adjust the stop loss. Rather, adjust your lot sizing instead. This is one of the very few Low Risk, High Reward Trade. Personally I have increasing my risk for 1% to 5% (thus 5x the usual profits).
Trade with care everyone and have a good week ahead. If you find my trades and analysis helpful, please visit my Patreon to support me :)
$HSI The final is yet to come.There is a classic single zigzag and the final is yet to come.
Now there is a 4th wave in impulse C with a target of 27000. This goal is conditional since the 4th wave is an ascending triangle and into the final wave E, which has now begun, it can both penetrate level a-c and not reach it.
Next will be the final 5th wave, and most likely it will be truncated (since the peak of the first wave is 24390) with a target at 24500
$HSI Let's take a deeper look at the current situation.Based on Fibonacci levels, we see that the impulse is not yet complete. And the fall that is happening now - wave 4 of this impulse. Since the drop was very strong, wave 5 will most likely be truncated and stop in the range of 34000 - 35000. After that, a long-term correction will begin which should return the values to the bottom of 4 waves, That is, to the level 24400 - 24000
This analysis will not be true if HSI falls below 24364.
In the following analysis, we will try to understand the current correction to determine whether it has ended.
Subscribe to our channel, put likes, leave comments to follow our analytics
HSI Long Term Analysis. Looks optimisticUnfortunately not enough data. Graph shows values from 1987.
We proceeded from the value of 100 points in 1964 as the beginning of the first wave.
Probability that the correction comes to an end, but the goal in 24093 should be achieved in any case.
If the index goes below this value - the next target is 21889 points. This is the most negative scenario. In this case there is an extremely high probability of forming a triangle and the correction will be very long.
Upon completion of the correction target 42757
HSI dead cat bounce?Fib retrace on HSI from year highs shows that we are hitting resistance levels at 26400 level. Bounce driven mainly by Trump politics and mid terms. Trend lines still heading down...so staying short.
Hang Seng Long Short UpdateUpdate to the original post.
Since the Hang Seng Index EWH hit the upper bound in January 2018, it has since dropped as much as 22%. Shorting from the point of touching the upper bound would have beaten the market significantly this year across all indexes.
Current situation
We currently bounced off a resistance line, the same one we bounced off after the 2012 euro crisis. But the situation is a bit different here and I expect either a retest or a break. Considering none of the issues in China / Europe have been resolved and are only getting worse, I don't expect this to be a permanent bounce like it was in 2012, and I think we test the lower green line as we have done historically. Given fundamental problems in China and Europe, I see a potential for breaking the lower boundary, which could result in an enormous bust potentially. This would likely signify a banking crisis of some sort in Asia.
Original Trade Strategy Around This Chart
Everything should be self explanatory in the chart. Of course - this will work until it doesn't, but since the 90's the HSI index has called market tops when it hits it's upper resistance line, and has called market bottoms when it hits its lower resistance lines. You can see how perfect this has timed markets with the correlation to the SPX index in the lower chart. In short, you can avoid drawdowns in markets by being long SPX during the good times, and going short HSI during the bad times.
The manner which this has historically timed major market tops and bottoms is rather ridiculous. The data speaks for itself to be honest.
Hong Kong Stock Index (HSI) (Nov 2018) This will be my views of Hong Kong Stock Index (Nov 2018)
Please make sure to read the "update" comment as there will be changes along the way.
Cheers.
S0nic
Disclaimer:
The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. We may or We may not take the trade.
The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation.
We, Sonicr Mastery dot com is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.
Hong Kong Stock Index (HSI) (Oct 2018) This will be my views of Hong Kong Stock Index (Oct 2018)
Please make sure to read the "update" comment as there will be changes along the way.
Cheers.
S0nic
Disclaimer:
The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. We may or We may not take the trade.
The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation.
We, Sonicr Mastery dot com is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.
The preponderance of evidence: HSI futuresThis is part of a series of charts which I will posting for the reader to make up his/her mind based on the weight of the evidence.
Do note, these are weekly charts which means the implications of which will occur over the next 12, 18, 24, 36 months.
rely on trendline to long or short Hong Kong future HSII use trendline to trade Hong Kong future HSI. After HSI breakthrough the first steep declien trendline. Now still need to wait until HSI price breakthrough the gentle decline trendline. It might take couple of days. If HSI price is below the exit stop lose price, would be good position to short.
