Hang Seng HSI
2021 Aug 02 Week
OANDA:HK33HKD
2021 Aug 02 Week
Last week a historically UHV down bar appeared. Strength always appears on UHV ultra wide spread DOWN bar.
Weekly: Market has rolled over with a wide spread down bar closing in middle (UHV) = Indecision.
Price bounced off Monthly channel demand line.
Daily: Shakeout + Reversal = Strength. Market was resisted at 26340 temporarily.
Given the UHV, there should still be supply to clear.
H4: Bar A UHV ultra wide spread bar closing off low = strength. Automatic reversal after climatic Bar A
has reasonably good bullish volume. Test of the lower region of bar A is to be expected.
Bar B test of low has off the low and level with bar A, some demand is present.
Strategy:
(1) Red/Green zones = preferred entry
(2) Dotted Red/Green is to indicate late entry, but risk will be higher since SL is further away
Remember to follow and like if you find this useful.
Have a profitable week ahead.
Stocks - What Next?Idea for indices:
- As expected, Robinhood IPO was the trigger for global sell-off (other factors involved obviously, but I have been posting about everything macro related in other posts).
- China continuing to lead down.
- Look how the deflationary wave hits HSI > Nikkei > EU > US. Dome tops forming everywhere.
- ECB actually has greater QE than US, so EU index performance is a critical tell for deflationary forces vs. QE.
- Watch China Tech ETFs to lead US indices down. Managers will need to also liquidate US positions as their portfolio % exposure becomes overweight.
I've been enjoying watching Nikkei lately - it just broke a critical support and 200 DMA (6m low), officially a bear market if it consolidates losses. However, it is still holding 50 WMA and 200 DMA in real performance... waiting for US markets for confirmation.
Bearish bias here, turning point is due. Aug 2 debt limit will be in focus. Early August is my trigger for reversal confirmation. If it holds, we can back off and try again later, but rugpull is definitely due.
Already short US indices (long vol).
Nikkei real performance (relative to currency):
Here is what I think will happen to Nikkei next:
GLHF
- DPT
Hang Seng Index Futures at Key Inflection Point, Top to Resume?After tumbling recently, Hang Seng Futures are back to retesting a former trendline from 2020 as new resistance.
This is also around the often pivotal 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 26078.
The near-term 20- and 50-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) still offer a downside bias, potentially acting as key resistance in the event prices materially push higher.
Otherwise, downtrend resumption entails clearing key support, which seems to be the 78.6% level at 24708, as the index flirts with bear market territory.
HSI1!
HSI (Hong Kong Index) Could provide a short opportunity HSI (Hong Kong Index) Could provide a short opportunity after reaching marked resistance area. However, price have been dropping massively so this up move could end up in a change of trend since price managed to reach weekly demand areas, however, higher time frame trend still remain short. Keep an eye on it and wait for confirmation to be given around the selected area.
Pacific Basin 2343:HK Possible entry opportunityUptrending since January with strong support at the 20 EMA.
The most recent dip is collateral damage arising from the China tech crackdown, which has seen the tide lower across the HSI. This represents an opportunity.
Additionally, huge supply and demand factors in the global shipping industry at play right now.
I expect a bounce off 2.82 if not before that. Speculative target 50% exit at 3.35 (~7 days). Laughing all the way to 3.50 (~15 days).
Do your own research.
Stocks - What do HSI and Nikkei Know?Idea for HSI & NI225:
- Delta variant proving to be a third wave globally.
- Supply chain issues, productivity decline, credit impulse having spillover on Asian indices now.
- SPX will get its wake-up call too.
I know this frequency well.
Speculate Jul-Aug will be very painful for global indices.
GLHF
- DPT
HSI DailyDaily RSI went oversold so it got a bounce, but I think there's further downside because their own government keeps crushing various stocks.
I don't think Xi gives a rat's ass about the stock market any more, obviously he's trying to squash billionaires. It's supposed to be a communist country, after all.
Also, Xi WILL invade Taiwan while Biden is in office. He's made that a goal, and he's 68 so he knows he doesn't have a lot of time left to leave his legacy. If only there was a way to get inside info on WHEN, you'd make a killing with EWT puts. Maybe he does it to celebrate his 70th birthday in a couple of years, no real way to predict....
Anyways, see the highlighted peak, expect a similar whipsaw down.
HANG SENG INDEX Will Go Down! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
HSI is trading below a strong horizontal resistance
That was established 4 months ago
And once the index retested the level
We saw a nice bearish reaction
Given the renewed lockdowns in some parts of China
Together with the 2nd biggest port brought to a halt
And the persistent news of the Radioactive leak In the Southern Provinces
The sentiment isn't optimistic
And the date on sales of cars and smartphones China confirms that
All of that combined make a bearish correction very real
And the target is near the previous low that stands at -4%
Vis a vis the current levels
Sell!
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See other ideas below too!
HSI1! 2021 June 21 Week (Intraday)
HSI1!
HSI1! 2021 June 21 Week (Intraday)
Market has made lower high and we can now visualize a down channel.
Intermittent support at 28441.
Scenario:
1) Short opportunity if price returns to test 28751 - 28655 region
2) Wait for price reaction at red/green zone before taking position.
HSI1! 2020 May 31 Week (Intraday)
HSI1!
HSI1! 2020 May 31 Week (Intraday)
Weekly = TBC | Daily = TBC | H4 = Bullish H1 = price rotation
Bar 1 = weakness, no result from effort
Bar 2 = Upthrust = weakness
Bar 3 = reversal = weakness
Red/Green zone = preferred entry
Immediate support = 28942
If price continues to peel away from the supply (upper line of the channel,
means upward momentum may be weakening / pausing.