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Copper Futures HG1!

Will China's Game Redefine The Global Copper Paradigm?In the dynamic landscape of global commodities, copper emerges as a fascinating case study of economic interconnectedness and strategic policymaking. Recent developments have seen prices climb to $8,971.50 per metric ton, driven by China's bold $411 billion treasury bond initiative – a move that could reshape the metal's trajectory in international markets. This price movement, however, tells only part of a more complex story that challenges conventional market wisdom. The interplay between supply fundamentals and geopolitical forces creates an intriguing narrative. While physical demand remains robust and Chinese inventories run low, the market grapples with a 19% decline from its May peak, highlighting the delicate balance between immediate market dynamics and broader economic forces. This tension is further amplified by the looming influence of potential U.S. trade policies under President-elect Trump's administration, adding another layer of complexity to an already multifaceted market equation. Perhaps most compelling is the transformation of copper's role in the global economy. As traditional demand drivers like property construction show weakness, the metal's crucial position in the green energy transition offers a new frontier of opportunity. With electric vehicle sales continuing to break records and renewable energy infrastructure expanding, copper stands at the crossroads of old and new economic paradigms. This evolution, coupled with China's strategic stimulus measures and the market's response to supply-side developments, suggests that copper's story in 2025 and beyond will be one of adaptation, resilience, and strategic importance in the global economic landscape.
COMEX:HG1!Long
by UDIS_View
COPPER | XCUUSD | HG1! Weekly Forecast: Bearish to the Lows!There is significant Sell Side Liquidity at the lows of this market. This will draw price to it. Look for price to potentially trade into and drop from the Weekly -FVG. Should be some significant opportunities this coming week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX:HG1!Short
by RT_Money
Copper - Markets await employment data!In the 4H timeframe, copper is located between EMA200 and EMA50 and is moving in its descending channel. Copper moved down from the supply zone of the previous analysis. If the upward trend continues, it is possible to sell copper in the next supply zone. The downward correction of copper will provide us with the opportunity to buy it with the appropriate risk reward The governor of the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) has stated that the central bank will maintain its accommodative monetary policy in 2025. The bank also aims to promote sustainable development in the real estate and capital markets through effective utilization of structural monetary policy tools. Meanwhile, the United States has imposed new export restrictions designed to curtail China’s ability to advance its high-tech semiconductor industry and slow the development of military applications for artificial intelligence (AI). In response, the China Internet Association has expressed that these restrictions will significantly harm the healthy and sustainable growth of China’s internet industry. The association has also urged domestic companies to exercise caution when purchasing American chips and to seek expanded cooperation with chip manufacturers from other countries. In a retaliatory move, China’s Ministry of Commerce has announced a ban on exporting key rare earth metals to the U.S. and is considering stricter reviews for graphite exports. These raw materials are critical for industries such as semiconductors, military systems, electric vehicle batteries, and solar technologies. The ongoing trade tensions between the two nations could have far-reaching consequences for both sides. In the U.S., it is anticipated that November’s employment figures will reflect recovery after being weighed down by recent storms and a major strike.This aligns with a labor market that remains healthy but is gradually normalizing. According to a Bloomberg survey, nonfarm payrolls (NFP) likely increased by 200,000 in November, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1%. As the Boeing strike ends and recovery efforts from recent storms begin, November’s job report is expected to be less affected by unusual factors. However, a consistent decline in job openings, moderate employment growth, and layoff plans from companies like Boeing and General Motors indicate a softer labor market overall. These developments, along with Friday’s employment data, could significantly influence future Federal Reserve policy decisions and market expectations for interest rate cuts. The Wall Street Journal reports that the U.S. construction industry is facing new challenges. The Trump administration’s immigration and trade policies have left homebuilders in a vulnerable position. New tariffs and restrictions on immigrant labor are two key pressures confronting the industry. For instance, McKinney, Texas, which two decades ago was accessible only via a two-lane highway, has now grown to a city of over 200,000 residents, becoming one of the fastest-growing areas in the country. This city’s development has relied heavily on immigrant labor and industries dependent on imported steel and commodities. However, recent policies are imposing new challenges, leaving homebuilders grappling with even greater difficulties.
CAPITALCOM:COPPERLong
by Ali_PSND
9
COPPER bottomed and a huge rally is expected to start.Copper (HG1!) has been trading within a Channel Up for 1.5 year (since May 2022) and is consolidating at the moment on the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) very close to the pattern's bottom. This is in fact a Double Bottom formation that is similar to the September 28 2022 Low. As you can see both fractals had a 1W MA50 Double Bottom with their 1D RSI sequences also following an identical trend. The 2022 bottom initiated a rebound that hit the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result, our Target as of now for Copper is 4.900. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
COMEX:HG1!Long
by TradingShot
1
Weekly Forecast Nov. 18th: Silver / Platinum / Copper /Crude OilThe precious metals have been bearish over the last couple of weeks. Will the market shift to a bullish one this week? Crude Oil has been bearish-neutral. Institutional players are busy adding to their sell positions. What will the market do this week? Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX_MINI:SIL1!
by RT_Money
FORECAST UPDATES! Silver / Platinum / Copper /Crude OilTuesday Nov. 19 Price has tipped its hand, and traded through the -FVGs on all of the metals. The bullish rallies give us a bias to base our buy setups on! Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX:HG1!Long
by RT_Money
Copper Bounce? $HG1! at Key Demand Zone!Back at a strong demand level on COMEX:HG1! (Copper futures). The key invalidation is a 4-hour close below 3.92, so I'll be watching closely to manually close. I'm looking for a potential bounce from here, and if the weekly candle closes bullish, I may consider this a reversal setup. The confluence between the weekly support and the current demand zone gives me confidence to take the trade. If the move fails, my next level to watch is 3.7 for another potential entry. Let’s see if COMEX:HG1! behaves this time.
COMEX:HG1!Long
by ZelfTrade
Copper Prices Decline as Dollar Rises,Pressuring Foreign HoldersCopper prices are experiencing a deeper decline, coinciding with the dollar index reaching its highest level since early July. This strong dollar makes metals priced in USD more expensive for international buyers, resulting in increased losses for copper. The dollar's upward trajectory has been fueled by expectations that President Trump's proposed tariff and tax reforms may keep US interest rates elevated, negatively impacting trading partners, particularly China, which is already facing challenges in revitalizing its economy. Despite China’s efforts to address concealed debt and inject more stimulus into the economy, these measures have yet to translate into positive market sentiment. Slow corporate borrowing in China is raising concerns about future metals consumption, as noted by Dan Smith, head of research at Amalgamated Metal Trading. From a technical perspective, a demand zone has been identified around the 4.0625 to 4.000 range. Given the ongoing increase in the dollar index (DXY), this price level may be tested soon. The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals that 'smart money' is holding long positions, while retail investors are beginning to shift towards shorting. We are closely monitoring this metal for a potential reaction at the identified demand area. This situation presents a developing narrative worth watching in the copper market. ✅ Please share your thoughts about Copper in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
COMEX:HG1!
by FOREXN1
1
GOLD, SILVER, PLATINUM & COPPER Weekly Forecast Nov. 11thThe Metals are at areas of supportive discount arrays, but will they move higher. The latest COT Report indicates the institutional traders are betting on higher prices, even when the assets seem to be in consolidation. Monday is a US bank holiday, and Tuesday may start slow, but I suspect the price action will be clearer come Wednesday. Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NYMEX:PL1!
by RT_Money
5
COPPER High probability buy signal on the 1D MA50.Copper (HG1!) is about to hit its 1D MA50 for the first time in a month (since September 16), following a 1D Golden Cross. Coming off a Higher High rejection within a short-term Bullish Megaphone, if the 1D MA50 holds, it is technically the perfect buy entry. This Bullish Megaphone is essentially the Bullish Leg of the 2-year Channel Up. The symmetrical Bullish Megaphone of September 27 2022 - January 18 2023 peaked on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result, our Target is 4.900. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
COMEX:HG1!Long
by TradingShot
COPPER Bottomed Out: Long Opportunity!Going Long on Copper: I’m taking a long position in CAPITALCOM:COPPER at this level. If it retraces, I plan to add to my position down to around 4.15. The weekly downtrend has ended, and this week’s price action has erased the previous bearish expansion bar. There are signs of bullishness on smaller timeframes, and the daily chart shows an active uptrend for the coming week. It looks like the low may be in on this one. COMEX:HG1!
COMEX:HG1!Long
by ZelfTrade
Smart Money Positioned to LONG Copper - COT StrategyDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence. COT Strategy LONG Copper (HG) My COT strategy has me on alert for long trades in HG if we get a confirmed bullish change of trend on the Daily timeframe. COT Commercial Index: Buy Sentiment: Advisors very bearish is actually...bullish. OI Analysis: Multi week down move has seen OI decrease drastically while Commercials have added to longs = bullish. Valuation: Undervalued vs Gold & Treasuries Bullish Spread Divergence Supplementary Indicators: Acc/Dist & %R Remember, this is not a "Long Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the upside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the upside. Good luck & good trading.
COMEX:HGZ2024Long
by Tradius_Trades
COPPER Rejected on the 1D MA50. Will it rebound or break lower?Copper (HG1!) got rejected yesterday on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since early July. This is a clear Bearish Leg on a potential Channel Up pattern, so technically, it may form a bottom on its Higher Lows trend-line and rebound. If it does, our Target will be the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at 4.900 as on the January 17 2023 rebound. If on the other hand the price breaks below 3.800 and the Higher Lows (dotted) trend-line, we will take the loss on the buy and sell, targeting 3.3500 (top of 2 year Support Zone). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
COMEX:HG1!
by TradingShot
1