Hellena | SPX500 (4H): Long to the area of 5443 level.Dear colleagues, since the 5351 level has been broken, I believe that wave “2” has been completed, which means that wave “3”, which consists of five small waves, is currently developing.
Now I assume that either the price will continue the small wave “1”, or will form a small wave “2” in the area of 61.8% Fibonacci level, then continue the upward movement to the area of 5443 level.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Long to 61.8% Fibo lvl 1.09710.Dear Colleagues, I believe that wave “2” has been completed, which means that price is now forming wave “3”.
I expect the price to make a correction in the small wave “2” in the area of 1.08181, then I expect an update of the high.
I expect the price to reach at least the area of Fibonacci 61.8% extension level (1.09710).
Then we will see what will happen next.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | Oil (4H): Long, correction to the area of 76.326.Dear colleagues, I have analyzed for a long time and came to the conclusion that the price will probably continue to decline, but at the moment I see that wave “3” is not formed yet, and therefore wave “4” is not formed either. Therefore, I expect a correction to the area of 76.326, but it is desirable that the price does not reach the level of 76.50, because this is the minimum of wave “1”.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Long to resistance area 2404.446.Dear colleagues, the markup turned out to be rather unusual, but I still assume that the price is headed for a correction in wave “4” (2328.823). This may mean that the price will soon start an upward movement at least to the area of the nearest resistance at 2404.446.
After confirmation of this movement we will consider options for further upward movement.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): Short to support area 5165.Dear colleagues, I am considering the possibility that wave “2” is not yet completed, because wave “a” looks more like a part of a correction than a full-fledged correction.
Therefore, I count on the update of the high of 5300, and then a downward movement to complete wave “2” to the support area of 5165.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Long to resistance area 1.08877.Dear Colleagues, I have redrawn the waves and I believe that the upward movement will still take place, but later than I expected earlier.
I believe that the price is completing the corrective wave “2”. I assume that the price may push from the area of 50% Fibonacci Level 1.07481. Then I expect an upward movement to the nearest high of 1.08877, which is an area of strong resistance.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to resistance area of 84.42.Wave “4” traveled a greater distance than I had anticipated. At the moment I expect a small update of the 78.80 low and the beginning of the upward movement with the aim to reach the resistance area of 84.42.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): Short to 38.2% Fibo lvl 5205.Dear colleagues, I think that the price has either already completed or is about to complete the impulsive movement in wave “1”, so I expect the beginning of correction at least to the area of 38.2% Fibonacci level 5205. It is quite possible that the price will update the high and reach the area of 5375 before starting the correction.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | DJI (4H): Short to the support area 37616.32.Dear colleagues, having reviewed the waves I assume that now the price is in a big correction and I expect that the price will continue downward movement to the support area 37616.32 (completion of the wave “C”). Before that a small correction to the resistance area 38978.81 is possible.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | DJI (4H): Short to the area of 38566.67.Dear colleagues, I believe that the impulse of the senior wave “1” is not yet over.
I assume that the correction is now in priority, so 2 variants of events are possible:
1) formation of lower wave “4” and “5” (39863.75), then correction with the aim to reach the area of 38566.67;
2) The correction will start soon without a new high, but in this case we will have to reconsider the waves.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Long to resistance area at 1.09501.Dear colleagues, I believe that the five-wave momentum is not yet complete. I expect a correction in wave “4” to the area of 1.08270, then the continuation of the upward movement to the area of 1.09501. Thus, the price will complete the wave “1” of the higher order.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Long to resistance area of 2455.145.Dear Colleagues, I believe that the upward movement is not over yet. If we look at the wave pattern, we can see that the price has gone through 5 waves in the impulse “3”. This means that there should be an upward wave “5”.
Therefore, I expect a correction to the area of 2402.732, after which I expect the price in the resistance area of 2455.145.
Thus the five-wave movement will be completed.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Long to resistance area of 2402.809.Dear colleagues, I believe that the price will continue the upward movement to the resistance area 2402.809. This is the minimum target in case wave “5” turns out to be truncated. Before this movement, a correction is possible in the area of 50% Fibonacci level 2328.823.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Long to resistance area at 1.08843.Dear Colleagues, I believe that the price is in the impulsive movement of the senior wave “3” and in the junior corrective wave “2”.
Therefore, I expect the price to correct to the area of 50% - 61.8% Fibonacci levels at 1.07217, then I expect the upward movement to continue and reach the resistance area at 1.08843.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): Long to resistance area 5282.3. Dear colleagues, I assume that the upward movement in the senior wave “3” will continue, but after a small correction, presumably to the area of 50% Fibonacci level 5117.0 . Then I assume the continuation of the upward movement to the resistance area 5282.3.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Long to resistance area of 2358.71.Dear Colleagues, I suppose that the wave "4" of the higher order is completing its movement. I expect a possible update of the minimum and reaching the area of 2281.89 or the beginning of the upward movement to the resistance area of 2358.71.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | DJI (4H): Long to the resistance area 39156.49.Dear Colleagues, I suppose that the price has started the wave "5" of the higher order. At the moment I expect a correction in wave "2" of lower order, then I expect the beginning of wave "3" with the aim to reach the resistance area 39156.49.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): Long to 100% Fibo lvl 5209.Colleagues, in the coming trading week I expect the uptrend to continue after the formation of corrective wave “2”, which I expect in the area of 50% Fibonacci level 5025.
After that I expect the beginning of the formation of wave “3”, with the aim to reach 100% of the Fibonacci extension level 5209.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
📍Part #1, Elliott Waves: "Introduction. Classification".Hello!
Dear colleagues, because I am constantly analyzing the markets with the help of wave analysis. Many colleagues ask me about it and I decided to make some tutorial posts to help you in this difficult task.
I want to present this information to you in a simple and straightforward manner.
Well, enough unnecessary text, let's get started!
A bit of history from Wikipedia.
Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871-1948), an American accountant, developed a model for the underlying social principles of financial markets by studying their price movements, and developed a set of analytical tools in the 1930s. He proposed that market prices unfold in specific patterns, which practitioners today call Elliott waves, or simply waves.
Elliott stated that "because man is subject to rhythmical procedure, calculations having to do with his activities can be projected far into the future with a justification and certainty heretofore unattainable."
In simple words, human behavior is quite predictable. And since it is mostly people who trade on the markets, we can predict its movement with some probability.
Well. Let's explore what these waves are.
Let's start by categorizing them.
The movements are mostly carried out by a five-wave structure.
📍 Modes: Motive & Corrective
Waves unfold in two distinct forms: motive and corrective. Motive waves exhibit a five-wave structure, featuring both a five-wave model and its co-directional components—waves 1, 3, and 5. The term "motive" is attributed to this structure due to its inherent ability to energize and set the market in motion. On the other hand, corrective waves, prevalent in countertrend movements, follow a three-wave structure or its variations. The name "corrective" stems from their nature as responses to preceding motive waves, executing partial retracements or "corrections" of the prior progress. Hence, these two wave types stand apart not only in their roles but also in their fundamental construction.
Motive
📍 Styles: Impulse & Diagonal.
There are two types of motive waves: impulse and diagonal. As a rule, they alternate in the position of waves 1-5 impulses and waves A-C of the zigzag.
📍 Patterns: Impulse, Leading Diagonal & Ending Diagonal
Five-wave action model. Creates forward progress.Motive waves are limited to three patterns: Impulse, Leading and Ending Diagonals.
Corrective
📍 Groups: Simple & Combined
The corrective mode has two groups, simple and combined. Combined corrections are subdivided into simple corrective structures.
The group of simple corrections includes: flat, triangle and single zigzag. Combined group — multiple zigzag and combination.
📍 Styles: Sharp & Sideways
There are two styles of corrective processes: sharp and sideways. If wave two of an impulse is a sharp correction, expect wave four to be a sideways correction, and vice versa.
📍 Patterns: Flat, Triangle, Single Zigzag, Multiple Zigzag and Combination 📍
Three-wave or five-wave (which have characteristics of both fives and threes) or their combination model of counteraction. Always produces a net retracement from the previous wave.
Corrective patterns include: single and multiple zigzags, triangle, flat, combination.
Variations
📍Divergences in Elliott Wave patterns manifest in two conditional categories: variations in form and variations in the quantity of simple structures. Impulses, diagonals, flats, triangles, and single zigzags are distinguished by the proportional length of their sub-waves, shaping the model uniquely. On the other hand, combined corrections, incorporating multiple zigzags and combinations, maintain a consistent shape, and their identification is based on the count of simple corrective structures they encompass.
This was an introductory lesson on Elliott waves. Further we will examine each type and subspecies of waves in detail in a separate lesson!
🔔 Click on the links below this lesson! 🔔
📍Part # 8, Combination - Corrective Waves.👩🏻💻 Hello !
This time we're going to look at combinations.
It may seem too complicated, but don't worry. In fact, any combination simply consists of two corrective patterns that you and I already know, only between these two patterns there is a connecting wave.
Let's go straight to the rules and everything will become clear to you at once!
✅ Rules ✅
📍A “double three” combination comprises two corrective patterns separated by one corrective pattern in the opposite direction, labeled 'X'. The first corrective pattern is labeled 'W', the second 'Y'.
📍A "double three" combination comprises (in order) a zigzag and a flat, a flat and a zigzag, a flat and a flat, a zigzag and a triangle or a flat and a triangle.
📍Wave 'X' appears as a zigzag or flat.
📍Wave 'X' always retraces at least 90 percent of wave 'W'.
📍Combinations have a sideways look. With respect to waves 'W' and 'Y' in a double three, only one of those waves in each type of combination appears as a single zigzag.
📍Combinations can occur in the same wave positions as flats and triangles (except for the triangle subwave) but cannot occur in waves 'W' and 'Y'.
✅ Guidelines ✅
📍Wave 'X' is often 123.6-138.2% the 'W' wavelength, less often wave 'X' retraces 161.8% or more. Don't expect wave 'X' to be more than 261.8% of wave 'W'.
📍Wave 'X' is usually a single or multiple zigzag.
📍When a zigzag or flat appears too small to be the entire wave with respect to the preceding wave (or, if it is to be wave '4', the preceding wave '2'), a combination is likely.
Thank you for your attention! There will be another lecture next week! Don't miss it!
🔔 Links to other lessons in related ideas. 🔔
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Long to resistance area of 1.07923.Dear Colleagues, I suppose that the price has completed the correction and is now in an impulsive movement. Presumably in wave “3”, which means that the upward movement will continue. A small correction to the support area of 1.06595 is possible, then I expect the price in the resistance area of 1.07923.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to resistance area of 87.47.Dear Colleagues, at the moment the price has made a strong downward movement. I suppose that the price is in wave "4" and can continue its movement to the support area of 80.22, but I consider only long positions, because the price can make a reversal at once. I recommend to work with pending orders.
The nearest target is the resistance area at 87.47.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
📍Part #7, Multiple Zigzag - Corrective Waves - Combined.👩🏻💻Hello!
Dear colleagues, this is the 7th lesson on wave analysis and today we are going to look at Multiple Zigzag. We already know what a Zigzag is, so we will not look at this pattern for a long time, but just to clarify that Multiple Zigzag consists of several Zigzags.
Let's get to the rules and guidelines!
✅ Rules ✅
📍A Multiple Zigzag comprise two (or three) single zigzags separated by one (or two) corrective pattern(s) in the opposite direction, labeled "X". In the first case, it is called «double zigzag», in the second - «triple zigzag» (The first single zigzag is labeled "W", the second "Y", and the third, if there is one, "Z".)
📍Waves "W", "Y" and "Z" are always single zigzags.
📍Wave "X" never goes beyond the beginning of waves "W" and "Y".
📍Wave "Y" always ends past the end of the "W", and wave "Z", if any, always ends past the end of the "Y".
📍The first "X" wave always ends on the territory of the "W" wave, the second "X", if any, on the territory of the "Y" wave.
📍In a triple zigzag, the first "X" wave is always a zigzag, flat or combination. The second "X" wave is always a zigzag, flat, triangle or combination.
📍In a double zigzag, wave "X" is always a zigzag, flat, triangle, or combination.
📍Double and triple zigzags replace single zigzags, but cannot appear as "W", "Y", or "Z" waves.
✅ Guidelines ✅
📍In a double zigzag, wave "Y" can equal wave "W", .618 wave "W", 1.618 wave "W", or terminate at a distance equal to 1.618 wave "W" past wave "W". In a triple zigzag, there can be equality among waves "W", "Y" and "Z", or wave "Z" can equal 1.618 wave "Y", 1.618 wave "Y", or terminate at a distance equal to 1.618 wave "Y", past wave "Y". In a triple zigzag, the Fibonacci relationships between waves "W" and "Y", would be the same as a double zigzag.
📍The Fibonacci relationships between waves "W" and "X" in a double zigzag, and waves "Y" and "XX" in a triple zigzag are analogous to the relationships between waves "A" and "B" in a single zigzag.
📍In a double zigzag, as a guideline, wave "b" of wave "Y" should not break the trendline that connects the beginning of wave "W" with the end of wave "X".
📍As a guideline, wave "X" (second wave "X" of the triple zigzag) of a double zigzag should break the trend channel formed by the first zigzag in wave "W" ("Y") and be greater than 80% of subwave "b" of wave "W" ("Y" and "Z").
📍When a zigzag appears too small to be the entire wave with respect to the preceding wave (or, if it is to be wave "4", the preceding wave "2"), the complication of the structure to a multiple zigzag will probably follow.
Thank you for your attention! There will be another lecture next week! Don't miss it!
🔔 Links to other lessons in related ideas. 🔔