According to this pattern, EUR/USD's next target is 1.0181A little-known pattern called the Failed Inverse Head-and-Shoulders pattern was triggered in EUR/USD yesterday following the Fed's rate meeting. This pattern occurs when the price breaks below the right shoulder of the head-and-shoulders formation, reversing the original bullish pattern into a bearish one. In this case, the target is the difference between the head and the neckline, which is 280 pips. When subtracted from the right shoulder low, this suggests the price could drop to $1.0181.
For the pattern to remain valid, the price must stay below the right shoulder low at $1.0462. As long as it trades below this level, the bearish target remains intact.
This aligns with recent developments at the Fed, which surprised the market by signaling just two rate cuts in 2025 while anticipating higher inflation. Trump's potential policies, including trade wars and tax cuts, are likely to fuel inflation. Meanwhile, Europe faces additional challenges, with continued rate cuts and expected economic strain from trade wars likely to worsen its economic troubles.
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