Harmonic Patterns
BTCUSDT- Time to sell!BTCUSDT- Time to sell!
Trading Setup:
A Trading Signal is seen in the BTCUSDT Bitcoin (1h) (Futures)
Traders can open their Sell Trades NOW
⬇️ Sell now or sell on 94800.0
⭕️ SL@96180.0
🔵 TP1@89811.0
🔵 TP2@86506.0
What are these signals based on?
Classical Technical Analysis
Price Action Candlesticks Fibonacci
RSI, Moving Average , Ichimoku , Bollinger Bands
Risk Warning
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VARAUSD and MATICUSD Correlation PointsVARAUSD dropped a massive 85% after initial pump when listed on Coinbase. We will mark this bottom as correlation point 1 even though as I will demonstrate the market for VARA is out of balance and is due a significant pump.
On the left VARA percentages are shown.
On the right MATIC percentages are shown.
In march notice that from the correlated high (not the ultimate high) from march until November VARA dropped 88%.
In the same time period MATIC dropped a significant 78%. This leaves VARA at this point a negative 11%
The pump TRUMP PUMP that started in november delivered a 154% pump for VARA and a 163% pump for MATIC a difference of negative 11% roughly. Currently, VARA remains 10% negative to MATIC. This is not the result of VARA being a less favorable buy but rather that due to it's low market cap movements are exagerated and wild.
In this regard the Market owes VARA approximately 10% to 20% upward movement which will come unless VARA pulls MATIC down to an equivalent level.
With regards to correlation, both assets pull upon each other like the moon and the earth pull upon each other. One is bigger and has more impact on the other but ultimately persistance of the lesser or smaller asset can aggressively pull the other down especially when very large market moving INDEXES such as DXY and BTC have substantial negative moves.
Currently today at close last night, DXY and USDX closed high again hitting a very heavy resistance zone. This is bullish for BTC which is why between today and Tuesday we could see BTC move up again.
This along with negative movement in the FX currency markets our altcoin and risk assets could finally see a little bit of light since we several markets have come to a head and a decision point.
I am not a financial advisor, stay safe my friends.
Gold Trading Signal!!Resistance at $2,654 and the impact of a strong dollar add to the downside of gold
On the hourly chart of gold, the price approached the resistance level of $2,654 and failed to break it. This level, which also coincides with the Fibonacci 0.382, is a strong obstacle to the upward movement. If gold continues to fail to break through this resistance, there is a possibility of a decline to the $2,577 range (Fibonacci 0.786) and then $2,485 (Fibonacci 1.272).
Additionally, the Ichimoku indicator is showing weakness in the uptrend, as the price is currently below the Kumo cloud. The Alligator lines are also in a bearish position, indicating that sellers are dominating the market.
Also, the strengthening of the US dollar as a safe haven asset in the current situation will put more downward pressure on gold. Because gold has an inverse relationship with the dollar; the stronger the dollar, the lower the price of gold. If the dollar's downward trend does not change, the probability of gold falling to the levels predicted in technical analysis will become much stronger.
GOLD → A reversal pattern for a further fallHello, my wonderful friends, Ben here!
Gold prices are currently testing key levels of interest during a corrective phase against the trend, following a breakout from a significant level. The fundamental backdrop is not particularly favorable, with the market under consistent downward pressure.
The bearish sentiment around gold is intensifying as U.S. Treasury yields continue to climb, and the USD strengthens toward the end of the week, reducing the appeal of the precious metal. Notably, the US Dollar Index has recorded its fourth consecutive week of gains, while the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield remains near its highest level since early May.
Looking ahead, the market's focus remains on the return of President-elect Donald Trump and the potential impact of his inflationary policies, which could have significant implications for the Federal Reserve's outlook in 2025. Stay cautious!
From a technical perspective, the price is currently trading within a short-term descending channel, formed after the termination of a rising wedge pattern. The outlook suggests a higher probability of further declines. The 2622 level is a critical threshold—if sellers maintain pressure below this zone, the downtrend could extend further, with potential targets at 2605 and 2596, among others.
Best regards,
Bentradegold!
XAUUSD-A reversal pattern for a further fallGold prices are currently testing key levels of interest during a corrective phase against the trend, following a breakout from a significant level. The fundamental backdrop is not particularly favorable, with the market under consistent downward pressure.
The bearish sentiment around gold is intensifying as U.S. Treasury yields continue to climb, and the USD strengthens toward the end of the week, reducing the appeal of the precious metal. Notably, the US Dollar Index has recorded its fourth consecutive week of gains, while the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield remains near its highest level since early May.
Looking ahead, the market's focus remains on the return of President-elect Donald Trump and the potential impact of his inflationary policies, which could have significant implications for the Federal Reserve's outlook in 2025. Stay cautious!
From a technical perspective, the price is currently trading within a short-term descending channel, formed after the termination of a rising wedge pattern. The outlook suggests a higher probability of further declines. The 2622 level is a critical threshold—if sellers maintain pressure below this zone, the downtrend could extend further, with potential targets at 2605 and 2596, among others.
Gold → A Buying Opportunity or a Market Trap?OANDA:XAUUSD continuing to bring hope for buyers, trading inside the local upward channel resembles a flag on the backdrop of a local downtrend.
In the medium term, the dollar needs to be reassessed in the context of the Fed remaining supportive. This raises the question: What will happen to interest rates? Hold steady or increase? It must be understood that as Donald Trump prepares to return to the White House in January, the market will closely monitor U.S. economic data to forecast how the Federal Reserve will respond to anticipated inflationary pressures from administration policies, including tariffs, deregulation, and tax reform.
The focus remains on U.S. jobless claims data. Economists polled by Reuters forecast around 224,000 claims for the week ending December 21, up from 220,000 claims in the week ending December 14. If jobless claims figures rise significantly, this will put pressure on the USD, and the gold market may start trading with a slightly positive trend. And vice versa. However, Ben does not talk about growth based on these numbers. Theoretically, as prices approach strong resistance levels, selling pressure seems stronger. Be careful!
From a technical perspective, the price has the potential to rebound from any nearby strong level, which could lead to a subsequent decline. A key level to watch is 2620. If the bears manage to break this level and maintain their position below it, the overall selling pressure may intensify, likely resulting in a further price drop. The anticipated decline is expected to reach the range of 2,605–2,600 before setting up for any additional downward moves.
Best regards,Bentradegold!
Wishing everyone a joyful holiday season and a productive New Year 2025!
GBPJPY long DXY longLast week was a big week for GBP with interest rate freezing at 4.75%, although 3 members voted to reduce the rate instead of the forecast 1, core inflation has slowed up but still remains too high for now. The labour market proved to be balanced.
UK's major issue still lingering is the governments autumn budget which has a lot of data to collect before we see the measure of their changes.
Japan is showing high interest rates relative to the norm, but also boasts high economic growth with the annoyance of high labour costs.
The move last week after the interest rate announcement will be completely retraced before the next move up.
Another factor is the DXY which relative to the JPY moves inversely.
DXY since the US election has been bullish and I can see it continuing, last week we saw a correction due to PCE data and now we have a free rein.
GBPJPY long with targets of 199, 201, 204 support right now is 196.6, a move direct from here would be extremely bullish and a quick move back to 198-199. If we move lower than 196 invalidates my thesis.
Idea is based around DOL at 199, trend continuation with fib 1.618 and FVG at 201. Support was prior news resistance level.
This is not financial advice for anyone, its solely my take on predicting the next move for GBPJPY.
happy holidays
Sell more gold!I am expecting a ‘complex correction’ of the Elliott Wave Theory, to complete the correction on Gold. So a 5 Sub-Wave pattern (A,B,C,D,E). This correction should push the price down towards $2,240 roughly. We can then look to start buying Gold again at cheaper prices. At the most extreme, if the bigger institutional firms want to really shake people out of buying Gold before it creates new high’s towards $3,200+, I would not rule out the possibility of price dropping towards $1,960 as an extreme target.