GBPJPY LONG SHOTGBPJPY is moving in an UP trend channel, is trading along the rising support
And as the pair will soon retest it I am expecting the price to go up To retest the supply levels above at
The chart broke through the dynamic support, which now acts ...
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level.
Great BUY opportunity GBPJPY
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Harmonic Patterns
Rates Are Down, So Why Isn’t Gold Shining?Gold Prices Drop to 2581 Amid Market Turmoil: What's Driving the Decline?
Gold prices, as reflected in the XAU/USD pair, have slumped to 2581, marking a significant dip in the market. While many anticipated that falling interest rates would bolster gold, the reality has turned out to be more complex. Yesterday’s developments weighed heavily on the precious metal, and surprisingly, the negative impact isn’t directly tied to rate cuts. Instead, a mix of economic uncertainty and technical market dynamics has pushed gold into bearish territory.
The Core Reason Behind Gold’s Decline
The primary driver of this downward movement is the Federal Reserve’s cautious approach regarding future rate cuts. While the Fed followed market expectations by reducing the benchmark interest rate by 0.25%, bringing it to a range of 4.25% to 4.50%, its projections for next year surprised many. The central bank’s forecast of just two rate cuts in 2024 falls significantly short of market expectations, signaling a more hawkish stance than anticipated.
This hawkishness has rippled through global markets. The U.S. dollar, buoyed by the Fed’s cautious tone, has strengthened, creating headwinds for commodities like gold that are priced in dollars. A stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for international buyers, diminishing its appeal as a safe-haven asset. Meanwhile, broader market indices have also faced selling pressure, reflecting heightened concerns about the economic outlook.
Technical Factors Amplify the Bearish Sentiment
From a technical perspective, gold’s price action underscores the bearish sentiment dominating the market. The XAU/USD pair has decisively broken below a critical support level, exiting a global ascending channel that had been intact for weeks. This breakout has confirmed the downward momentum, with gold setting a new low at 2581.
Key support and resistance levels now define the boundaries of potential price movements:
Resistance Levels: 2620, 2630, 2636
Support Levels: 2616, 2612, 2603
After breaking below the support, the price has moved into an imbalance zone, signaling a possible retest of the previously broken channel boundary. This retest could serve as a pivotal moment for market participants. If the price fails to reclaim the resistance zones at 2620 or 2630 and consolidates below these levels, it could pave the way for further declines.
False breakouts, where the price briefly breaches a resistance level before reversing, are another factor to watch closely. A failed attempt to break key resistances like 2620 or 2630 could reinforce the bearish trend and lead to further downward pressure on gold.
Macroeconomic Data in Focus
Today’s trading session brings additional catalysts that could shape gold’s trajectory. Market attention is firmly fixed on the release of U.S. GDP data and initial jobless claims. These indicators will provide fresh insights into the health of the U.S. economy and could either reinforce or challenge the Fed’s cautious stance.
A stronger-than-expected GDP reading or lower-than-expected jobless claims could further support the dollar, adding to gold’s woes. Conversely, weaker economic data might rekindle hopes for more aggressive rate cuts, potentially offering some relief to gold prices.
Broader Implications for Gold Investors
The recent price action in gold highlights the complex interplay between macroeconomic fundamentals, central bank policies, and technical market dynamics. While gold has traditionally been viewed as a safe haven, its performance is not immune to shifts in interest rate expectations and currency fluctuations.
For investors, the key question is whether gold’s current bearish trend represents a short-term correction or the beginning of a more sustained decline. Much will depend on how the Federal Reserve’s policy unfolds in the coming months and how global economic conditions evolve.
In the short term, traders should monitor key technical levels closely. A decisive break above resistance at 2636 could signal a reversal of the bearish trend, while a sustained move below support at 2603 would likely confirm further downside potential. Until then, gold remains under pressure, navigating a challenging and uncertain landscape.
Bitcoin(BTC): 200EMA, if broken might be in BIG troubleBitcoin made a massive sweep of liquidity, which might result in the major correctional movement that was needed (for a healthy upcoming bull run).
Breaking 200EMA would be a strong confirmation for a trend reversal so keep your attention there now!
Swallow Team
BTCUSDT: Consolidation After Uptrend Break. What's Next?Hello, dear traders. Brian here!
When analyzing the 4-hour chart, we can see an intriguing setup that indicates the possibility of continued bearish momentum if critical support levels fail to hold. Let’s dive deeper into the analysis.
Currently, Bitcoin is trading at $97,547, reflecting a slight pullback from recent highs. The price has recently broken the ascending trendline, which had provided support for a prolonged period. This break, combined with the rejection at the Fibonacci retracement zone, signals a potential trend reversal. Traders should closely monitor the $95,713 level and the EMAs to confirm the next move.
If Bitcoin continues to decline, the next major support levels are at:
$95,713 (1.0 Fibonacci Extension)
$93,085 (1.272 Fibonacci Extension)
$89,742 (1.618 Fibonacci Extension)
Wishing you all great profits in the coming days!
GBPJPY BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisGBPJPY is moving in an UP trend channel, is trading along the rising support
And as the pair will soon retest it I am expecting the price to go up To retest the supply levels above at
The chart broke through the dynamic support, which now acts ...
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity GBPJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
BTC SHORT TP:88,000 20-12-2024I am looking to open a short position in BTC, with a target set below 88,000. Entry points are available both now and below 101,000. It is essential to set stop losses above 103,200 to safeguard the investment. This movement is expected to unfold within a timeframe of 4 to 8 days. As the trade progresses, I will provide updates, so to stay informed, I invite you to activate notifications and follow me. #Bitcoin #Trade
#SPELL (SPOT-INVEST) IN(.00051- .00070)T.(.0120) SL( .0004663)BINANCE:SPELLUSDT (DEFI)
Entry (.00051- .00070)
SL 1D close below 0.0004663
T1 .0020
T2 .0028
T3 .0044
T4 .0120
Extra Target .0200
1 Extra Targets(optional) in chart, if you like to continue in the trade with making stoploss very high.
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This trade advices.
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1- this coin may give you more than 10X in the end of bull market if you could hold it with market volatility
2- after crossing .002 nothing will stop this coin to achieve all the targets
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Golden Advices.
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* collect the coin slowly in the entry range.
* Please calculate your losses before the entry.
* Do not enter any trade you find it not suitable for you.
* No FOMO - No Rush , it is a long journey.
Useful Tags.
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Mastering AUDUSD: Key Trading Zones Revealed for Optimal EntriesGreetings, traders! Welcome to this AUDUSDmarket analysis, where we focus on identifying higher-probability trading opportunities.
In this video, I start by analyzing the yearly down to the daily charts, highlighting key trading zones, and discussing the confirmations we look for to optimize our swing entries.
If you like the breakdown, boost the idea and follow to receive more ideas.
Trade safely
Trader Leo
XAUUSD - continuation sells? What about Pullbacks?Here is our in-depth view and update on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for.
XAUUSD is currently trading at around 2605 .
We are still following our long-term analysis on XAUUSD which was posted on November 27th (almost a month ago).
Last time, we took a step back and took a look at XAUUSD from a bigger perspective (H4 time-frame). We are now using H1 to show you possible outcomes we might have in play.
Overall XAUUSD is still extremely bearish . We could see the following scenarios happen.
Scenario 1: SELL from 2620
We could see a potential pullback to 2620, which was respected last time we made a pullback from the massive drop on XAUUSD. This would give us an amazing entry for further gold sells.
Scenario 2: SELL from 2633
A deeper pullback could happen if we break to the upside from 2620. Entering in 2633 would give us an amazing opportunity to hop into sells and hold it long-term, still targeting the 2480 level.
Scenario 3: SELL from 2590
Breaks below 2590 would result in more sells on the pair. As we failed to break to the upside that would confirm the 2620 being the “pullback area” and we will most likely continue to the downside. We would be targeting 2550 and possible breaks of it. If 2550 would be broken we could start seeing more extreme sells on XAUUSD.
Personal opinion:
The direction for now is bearish in our opinion. We are looking for sells and we do believe gold could see some more sell-offs in December before the year of 2024 ends.
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD is overall bearish.
- XAUUSD sells are valid from key pullback areas 2620 and 2633.
- XAUUSD breaks below 2590 would also confirm further sells.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Bullish BAT Harmonic Take a look at WIF on the 4 hr time frame
We have a nice BULLISH BAT PATTERN.
I would DCA in this area...BAT PATTERNS
are an indication we are about to head
north for newer ATH! NOT FINANCIAL
ADVICE!...It's all up to BIG DADDY BTC...
Looks like we are just gonna range between
91k-100k for awhile...will this mean we will
see liquidity flow from BTC into small cap
Alt coins?...good question...with BTC dominance
on the way down...this is a great area to DCA!!!
Good luck and....
********* WIF WIF WIF WIF *********