Growth
Magnetic Fields (Part 2)At the architecture faculty, I was taught that if it looks ugly in a project, then it won’t work. So this is another clear example of how events can unfold in the future. Given the exponential trend, we can assume that without the current stop Bitcoin price would have already reached $150k. But since this hasn't happened yet, the start of the swift rise period is clearly moving to the second half of 2025. Looking at this optimistic scenario, we can see that the resistance and support exponents each have their own magnetism and the price always made sharp falls after reaching the highs and a smooth rise untill excitement begins. So this time, it is quite likely, and ideally necessary, for the price to fall below the (orange) median expected in this case. I understand that the trends of the desired and the actual may differ and therefore I try to be objective. However, one way or another, the clarity of the picture speaks for itself.
A related idea (part 1) has a less optimistic outlook.
"Electromagnetic Faraday" -Fibonacci Extension
-Volume increase
Faraday Future has been known for its ambitious goals in developing electric vehicles with advanced technologies. However, as of my last update, the company has faced various challenges, including financial difficulties and delays in bringing its vehicles to market.
IndiaMART InterMESH Limited: A Fortune-Friendly Investment OpporI am excited to share my analysis of IndiaMART InterMESH Limited's (BSE: 542726, NSE: INDIAMART). The company's business model, financial performance, and future prospects make it an attractive investment opportunity.
Business Model:
IndiaMART InterMESH Limited is a leading e-commerce company in India, operating a business-to-business (B2B) e-commerce platform that connects buyers and suppliers. The company's platform enables businesses to source products and services from a vast network of suppliers, thereby reducing costs and increasing efficiency.
Financial Performance:
The company's financial performance for FY 2023-24 is impressive, with a revenue growth of 15.6% year-on-year (YoY) and a net profit growth of 21.4% YoY. The company's revenue from operations has increased from ₹1,434.4 crore in FY 2022-23 to ₹1,655.6 crore in FY 2023-24, driven by the growth in its B2B e-commerce platform.
Ratios to Consider:
Return on Equity (ROE): 23.4% (FY 2023-24)
Return on Assets (ROA): 14.5% (FY 2023-24)
Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: 35.6 (FY 2023-24)
Dividend Yield: 1.2% (FY 2023-24)
These ratios indicate that IndiaMART InterMESH Limited is a profitable company with a strong financial position. The ROE and ROA ratios suggest that the company is generating significant returns from its equity and assets, respectively. The PEG ratio indicates that the company's stock is trading at a premium, reflecting its growth potential. The dividend yield is relatively low, indicating that the company is retaining its earnings to invest in future growth.
Technical Analysis: Support, Resistance, and Predicting Prices
Technical analysis is a method used by many traders to analyze price charts and identify potential trading opportunities. It involves studying historical price movements, trading volume, and various technical indicators to make predictions about future price movements.
Support and Resistance Lines
Support and resistance lines are two of the most basic and widely used technical indicators. A support line is a horizontal line drawn at a highly moved mid price level where the price has bounced back up from several times in the past. This suggests that there may be buying pressure at this level, as investors see it as an attractive price to buy the asset.
A resistance line is a horizontal line drawn at a highly moved mid price level where the price has been rejected several times in the past. This suggests that there may be selling pressure at this level, as investors see it as a good price to sell the asset.
Linear Regression
Linear regression is a statistical technique that can be used to fit a straight line to a set of data points. In technical analysis, linear regression can be used to identify the trend of a price chart and to predict future prices. The slope of the regression line indicates the direction of the trend. A positive slope suggests an uptrend, while a negative slope suggests a downtrend.
Using Support, Resistance, and Linear Regression Together
Traders can use support, resistance, and linear regression together to develop a trading strategy. For example, a trader might look for opportunities to buy an asset when the price is near a support line and the linear regression line is sloping upwards. Conversely, a trader might look for opportunities to sell an asset when the price is near a resistance line and the linear regression line is sloping downwards.
Other Criteria:
Management Team: The company has a strong management team with a proven track record of driving growth and profitability.
Industry Trends: The B2B e-commerce industry in India is growing rapidly, driven by the increasing adoption of digital technologies and the need for businesses to optimize their supply chain operations.
Competitive Advantage: IndiaMART InterMESH Limited has a strong competitive advantage due to its large network of suppliers, robust technology platform, and extensive market reach.
Valuation: The company's stock is trading at a reasonable valuation, considering its growth potential and financial performance.
Conclusion: IndiaMART InterMESH Limited is a fortune-friendly investment opportunity that offers a unique combination of growth, profitability, and dividend yield. The company's strong financial performance, robust business model, and competitive advantage make it an attractive investment opportunity for long-term investors. I recommend that investors consider IndiaMART InterMESH Limited for their portfolio, especially those looking for exposure to the growing B2B e-commerce industry in India.
Why Nvidia’s Monster $3T Valuation Poses a Threat to S&P 500Too fast Nvidia climbed the ladder of success and now the broad-based S&P 500 is at risk of getting sucked into a crisis if the chip giant were to trigger it.
Nvidia Value Takes Up 7% of S&P 500
Is Nvidia (ticker: NVDA ), the massive chip company, too big to fail? Shares of the juggernaut in the AI space have soared more than 160% this year and they show no signs of slowing down. That’s all great news for traders who enjoy the daily volatility and love watching billions of dollars slosh around as markets try to figure out Nvidia’s worth.
What markets have agreed on so far is that Nvidia is worth more than $3.2 trillion. The lofty price tag, however, comes with certain dangers. One such danger is that Nvidia makes up about 7% of the S&P 500. The broad-based Wall Street darling, packaged with 500 public companies , is valued at $46 trillion.
The danger isn’t too obvious now for obvious reasons. Nvidia is yet to give back (if it ever does, right?) some of its formidable gains. But there are signs already. Last Friday, this ratio of 93:7 tipped the S&P 500 into a loss just because the hulking size of Nvidia was too much weight on the stock index.
And because the markets aren’t allowing any breathing room and shares are always on fire, we can’t know the impact a crash in Nvidia could have on the S&P 500. But since the pendulum swings both ways, it pays to be prepared.
The Big Three’s Massive Weight
The tech-focused concentration of the S&P 500 doesn’t end with Nvidia. The two other companies that are also worth over $3 trillion each have the same weight on the equity benchmark.
Add Apple (ticker: AAPL ) and Microsoft (ticker: MSFT ) next to the AI chip maker and you’ve got a nice 21% chunk of the S&P 500 concentrated in three companies. In other words, that’s more than $10 trillion of valuation in total and it dominates the large-cap rankings .
What’s the common ground between all three? AI, more or less, with Apple playing catch up pretty fast.
“Why not pick on Apple then, if it’s the same market value?” Apple brings home more than $380 billion in revenue a year while Nvidia can only do $60 billion . Moreover, the iPhone maker has 2.5 times Nvidia’s trailing 12-month free cash flow.
Doomsday Scenario
A possible doomsday scenario in the artificial intelligence corner, every permabear will tell you, can trigger a rude awakening for investors and strip those giants off their record high valuations.
They actually had a moment of victory, although a brief one. In April, Nvidia endured its biggest drop since its recognition as the purest AI play out there. Shares erased more than 10% in the span of a few days. But before permabears had a chance to sip at their mezcal espresso martini and call it a day, Nvidia had bolted past the losses and into fresh record territory.
These days, it’s largely the same few stocks pumping and driving the gains across the indexes. That doesn’t sound like much of a diversification — the narrative pushed by passive investors who choose to shove some money into an index and do nothing. If the S&P 500 served as a diversification vehicle in the past, it certainly doesn’t look like it today.
Your Thoughts?
Will we see the AI bubble burst like the dot-com bubble of the 2000s? Or will Nvidia continue lifting the sea of stocks? Leave your thoughts below.
Stock of the Week: Poddar Pigments with Robust Financial HealthStock of the Week: Poddar Pigments ( NSE:PODDARMENT PODR)
Fundamental Analysis :
Poddar Pigments showcases a robust financial profile, making it an attractive pick for this week. The company holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, indicating strong liquidity. Its liquid assets exceed any obligations, providing a solid financial cushion. Additionally, NSE:PODDARMENT Poddar Pigments has reported consistent profits over the last six quarters, highlighting its stable and reliable performance.
Technical Analysis :
From a technical perspective, NSE:PODDARMENT Poddar Pigments is trading above all major moving averages, signalling a bullish trend. The stock has achieved a significant 52-week breakout and is also breaking out of a box formed by the last 12 months’ consolidation zone. This breakout is supported by good volume strikes, indicating strong market interest. Moreover, Poddar Pigments demonstrates relatively higher strength than the Nifty index, with the RSI crossing above 60, further affirming its upward momentum.
Entry - CMP
Stop loss - 396.55
Potential upside - 643
ASX:OFX – A Rare Gem with Perfect Piotroski Score and Breakout PFundamentals :
OFX Group, listed on the ASX under the ticker OFX, presents a compelling investment opportunity this week. The company boasts a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9, an exceptionally rare achievement that underscores its financial strength and operational efficiency. Currently trading at its fair value, OFX has turned profitable over the last 12 months and is poised for continued profitability this year. ASX:OFX ASX:OFX
Technicals :
From a technical standpoint, OFX has achieved a significant 52-week breakout, further enhancing its investment appeal. The stock has formed a rounding bottom pattern, a classic technical signal indicating the potential for a strong upward movement. Analysts project a potential upside of 30%, making this a promising candidate for growth.
A potential Setup:
• Entry: Current Market Price
• Stop Loss: $2.00
• Potential Upside: $2.90F
XAUUSD Daily Proportional StrategyThe Daily Proportional Strategy is based on volatility. It involves trend tracking for a financial asset transitioning from a sideways movement to an upward trend. It relies on the scalp method.
This is not investment advice and does not provide guidance. It is for educational purposes only.
WICKS read stories & LOW ATR means BULL POWER Wicks play book stories and body candles tells us the facts = PRICE ACTION
See prior ATR vs now. See the up move from before and what is expected next. When ATR taps the moving average, candles move up into SPACE. See for yourself BULL RUN has been placed on hold just for a moment, not because of ATR, but because there’s a dump hold. Not sure why. Not all data is displayed.
When I said BULL RUN, meant it. It’s no tinfoil hats making this up.
ATR is under the MA. What does this read to us? Reads BTC turning into a HULK soon.
This is part of my algorithm.
Blue wave is my algo, see before and after. There’s no signal for a major dip. Reads consolidation. When my blue wave begins to curve up, then I’d be worried. That could mean we may see $60k.
See my first yellow square that points out to my ATR. Compare that to when BITCOIN made its move up vs now. You'll get your answer
Equal high always means downtrend or to stay within range. It’s a crypto rule, it must abide by its regulations. Can this be part of the dump? Who caused this equal high wicks.
What have we seen so far? Stability:)
Hope this keeps you motivated
The END
Would you still increase your holdings at this point?The the stock of social media company has risen by 8.06% in the past month, lagging the Computer and Technology sector's gain of 8.7% and overreaching the S&P 500's gain of 3.34%.
The stock is at an all-time high, but positions are not larger than ever, and traders are cautious and not rushing into the market.
Nvidia - How high is too high?Nvidia (NVDA) continues to defy gravity, hitting $140 in pre-market trading today.
This translates to:
A 23% increase in June alone
A 55% increase in Q2
A staggering 184% increase since the beginning of the year
A 225% year-to-date (YTD) surge
These are the kinds of figures we've come to expect from Nvidia, making even impressive YTD gains of 27% by companies like Microsoft look pedestrian. Nvidia's rise has also propelled it to the top of the market cap rankings, becoming the world's most valuable publicly traded company.
The Question of Sustainability
The burning question is, can this growth be sustained?
So far, Nvidia has the numbers to back it up. The company has already generated more EBITDA this year than in all of FY2023. While its Price/Earnings Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.55 suggests a slight overvaluation, and has been increasing steadily for a year, it remains below the PEG ratios of multi-trillion-dollar peers like Microsoft and Apple.
Technical Indicators Flashing Green
The technical indicators also paint a bullish picture. The stock is well above its short-, mid-, and long-term moving averages, indicating strong momentum. The recent surge in volume further confirms heightened investor interest.
The Bias and Sentiment Strength (BASS) Indicator, a composite tool created by @mattzab combining several technical indicators, also flashes a strong buy signal for Nvidia. (For a detailed explanation, see this page: ).
The Road Ahead: Smooth Sailing or Bumpy Ride?
The big question is whether we'll see a soft landing, a minor pullback, or a significant dip. This will depend on how many investors decide to take profits and the speed at which they do so. A rapid sell-off would likely be triggered by a sudden collapse in the "AI hype" or if companies find themselves unable to effectively utilize their new AI chips, or their efforts to capitalize on LLMs fail.
It's still early days in the AI boom, but parallels have already been drawn with the dot-com bubble which many investors are old enough to remember. It took Apple more than 5 years after the crash to reach its dot-com peak, and Microsoft needed more than 14 years. While there is no looking back for these stocks now, one shouldn't forget that Cisco, which was regarded as a crucial internet infrastructure provider at the turn of the century, never reached its dotcom peak again. But then again, past market crashes do not guarantee future losses, or how did the saying go again?
For now, the status quo remains: everyone is bullish as long as everyone else is bullish as well.
As always, stay vigilant out there!
Found a HIDDEN BULLISH DIVERGANCE: Here is a hidden bullish divergence that is still in process. Show to complete by today at 5 PM PT.
MY custom RSI has not completed its lower low yet and will by today at 5 PM PT. This means the bullish reversal from a LL will start making its way up.
Then hopefully the BULL gets released.
J symbol for the month of JUNE and numerics for the day of the month. Days are separated by each tick of 5 days.
This is a thorough detailed idea that shows in my opinion to come next with very little to say.
AMSC Computer medium cap beats earnings LONGAMSC on the daily chart has went 3X in 7-8 months on the strength of earnings beats and
the tailwinds of the AI supertrend. I see this as an excellent swing long trade to hold into
the next earnings in 3-4 months. AMSC is currently at its ATH and going higher means no
overhead resistance.
ETCC is taking off, DO NOT miss this oppotunity! //BE CAREFULTime to fly with excellent technical and fundamental stock
#Even though it seems like too high but worth enough to take this risk but you have to control your risk carefully
Stoploss (100%) when close price less than 0.67
Take Profit (30%) when close price reach 4.87