Goldusd
Gold - Short paper gold, long physical metalTwo weeks after our last update, we still remain bearish on gold in the short term and expect it to hit 1 600 USD. Our view is based on a combination of fundamental factors like high-interest rates, strong U.S. dollar, and more economic tightening in the foreseeable future. Despite that, we remain bullish on gold in the long term and believe it will provide a great buying opportunity in the coming months. With that being said, we are long physical metal and short paper gold.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of XAUUSD and the sloping resistance connecting March 2022 high and April 2022 peak. Yellow arrows indicate bullish breakouts above the resistance and subsequent invalidations.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are all bearish. DM+ and DM- are bearish as well. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Gold Daily OutlookGold halted its three days rally ahead of US CPI data. US stock markets lost their shine after Republicans gains modestly in the Midterm election. Any weakness in US inflation will push the yellow metal further higher. The US dollar index pared some of its gains after hitting a high of 110.64.
Gold has an excellent catalyst for upsideW Formation is forming nicely on Gold and we are just waiting for a breakout.
There are MANY elements to include in this analysis.
1. There was a fakeout with a Descending triangle which broke above the resistance showing the bullion buyers were not going to give up.
2. The downtrend has broken and the price has entered into a bull market.
3. Investors are most likely going to a safer haven since the Binance VS FTT Soap Opera drama shook the crypto world where the coin dropped 80% sending Bitcoin and Ethereum 15% and 17% down in just 24 hours. This has spooked the market and has most likely scared investors back to gold.
I'm waiting for a breakout $1,740 but have a bullish bias
Target $1,840
Your thoughts?
Trading opportunity for XAUUSD GOLDBased on technical factors there is a Long position in :
📊 XAUUSD - GOLD
🔵 Long Now 1711.660
🧯 Stop loss 1692.498
🏹 Target 1 1729.000
🏹 Target 2 1743.000
🏹 Target 3 1762.000
💸RISK : 1%
We hope it is profitable for you ❤️
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Technical Outlook 🥇
On a today's live stream, we discussed Gold.
Currently, even though the market remains bullish since Friday,
the price is stuck within a wide horizontal trading range.
To me, the recent bullish move looks like just an extended correction.
1726 - 1735 area is the resistance of the range.
1614 - 1623 area is the support of the range.
1664 - 1675 area and a recently broken trend line compose the intermediate support cluster.
For now, it looks like the goal for buyers is the resistance of the range.
I will look for shorting opportunities from there.
Alternatively, its bullish breakout will trigger a bullish wave.
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2X GOLD 1D Tech. Analysis!IF Gold doesn't break through this resistance i think price will range in between 1625 and 1725 area until the market news comes to a solid direction!
XAUUSD Gold Next Possible Move#XAUUSD ( Gold / U.S Dollar )
- DOUBLE BOTTOM Pattern in Long Time Frame #LTF and Rejected from the Daily Support Level
- LEADING DIAGONAL in Short Time Frame #STF Breakout of Upper Trend Line #UTL and Retest
- Break 0f Structure #BOS and Retracement
- Buying Divergence
- If Rejects then Buy if Breaks then Sell
GOLD Short Postion (4H, Daily)Hi every one
gold is in the downtrend channels upper band, if close a 4H candle is below that it can bleed again, stop loss for short positions is above 1690, if downtrend continue will be a huge profit in daily TF,
please share your opinion in the comments
I consider all analyses performed in relation to that trade position.
Our analysis is not a buy or sell referral.
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20 REASON WHY SELL GOLD 🤑TOP DOWN ANALYSIS OVERVIEW🤑
🧐Eagle eye: structural Down
Monthly : structure extremely bear but there are lot of weakness in monthly candle patterns last month is inside bar 😲insidebar😲 current forming 👎doji😲
weekly : a big Imbalance after it prices are going down and down 🥺
so the bigger picture is not clear and in bear favor
1 Structure analysis time frame :DAILY bear ABCD
2 target time frame :DAILY
3 Current Move :IMPULSE
4 Entry Time Frame : H4
4.1 Entry TF Structure: HIGHER LOWER
4.2 entry move : IMPULSE
5 Support resistance base :H4 BEAR ORDER BLOCK\
6 FIB: WAIT TILL TRIGGER EVENT
7 candle Pattern: REVERSAL
8 Chart Pattern: TRIPPLE TOP REVERSAL
9 Volume : BIG VOLUME NEAR TO RESISTENCE EXCUTION VOLUME
10 Momentum UNCONVENTIONAL Rsi: SIDEWAYS TO BEAR
11 Volatility measure Bollinger bands: VOLATILITY DIVERGENCE
12 strength ADX: BEARS ARE IN POWER
13 Sentiment ROC: BEARISH
14 final comment : SHORT
15 : decision : SELL
16 Entry: 1675
17 Stop losel: 1685
18 Take profit: 1630
19 Risk to reward Ratio: 1:5🥰
Excepted Duration : 5 DAYS🥰
GOLD Volatility Forecast 7-11 November 2022 GOLD Volatility Forecast 7-11 November 2022
We can see that this week our volatility is at 2.5% which declined from 2.58% last week.
Currently according to ATR we are on 80th percentile, and according to GVZ we are on 86th percentile, indicating in both cases, that we are currently is a HIGHLY volatile market.
Now, based on the implied volatility data that we have for this week, lets look into further details.
We can see that currently there is 22.3% chance, that our candle is going to close at the end of the week either above/below the next channel
TOP: 1725
BOT: 1637
This can also be translated as a 77.7% chance that the market is going to move within this established range.
At the same, looking at the previous high/low values of the candle, and taking into account the entire history available of data, we can expect that there is going to be a
70% chance that we are going to touch the previous high of 1681
30% chance that we are going to touch the previous low of 1616
Gold : Intraweek Technical AnalysisGold Intraweek Technical Analysis:
after staying consolidated between 1630 to 1650 the gold finally broke out from 1650 and 1670 resistance levels and made a weekly closure at 1680. The gold is expected to continue the momentum in coming week .a retracement to 50% and 61.8% fib levels is expected ,the 50% fib levels lies at 1652 whilw 61.8% lies at 1644. My idea for coming week is to wait for retracement to any swing levels, ideal swing level will be 1644 and 1655. On upside we can expect the level of 1700 and 1730 on continuation of uptrend.
If you like this or if you think the opposite of this or if there is any other opinion, mention it in the comments. I am open to all kind of suggestions and critics.
GOLD (XAUUSD): 2 Scenarios For Next Week Explained 🥇
Hey traders,
Gold suddenly bounced on Friday.
Based on a current situation, I see 2 potential scenarios:
The market is still trading within the boundaries of a falling parallel channel on a weekly.
If the price breaks and closes above that, then a bullish continuation will be expected at least to 1723 level.
The market may also respect the resistance of the channel.
As a confirmation, consider a bearish breakout of 1664- 1674 horizontal support.
Then, a bearish continuation will be expected to 1630.
Wait for a breakout, traders.
That will be our trigger.
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XAUUSD top-down analysis, UPDATED!!Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.