Gold - A Reversal Will Happen SoonOANDA:XAUUSD | Gold is still in a bullish market:
After the strong breakout which we saw in the beginning of 2024, Gold started another major bullish market cycle. This cycle is definitely not over soon, but Gold might create a short term correction, which would perfectly line up with the upper resistance of the rising channel.
Levels to watch: $2.650
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Goldtradingstrategy
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another PITASTIC day on the chart with our chart idea playing out perfectly once again.
After completing our Bullish target at 2631 yesterday we stated that we were now looking for ema5 cross and lock above 2631 to open the range above.
We got the cross and lock above 2631 opening 2644 and if momentum allows potentially 2658. 2644 was hit perfectly completing this target!!! A candle body close or cross and lock will further confirm the potential target aswell.
We are happy with 2644, as our target in this range and now observing for the rest of today.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before, each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2631 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2631 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2644 - DONE
POTENTIALLY 2658
BEARISH TARGETS
2618 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2618 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2603 - 2588
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2588 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2575 - 2558
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold is just one step away, the Sell opportunity is comingIn today's Asian session, gold rose in the short term, and the historical high was refreshed again, reaching 2640.
Driven by the Fed's expectations of a rate cut in November and the decline in US Treasury yields, the price of gold hit a new record high. The growing tension between Israel and Hezbollah has increased the appeal of safe havens, which may further boost demand for gold.
From the 4-hour chart, we can see that referring to the rule that the price of gold rises by $50-60 each time, the price of gold is likely to have room for an increase of $10.
This is almost the last short-term rise in gold. The high point of this time is likely to be around the range of 2640-2650.
Trading strategy:
Now chasing the rise, there is not much room above, and there is a risk of an imminent correction, so I don't recommend it.
Go short now, because there may be more than ten dollars of room for growth above, and now is not a good selling position, so we can wait until the 2640-2650 range to sell, preferably at 2650.
I personally did not close the sell order I held last week. If the gold price reaches 2650, I will continue to increase my position and pull the average price to 2615-2620
9.24 Gold Short-term Operation StrategyYesterday, the gold market opened at 2621.6 in the morning, then the market rose slightly to 2131.6, and then the market fell rapidly. The daily line reached a low of 2613, then the market rose, and the daily line reached a historical high of 2635.2, and then the market consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 2628.2, and the daily line closed with a spindle pattern with equal upper and lower shadows. After such a pattern ended, today's market still has bullish demand. In terms of points, the long positions of 1996 and 2028 below are followed by stop loss at 2350. After the long positions of 2601 were reduced last Friday, the stop loss was followed by 2601.
Today's market operation:
2615 long stop loss 2609, target 2635
2640 short stop loss 2645 target 2620
SHORT ON GOLD AT MARKET PRICE 2639.15Team, I have been waiting all morning for the GOLD price to short
a lot of patience, but GOLD has been crazy pump due to Isreal tension
however, it has reached a new high, so I am attempting a small risk
SHORT AT 2639.15, STOP LOSS either at 2641.95 or 2645 -
target both at 2634.87 and 2631.96
9.24 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsThe bullish market sentiment after the Fed's rate cut last week and geopolitical tensions pushed up gold prices. Gold hit a new record high yesterday, reaching 2634, and then began to fall slightly, closing the daily line with a small positive. However, the US dollar index stabilized and rebounded, and Ukrainian President Zelensky said that the Russian-Ukrainian war was "close to the end". Everyone still needs to beware of the risk of a short-term correction in gold prices.
Gold hit a new high again, and the high point was constantly refreshed, from 2500 to 2634. In the short term, it is still dominated by a bullish trend. The weekly level broke through strongly last week. The current market is running on the upper track of the long-term channel. At present, it is necessary to focus on the support near 2600. The gains and losses of this position are related to the trend guidance of gold bulls and bears. If this position is broken, gold is likely to have a large retracement.
It is still expected to fluctuate during the day. In the short term, if gold wants to completely get out of the strong pattern, it still needs time to exchange space. I have repeatedly emphasized that the current point chasing long profits and risks are not proportional. The operation is around the 2600-2635 range during the day.
Detailed intraday operation strategy:
Short gold at current price 2633, defense 2638, target 2620-2600
Long gold at 2600, defense 2594, target 2610-262
GC - looking for a possible sell entryI am seeing some of the early breakdown started, but in very early stage and it might take couple of days to play out. I am very much interested interested in selling the GC at around 2665 to 2670 area. There is a chance it may spike up during European or early US session tomorrow. On the downside, 2632 area is a strong support and may hold up and bounce before price going down to 2610 area.
Gold Outlook Today we have experienced a new over purchase manager index PMI which has shown pretty much data that was the reason gold has moved up and USD has dropped now as the news is over and price is forming a resistance over 2630 physiological level also price is consolidating between 2615 to 2630 level which probably be making a flag pattern which is a bullish continuation pattern now we will wait for break above 2630 and break below 2615 then we will act accordingly
Thanks
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with both our Bearish target 2618 and Bullish target 2631 hit, just like we said.
No cross and lock below 2618 gave the rejection bounce twice into 2631. We will now look for ema5 cross and lock above 2631 to open the range above. Failure to lock above 2631, will follow with a rejection back to 2618
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2631 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2631 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2644
POTENTIALLY 2658
BEARISH TARGETS
2618 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2618 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2603 - 2588
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2588 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2575 - 2558
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD Possible MoveGOLD broke the previous ATH and overall, on a 4H, Daily and Weekly Timeframe is in a BULLISH trend. I will look for BUY opportunity on the retest level mentioned in the chart.
Fundamentally speaking, FED rate cut, Weakening Dollar and Middle East crisis, all of these contribute to GOLD being a safe-haven for Retail as well as Institutions.
If you feel any different, please share your views!
Gold short-term operation strategyThe four-hour lifeline, the hourly double-line upper track, the acceleration starting point, the top and bottom conversion position, and the position along the channel line are superimposed at 2584-2590, which is used as a support area for sweeping. The price squats and steps back to determine the support, or look at the upward movement
The Asian session breaks the high, the European session breaks the low, and the sprint action needs to be handed over to the US session
Pay attention to 2612-2610 in the European session, pay attention to 2622 upwards, and then look at 2630-2632
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
9.23 Gold Short-term Operation Analysis StrategyGold's daily and weekly lines are both up, setting new highs. Gold once again stood firmly on the 2600 line. The daily and weekly lines closed directly with big positive lines, with basically no leads. Judging from the current trend, gold will continue to rise in the long run, and the technical forms are undoubtedly strong. There are currently a lot of short-term supports below, 2610-2600 in the short term, and the upper short-term suppression is at 2635. No one can predict where the final high point will be.
As gold repeatedly breaks through new highs and madly refreshes historical highs, new highs also hide the risk of falling back.
Intraday operation strategy:
Short at 2635, defend at 2641, target 2620-2600
Buy at 2605, defend at 2600, target 2620-2630
Gold thoughts 23-Sept-2024Happy New Week all, Kindly see my Gold thoughts for today. These videos are aimed at making you compare charts with mine if you are a price acton trader and use my thoughts to improve your skill. They are not meant as signals even if they seem like they are. I want you to learn and be great
Gold Shines as Dollar Dips: A New All-Time High in SightHey Realistic Traders, let’s dive into the analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD .
In the daily timeframe, gold has formed a symmetrical triangle followed by a breakout above the upper trendline. Recently, the price retested this trendline and continued to move upward. Analyzing the trend, gold remains above the EMA34 line, indicating a bullish trend. Additionally, the MACD has made a bullish crossover, signaling upward momentum. With these technical indicators aligning, we are looking at a potential continuation of this upward movement toward Target Area 1 at 2,625 or even Target Area 2 at 2,739. However, bears might find some hope if the price manages to break below the support level at 2,426.
The bullish trend is also supported by fundamental factors, as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell recently confirmed that interest rate cuts are likely in the near future. This has weakened the dollar compared to other currencies and commodities, further boosting the appeal of gold.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Gold. "
Please support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we plotted the potential range and play pre-event (FOMC) giving the resistance level above which we said would present the opportunity to short if targeted and held. This gave traders a fantastic trade into that range low where we gave the targets 2565 and 2555, which were both achieved. We then update traders with the FOMC KOG Report and again gave the levels for the short if resistance was targeted, which worked well. We had identified the same order region which is where price tapped and bounced, giving traders that long we suggested to break above the 2600 level to complete KOGs weekly bias level targets.
Once that trade was taken, we decided to call it a week and wait for the close, giving us another fantastic week in Camelot, not only on Gold but also the other pairs we trade and apply the algo to.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For this week we will say play caution on going long unless we get a pullback! Ideally, we want to see price attempt that 2630-35 region, with the extension of 2640, and if we see signs of a reversal there, we feel an opportunity to short the market is available, initially into the 2610 region and below that 2595 as shown with the red arrows on the chart. We need to monitor this move carefully as there are initial signs we may see a deep pull back next week, so please monitor the levels and watch the red boxes for the breaks!
On the flip, if we do start the week with a move downside, we will be looking at the 2610 level first for a RIP, and if achieved and defended we feel the long trade is available into that 2635 region where again we will look for signs of a reversal.
In summary, unless we break above the 2640 level we want price to give us better opportunities as the last thing we want to do is start taking losses, even small ones while price is still finding it’s feet up here. Hope that is clear for everyone!
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 2595 with targets above 2630, 2635 and extension level 2640
Bearish on break of 2595 with target below 2570
RED BOXES:
Look for red box breaks above 2626 to confirm move higher
Look for red box breaks below 2613 to confirm lower
As usual, please look out for the red boxes, KOG’s bias of the day and the updated analysis which is posted for the wider community.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are in a new rage but just like last time we were able to generate accurate levels to use for the coming week.
We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2631 Goldturn resistance and 2618, as Goldturn support.
We currently have a gap above on market open at 2631 and below at 2618 and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2631
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2631 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2644
POTENTIALLY 2658
BEARISH TARGETS
2618
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2618 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2603 - 2588
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2558 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2575 - 2558
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see update on the 4H chart we traded last week. This weeks chart is still a continuation from last weeks chart as the chart is still in play and playing out perfectly, as we analysed. We only updated the retracement and swing range to accommodate the new range.
Last weeks range played out level to level like we analysed finished off with the last cross and lock above 2590 opening 2608 and 2626, which was completed perfectly finishing off the week at the last target.
We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2626 Goldturn resistance and we have 2608, as Goldturn support.
We currently have a gap open above at 2626 and below at 2608 and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2626
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2626 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2645
POTENTIALLY 2664
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2664 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2682
POTENTIALLY 2699
BEARISH TARGETS
2608
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2608 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2590 - 2564
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2564 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2545 - 2517
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM CHART UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see update on our weekly chart idea and analysis that we have been tracking and trading for several months and now finally complete.
After completing all the previous targets and highlighted correctional areas from detachments, last week we stated that we now have a candle body close above 2557 leaving a long term Axis gap target to 2603, which we had shared on this chart number of weeks back.
We also stated that the new weekly candle will have a detachment below for a correction, which will show up when market opens.
- This played out perfectly, we got the drop into the correctional area highlighted with the circle on the chart and then the bounce giving our target at 2603 axis a Perfect finish - BOOOOM!!!
This weekly chart idea is now complete after tracking and trading this for several months. We will now update a new weekly chart plan and idea next week for the months ahead.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD MONTHLY CHART LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
After completing our last monthly chart long term/range chart idea, we never had a chance to update a new long term plan and so here you go!!!
2499 candle body close left a gap open last month to 2589. This gap was hit perfectly this month at 2589. We are now seeing play above 2589 but will need the month candle to close above this level to open 2702 AXIS target.
Failure to close above this level this month will see a rejection into the channel top for a bounce and a further close below the channel top or 2499 will see a further drop into the channel half line for the next correctional test and bounce.
Each of the lower Goldturn levels below are likely to give re-actional bounces using our shorter time frame idea.
2825 is our final long range/term target on this chart idea and we will look to continue to buy dips using our smaller timeframe ideas rather then chasing the bull form the top.
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
EURUSD week 39 analysis🌐Fundamental Analysis
EUR/USD faced selling pressure above 1.1150 during North American trading hours on Friday. The major currency pair fell as the US dollar (USD) recovered. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the greenback's value against six major currencies, rebounded sharply to near 101.00
However, the overall outlook for the US dollar remains uncertain, following the Fed's aggressive rate cut and growing market expectations that the US central bank will continue its aggressive policy easing cycle. The Fed cut interest rates by 50 basis points (bps) as policymakers appeared to focus on restoring strength in the labour market as inflation eases to the bank's 2% target.
In terms of interest rate guidance, Fed policymakers see the federal funds rate heading towards 4.4% by year-end, according to the latest dot plot. However, traders expect a further 75 bps cut to 4.00%-4.25%, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
🕯Technical Analysis
The EURUSD uptrend has seen some minor corrections but the buying pressure remains strong, so the immediate price range the pair faces next week is around 1.222 and 1.112. The highest measured Fibonacci extension of 1.618 will be around 1.126 and a retracement of the strategic support zone of 1.108 will keep the pair from a long slide.
📈📉Trading Signals
SELL EURUSD zone 1.126-1.128 Stoploss 1.130
BUY EURUSD zone 1.112-1.110 Stoploss 1.108
Gold is moving from an upward phase to a correction phase!!!It has completed 5 ascending waves and considering that the price has reached the ceiling of the channel, we can expect price correction from this point.
Previous Analysis
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!