THE KOG REPORT - FOMC THE KOG REPORT – FOMC
This is our view for FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price.
A great week so far on Gold with our targets completing and the path working out how we hoped. We’re now just above that order region we wanted attempting to break above, so for this report we’ll keep it simple.
Price rejects above in the 2435-40 region, potential for this to pullback all the way into the 2400 region, unless broken. That lower region is where we would potentially be looking to buy in again.
Price pushes down, we’ll be looking in that region for a move upside. We have immediate support below 2415 which could be tapped but needs to cross below, otherwise, we’re likely going to hover up here, spike and then make the move.
Wouldn’t recommend trading the event, we’ve done our trading for the day. Best to wait for the move to finish and then look for the entry from a decent level.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Goldtrading
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Yesterday we said we'd stick with the plan and continue to move with the market upside suggesting traders hold their longs from below and then add level to level trades. This has worked well for us again today, completing our Excalibur target upside and the hotspot in Camelot as well as the one we had shared with you all in the wider community. Although a little choppy, it's a clean structure.
Now we are here we have support below at the 2395 region, which could be a target level for the pullback. This level however is now on the flip and will need to hold the price up for us to continue higher into the regions 2415-20 initially and on the break we'll be looking at 2450 as the extension of the move. The problem we have now is the whipsaw that is expected during FOMC, and with it being the last trading day of the month tomorrow.
For now, a slight tap and bounce from the region, if you're in lets see if we get the pullback and where we close.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD (XAUUSD): Detailed Technical Outlook
Here is a quick recap of my Gold analysis on a today's live stream.
The market is currently trading within a bullish flag pattern on a daily.
After the price reached a daily horizontal support, it bounced
and tested a resistance cluster based on a trend line of the flag and a horizontal structure.
I believe that a bullish rally will resume after a confirmed breakout of the underlined horizontal area and a trend line with a daily candle close above.
Today's US news can be a catalyst.
The price may also respect the underlined resistance cluster, following the negative news.
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GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out once again.
As analysed and shared yesterday; we will see price play between both weighted levels until one locks with ema5 to confirm the next range.
Yesterday we stated that we had 2400 open gap and will need ema5 to lock above 2400 to confirm the range above. This target was hit perfectly today with no lock above confirming the rejection into 2376 weighted support. We will now need to see ema5 cross and lock below 2376 to open the range below or a rejection here will follow with a retest back upto 2400.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2400 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2400 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2423
POTENTIALLY 2438
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2438 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2459
POTEITNALLY 2475
BEARISH TARGETS
2376 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2376 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2360
2344
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2344 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2313- 2298
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Eurusd trading analysis for this weak For this week, the EUR/USD pair is showing mixed signals. The pair experienced upward momentum due to recent data indicating stronger-than-expected economic performance in the Eurozone. However, the Federal Reserve's concerns about potential interest rate hikes are putting downward pressure on the pair. Traders should watch for key economic announcements, such as GDP and employment reports, which could influence the pair's movement. Support is around 1.1000, while resistance is near 1.1150. Monitoring market sentiment and global events that could impact the currency pair is crucial.
Correcting the bearish moveOn the previous week price printed a one directional movement to the downside, before respecting the 4h rejection block the market started to consolidate and slightly pushed up to fill the fair value gap in order to continue with the bearish move. We now have a shift, anticipating a corrective move to activate the order block at 2376.50 and we are targeting the supply zone at 2426.50…
XAUUSD - Gold 4HRSimple Trading - Head and Shoulders pattern
-PLEASE READ BELOW-
Gold has broken from its bullish momentum and is now finding support at 2350. Expect gold to continue to the previous low and make Lower lows. If the Head and Shoulders pattern plays out correctly, 2400 should be the Highest gold goes before reaching the target. Keep in mind that 2 or more candles closes above 2390-2400 could indicate buying pressure.
How to trade the pattern:
Entry 1 is the 4hr FVG, 2400-2413 as this is a 4hr H&S pattern we look for the next FVG on the same time frame.
BULLS: (weekly)
Pay attention to the previous week's candle close. Two weeks ago gold week low was 2395. And last week, Gold's weekly low was 2350. The high of last week was 2430. not only was this considered a bearish week, but Gold also made a huge weekly doji candle. Gold price is uncertain on where price should move next. With a Potential bull flag pattern and a triple bottom, GOLD is certainly still long-term bullish.
**We are currently in a 1000pips range or 100 points. 2390 -2290 If gold fails to remain bullish over the next couple of days, gold may drop to the previous week's support.
BEARS:
Respect the Pattern, take sells around 2395-2400. If a 4hr candle breaks above this 50pips zone, more bullish price action may push the price into the 4hr FVG.
*These are just my thoughts, not financial advice.
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the lower levels to hold up the price, and only be looking to long into the levels 2410 and above that 2420-25. We had highlighted the region above we wanted to then attempt the short trade from which you will see was circled and price rejected from nearly pip perfectly. Not only did we get the point to point long trades which we were updated through the week, we got the pin point short as well. Now, from the level we wanted to target for the shorts, we’re in long, partials taken and protected ready for a new week of trading.
Week in, week out in Camelot it’s a similar story not only on Gold but the numerous of other pairs we trade and analyse for our team.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
This is week is really important, so we can expect there to be a lot of choppy price action and whipsawing across the markets. We have FOMC and NFP this week plus it’s the end of the month, we would therefore suggest traders take it a bit easier on the markets, reduce lot sizes and play defence, only picking the best setups and staying out of the potential small ranges.
We have support below 2375 and key level 2367-5 which could be potential target levels for price on opening. It’s these levels here that need hold up price to continue this structure upside into the 2295-2402 price points which for this week are key level resistance. A break of this level and above that 2410 will then take us back up towards the 2430 region and potential complete the move back up towards 2450. The range this week is bigger due to the news volume we’re expecting this week, so please be cautious.
As above, t's that 2410 level, which, if approached needs to be watched carefully, a set up there with a clean reversal could give those looking to short an opportunity to again target the lower support levels 2355 and on the break, 2330-25. Ideally, if we can get down into 2325-20 we feel the long trade awaits us.
We’ll update traders as we go through the week and of course we’ll publish the FOMC and NFP KOG Reports.
Key levels for your charts:
Support – 2376 / 2365 / 2353 / 2341 / 2330
Resistance – 2388 / 2399 / 2410 / 2420 / 2435
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEK Hey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2406 Goldturn resistance and 2360, as the Goldturn weighted support. We also have 2406 as an open gap above and 2383 open gap below.
We will see levels within this range tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break to confirm direction for the next range.
We will need ema5 to above 2406 to confirm the range above. We also have 2360, as the weighted support area and will need ema5 lock below this level to open 2360 and a cross and lock below 2360 will open the swing range for the extended swing.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2406
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2406 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2429
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2461
BEARISH TARGETS
2383
2360
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2360 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2328 - 2302
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART UPDATE Hey Everyone,
Please see update on our daily chart structure that we have been tracking successfully for a while now..
Previously we had the cross and lock above 2355, leaving a gap open to 2405 and same with 2405 opening 2464.
- Both gaps were hit and completed, as analysed.
We were then left with a candle body close gap above 2464 leaving a long range/term gap to 2521 and will need EMA5 lock above 2464 to further confirm this. Failure to lock above this level last week confirmed the rejection that followed.
We are now seeing 2355 retracement range providing support and the re-actional bounce, as analysed. We will either look for a ema5 lock below this level to open the range below or a failure to lock below this level will follow with the upper range tests again.
We have marked the charts with our unique weighted levels and will use them to track the movement up and down, confirmed with ema5 cross and lock confirmation.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis and trading plans to navigate the range in true level to level fashion.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we will continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAP Hey Everyone,
Please see update on our weekly chart idea.
Previously we had 2434 open gap hit perfectly completing this range target and the channel top test.
We mentioned last week that although we have the final Axis target at 2505, we are expecting resistance and reaction here at 2434, at the channel top and will probably need a few attempts before cracking open the range above.
- This played out perfectly, as we got the rejection after hitting our final target and the channel top provided the dynamic resistance and re-action we were expecting, which followed with the perfect rejection end of last week.
We would need to see a candle body close above 2434 in the coming weeks/months to confirm this gap or an ema5 cross and lock for a double confirmation.
The levels within the channel will provide the bounces, inline with our plans to buy dips in true level to level fashion, using our smaller time-frames.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings, instead of chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A great finish to the week with all our chart ideas playing out perfectly, as per our daily updates throughout the week.
Yesterday we advised that we got the test into 2380 weighted Goldturn support, after the rejection from the top. We also got the cross and lock below 2380 opening 2359, which was also hit perfectly. We then stated that we needed to see ema5 lock below 2359 to open the swing range or failure to lock below will see a reaction here.
- This played out perfectly once again with no lock below the 2359 weighted level, which followed with the rejection and reactional bounce into 2380 inline with our plans to buy dips!!
We will now need to track the movement level to level confirmed with cross and lock and knowing we have a gap above, helps with our plans to buy dips.
BULLISH TARGETS
2400 - DONE
2421 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
2380 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2380 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2359 - DONE
We will now come back Sunday with our Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GOLD - Double bottom H1 + Daily Demand ?Look at Daily time frame, price is now approaching strong demand zone. We are expecting rejection to upside
From H1 time frame, a double bottom is formed. Price will re-test neckline before going up.
Let' ready for BUY opportunities.
OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
After completing the range target yesterday at 2421, we also had ema5 leave a gap to 2438. We got the push up into the range but left the gap short before the rejection. This is why we always buy from dips and not from the top.
We got the test into 2380 weighted Goldturn support that we stated yesterday. Cross and lock below 2380 opened 2359, which was also hit perfectly. We will now need to see ema5 lock below 2359 to open the swing range or we will see a reaction here
So far, even with the rejection into the support zones; each of the weighted Goldturns gave the 30 to 40 pip bounces, inline with our plans to buy dips and as analysed. Once again we were able to capitalise on this by tracking the movement down and catching the bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before, each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2400 - DONE
2421 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2421 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2438
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2438 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2458
BEARISH TARGETS
2380 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2380 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2359 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2359 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2331 - 2317
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD Gold Falling Wedge patternThe Falling Wedge pattern is a bullish chart pattern that forms when the price of a security is consolidating within a narrowing, downward-sloping range. Here's a description of the pattern:
Key Characteristics:
1. Downward slope: The price is moving downward, but at a decreasing rate.
2. Narrowing range: The range between the highs and lows is decreasing, forming a wedge shape.
3. Consolidation: The price is consolidating within the wedge, indicating a pause in the downtrend.
4. Bullish reversal: The pattern suggests a potential bullish reversal, indicating a possible uptrend.
Pattern Requirements:
1. At least 5 touches: The price should touch the upper and lower trend lines at least 5 times.
2. Downward trend: The price should be in a downtrend before the wedge forms.
3. Narrowing range: The range between the highs and lows should be decreasing.
Trading Strategy:
1. Buy signal: A breakout above the upper trend line, with a stop-loss below the lower trend line.
2. Target: The target is the height of the wedge, projected upward from the breakout point.
Important Notes:
1. Confirmation: Wait for confirmation of the breakout before entering a trade.
2. False breakouts: Be cautious of false breakouts, which can occur before the actual breakout.
3. Context: Consider the overall market context and other technical and fundamental factors before trading.
The Falling Wedge pattern can be a powerful tool for identifying potential bullish reversals. However, it's essential to use proper risk management and trading discipline when trading this pattern.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the charts today with our chart idea playing out, as analysed.
Yesterday we had ema5 and candle body close above 2400 opening 2421, as a gap target. This target was hit today, completing this range. We are now seeing ema5 cross above 2421 to open the gap to 2438 and just need the lock to confirm.
We also have 2380, as the weighted support area for the range below and will need to keep this in mind, when we see rejections above.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before, each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2400 - DONE
2421 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2421 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2438
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2438 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2458
BEARISH TARGETS
2380
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2380 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2359
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2359 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2331 - 2317
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD (XAUUSD): One More Bullish Confirmation
Gold formed one more bullish pattern on a 4H time frame
after a test of a key daily/intraday support.
I see a completed inverted head and shoulders pattern
and a bullish breakout of its neckline.
I think that the market can continue growing.
Next resistance - 2434
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XAUUSD - Gold DailySimple Trading - Cup and Handle pattern
Gold has made a break from its bullish momentum and is now finding support at 2380. Expect gold to continue to reject the previous low and continue to make higher lows. If the Cup and Handle pattern plays out correctly, 2380 should be the lowest gold should go before reaching TP1.
How to trade the pattern:
Entry 1 is the 50% fib retracement from the previous impulse. In our case, gold has dropped perfectly to the 50% fib
Entry 2 is the breakout.
BULLS:
Pay attention to the previous week's candle close. the high of last week was 2480. We are currently in a 1000pips range or 100 points. If gold fails to remain bullish over the next couple of days gold may surpass the previous high and reach target 1.
BEARS:
we can see the market may consolidate shown in ZOOM 4HR. If strong sell pressure keeps gold under the next daily FVG which is around 2445-2451, we may look to take some profits. if gold remains bearish and breaks below 2380 we look to change our basis and look for more sells in the short term.
*These are just my thoughts, not financial advice.