Gold: May fall to 2625.00 - 2632.00 (READ DESCRIPTION)Gold: May fall to 2625.00 - 2632.00
Pivot Point: 2658.00
This level serves as a key resistance. As long as Gold remains below this point, the downside is expected to dominate.
Primary Strategy (Our Preference):
Entry Point:
Take short positions below 2658.00 with the following downside targets:
Target 1: 2632.00
The first support level where the price might find temporary relief.
Target 2: 2625.00
A continuation of bearish momentum could push the price towards this lower support level.
Alternative Scenario:
Entry Point:
If Gold breaks above 2658.00, expect the following upside targets:
Target 1: 2664.00
The price may rally toward this level if bullish pressure picks up.
Target 2: 2670.00
A further break above 2664.00 could lead to an extension toward this higher level.
Technical Outlook:
Resistance:
The resistance at 2658.00 is a key level. As long as it holds, there is a high probability that Gold will continue to move lower.
RSI Indicator:
The RSI is below 50%, indicating bearish momentum. As long as the RSI stays below this neutral zone, the downside risk is elevated.
Market Sentiment:
The overall sentiment suggests a bearish bias. As long as 2658.00 remains intact as resistance, look for downward pressure towards 2632.00 and possibly 2625.00.
Goldtrading
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are in a new rage but just like last time we were able to generate accurate levels to use for the coming week.
We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2674 Goldturn resistance and 2650, as Goldturn support.
We currently have a gap above on market open at 2655 and below at 2633 and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2655
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2655 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2674
BEARISH TARGETS
2633
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2633 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2611
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2611 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2586 - 2558
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART SHORT/MID TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our daily chart idea that we have been tracking for a while with the updated retracement and swing range.
Same as last week we are still seeing price play between two weighted levels. We have 2690 Goldturn resistance and 2645, as Goldturn support.
We currently have a gap above at 2690, as we had ema5 cross and lock above 2645 opening 2690. The daily chart averages are lagging so sometimes gaps get filled before ema5 confirmation, in which case candle body close gaps are suffice.
Currently we have ema5 cross and lock leaving 2690 gap open and support at 2645 Goldturn for the bounces we are seeing. 2645 is currently providing support and bounces inline with our plans to buy dips and no cross and lock below 2645, therefore confirming support.
Please note a break below 2645 will also open the lower range, which we can use to track the movement down and catch the bounces up.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we will continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD: Quick sell opportunityGold is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 63.790, MACD = 41.420, ADX = 28.520), gone down considerably from its previous oversold levels as it has turned sideways since September 26th, in a range that looks like the last consolidation of late August. Now that the 4H MA50 has been breached, the metal can technically make an attempt to test the bottom of the Channel. This is a strong short term sell opportunity (TP = 2,625).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A PIPTASTIC finish to the week with our chart idea doing another repeat of the move completing the 2669 target twice, allowing us to buy dips inline with our plans.
2669 Goldturn resistance and 2650 Goldturn support were both completed earlier this week, followed with drops into the retracement range but not the full retracement test. This still allowed us to buy dips, as 2650 also gave the bounces for another re-test to our Bullish target 2669 completing the week.
The market moved sideways this week but allowed us to safely between the range buying dips.
BULLISH TARGET
2669 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
2650 - DONE
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we will continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold Thoughts 04-Oct-2024GOOD MORNING Everyone! Please find my Gold market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader.
GOLD 1H ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the chart today allowing us to buy dips inline with our analysis.
Our bearish target on this chart complete at 2650 and just our full bullish target at 2674 still open giving us the confidence to buy dips
2650 is currently providing support for the bounce. However, we also need to keep in mind that although we had the move into the retracement zone also giving us the bounces, as highlighted with the arrow on the chart; the full retracement range is still open. We need to keep this in mind when managing risk for the extended range between 2674 and 2620 .
We will need to wait for the 2674 test, followed with ema5 cross and lock above 2674 to confirm the range above or failure to lock above will see price test the lower Goldturns and the weighted Goldturns for the bounces, allowing us to take advantage of the bounces.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2674
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2674 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2694
POTENTIALLY 2716
BEARISH TARGETS
2650 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2650 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2620
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2620 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2588 - 2558
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold gonna bust a move for Q4 || 04.OCT.2024 - FOMC?!Goooood Morning Tradingview!!
I am back! I'm glad to be back! I have missed y'all!!
Let's dive right in!!
Ok, starting from our bad mama-jamma, Monthly timeframe we can see XAUUSD is taking off! We are in an obvious bullish momentum creating new ALL TIME HIGHS each month, meaning we are in uncharted territory...
YET
Each week I have presented ideas that have played out more times than not.
HOWEVER,
Mistakes were made in my trade management. Alongside my business partner we've created a game plan that made sense to me and my trading style according to my trading personality or archetype - pretty INSANE I know!
Buuuuuuuut back to today's trade.
I am going to sit patiently and see which way price wants to move and when she does get ready for a big ol' heavy hitter *POW! I have my bias' for sure...PIPS OVER PROFITS!!
If you've made it this far, thank y'all! Shout Out to the new follows! I am truly blessed! God bless y'all
*Peace!
XAU/USD 03 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
intraday expectation remains unchanged from yesterday's analysis (02 October 2024).
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has continued its surge, reaching all-time highs with minimal pullbacks.
The bearish swing pullback phase has been confirmed by a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS), which has also established the current swing range. At present, we are trading between the swing high and internal low.
Price has now printed a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), suggesting, but not confirming initiation of a bullish pullback phase.
Additionally, the price has reacted from the premium zone above the 50% internal equilibrium (EQ).
Intraday Expectation: The expectation is for price to target a weak internal low.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price met expectations by targeting a weak internal low and printing a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS).
As previously mentioned, price action remains erratic, driven by ongoing macroeconomic data and heightened geopolitical tensions.
Since last analysis, price has printed a double bearish iBOS, aligning with the H4 bearish pullback phase as expected.
An internal range has been established, with the price reacting from the extreme high of this range.
Intraday Expectation: The price is expected to target a weak internal low.
With rising geopolitical tensions, Gold is likely to remain highly volatile in the short term.
M15 Chart:
Gold Price Analysis: Symmetrical Triangle Formation Signals $$##📈 Gold Price Analysis: Symmetrical Triangle Formation Signals Potential Breakout
Gold trades within a symmetrical triangle formation on the H1 timeframe, and traders are closely monitoring for a potential breakout. This technical pattern, known for its converging trendlines, often signals an impending price breakout, either upward or downward. Here's what to watch for:
🔺 What is a Symmetrical Triangle?
A symmetrical triangle is a continuation pattern in which the price forms lower highs and higher lows , creating two converging trendlines 📊. The market's indecision builds tension, often leading to a significant breakout in either direction as the price consolidates.
🚀 Key Breakout Levels for Gold
As gold continues to move within this symmetrical triangle, there are two potential breakout scenarios:
📈 Upside Breakout Target – $2,693:
If gold breaks out above the upper trendline of the symmetrical triangle, we can expect bullish momentum to push the price toward the $2,693 level. This would indicate a continuation of the upward trend, attracting buyers and potentially setting the stage for further gains.
📉 Downside Breakout Target – $2,614:
On the other hand, a break below the lower trendline would signal a bearish move, with the next potential target around $2,614 . This downside breakout would indicate a reversal or pause in the recent bullish trend, likely driving selling pressure.
🔍 Factors to Watch
Several factors may influence gold’s price action and the potential breakout direction:
🌍 Geopolitical tensions and market uncertainty drive safe-haven gold demand, potentially pushing prices higher.
💵 US Dollar strength: A stronger dollar could weigh on gold, increasing the likelihood of a downside breakout.
📉 Interest rates and inflation expectations also play a role, as rising rates could limit gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset.
🛠 Trading Strategy
Traders should consider waiting for a clear breakout above or below the symmetrical triangle before entering a position. A decisive move beyond these key levels— $2,693 for an upside breakout or $2,614 for a downside breakout—could offer strong trading opportunities with defined risk levels.
💡 Conclusion
The symmetrical triangle formation on the H1 timeframe indicates that gold is on the verge of a significant move. Monitoring key breakout levels, market sentiment, and external factors like the dollar and interest rates will be crucial in navigating this potential opportunity. Whether gold breaks out to the upside or downside, traders should be prepared for a substantial price move towards $2,693 or $2,614.
🔔 Stay updated with the latest prices and market developments to capitalize on this technical pattern.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the chart today with our 4H chart playing out, as analysed.
We had price play between two weighted levels. 2669 Goldturn resistance and 2650, as Goldturn support and both highlighted, as targets.
- Both targets have been completed. We were able to take advantage of the drop and buy inline with our plans to buy dips and complete the bullish target. We need to also keep in mind the retracement range was not fully completed and a gap left open.
We are seeing price test 2650 for support and if this holds; we are likely to see another 2669 test. However, we will need to see ema5 lock above 2669 or we are likely to see another drop to complete the full retracement range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2669 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2669 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2695
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2695 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2717
POTENTIALLY 2738
BEARISH TARGETS
2650 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2650 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2615
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2615 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2582 - 2556
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Thoughts 02-Oct-2024GOOD MORNING Everyone! Please find my Gold market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader.
This week's gold trading strategyThis week's gold trading strategy, be able to understand and follow, there will be a 50% profit this week!
News: Everyone knows that the US Federal Reserve cut interest rates some time ago, which added a fire to the entire gold market. In addition, the global geopolitical conflict has ignited the entire gold market, causing the price of gold to reach 2700!For all of us traders, what we want to know most is which direction the market should go next.
First of all, the news is that the United States has cut interest rates, and the impact of geopolitical risks has been almost digested by the market, so it is a bit difficult for gold to hit the high point!
In addition, after the U.S. interest rate cut, it will definitely focus on economic development, so the U.S. economy will improve next, so the dollar index will rise, and the price of gold will also fluctuate and fall!
So I judge that in the next week or so, the gold market will fluctuate and fall!
Technical aspects: You can see that the candlestick chart of gold is currently in a downtrend channel. Although it has broken through the top of the uptrend channel, it is not a real technical breakthrough. It is caused by today's US data ‘ISM Manufacturing PMI for September'. Gold will return to the trend next, so it is best to go short at a high level, but go long at a low level in the trend!
News forecast: U.S. ADP employment in September (10,000 people)-bearish gold
U.S. non-farm payrolls after September quarter-adjusted (10,000 people)-bearish gold
This week's point strategy: 2670 short, 2675 increase position
2620 go long, 2615 increase position
If you want to see specific trading signal strategies, please consult in the comments area!
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the chart today with price finding support just above the retracement level and then hitting 2650, as highlighted on the chart and now heading towards the 2674 Bullish target.
We will need to wait for ema5 cross and lock above 2674 to confirm the range above or failure to lock above will see price test the lower Goldturns again and the weighted Goldturns for the bounces.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2674
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2674 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2694
POTENTIALLY 2716
BEARISH TARGETS
2650 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2650 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2620
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2620 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2588 - 2558
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAU/USD : Be Ready for Another Correction! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that yesterday, as expected, the price finally dropped to $2624. After reaching this key demand level, it experienced a bullish move and has risen over 250 pips to $2650 so far. The $2651 to $2656 range is a key supply zone, and I expect a price correction once it reaches this area. Keep an eye on the price reaction at this level! (This analysis will be updated)
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
XAUUSD BUY ANALYSIS WEEKLY FORECAST Here on Xauusd price has just made an uptrend and there is high chance of reverse to make a support in other to continue it uptrend movement so then entry point should be around 2621.705 and 2599.881 with stoploss of 2583.324 and the targeting profit should be 2640.520 for TP1 and 2668.365 for TP2 and 2696.963 for TP3 . Use money management
Gold Thoughts 01-Oct-2024Happy New Month all, Kindly see my Gold thoughts for today. These videos are aimed at making you compare charts with mine if you are a price acton trader and use my thoughts to improve your skill. They are not meant as signals even if they seem like they are. I want you to learn and be great
NVDA BOOM!?As posted in recent weeks, NVDA’s stock price continues to move higher after bottoming out in the lower $100 range. This was a liquify grab meant to shake out weak hands. We broke through the price of $126 this past week, and then dropped lower to $120 support. I believe now is the time to buy NVDA with an overall target goal of $138 or higher.
This is just a prediction. Good luck!
WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
I wanted to start the week with an update on our weekly chart idea shared yesterday. We stated and highlighted the detachment below for the correction and we also advised that we were looking for are-test on the channel top.
We are looking for support above the channel top for a bounce and continuation. However, as stated yesterday; If we get a break inside the channel then we will track the movement with the levels highlighted within the channel and our smaller timeframe chart ideas to track the movement down and catch the bounces up.
If the channel top provides support then we will track the movement up confirmed with ema5 cross and lock or candle body close. We currently have a candle body close gap to 2729 long range AXIS TARGET.
The overall structure still remains Bullish, we just need to manage swings inline with corrections, which are always likely after a strong bull run..
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we wanted to short from the 2630-35 region into the lower levels, which worked but we only managed to get 2613 when we wanted 2610. Ideally, we wanted lower to then access the price action and look for the long, however, that long came early and we managed to capture the move both down and then up completing our bias target levels plus the extra pip capture into the highs to end the week.
A great week not only on gold but we completed 32 targets giving our traders a phenomenal pip capture across the markets. Nice, easy, clean trading!
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We've had some more geopolitical news over the weekend so there is a chance that we will see some opening gaps on the markets. We also have NFP this week, so towards the end of the week can expect the usual pre-event price action and ranging to form.
Now, due to us expecting these potential gaps, best practice is to let Monday early session do what it needs to do, instead plot the levels and look for the RIPs to capture the scalps, ideally on the red boxes.
We have the immediate levels above at 2665/7 resistance, which is a crucial level price needs to reject to continue the move downside! For that reason, we are giving a bias level of bearish below 2670 provisionally with an extension of the move into 2675 which is the flip. If we attack these levels, and get the reaction we need, we feel these levels will represent opportunities to short into the lower levels 2650-55 and below that 2630-35.
If broken above, we get that flip and we’ll be looking to target that 2701 level and above that we have 2707, which is where we may get further opportunities to attempt the short again.
Important: There is an extension of this downside move, and it’s below our bias level bullish above 2630-35. Oddly enough, we also have an Excalibur target sitting down there active! We will want to see how the market opens and what they do in the early session before we make up our minds on that move. NFP could through a spanner in the works for traders!
For now, we’ll stick with the above and as usual we’ll update traders through the week.
Look out for KOG’s bias of the day, KOG’s red boxes and the indicator levels which are published for the wider community.
KOG’s Bias for the week:
Bearish below 2670 with targets below 2650 and below that 2635
Bullish on break of 2675 with target above 2685 and above that 2701
RED BOXES:
2665 break above for 2672 / 2685 / 2701 / 2707
2650 break below for 2635 / 2624 / 2620
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD's Situation: What Shall we Expect !!!FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
In the past days, gold was able to successfully break the ascending triangle and grow well, but now, as you can see, gold formed a rising wedge pattern after the breaking of the ascending triangle, which finally broke this pattern, and now I expect it according to technical analysis. The price will fall to the support area and then grow up.
in close view (1h)
✨Traders, if you liked this idea or have your opinion on it, write in the comments, We will be glad.
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!
Gold Thoughts 30-Sept-2024Happy New Week all, Kindly see my Gold thoughts for today. These videos are aimed at making you compare charts with mine if you are a price acton trader and use my thoughts to improve your skill. They are not meant as signals even if they seem like they are. I want you to learn and be great