Xauusd:Will it break through 2000?
The annualization of the total number of new housing starts in the United States and the total number of construction permits announced on Friday have shown a strong rebound. We all know the stimulating effect of real estate on economic growth. The continued rise in real estate data will also push up the prices of raw materials, home improvement appliances and other commodities, which will make the US inflation data appear resilient to stop falling.
On this point, Chicago Fed Chairman Goolsbee (2023 FOMC Voting Committee) pointed out in his speech: the housing price sub-item in the inflation data is a key indicator.
But gold did not break through the key point of 1995
Because it's still an upward trend, you can still wait for key support points to buy
Observe the resistance of 1995
If you don't know how to trade, join me and let us learn together to improve the success rate
Goldsignal
XAUUSD - Gold rebounded due to the Fund, is it possible to sell?On the night of November 20, today's spot gold price on the world market stood around 1,973 USD/ounce. Gold delivered in December on the Comex New York floor was at 1982 USD/ounce.
The world gold price on the night of November 20 was about 8.2% higher (149 USD/ounce) compared to the beginning of 2023.
World gold tends to continue last week's increase after inflation in the US cooled down. It is likely that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will soon reverse monetary policy and reduce interest rates.
This week, the Fed will release the minutes of its monetary policy meeting. Market signals show that the Fed will almost certainly keep interest rates unchanged at its December policy meeting and will likely maintain it at 5.25% - 5.5% until June next year.
The USD on the world market decreased quite quickly. The DXY index - measuring the fluctuations of the greenback against a basket of 6 major currencies, dropped sharply from 104.1 points at the end of last week to 103.6 points at the beginning of the trading session on November 20 on the US market.
Gold Idea - XAUUSDOANDA:XAUUSD SAXO:XAUUSD Gold vs US Dollar
No comment!
⚠️ Disclaimer: The viewpoints shared represent my individual outlook on the market, based on publicly accessible information and historical data. While a portion of these opinions is influenced by my actual trades, others are not. It's important to note that I am not a financial advisor, and I do not assume any responsibility for the decisions you make in your trading activities.
✅ Feel free to share your inquiries or suggestions in the comments. I am more than willing to assess and analyze any cryptocurrency, forex currency pair, or stock index that piques your interest, so, Please don't hesitate to ask or mention the specific currency chart you'd like me to review.
DXY keeps falling on recent news, Gold continues to riseWorld gold prices rose as the code hit a 2-week high as expectations that the Fed would cut interest rates in the spring increased.
World gold prices increased sharply this morning with spot gold increasing by 21.6 USD to 1,980.8 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 1,987.3 USD/ounce, up 23 USD compared to yesterday morning.
Gold prices soared to a 2-week high as they were boosted by falling US Treasury bond yields amid the prospect that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) has completed its cycle of raising interest rates and will carry out interest rate cuts next spring increasingly.
Ole Hansen, commodity strategist at Saxo Bank, said that gold will maintain its recent strong gains as long as prices hold above $1,930 an ounce. He said the prospect of lower interest rates and demand from central banks will be strong enough support factors for gold to withstand any short-term strength from economic data.
Data on Wednesday showed US producer prices fell the most in 3.5 years in October, the latest sign that inflation pressures are easing, while retail sales fell for the first time. after 7 months. Previously on Tuesday, data showed that US pepper prices were unchanged compared to the level recorded in October.
GOLD - Gold trading strategy on November 16World gold prices increased today (November 16), but conflicting US inflation data is increasing volatility and risk for precious metal investors.
Traders' and investors' attitudes were more optimistic midweek following reports that the US consumer price index for October increased 3.2% year-on-year. CPI is forecast to increase 3.3% year-on-year, compared to a 3.7% increase in the September report. October PPI fell 0.5% from September compared to expectations of a 0.0% increase. 1% during this period. CPI and PPI data met the expectations of those who wanted to see the Federal Reserve pause its interest rate tightening cycle. Now, many Fed market observers believe that the US central bank will continue to pause interest rate increases in the coming months.
US stock indexes were higher and at multi-week highs in midday trading, following sharp gains posted on Tuesday.
XAUUSD - After the PPI news, will gold fall?Continuing to accelerate from the previous session, the DXY index (the movement of the greenback compared to the balance of 6 major currencies) decreased sharply from 104.8 points to 104.1 points in the first trading session on the market.
The USD fell after US inflation was unexpectedly lower than forecast, reinforcing confidence that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will not raise interest rates.
Specifically, US generation in October did not change compared to the previous month. The consumer price index (CPI) increased by 3.2% compared to 2022 and remained unchanged compared to September. Previously, economists consulting the Dow Jones survey predicted that this month's CPI would increase by 0.1 % compared to September.
This information gives hope that prices are easing pressure on the US economy. Investors believe interest rates have gained value.
Life on US Treasury bonds has also fallen sharply. Yields on 10-year notes fell to just over 4.4%, thus rebounding above 5% at the end of October.
Gold prices increased while countries still strongly imported gold and increased their reserves of this precious metal.
XAUUSD - Soared when the USD suddenly plummetedThe world's gold price today (November 15) soared when the US announced that the October consumer price index fell lower than forecast. The sudden drop in the USD helped investors return to buying gold when deposit and transaction costs decreased.
World gold prices continued to skyrocket this morning due to the USD suddenly plummeting. Specifically, the Dollar-Index - measuring the strength of the USD in a basket of 6 major currencies - dropped sharply by 1.49% to 104,060 points at 6:20 a.m. this morning (Hanoi time).
The USD fell sharply after the US announced the consumer price index (CPI) for October was lower than expected. Specifically, the CPI in the US in October increased by 3.2% over the same period last year, a sharper decrease than September's increase of 3.7% and lower than the forecast of 3.3%. This is the lowest level since March 2021.
The core CPI index in October in the US increased by 4% over the same period last year, lower than the 4.1% increase in September and the previous forecast. Experts say that a decrease in the CPI consumer price index will help The US Federal Reserve (Fed) cannot raise interest rates further at its upcoming December meeting.
Because the Fed's prediction that it will not raise interest rates any further has pushed the USD down, gold prices have benefited as a result. Because gold transaction and custody costs will decrease.
However, experts also warn investors to be cautious, because inflation has decreased but is still far from the target level of 2%. Previously, the Fed Chairman gave the message that the Fed will do everything to reduce inflation to the target level. Therefore, gold prices may still be under pressure if the Fed raises interest rates one more time.
XAUUSD - PPI today news trading strategyYesterday, the market received information about US inflation data, which more or less affected gold prices. Specifically, the US consumer price index remained unchanged in October and core inflation showed signs of slowing down. CPI increased by 3.2% compared to the same period last year. This level in September was 3.7%.
Accordingly, after the inflation report was published, the market predicted a 100% possibility that the US Central Bank would keep interest rates unchanged in December compared to 86% before the inflation report. Weaker-than-expected US consumer inflation data caused the USD and Treasury bond yields to fall, thereby helping gold prices recover.
Experts say that CPI data was significantly weaker than expected, which is quite supportive for precious metals. But at the same time, he believes that gold may drop another 4% back to 1,900 USD/ounce in the near future when it no longer benefits from the safe haven channel, due to concerns related to the Israel-Hamas conflict. This expert predicts that the average price in 2024 will be 1,883 USD/ounce and increase to an average of 1,918 USD/ounce in 2025.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD- Intraday trading strategy before CPI news on November 14Gold prices today (November 14) in the world rebounded right before the US announced the October consumer price index today. The falling USD has supported the increase in gold prices.
World gold prices continued to increase this morning because the falling USD supported the increase in gold prices as transaction and custody costs decreased. Specifically, the Dollar-Index - measuring the strength of the USD in a basket of 6 major currencies, decreased by 0.19% to 105,660 points at 6:30 a.m. this morning (Hanoi time).
The USD fell before the US announced the consumer price index (CPI) for October today, October 14. It is forecast that the CPI in the US will increase by 3.7% over the same period last year, equal to the increase in September.
Previously, the US released the October employment report with non-farm payrolls only creating 150,000 jobs, much lower than the 180,000 jobs forecast and far ahead of the 297,000 jobs created in September. The unemployment rate also increased from 3.8% in August to 3.9% in October.
Experts say that poor employment data in the US and a stable CPI may help the US Federal Reserve (Fed) not be able to increase interest rates as previously forecast to ensure market stability. job school.
Gold is still in the bearish channel, so choose a suitable entry to enter the order while waiting for news
Continuing the downward price channel, how far will Gold fall?World gold prices this morning tended to increase with spot gold increasing by 1.2 USD compared to last week's closing level to 1,939 USD/ounce.
Last week, the gold market witnessed its second consecutive week of decline due to weak safe-haven demand while US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell took a hawkish stance on monetary policy.
According to City Index market analyst Fawad Razaqzada, Mr. Powell's hawkish stance was the main reason why gold prices weakened last week. In addition, investors' risk appetite has improved in the past few weeks as the Israel-Hamas conflict has not made much progress, also reducing demand in the gold market.
Gold bars have lost about 70 USD since reaching over 2,000 USD/ounce thanks to safe-haven demand due to escalating tensions in the Middle East.
Fed officials, including Mr. Powell, say they are still unsure whether interest rates will be high enough to end the war on inflation, pushing up 10-year Treasury yields and the U.S. index. The Dollar Index rose, thereby making non-interest-bearing gold less attractive to investors.
Continuing the downward trend, can gold create a new bottom?World gold prices this morning reversed to increase slightly with spot gold increasing by 8.4 USD to 1,958.2 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 1,963.5 USD/ounce, up 5.7 USD compared to yesterday morning.
The slight weakening of the USD in the evening trading session of November 9 (Vietnam time) slightly increased the appeal of gold to buyers holding other currencies. Currently, the market is waiting for the speech of the Chairman of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) for more clues regarding the Fed's future monetary policy roadmap. Along with interest rates, gold's safe-haven demand from geopolitical tensions is also gradually drying up, making it difficult for gold to have a sustainable increase over the past week.
Looking at the long term, in a recent study by Capital Economics, experts said that, although geopolitical instability due to the conflict in the Middle East has created some positive fluctuations for the gold market, but prices will eventually move higher as the Fed begins cutting interest rates in 2024. Gold could end the year at $2,100 an ounce.
XAUUSD - Gold trading strategy, selling trend continuesWorld gold prices this morning continued to decline with spot gold down 19.3 USD to 1,949.4 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 1,955.7 USD/ounce, down 17.8 USD compared to yesterday morning.
The gold market witnessed its third consecutive decline as investors looked for new signals about the US Central Bank's interest rate stance.
Daniel Ghali, commodity strategist at TD Securities, said that traders will start looking at economic data and potential actions from the US Central Bank and gold will react based on whatever data brings. According to this expert, it is difficult for gold to gain momentum if data does not show economic weakness.
Recently, in their speech, a series of US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials kept a balanced view on the central bank's next decision, but noted that they will focus more on more on economic data and the impact of higher long-term bond yields.
Gold is an asset that is very sensitive to rising US interest rates because they increase the opportunity cost of holding non-interest bearing assets like gold.
GOLD SELL | Day Trading Analysis Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
Watch strong action at the current levels for BUY. GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity NZDCAD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
Support the idea with like and follow my profile TO SEE MORE.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Patience is the If You Have Any Question, Feel Free To Ask 🤗
Just follow chart with idea and analysis and when you are ready come in THE GROVE | VIP GROUP, earn more and safe, wait for the signal at the right moment and make money with us💰
Gold trading strategy, rising againGold futures price delivered in December 2023 on the Comex New York floor decreased by 15.1 USD, equivalent to a decrease of 0.76% to 1,973.5 USD/ounce.
Gold experienced an impressive October and a historic month for this market, closing at a record high with an increase of nearly 7%. However, according to analysts at the World Gold Council, this precious metal needs more motivation to create a sustainable push in the market.
In our view, a sustained rise in gold prices will require continued political risks or the currency, bond yields and the US dollar peak or equity markets end their consolidation. risk of economic recession revived.
GOLD - The downtrend channel continues, so buy or sell now?World gold prices this morning continued to decline with spot gold down 8.8 USD to 1,968.7 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 1,973.5 USD/ounce, down 15.1 USD compared to yesterday morning's gold.
The strong recovery of the USD in the evening trading session of November 7 took away the appeal of gold for buyers holding other currencies.
Investors are currently waiting for a series of speeches from US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials this week, the most important of which is Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech on Wednesday and Thursday.
However, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said the central bank may have more work ahead to control inflation.
According to analysts at the World Gold Council, although October was a historic month for the gold market as the precious metal saw record high closing prices for the month, more substances are needed. catalyst to create sustainable thrust in the market.
Experts note that geopolitical instability due to the conflict between Israel and Hamas has increased the demand for safe-haven speculation, but long-term investors are still reluctant to jump into the market due to the action. Weak prices in gold-backed exchange-traded products (ETFs). A sustainable rise for gold above $2,000 an ounce requires signs that political risks continue and bond yields and the dollar peak.
XAUUSD - Gold is still in a downtrend, selling strategyAs gold retraces, attention turns to support zones around 1,953 to 1,947 and key moving averages, while investors watch for signs of recovery.
Gold confirmed a breakdown from its small rising trend channel today as it fell through the lower trendline of the pattern and yesterday’s low of 1,977. Weakness was further confirmed on a drop below last Wednesday’s minor swing low of 1,970. Support for the day was seen at 1,957, leading to a bounce to test resistance around the 1,970 level. Given the characteristics of the breakdown it seems likely that a deeper retracement is in the works before gold is ready to resume its ascent.
For the upside, given today’s price action it is looking like gold might continue to retrace or consolidate for the remainder of this week. We are already heading into mid-week and the retracement only got confirmed today with the rising channel breakdown. As it stands now, an advance above today’s high is short-term bullish with strength confirmed on a daily close above the high. And then further still above the two-day high of 1,993.
Gold continues to fall deeply, long-term sell entry, target 1955World gold prices decreased this morning with spot gold down 13.5 USD to 1,977.5 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 1,988.6 USD/ounce, down 10.6 USD compared to yesterday morning's gold.
During the first trading session of the week, safe-haven metals came under pressure as risk appetite among investors and traders increased. According to experts, weak safe-haven demand combined with interest rate expectations are factors holding back gold. Since the Israel-Hamas conflict broke out, safe-haven buying has helped gold gain 7%. However, according to Kitco Metals senior analyst Jim Wyckoff, risk appetite is improving and there are no major unexpected developments from the Israel-Hammas conflict that is gaining its safe-haven appeal for investors. of gold.
Unusually high central bank buying may help explain why gold prices have remained resilient despite downward pressure from the strength of the dollar and rising bond yields so far this year.
XAUUSD - Gold is decreasing, should I buy or sell gold now?Last week, gold fluctuated with a narrow range and regularly tested the psychological barrier of 2,000 USD/ounce. However, the metal still failed to hold this level as it was caught between conflicting factors between interest rate expectations and geopolitical concerns.
Among Wall Street analysts participating in the survey, 60% expect gold prices to move higher this week. 64% of retail investors participating in online polls have the same opinion.
Forecasting this week's gold price trend, Kitco News' weekly gold survey shows that analysts and retail investors are optimistic about gold for the week ending November 10. Experts expect the price to break out this week even though there is not much supporting information.
Adam Button, currency strategist at Forexlive.com, said that Friday's weak nonfarm payrolls report is a sign that the US Federal Reserve's interest rate hike cycle is over. momentum and the fact that gold remains near $2,000 an ounce even as the safe-haven push is weakening.
GOLD - Gold selling strategyGold price on Kitco closed last week's trading session at 1,992 USD/ounce.
Investors' worries about the Israel-Hamas conflict still exist, but that cannot help gold prices surpass the threshold of 2,000 USD/ounce. It is because the gold price cannot surpass this important threshold that has caused market psychology to become cautious.
Some analysts believe that gold prices are being hindered by the price level of 2,000 USD/ounce. If gold prices are consolidated in the near future, the precious metal price may soar to a new all-time high.
Commodity analysts say that geopolitical factors are having a major impact on gold and that as concerns subside, the precious metal's safe-haven appeal will be reduced.
According to Tastylive.com expert Christopher Vecchio, safe haven purchasing power thanks to the geopolitical crisis is being depleted. While geopolitical conflict can provide trading impetus for gold, it does not have a long-term effect.
Gold trading strategy at the beginning of the week November 6Many experts predict that the fall in gold prices is due to profit-taking pressure when last week the precious metal increased by 5%. Two weeks ago, the US and European economies released economic growth reports, in which GDP growth in the US increased more than twice the forecast.
As a result, US Government bond yields have increased sharply. The 10-year US Government bond yield at 6:40 a.m. this morning increased sharply by 0.79% to 4.593%/year. The Dollar-Index measuring the strength of the USD in a basket of 6 major currencies also increased 0.06% to 105,080 points at the same time.
Along with the positive economic reports published in the US and Europe two weeks ago, it is forecast that retail sales in the US will increase sharply in the last two months of the year when a series of events such as Black Friday and Christmas are held. , welcoming the new year takes place. To welcome the above events, businesses will organize discounts and promotions to attract customers to shop.
This will positively impact production and business activities, promoting economic growth. Experts say that the US economy will continue to recover strongly in the last months of the year, thereby putting pressure on gold prices.
Meanwhile, the factor supporting gold is that geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are weakening as countries and United Nations organizations are finding ways to get relevant parties to implement a ceasefire in the Gaza Strip.
Xauusd:Will gold choose the direction today?
Before the release of employment data, a report showed that U.S. labor productivity had its largest increase in three years, helping to alleviate the inflationary impact of recent wage growth.The number of people applying for unemployment benefits rose for the sixth consecutive week, indicating that it is beginning to be more difficult for the unemployed to find new jobs.Economists predict that after the number of non-farm payrolls increased by 336,000 in September, the number of non-farm payrolls will increase by 180,000 in October.Friday's employment data is crucial.
In terms of gold, as can be seen from the chart, it has been within the range of 1968-1992.
Gold has maintained an upward trend for the time being. After four days of market conditions this week, gold fluctuated in the range on Monday, gold fell sharply on Tuesday, gold continued to fall on Wednesday, and gold fluctuated in the range on Thursday. Overall, compared with last week, the bulls are not so strong.
From a technical point of view, the three-day decline in the high of the daily cycle has become the standard top pattern, and the 5- and 10-day moving average has formed a cross-decline. Now the market lacks a stimulus. If today's data is not good for gold, the following target first looks at 1952, and then 1920, of which 1962-1968 is currently the key point for long and short competition.
We need to pay attention to the upper resistance point range:
2002-2010
1987-1992
Pay attention to the range of support points below:
1970-1975
1962-1968
Before the US market, you can still sell high and buy low in accordance with the above range, strictly control your position, and set a stop loss to improve your profitability.
If you don't know how to trade, join me and let us learn together to improve the success rate