THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the price to start by attempting the higher resistance 2510-15 and based on the flip we would see an opportunity to short back down into the 2480-85 region. It was here that we suggested traders look for the set up to go long and target the higher levels again, which worked very well for us, both down and up. We then released the NFP KOG Report and gave the levels we would be looking to either long or short into, and on the flip look for the reaction in price. We managed to get a move into that higher level, completing our Excalibur targets and then getting the RIP from that level all the way back down into where we closed on Friday. Some traders even managed to get the long from the order region market bullish above, which should have been protected and partials taken.
Another great week in Camelot not only on Gold but US30 giving us a pin point level to level move for a phenomenal short, as well as all the other pairs we trade performing well.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For this week we’re going to keep it simple to start the week! We’re still in the range and price is still accumulating so we can’t get to concerned here with the longer-term direction, we’ll simply have to play the chart with what It’s presenting us.
The ideal scenario here is we see price attempt an undercut low and then start the incline into the higher levels 2505 and above that 2510-15 again. Therefore, key level support is sitting at the 2480-85 region, and our bullish above bias will still stand for this week based on that attempt to break above that 2515 price mark. If we fail here, the swing will continue to play, and we should see price attempt to break below the 2485 region and attempt to attack the order region 2450-55 which is where we feel the ideal position trade will come from.
As above, 2510-15 is a key level resistance here as breaking this level will lead to further gains on gold with that 2530-35 region again as the target level for the week.
KOG’s Bias for the week:
Bullish above 2485 with targets above 2510, 2515 and above that 2530
Bearish on the break of 2485 with targets below 2477 and below that 2465
As always, we will update traders through the week with our plans, KOG’s bias of the day and the Red Box strategy whenever we can.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Goldshort
Gold Short Trade Idea - After All-Time Highs 1 Hour (1H)Gold has recently surged to new all-time highs (ATH) following a strong breakout during the New York session. The momentum carried through to the Asian session, where the price continued to climb. However, as we enter a potential exhaustion phase, there may be an opportunity to short gold.
Analysis:
• All-Time Highs: After reaching new ATHs, gold appears to be losing steam, suggesting that a retracement could be imminent.
• Momentum Loss: The recent price action shows signs of weakening, which could indicate that buyers are stepping back, providing a window for a short position.
• Technical Levels: The take-profit target is aligned with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, a common area for price to pull back after a significant move.
• Price Discovery: Gold is currently in a “price discovery” phase, where the market is determining the true value after reaching unprecedented levels. This increases the potential for volatility and unexpected price movements.
Trade Management:
• Partial Profits: If the trade starts moving in our favor, it’s advisable to take partial profits along the way. This strategy minimizes risk and locks in gains, as waiting for the full target may be too optimistic in a volatile environment.
• Tight Stop-Loss: Given the current market conditions, it’s crucial to keep the stop-loss tight. The market is in uncharted territory, so protecting your capital is paramount.
This trade aims to capitalize on a potential pullback after a historic surge in gold prices. However, caution is essential due to the “price discovery” nature of the market at these levels. Manage your risk carefully and be prepared to adapt to the market’s movements.
Trade carefully, and good luck!
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Gold (XAU/USD) Short Setup on Daily Timeframe Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading near a resistance zone on the daily chart, presenting a potential short setup. With key U.S. economic data, including the CPI (Consumer Price Index), set to be released today, there is a high probability of increased volatility, which could drive the price lower if the data supports USD strength.
Technical Analysis:
• Resistance Zone: The daily chart shows Gold testing a significant resistance level around 2,520. This level has previously acted as a strong barrier, making it an ideal spot for a potential reversal.
• Bearish Candlestick Formation: The recent price action has formed a bearish rejection pattern, indicating that sellers may be stepping in at this level.
• Downside Targets: The initial target for this short setup is around 2,500, where the next significant support lies. A further decline could see the price move towards 2,480 if the bearish momentum continues.
Fundamental Analysis:
• USD CPI Data: Today’s U.S. CPI release is critical, as it will provide insight into inflationary pressures and could influence the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decisions. A higher-than-expected CPI could strengthen the USD, putting additional pressure on Gold prices.
• Market Sentiment: The market may already be pricing in expectations for the CPI data, so it’s essential to watch the actual release closely. A stronger USD could lead to a significant selloff in Gold, validating this short setup.
Risk Management:
• Volatility Caution: Given the importance of the CPI data, expect increased volatility during and after the release. Ensure your position size reflects this potential risk.
• Trailing Stop: Consider using a trailing stop if the trade moves in your favor to lock in profits while allowing the position to run if the decline continues.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Gold Price Analysis: Watching Resistance and Support ZonesGold is currently trading between a strong resistance zone, where we’ve seen multiple rejections, and a key support level. The price has been bouncing between these areas. If we see the price drop back to the smaller support, there’s potential for a bounce. It will be crucial to observe how buyers respond at this level to determine the next move. If buyers show strength, a rebound could occur; otherwise, we might see further declines. Monitoring price action at these critical levels will be key for future trades.
Xauusd The daily chart for XAU/USD offers a neutral-to-bullish stance, with the pair still meeting intraday buyers around a bullish 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA). Technical indicators, in the meantime, lack directional strength, with the Momentum indicator stuck around its 100 line and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator consolidating at around 58. Finally, the 100 and 200 SMAs keep grinding higher, far below the current level, limiting the bearish potential in the wider perspectiv
Gold now sell 2516
Support 2500
Resistance 2525
GOLd possible short for 2465 & 2440Last weekly bar of the month of August in Gold is Inside bar. Range confined within the range of the previously weekly bar. First weekly bar of the month of September is Insurance bar, broker below the Inside bar low which confirmed further weakness ahead. selling zone for gold is 2517-26. stop loss above the previous two weekly bars high i.e. 2534. Target: 2465 (price may reverse back from there as a correction before further fall), next target level is 2440.
Xauusd chart The yellow metal’s price looks poised to rebound to the $2,531 all-time high if it can keep up the bullish recovery momentum.
An upside target for Gold, which has not yet been reached, sits at $2,550 and remains active. The target was generated after the original breakout from the July-August range on August 14.
Gold now buy
Support 2540
Resistance 2500
Gold Demand Surges in Asia as Local Currencies Weaken the gold market is expected to maintain a soft upward trend. This projection is supported by several factors, including technical indicators showing positive momentum that isn't yet in the overbought zone, suggesting that the path of least resistance is upward.
In the short term, the price of gold is likely to stay around the $2,500 level, with possible resistance at $2,480 and support near $2,430. If there is a significant pullback, it could be viewed as a buying opportunity, especially if prices dip towards these support levels. However, a break below $2,400 could indicate a deeper correction
Overall, the gold market is showing a bullish bias, with the possibility of prices continuing to rise throughout the month, influenced by ongoing geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties
SELL XAUUSDEarlier I shared to sell XAUUSD but since the market haven't reached our entry, and it came to our BB, that means the market is now heading towards the liquidity area to make the next move.
**The analysis is a little bit late since I can't share it at the same time I'm giving it to my customers.
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GOLD → it is on widening patternhello guys.
as you can see gold is forming a fake divergence on the RSI indicator!
on the other hand, it is forming a widening pattern too.
we can wait until the pattern breaks or we can get a short position on the upper yellow area.
the target is $2470.
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Gold and important resistance $2,600In the monthly time frame, we see the formation of a descending angle pattern. The ranges of 2,500 and 2,600 dollars can be considered as the main resistances of gold. It is expected that after the price hits the ceiling of the corner pattern, we will see correction and fall in gold.
Xauusd sell Gold has been considered a highly valuable commodity for millennia and the gold price is widely followed in financial markets around the world. Mostly quoted in US Dollars (XAU/USD), gold price tends to increase as stocks and bonds decline. The metal holds its value well, making it a reliable safe-haven. It's traded constantly based on the intra-day spot rate. Improve your technical analysis of live gold prices with the real-time XAU/USD chart, and read our latest gold news, expert analysis and gold price forecast.
Gold now sell 2502
Support 2480
Resistance 2515
Confirm signal
Will Gold Prices Bounce Or Slide?The gold market is currently experiencing high volatility, making it essential to exercise caution. Key levels to watch:
- Break above 2523: Potential buying opportunity
- Break below 2518: Potential selling opportunity
Traders are advised to closely monitor these levels and adjust their strategies accordingly. Stop-losses (SLs) are recommended to mitigate risk.
Stay vigilant and adapt to market changes to capitalize on potential trading opportunities.
Xauusd Gold consolidates before a sustained break above $2,530
Gold price has returned to the red but remains within this week’s familiar range above $2,500 early Wednesday. Gold price replicates the negative action seen during Tuesday’s Asian session, awaiting speeches from US Federal Reserve policymakers for fresh hints on the interest-rate outlook.
Gold buyers need to recapture the record high of $2,532 to take on the next key barrier at the $2,550 level.
Gold now buy 2510
Support 2515
Support 2520
Support 2532
Resistance 2500
GOLD - still valid short ? what's next??#GOLD - so far market perfectly holding our resistance region that was discussed in our video analysis.
and guys keep in mind that that is still valid short and until market holding our above resistance region.
IT WILL NEVER EVER BREAK OR CLEAR 2535 BEFORE ANY NEWS FROM WAR SIDE OR UNEXPECTED INTEREST RATE SIDE.
keep close and don't go for a long , yes you can do it for scalp or in shorter time frame.
stay sharp.
good luck
trade wisely