Gold Eyes Potential Retracement-Impact USD EventsGold has shown strong bullish momentum recently, sweeping above previous highs. On the 1-hour chart, we’re observing potential signs of exhaustion, suggesting a pullback could be imminent. The anticipated retracement target is around the 2,650 level, which coincides with key support and Fibonacci levels.
Technical Analysis:
The 1-hour chart indicates that Gold has pushed above previous highs but is now encountering resistance. A corrective move towards the 2,650 level would align with the broader market structure, allowing for a healthy pullback before any potential continuation of the uptrend.
Fundamental Analysis:
Today’s economic calendar is packed with high-impact USD events that could influence Gold’s price action:
• US Final GDP & Unemployment Claims: These data points will provide insights into economic health and could affect the dollar’s strength.
• Fed Chair Powell & FOMC Members’ Speeches: Multiple speeches from Fed officials, including Powell, could offer clues on future monetary policy, impacting market sentiment and Gold’s direction.
• ECB President Lagarde’s Speech: Potential implications for EUR/USD, which could indirectly impact Gold.
• Pending Home Sales: An important indicator of economic activity that could also influence market sentiment.
Risk Management:
Given the potential volatility from today’s events, it is crucial to maintain disciplined risk management. Consider setting tight stop-loss levels to protect your position in case of unexpected market moves. Adjust your position size according to your risk tolerance, and be prepared to react quickly if market conditions shift.
With these key events lined up, be prepared for heightened volatility. Any surprises in the data or comments from policymakers could lead to sharp movements in Gold, supporting the case for a short-term pullback.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Goldshort
Gold Thoughts 25-Sept-2024GOOD MORNING Everyone! Please find my Gold market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader.
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SHORTING GOLD PRICE range at 2559.70-2558.20Team, we are shorting gold at level 2559.70-2558.20 with stop loss at 2663.30
target 1 at 2553.8
Target 2 at 2646.10
Suggestion, if we could hold this a bit longer, it would run down nicely. however if it hit your first target, Bring stop loss to 2660.52 and target 2.
Xauusd buy confirm signal If it breaks above $2,600, it will print a higher high and confirm the uptrend is continuing. The next target above that would be round numbers: $2,650 and then $2,700.
Gold now buy 2624
Support 2650
In the event that Gold’s RSI enters the overbought zone on a closing basis, however, it will advise traders not to add to their long positions.
Confirm signal
Gold thoughts 24-Sept-2024GOOD MORNING Everyone! Please find my Gold market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader.
Gold thoughts 23-Sept-2024Happy New Week all, Kindly see my Gold thoughts for today. These videos are aimed at making you compare charts with mine if you are a price acton trader and use my thoughts to improve your skill. They are not meant as signals even if they seem like they are. I want you to learn and be great
Temporary pullback for further gold upsideThe current price level is very strong and under high pressure. I believe the market could reach lower levels like 2600 and 2590 at the beginning of the week and then move back towards higher targets. While there is the risk of a potential Israel-Lebanon conflict, I doubt the market will react significantly to this news early in the week.
I'm sorry, I have been short againBros, you all know that I shorted gold some time ago. Although I was stuck for a few days, gold still gave me a chance to close the position near 2553, and finally closed the position with a profit of $90K.
At present, gold has risen above 2620 again. I think there should be many brothers chasing gold. I am sorry, I started shorting gold again and plan to hold it in the medium term. Bros, I calculated in advance that if gold can fall to 2575, I can make more than $50K in profit. If gold unexpectedly falls to 2550, there will be another huge profit! I am looking forward to such a result!
Bros, let's wait and see!
Gold Analysis: Volatility Contraction Near Support (15 min)Gold is currently hovering just above a support level, with small candles indicating a possible volatility contraction. This signals a potential buildup of tension, where a breakout could be imminent. If the price holds above this support, we could see upward movement. However, a breakdown below the support might trigger a bearish move. Keep an eye on volume and price action for the next big move.
XAUUSDXAUUSD . Potential short opportunity.
Our idea remains the same as yesterday however we are posting an adaptive analysis.
The price on XAUUSD has made a new ATH (All Time High) we are due for a pullback (at least 50%). Our new key levels are sitting at 2600, 2560, 2545, 2530. Our entry is at 2589. We are expecting the price to drop down to our Key Levels (KL). Every break of the new KL will result in deeper pullback . Stops are set at yesterday’s high. We must keep in mind that gold is still overall bullish and even if we see our KL4 (2530) we would still expect the price to go up from there.
Overall still bullish on XAUUSD .
PARAMETERS
- Entry: 2589
- SL: 2600
- TP1: 2560
- TP2: 2545
- TP3: 2530
KEY NOTES
- Possible double top on XAUUSD.
- Break of KL2 could result in deeper pullbacks (KL2 -> KL3).
- Break of yesterday’s low could result in deeper pullbacks (KL3 -> KL4).
- Stop is set at the previous days high.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Xauusd buyGold loses its traction and falls toward $2,570 after climbing above $2,590 during the European trading hours. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield rises toward 3.75% in the Fed aftermath, making it difficult for XAU/USD to push higher.
Gold now buy 2581
Support 2605
Resistance 2556
Confirm signal
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would like to see price attempt an undercut low and then start the incline into the higher levels. We gave KOG’s bias of the week as bullish above 2385 with the targets for the week 2510, 2515 and 2530, which we all completed.
We then continued with the path shown in the updates while Excalibur tracked price taking us up into our final take profit target at 2580. Please have a look at the previous reports to see how the algo has tracked the price from the highs to the lows, lows to highs, no matter where it goes we've traded it and moved with the market. Hats off to the team!
A phenomenal week on Gold as well as the other pairs we trade.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We have FOMC this week so shall await more choppy price action as well as the potential per-event range that may form from Tuesday onwards. We’re a little high to long at the moment which is what most traders will be thinking but sentiment is strong now so there is a chance they open and stretch this a little higher. For that reason, we will be waiting to see how last week’s high and the levels of 2580-83 react to the price if attacked in the early session. If rejected we feel an opportunity toto short is available into the lower levels of 2565 and below that 2555.
Many traders will now be looking for the 2600 level so please be careful as breaking above the 2585 level will make it a lot easier to be achieved during the early part of the week. Ideally, we want the pullback into the lower support regions and then want to assess the price action before attempting to go long and take this above 2600.
Due to FOMC this week this report will be provisional as we’ll update the idea specifically for FOMC before the release.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 2550 with targets above 2600 and above that 2610
Bearish on break of 2550 with target below 2535
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold NFP potential corrections / retracement key levelsIf FED will not disappoints market with a 50bps market pricing in rate cut, then some key levels are plotted that is due for corrections / retracement.
Later all eyes will focus on Powell speech whether he will take an aggressive approach for November FOMC.
XAUUSD | Bearish DivergenceCurrently, XAUUSD (Gold) is in an uptrend, making new higher highs and higher lows while moving within a parallel channel, supported by its trendline. Additionally, fundamental factors are pushing gold to reach new highs.
However, on the 1-hour time frame, there is a hidden bearish divergence, suggesting a potential trend reversal into a downtrend. This indicates that we may soon see the formation of new lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), and the price could move towards a high-demand zone.
Moreover, with high-impact USD news expected this week, we anticipate a potential retracement in price. After this pullback, we could expect an upward rally in gold.
In summary:
1: Uptrend: Gold is making higher highs and higher lows, moving within a parallel channel.
2: Fundamentals: Support the uptrend and push for new highs.
3: Hidden Bearish Divergence: On the 1-hour chart, indicating a potential shift to a downtrend.
4: High-Impact USD News: Expected to cause a retracement, followed by a potential upward rally.
Expectation: A short-term pullback, followed by a possible continuation of the uptrend.
These factors suggest short-term downside potential before a likely continuation of the uptrend.
Xauusd sell Gold trades in a narrow range above $2,580 after touching a new record-high near $2,590 earlier in the day. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield holds above 3.6% ahead of the Fed meeting and makes it difficult for XAU/USD to find direction.
Gold now sell 2581
Support 2550
Resistance 2600
In the event of a correction, firm support lies at $2,550, $2,544 (0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the September rally), and $2,530 (former range high).
Gold Thoughts 16-Sept-2024Happy New Week all, Kindly see my Gold thoughts for today. These videos are aimed at making you compare charts with mine if you are a price acton trader and use my thoughts to improve your skill. They are not meant as signals even if they seem like they are. I want you to learn and be great