Gold (XAUUSD): 2 Scenarios For Next Week Explained 🟡
Gold is approaching an important horizontal daily support.
Depending on the reaction of the price to that structure, I see 2 potential scenarios.
Bearish Scenario
If the price breaks and closes below the underlined green area on a daily,
it will signify a strength of the sellers and a highly probable bearish continuation.
Next target will be 1900.
Bullish Scenario
The price may also pull back from the underlined support.
To confirm that, watch a falling wedge pattern on 4H time frame.
If the price breaks and closes above its upper boundary,
a bullish movement will be expected to 1977.
Wait for a breakout, it will help you accurately predict the direction of the market next week.
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Goldshort
Gold Movement Another ViewHi, so this is my other prediction on gold, I most probably will respect all these prices to create the market structure. I prefer to see CHOCH and BOS, then wait for a pullback in the institutional fib level where the OB and IMB form. Safely, wait for the price to make a rejection in LTF before entering.
Gold Trade Next Week OnwardsHi, so this is my prediction on gold, most probably will respect all these prices to create the market structure. I prefer to see CHOCH and BOS, then wait for a pullback in the institutional fib level where the OB and IMB form there. Safely, just wait for the price to make a rejection in LTF before entering.
Gold 15m TF I anticipate a favorable market response to occur within the price of 2031.08 to 2033.55, and there appear to be several potential opportunities to sell based on the following confluences: Moving Average, Reversal point, Decline Trend line, Incline Trend line, 0.618 bearish fib and Structure.
Currently, Gold has experienced an increase of 1.6%, indicating the need for a pullback before it can make further upward movements. Gold miners have only seen a marginal increase of 0.06%. As such, I am anticipating a reversal in gold's performance within my area of interest.
Gold 4hr TF setup for CPI When considering CPI, a lower figure is preferred when buying assets such as gold, EUR, EURUSD, Cable, and indices. The weaker the CPI, the better it is for risk assets, especially those associated with hedging against the dollar. For instance, if there is a year-on-year 4.7% inflation and a month-on-month 0.2%, it would be ideal to buy indices and sell dollars because the data has outperformed. If the CPI is lower than expected, buying gold and selling dollars is a good option.
Gold, GBP, EUR, and JPY are some of the assets that may be purchased in such a scenario. Indices such as S&P may move 30-40 points, while Wall Street may see a few hundred points move. Typically, any CPI figure before 4.8 or lower is considered a good data point.
It is crucial to analyze the CPI figure excluding food and energy. Food and energy prices have rapidly increased in the last two years, making them an important outlier. However, we are starting to see food and energy prices normalize, and they have been coming down steadily over the last three to four months.
If the CPI comes out at 5%, and food is at 5.5%, it is not a good number. The ideal situation would be to see continued decreases for six months. If there is a slowdown in one or two months, that is a problem. Currently, the Fed is still raising rates, which can aid in stabilizing prices. CPI inflation and rates are positively correlated.
XAUUSD - Choose SELL for todayGold price fell below the support of $1936.00 during Asian trading, after slipping beneath the $1952.00 cushion due to the US economy's approaching default.
Technical indicators suggest a downside risk in the daily chart.
The US Dollar found support due to positive macroeconomic data and the gloomy market mood. The currency remains strong, while the stock market ignores concerns about the US debt ceiling limit.
Today, Gold is returning to retest the price zone around 1953$ before continuing its fall.
The nearest target is back to 1935$ -1930$
I still choose the SELL beat for today.
The previous Break Out and BUY strategy for GDP news is about to be completed.
Gold's bottoming out is still volatile, and the US market is sti
In terms of gold, yesterday again bottomed out to test the 1951 line, the US market counter-pumped closing T-shape, and the 1951 position, tested three times, were bounced up, located at the 60-day moving average position, forming a short-term support level. However, in terms of rhythm, the price broke the last rising point in the previous period, and the daily line was overcast, and at the same time broke the short-term moving average rhythm, at least a shock correction, and will not restore the bullish pattern. Therefore, before this point, the bulls cannot enter the safe area, which is not suitable for the planned layout of the middle line long order.
In the short term, the bottoming out, the secondary support of 1951, can only indicate that this position is very supportive. But it does not mean that the fall stops, and this position has also become a watershed, in the break, the aforementioned position is coming.
In today's trend, the white line in the weakness, the highest point is 1985, and the time point of the US market is the key.
This trend has been emphasized to everyone before: close strongly, but do not look at Lianyang, then the European market must not break high, as long as the European market is suppressed below the previous day 1985, the US market will see a second fall.
The pattern is similar to Monday's movement.
That is to say, when the European market is still suppressed in the 1985-1965 range, then the US market looks at the second retracement.
Of course, today if the 1985 pre-high is reversed, directly short, TP: 1960-62
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Golden calm before going upHi, according to my analysis of the gold market. There is a high potential for an upside from this area. It reached the bottom of the ascending channel. With very strong support at the 1950 level. Good luck everyone .Note: If you like this analysis, please give your opinion on it. in the comments. I will be happy to share ideas. Like and click to get free content. Thank you
Are we gonna see another big drop?Gold has had quite a slump in the last few days, but it could not stop there...
The news seems to continue in the dollar's favour, and with the FOMC Minutes just around the corner we could see a further grab in value.
I think if gold breaks support at 1952 it will have an even sharper collapse. We will see, play your game and good luck!
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Gold continues its downtrend, expected to reach 1930.The US Dollar Index (DXY) which is extermly bullish this week and will reach 104.1 area.So Gold continues its TVC:GOLD downtrend to be 1930.However, the price will recover before continuing to decrease.it will reach 4H FVG(1992-2000) before dumping.
Gold (XAUUSD): Your Trading Plan For Today🟡
Gold is currently testing a solid horizontal daily key level.
After it was reached, the price started to consolidate within a narrow horizontal range on 1H time frame.
To short with a confirmation, I would suggest waiting for a breakout of the support of the range.
An hourly candle close below will confirm the violation.
A bearish continuation will be expected to 1961 level then.
If the price sets a new higher high, the setup will become invalid.
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Gold (XAUUSD): Structure Analysis For Next Week 🟡
Here are important key levels for Gold for next week.
Horizontal Key Levels
Resistance 1: 1968 - 1984 area
Resistance 2: 2000 - 2010 area
Resistance 3: 2034 - 2048 area
Resistance 4: 2064 - 2066 area
Support 1: 1944 - 1956 area
Support 2: 1934 - 1940 area
Vertical Key Levels
Vertical Resistance 1: Rising trend line
Consider these structures for pullback / breakout trading next week
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GOLD will fall morepreviously gold made a huge down trend to 2036 are to 2005 area.because of the strength of the dollar had been increasing.So in that case we could expect a more dollar rejection to the upside .Dollar is going up means gold will fall.Not as vice versa but direction are completely opposite .
on the other hand gold will rise fro a long term but we have to see the reaction of the gold in the range of daily channel if it breaks bellow gold should sell if it does not happen then gold will move higher again
currently gold will test the lower trend line in daily time frame.we are only looking for selling opportunities because trend is our friend.
Good luck
Analysis USDCHF : 📅 5/5/2023Analysis USDCHF :
Considering the weakness seen in the downward trend, I expect the price to return and grow up to the specified targets.
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price: 0.89140
sl: 0.88150
tp1: 0.90775
tp2: 0.91570
tp3: 0.92700
tp4: 0.93350
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👤 Alireza hajighasem : @alirezahajighasem
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📅 5/5/2023
Gold Sell Incoming?we've broken out of a nice structure we've seen price consolidating in for some time now, our first area to target will be the 2002 area and then after we break through 1998 im looking for a continuation move to the Downside of the 1951 area
if gold continues to move down we can look for the Previous Higher time frame Lows to be back tested and Respected as support! I will be keeping my eyes on this as we move into London tonight for possible ADD ON Entries