Gold Thoughts - 03-Oct-2024Good morning all , Kindly see my Gold thoughts for today. These videos are aimed at making you compare charts with mine if you are a price acton trader and use my thoughts to improve your skill. They are not meant as signals even if they seem like they are. I want you to learn and be great
Goldprediction
WHAT IS GOLD'S MOVE ?In lieu to💹trend analysis, gold make its moves on the bull projection... climbing along to the
$2500/oz , which has been the prospect of all times high🎐 ,,,, but in lieu of 2nd quarter of the year, the next 3 month candle formation is yet to be formed in the next month (april )and it has been deciphered to be a pullback for the continuation of the buying momentum.... sit tight fellaz ,boost and comment if you find this idea so helpful . follow for more insights ✨ Thanks to tradingview for making charts sweet and easy
Gold OutlookAs Gold was consolidating from two days and have not given any clear direction ⬇️⬆️ now it seems like it has completed its consolidation phase and we can a All time High for this week as we are awaiting for Unemployment claims which can be distributing for TVC:DXY and Gold can fly as the forecast says it has higher ratio than previous week also we will be waiting for Institute of Supply managments data which can power up USD as forecast so we will careful at the time of news tomorrow we will have an important news of NFP which will crucial to decide the direction of Gold for next week
As well as i am concerned what i am seeing through my technical data is Gold has formed a inverse head and shoulder pattern which is a bullish reversal pattern and as i have mentioned in my Chart gold has completed it 2nd shoulder after which i expecte a Boom in price here is important thing to remember is we have an ATH resistance waiting up there price can return from there for tomorrow
Confluence is price is bullish over Monthly to weekly to Daily to H4 to H1
Previously Price has formed its bearish move on H1 but now it has got back to its bullish trend and following bigger time frames
Wish u luck
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the chart today with our 4H chart playing out, as analysed.
We had price play between two weighted levels. 2669 Goldturn resistance and 2650, as Goldturn support and both highlighted, as targets.
- Both targets have been completed. We were able to take advantage of the drop and buy inline with our plans to buy dips and complete the bullish target. We need to also keep in mind the retracement range was not fully completed and a gap left open.
We are seeing price test 2650 for support and if this holds; we are likely to see another 2669 test. However, we will need to see ema5 lock above 2669 or we are likely to see another drop to complete the full retracement range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2669 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2669 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2695
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2695 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2717
POTENTIALLY 2738
BEARISH TARGETS
2650 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2650 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2615
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2615 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2582 - 2556
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
10.3 Gold short-term operation strategyAt present, gold continues to fluctuate. The hourly chart has formed a converging triangle. The short-term support is 2648, and the upper pressure is at 2670. From the daily chart, the "big positive front resistance line" pattern has been formed. Under the support of the big positive line of last week, after repeated short-term fluctuations, the market tends to choose to break down! ! !
Today's data:
The number of initial jobless claims in the United States as of September 28 (10,000)
Intraday operations:
BUY: 2648 Stop loss: 2643 Target: 2655----2660
SELL: 2665 Stop loss: 2660 Target: 2630----2625
XAUUSD: Will the decline continue after the conflict?Yesterday, the US dollar index rose for the second consecutive trading day, hitting a two-week high, supported by data showing the resilience of the US labor market and the dual support of safe-haven currency properties.
It stands to reason that the rise of the US dollar index will suppress gold and cause it to fall. However, due to the sudden escalation of the geopolitical conflict between Iran and Israel, the demand for safe havens has been greatly boosted, resulting in a rare rise in gold and the US dollar together.
The escalation of the geopolitical crisis in the Middle East has indeed greatly affected the direction of gold, but as of now, I don’t think gold supports the momentum to continue to rise sharply.
Judging from the news, the rise in gold is due to the situation in the Middle East. If the situation in the Middle East eases next, or the situation is not as tense as the first day, then gold will still fall as it rose.
Unless the situation in the Middle East will intensify in the future, and it will be more violent than yesterday’s conflict
From the figure, we can see that the Fibonacci retracement of 0.618 from yesterday’s high of 2673 and today’s low of 2645 is 2655. As long as the rebound does not exceed 0.618, it is bound to fall to a new low.
The short position I held yesterday suffered a slight loss due to the sudden outbreak of the Middle East conflict, but I added positions at 2655 and 2666 respectively, which increased the average price and is now profitable.
In summary, I still have a bearish view, so I will continue to hold short positions.
Gold Market Update📈 I’m still pretty optimistic about gold breaking its ATH as I don’t see any de-escalation happening soon. With oil prices pumping nearly 10%, this setup looks very promising💰.
⚠️ But again, as I tell you every day, minimizing your risk is crucial in these scenarios. Any fundamental news can change the market narrative in seconds, so be-careful and happy trading.
10.2 Gold bottoms out and correction is made from high levelsGold daily line is still sideways at a high level, and the K line continues to deviate far from the moving average. This is an abnormal trend. The gold price will inevitably return to the moving average. This is inevitable. At the same time, there is an obvious double top pattern near 2670, and the upper shadow line continues to close.
Gold fell under pressure from the high level in 4 hours. Gold continued to have a double top structure in 4 hours. Gold rose to 2673 last night and fell under pressure. The resistance is obvious.
The tension in the Middle East is still an important factor affecting the gold price. This week will usher in non-agricultural data.
Intraday operation:
SELL: 2675 Target: 2660------2650
BUY: 2645 Target: 2665------2675
Gold price analysis on 2nd of MayFundamental Analysis
According to the Institute for Supply Management (ISM), risk-off sentiment was the main reason why investors shifted their attention from better-than-expected US employment data to stable business activity in the manufacturing sector.
News reports revealed that Iran attacked Israel. According to ABC sources, Iran will launch 240-250 missiles at Israel. Meanwhile, Israel revealed that its air force will continue to attack targets in Lebanon, while US National Security Advisor Sullivan said, "There will be serious consequences for this attack."
Technical Analysis
Gold broke the trendline and was pushed back to the uptrend, exiting the downtrend channel and facing an important resistance level of 2673. When the price breaks the 2673 zone, it will form a strong uptrend channel and head towards 2700. The pullback to 2643 is considered an opportunity to buy at the present time, let's wait for the price reaction and trade together.
Trading signals
BUY GOLD 2643-2641 Stoploss 2538
SELL GOLD 2672-2674 Stoploss 2677
SELL GOLD 2684-2686 Stoploss 2688
SELL GOLD 2699-2700 Stoploss 2704
Gold eyes 2700 with potential bull-flag breakoutGold futures look set to have another crack at 2700 over the near-term, given the strong rebound from the 2650 area on Tuesday and the tight bull-flag pattern developing on the intraday chart. Whether it can simply break to a new high is likely down to whether tensions in the Middle East escalate further.
GOLD - one n single area, holds or not??#GOLD.. perfect move as per our analysis and congratulations to all.
Now we have single area again for tomorrow that is 2657.
Keep close that area because it will play key role in tomorrow and in next move.
One more thing is keep in mind that 2657 below we will go for cut n reverse on confirmation.
Good luck
Trade wisely
Gold BuyIn my previous anylisis i have seen that gold will touch its support level down there now as time passed it has gain its previous momentum back and moving towards its resistance level now as we can witness that gold has broke its Resistance which became support for now we have seen a retest now as being bullish we are moving towards it Ath resistance level so we are bullish to that level of resistance
GOLD- at very expensive region, what's next ??#GOLD.. market moved perfectly as we discussediur area was 2634 a d market perfectly holds in yesterday and now still market closed in our most expensive region.
From 2530 to 2634 that is the region for tomorrow.
Same plan for downside confirmation below 2630 cut n reverse.
Good luck
Trade wisely
XAUUSD: Lows not yet seen, continue to sell at high levelsYesterday, the US dollar index began to rise after Powell's speech, reaching 100.9, and US bond yields also rebounded collectively. Affected by the rise of the US dollar and US bond yields, as well as the influx of a large amount of profit-taking funds into the Chinese stock market, gold has continued to fall recently, and yesterday's lowest point reached 2624 US dollars.
So is this the low point?
I think gold is currently in a downward trend and has not yet formed a bottom pattern. It will only rebound but not reverse.
From the trend in the hourly chart, we can see that the gold price is running along the downward trend channel. Now it is again above the trend channel of 2645, so I think the possibility of a breakthrough is not great, so I am going to short around 2645.
10.1 Analysis of gold short-term technical operations1. The daily line has adjusted for two days and just stepped back on the 10-day moving average. According to the bulls, this is a typical correction. The biggest step back in the strong trend is 10 days. Whether it can go up today is very critical.
2. The usual high-rise and fall in the morning, the European market is weak. For the continuous market, the European market is weak and the US market is difficult to increase.
3. Yesterday, the US market retreated twice, and the European market broke the bottom, and the US market was weak after the bottom.
It cannot continue the retracement. 2623 is the retracement of the rise to 382, which is very critical. It breaks the bottom and affects the bulls.
In addition, the daily line is weak, so the rise is affected.
And today, it is above the turning point of long and short.
The watershed in the morning is 2640. It is not considered whether the European market will go through a cyclic retracement for the time being.
Gold's short-term downturn has passed, go long at 30Gold is long near 2630.
Gold has gone out of the turning point, the decline is over, and it is about to start rising. Go long in the short term today, seize this opportunity to get a big wave.
Gold fell back to the moving average and closed with a hammer line, and the turning point signal is obvious. Go long near 2630. If we look at the moving average, it also meets the bullish trend, because every time the gold price falls back to the moving average, there will be a rebound. Can it rebound and break the historical high? Let's not consider it for now, grab the long orders near 2630, and let the market give us the rise we want.
Trading strategy:
Gold is long at 2630, stop loss at 2620, target 2650-------2655
WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
I wanted to start the week with an update on our weekly chart idea shared yesterday. We stated and highlighted the detachment below for the correction and we also advised that we were looking for are-test on the channel top.
We are looking for support above the channel top for a bounce and continuation. However, as stated yesterday; If we get a break inside the channel then we will track the movement with the levels highlighted within the channel and our smaller timeframe chart ideas to track the movement down and catch the bounces up.
If the channel top provides support then we will track the movement up confirmed with ema5 cross and lock or candle body close. We currently have a candle body close gap to 2729 long range AXIS TARGET.
The overall structure still remains Bullish, we just need to manage swings inline with corrections, which are always likely after a strong bull run..
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD - at immediate support? holds or not??#GOLD... perfect moved as per our analysis, and now market have one of the most important and immediate supporting area that is 2634 around.
keep close that level because if market hold it then in that case you can expect again bounce form here otherwise not.
don't be lazy here.
good luck
trade wisely
9.30 If the short-term gold high is not broken, it will be a corTechnically, the 2670 level has become an important resistance level, which has not been broken through many times. The Bollinger Bands have begun to close. From all angles, gold will not rise in the short term.
With such a big thing happening in the Middle East, gold should have started a wave of $50 rise, but it didn't. That must be because gold digested the news in advance. If there is no positive news, gold will turn to a sharp drop.
Intraday operation:
SEII: 2665 Stop loss: 2672
BUY: 2645 Stop loss: 2640
XAU/USD Sell to Buy idea (potential pullback?)I’m watching for a potential sell around the 2-hour supply zone. Specifically, I'll be looking for the Asian session high to be taken out, followed by a Wyckoff distribution on the lower time frames. Since this setup is counter-trend, I expect it to mark a possible reversal point for gold, as the Wyckoff pattern has already played out on the higher time frames and the market structure has shifted to the downside.
If price continues to drop, I’ll shift my focus to potential buy opportunities around the 2,630 level. Once price enters this zone and shows signs of accumulation, I’ll look to trade with the overall bullish trend, as I remain optimistic on gold’s long-term upside.
Confluences for Gold Sells:
- A Wyckoff distribution has occurred on the higher time frames.
- The market structure has shifted downward (price changed character).
- Price is nearing the 2-hour supply zone, which could trigger a reversal.
- Despite gold’s bullish trend, bullish momentum seems to be weakening.
- If a full reversal doesn’t occur, a pullback is still likely before price continues upward.
Note: If price breaks above this supply zone and makes a new all-time high (ATH), I’ll look for a nearby demand zone to catch buys before price mitigates the 8-hour or 10-hour demand below.
Gold, is rally over?Gold Market Analysis:
Gold has been in a strong rally since the beginning of the year, with only one minor negative month interrupting an otherwise consistent upward trend. Over the past year, the rally has been quite aggressive, but given the current market conditions, I would refrain from considering long-term positions at this point. Instead, short-term scalping or intraday trades seem to offer better opportunities for this instrument.
Technical Outlook:
From a technical perspective, XAU/USD appears to be in a range-bound market. Recently, we’ve seen a deviation from the bottom of this range, and the price has moved into a 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). If there’s no significant reaction within this area, the next target will likely be the 4-hour Order Block (OB).
At that point, it will be crucial to monitor the market’s reaction. If the price breaks above the 4-hour OB, we could see gold rally towards the top of the range. However, I’d be anticipating a potential reversal at that level if the price is rejected by the OB. Should the price dip below the 2652 level, the market could experience a continued downward trajectory, signaling a deeper correction.