NUGT at a Crucial Point on the charts NUGT is completing the handle of the cup in orange. Also we have a head and shoulders that favors the bears. Still a good chance that the hanlde of the bigger cup which happens to be a inverted head and shoulders plays out to the upside. I have been bullish on NUGT and will remain until we break down.
Goldminers
#kozal looks like a bearish set up but.... #kozali was lucky to spot the good entery level at 34,00s (see previos ideas posted) its been a good run and i felt the need to update the idea.
intraday chart forming a bearish heand shoulders formation at top. also there is a decent flag formation at the right shoulder.
the way i plan to play the chart is: although how bearish it looks dont get carried away and buy the break out above the shoulder.
tactical short below 45.00.
until than it is a waiting game.
good luck!
Might be good time to stock up on Gold Miners.Gold mining shares have not been this undervalued relative to the price of gold in 9 years! The price of gold has just recently broken out of a 6 year downtrend. Buying gold miners at this low point in their valuation might be a good way to leverage the price of gold higher and maximise returns!
GDXJ BreakoutGreat breakout here on GDXJ as investors fly to security with geopolitical instability.
We have a breakout of several different levels, making this a potentially very powerful break.
SIGNALS:
1. Breaking out of consolidation pattern since beginning of May
2. Breaking downtrend line from 2016 highs
3. Breaking over 200 day moving average
Entry: above 34
Target: former resistance around 42
Stop: under breakout level, 33.50 - 34.00
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!! PM me with any questions about my analysis !!
MY TRADING METHOD:
I keep my analysis simple. Good analysis always is.
I use Price Patterns, Moving Averages, and RSI for my analysis.
I use the 1 day for trend analysis and 60 minute for trade entry
For my Targets I use Fibonacci projections + measured moves
Successful trading means proper risk sizing and trading small so you can stay in the game.
Anybody trading JNUG? might be just getting exciting.Gold's explosive break today was a nice continuation of break-out from 3 days ago. Without getting too deep into the fundamentals, Draghi basically punted the EURO toward the moon and the US stock market's inflationary pressure is rocking the DXY into new lows.
The combination of gold strength and inflation makes junior minors a fun instrument. Careful if the S&P falls over (although, some people have been waiting for that to happen for 7 years.. LOL) because even if gold sky rockets to the moon, gains in miners could be stifled and dragged down by the index. Its a tricky trade, buyer beware.
Gold Long - LTGold is looking to break the 2011 downward trend line.
If you look at the RSI, you can see that gold has been in consolidation since early 2013.
I truly believe we will break the trend this year, with fundamentals supporting this move.
We may not initially break the trend this month, however the only downside risk I see is to the 1230-1240 area (my thin line).
Goodluck.
Gold - 1220 SupportWe have had 2 strong bounces off the 1220 area, with both bounces hitting above 1230.
It must be noted that the level we got rejected at (1240), is the bottom of the past low we made in October. It appears that passing this level is the gateway to 1280.
It will be interesting to see if gold even bothers retesting 1220 again in the next few days, rather than attempting to make new high. I will also be paying attention to grandma's speech today, and seeing if she strengthens the USD.
Gold DirectionAs I posted in my prior idea, I sold my gold position this morning when the DXY started to rally.
I am still long-term bull with gold, however it is clear to me that this move wants to retest the 1220 area as this was significant resistance over the past few weeks. There's currently a bearish engulfing on the 1D chart, and the MACD is looking to test a break back down. Furthermore, the golden cross that we got this week, looks like it wants to retest the 100 EMA.
I am currently holding a short position from 1237, and will be looking to re-enter long off a bounce from the 1210-1220 area.
Gold still has bull momentum, and is still within the trend-line (both price and RSI). On top of that, the Fed isn't going to raise rates in March, so my long-term opinion on gold hasn't changed.
Gold - Cup and handle continuedSo it looks like my cup and handle idea played out well.
We are making higher highs, and lower lows, which is very bullish for gold, yet we are having resistance at the 100 EMA. Once this is cleared, we should move up rather quickly.
I believe with 99.99% certainty NFP will beat tomorrow, which will cause an initial drop in gold, but due to the fact that gold rallied after the ADP numbers, and the fact that the two reports are so closely linked, I believe this drop will be bought up before close.
B2GOLDI have started accumulating my medium-term position in this stock once it broke the down-trend started in August of 2016.
I am looking to add on a dip over the next few days (which there should be one), however I am playing this from a more aggressive standpoint. If you're a more passive investor, wait for a clean break and close above the key $4 level which has proven to be resistance for a year now.
The USD version of this stock is BTG.
Cup and handle - GoldI'm still in this gold long, and thankfully was able to add to my position got ABX and SSRI on the way down last week.
Small sell-offs like last week are very common during a baby bull, people tend to get nervous when they see some selling, which adds fuel to these sell offs. The best advice I can give is to review your charts, and trust in your analysis, whether you're bull or bear.
The next leg up in goldThis is the year we see a strong break through that resistance level established in 2011.
RSI trending up with bull divergence since 2013. I see a 2016 clone-type move for 2017.
Will we pause/drop $20 every $80 gain? Yes. But do not confuse consolidation with a bear. The bear market ended in January of 2016.
This is a long-term trade.
Consolidation in gold?It looks like gold has begun to consolidate a bit before it's next leg up.
I went long again with a medium sized position on Thursday, and will be looking to add to my position every time this dips closer to the red band on my chart.
This will be the year of gold imo, and I will be long all year.
Gold 1M outlookI thought it would make sense to look at the 1M chart in order to analyze gold for the longer term, based on a purely technical analysis.
The orange bar has become a resistance level since 2011, and this trend has held up to now. With that being said, both the RSI and MACD bottomed out in 2013, yet we've seen consistently lower prices since then. We also seem to have started a new bull RSI trend since this bottom as well, hitting higher lows on the RSI for each drop in price.
We look towards 2017 as the year we can finally break this orange trend-line established over 5 years ago, as the RSI and MACD are pointing us towards another re-test.
I will not only be watching the $1200 level (which has been a key transition area for years), however I will also be watching the $1270-1300 level, as this would be the retest level for the orange bar.
Gold - Bar Test #2Gold tested the key transition area of 1200 today and got rejected slightly.
This is still the key area we have to watch here, as a hard rejection could send us to a lower low, but a strong break could launch us to a higher high than 2016.
The next few days should be very telling for gold going forward.
(there is still bullish divergence in the RSI)
gdx miner cyclefor those who follow cycles, here is my chart of the gold miners cycle.
this chart forecasts that as of 1/12/2017 we are due for a miners cycle low in the second part of january 2017.
this cycle will give us hints as to the Trend of gold.
The current Daily cycle looks right translated (the high is in the second half of the cycle) and has gone higher than previous cycle (see arrows).
if the bottom of this upcoming gdx cycle closes Above the previous daily cycle low (see line labeled "Critical level" - we must find a cycle bottom Above that line), it will make a strong signal that the daily cycle Downtrend is Over and we are starting a new Daily cycle uptrend UP.
In plain language as long as we dont make a lower cycle low, it is a strong signal that gold is now in a long term uptrend!
so it looks like there maybe a good Short trade here for a few Days, and then once we bottom, a good Long trade if we dont break the low.
same cycle applies to GDXJ