GDXU leveraged gold miner ETF LONG SETUPAMEX:GDXU
As illustrated on the one-hour chart GDXU has reversed a downtrend as indicated
by the EMA crossover and so on. Support and Resistance lines are shown.
Price is well below the SMA200 and thus undervalued as compared with historical data.
I see this as an upside 30 % long setup with reasonable risk. Once the trade
progresses perhaps 10-12% in price rise, the stop loss can be moved up to
break even. This can be approached with intermediate-term call options
as well. Targets and stop loss are marked out.
Goldminers
GDX gold miner ETF setting up LONGAMEX:GDX
Based on the 4H chart as well as the price action of spot gold
using an EMA ribbon cross-over as well as the volume profile,
I have set up a long trade with two upside targets of about
10 and 20 % upside respectively with a stop loss of about
4% which would be adjusted as soon as the price rises above
$ 27 to move the stop loss to the entry price making for
a breakeven free trade after that. Overall, spot gold
is sitting on support with a bullish RSI divergent pattern.
I also see GDX as a candidate for the intermediate term
call options out of the money about 15% above the current
price being between the two targets.
Barrick: To the Beach ⛱The bears have grabbed Barrick and are dragging it along southwards to the warm and sandy beach strip between $11.97 and $6.32, which is seated picturesquely below the support at $12.65. Once there, though, there’s not too much time to relax but also work to be done: Barrick should finish the long-term corrective movement in the form of wave (2) in yellow. Afterwards, the bulls should take over so enthusiastically that the beach sand is swirled up and push Barrick northwards. However, there is a 35% chance that the bulls could intervene earlier already and shove Barrick above the resistance at $26.07, thus eliciting further ascent above the next mark at $31.22.
GDX suffering a low periodGDX, the gold miners ETF which once had a lot of potential is now in the doldrums. Having hit 41 in April 2022, it had almost halved within 4 months. Recently, an attempt to consolidate and rebound is seeing a lot of challenges. First, the Gold prices are in a bear trend, secondly, rising interest rates hurt the miners, third, the weak equities market also affect the gold miners.
The GDX weekly chart has in the past couple of weeks attempted a rebound, but the past week pretty much wiped all gains out. This move mellowed the technical indicators and it is less than ideal to be a tad bullish at all.
The daily chart obviously has technically bearish indicators crossing down with momentum.
Overall, very likely to take out the last low.
Nothing much except the obvious... bearish
GDX: GDX-citing 🍿We hope you’ve all got your popcorn ready because it’s getting more and more exciting here! GDX has reacted to the upper edge of the magenta-colored zone between $19.52 and $27.49 and has slowed down its upwards movement. Although the ETF could directly continue the ascent, we still give it some more room and time to finish wave in magenta a bit deeper in the magenta-colored zone. As soon as wave in magenta is completed, though, GDX should take off, rise above the resistance at $28.83 and head for the next one at $40.13. However, there is a 30% chance that GDX could break through the bottom of the magenta-colored zone and drop below the support at $16.18, which would then activate further descent.
GDX recoveringQuick note that the GDX is finally recovering.
After about 8 weeks, and a consolidation range, the GDX appears to be recovering with a nice gap up on the weekly chart. Technical indicators are turning up, and the daily chart would be testing the 55EMA soon...
29 appears to be a very strong resistance to break.
Newmont Corp. stock analysis: Has NEM bottomed out?Newmont ( NEM ) stock prices have been falling precipitously, halving in value from highs of $86 in mid-April, due to lower gold prices and rising input costs weighing on the company's earnings.
On July 25, following the release of the disappointing second-quarter results, with EPS down to 0.46 (-30% lower than expected), the world's largest gold miner fell to a year-to-date low of $44.
Since then, however, NEM appears to have formed a very solid support at $44, which has not been broken downwards, indicating that the sellers’ strength may have faded.
NEM could have bottomed out here, but it has yet to gain traction, as prices have consolidated in a tight range between $44 and $47 over the past two weeks.
The RSI is still in oversold territory (26) but is rising slightly. Instead, the MACD provides a bullish crossover signal as the MACD line crossed from below to above the signal line.
If we are on the verge of a new bull trend, the first hurdle to overcome is undoubtedly the psychological level of $50, which served as support prior to July 25th. A breach of this level would also lead to a breakout of the 2022 bearish trendline and encourage a test of $54.04 (the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level from April 2022 high to July 2022 low). Alternatively, if there is a fresh round of pessimism, the market may retest the $41-41.7 level that served as support in March and April of 2020.
Analysis written by Piero Cingari, forex and commodity analyst at Capital.com
Short Newmont mining? Price to fall below $65.Just like many of the other commodities, Newmont mining looks overextended and is starting to turn over.
Because of how quickly it ran, I think we're likely to see a violent snap back in price back to the February lows.
I can see price going to the $60 range before continuing up and/or retesting these highs as resistance.
GDXJ: Excellent!GDXJ is still acting squarely in accordance with our expectations and has advanced into the magenta zone between $37.26 and $24.77, where it should soon finish wave ii in magenta. Afterwards, GDXJ should turn upwards, crossing $36.58 and heading for the resistance at $51.92. There remains a 30% chance, though, that the ETF could fall through the magenta zone and below the support at $19.52, thus activating further descent.
GDX GOLD MINER may bottom@24 or 21 zone to retest channel.GDX seems to be doing a BIG UPCHANNEL started from the 2016 low & retested at the 2018 low. If this lower channel is to be retested, GDX may bottom at the 24 green zone. This is the most probable since this is also the 2016 VWAP & the FIB 0.618 retracement from 2016 low.
However, if you look at the VOLUME PROFILE, then GDX may fall more to the 21 zone to create a divergence, ending wave 1 of wave III.
BULLISH longterm: Gold & gold miners will be a good hedge during rising inflation or recession. Every portfolio should have this insurance policy & some other defensives like XLV health, XLP staples & XLU utilities. TLT bonds will also rise during recession while US10Y rates go down in a deflationary environment. GDX may be just in the early stages of the longest wave III rally & has a long way to go.
GDXJ Junior miners fell a lot more so I think percentage wise it will have to rise more just like today. Miners tend to be the leading indicator for GOLD. Gold may fall more to the 1670 to 1760 zone. Gold recovering 1800 will be very bullish while GDX reclaiming 30.37 wave 1 top & previous neckline pivot will also be bullish.
Not trading advice.
Barrick Gold: Keep It Up, Bears! 🐻Down it goes! Just as we expected, the bears are in high gear and have proceeded to carry Barrick downwards. Soon, they should reach the support at $13.01 and lead the price below this mark. However, there still remains a 35% chance that Barrick could escape the bears’ paws and rise above the resistance at $24.95, thus activating further ascent above the next ones at $29.59 and $31.22.
GDX weakness and bullish failurePrevious analysis appeared bullish, but the price movements in the last two weeks since failed.
The weekly chart instead of following through with the bullish indications, reversed into a weekly gap down and further down for the next week. Weekly technicals are weak and suggest some bearishness.
A clear failure for the GDX ETF to break above the weekly 55EMA.
The daily chart shows how the weekly gap down developed, starting with a gap down that broke down of the gap range. This range was tested and failed for more downside in the following week. finding support at 29.
The technical indicators are bearish indicative, and downside target is currently 27.60.
Bearish breakdown in the works!
Gold Miners ETF, GDX bullish potentialThe weekly chart closed the week nice candle that had a long bottom tail, albeit a red candle, but bullish indication here.
The daily chart had GDX gap down on Friday's opening, then rally hard to close a bullish engulfing, spanning across a resistance zone. This can form the higher low point later next week.
Indicators are not yet bullish, but candlesticks are suggesting the end of the massive retracement with bullish signs and patterns.
GDX bounce but not out of the woods yetGDX found an interim bottom and bounced as expected, but it is not clear that it is bullish, as yet. the recet deep retracement put it out of the -3SD and it bounced back. But apprears to stall for a bit.
Daily technical indicators are not very bullish and this suggests a bit more baking time needed.
Weelly Gap area is the support, a a breakout of the downtrend line is necessary in the week to come.
Watch for it...
GDXJ: Testing the watersAfter jumping down from its last high at the lower edge of the blue zone between $51.27 and $62.63, GDXJ has fallen below the mark at $36.58 to test the waters of the magenta zone between $37.26 and $24.77. We expect it to gather more downward pressure to advance deeper into the magenta zone, where it should finish wave ii in magenta. Then, the ETF should turn around and climb back above $36.58. From there, it should continue the ascent towards the resistance at $51.92. However, there is a 30% chance that GDXJ could break through the magenta zone and subsequently drop below the support at $19.52 instead.
GDX Interim Bottom?Just as Gold and equities plummeted over the last 4 weeks, GDX was in no way spared, losing at least 25% from 4 weeks ago. An absolutely deep retracement following Gold prices.
Daily candlestick pattern suggest a brief consolidation at current levels, 30-31.
Do not yet see a bottoming pattern... not yet.
GDX at multiple support levels - Buy for long termThis is weekly GDX chart, testing multiple support levels - Channel lows, 200 SMA and long term support trend line. It's a good buy now for a quick bounce and also for long term. Given inflation is going to be hot for few more years, gold and gold miners will shine.
GDX In the last week, GDX erased the bullishness of the preceding month with one fell swoop of an Bearish Engulfing kind (weekly chart).
So expecting continued bearish candles would be expected as it follows through.
The daily chart supports that view so far, and it just broke down of the 55EMA, after a gap down. The good thing is that it did not really gap and run... at least not yet.
Technicals are overall bearish, at least for a bit. Expecting bounces off 36, maybe even 35.
GDXJ Bull FlagGDXJ is showing some nice bullish divergence in the pennant of a bull flag on the 4hr and daily RSI. Upside is 30%+ and if it breaks down below the lows of the flag it'd be time to get out.
This is obviously dependent on what Gold spot price does. So, if XAU decides to finally use that hidden bullish divergence to head to all-time highs, then gold miners are gonna feast too. Playing the odds.
GDX continues rallyingTwo weeks ago, a break above 40 was expected , and it just closed the week above 40, in good fashion if I may say so.
The weekly GDX chart followed the previous week's long tailed doji and gapped up, ending near the week's high, with yet another lower tail. Bullish candlestick structure here. Technical RPM indicator is supportive of the momentum, although the MACD expects more.
The daily GDX chart is consistent with a continuing uptrend rally, with higher highs and higher lows. Technically supportive, both the RPM and MACD are crossed up and trending bullishly.
47.50 upside target in sight as projected previously.