GOLD: SELLER'S POSITIONFundamental Overview
Gold prices reached a peak of 2,048.14 per troy ounce after the US inflation data announcement. However, they are currently trading in the 2,025 range. The XAU/USD rose due to the 4.9% YoY increase in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) in April, which was slightly lower than the expected 5%. Inflation remains high in the largest economy globally, but it has been decreasing since mid-2022's record highs.
Plan trade in the intro
Goldminers
GOLD: Return of the BEAR faction!Fundamental Overview
The price of gold is holding steady around the $2,020 mark, but it's not making any significant gains due to the strengthening of the US Dollar. Investors are eagerly waiting for the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data to be released on Wednesday, as it will have a significant impact on the US Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions.
Bigbank's prediction for tomorrow's inflation data remains the same. However, due to the positive Non-Farm payroll data, it is possible that the market anticipates a slight rise in CPI. Overall, there are numerous job opportunities available, people are employed, and incomes continue to grow.
Plan SELL in the intro!
GOLD: New position!Fundamental Overview
The value of gold, specifically in relation to the US dollar, has slightly decreased after reaching an all-time high. This can be attributed to a temporary pause in the bullish trend, as investors wait for the release of the important US Nonfarm Payrolls data.
The Fed has given an indication that they may halt their increase of interest rates after raising them to their highest level since 2007. This aligns with the cautious comments made by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, who believes the current monetary policy is restrictive enough to have an impact on the US Dollar and boost the price of Gold.
On Thursday, the US market experienced a mix of data that boosted the price of Gold. This was further strengthened by the market's anticipation of the Fed raising interest rates in September 2023. However, there are concerns among XAU/USD traders about potential banking issues and the expiration of the debt ceiling.
On the other hand, the weaker PMI numbers in China and the possibility of the US jobs report falling short of expectations, despite the positive early indications, suggest that those looking to sell gold may have an opportunity.
Looking ahead, it will be crucial to keep an eye on the April US jobs report's monthly releases for clear guidance.
Signals free in the Signature ♥
Gold returns to a high level, what to do next
Everyone has seen the market in the past few days. In fact, it is not very easy to operate. All kinds of news are pervasive and data-intensive. For trend operators, it is actually difficult to follow recently. Gold breaks through new highs, and the Dayang line continues to rise. Trend operations must continue to fall and go long. However, gold fell directly again. The most complicated situation is that gold rises in a straight line and falls in a straight line. If you don’t enter the market in advance, it is basically difficult to have a chance to enter the market. There is no pullback when it rises, and no rebound when it falls. This kind of market is actually relatively rare. After all, it has reached a record high, so it can be regarded as a historic moment. It is not surprising that the market is complicated. The past has become history, we can only sum up experience and lessons from history, and not indulge in the past, the market is current, the past can only be used as a reference, sum up experience and lessons, correct in time, and continue to move forward. What matters is how to proceed next?
The market did not continue after the new high of gold, the bulls were frustrated at the high level, and the weekly line continued the triple top structure. The daily line directly fell below the previous support area and fell below 2000. Gold fluctuated straight up and down by 80 US dollars in two days. The current market is concerned about the resistance of 2020 at the beginning of next week. If 2020 cannot be broken, then the rebound of gold is a very weak market, and gold will fall sharply. Triple top, the decline can be imagined. If gold still has an upward trend in the short term in 2020, it will rebound to 2030. It's just that the rebound is slightly stronger, and then it turns into a shock and decline. On weekends, the news will be consolidated, and everything will be decided after the opening of the market on Monday, which of these two positions is vacant.
For most people, it may be more suitable to operate in a volatile decline, because there is still a chance to make up for it. If it falls directly, then most people may only have one chance to operate, and there will be no chance to follow up when it is out, and they may even start buying bottoms against the trend. Then it kept falling, which was really uncomfortable. Shocking decline, even if someone makes a small bottom, there may still be a chance to come out, which is easy for most people to operate. So if it can't go to 2020 next week, then the probability of gold falling negatively and then accelerating its decline will increase greatly. Let's work hard next week. The past week has passed, and the new week is coming. Don't miss the past, let's carry on the past and open up the future.
Next week's operation idea
Gold is empty at 2030, stop loss at 2040, target 1990-1970.
Traders, if you like this idea or have your own opinion about it, please write in the comments. I will be happy 👩💻
GOLD: Nice position for buyers!Fundamental Overview
Last week, the United States released its Advance Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report which showed slower growth than expected in the world's largest economy. China's official Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) also declined in April, while Japan's factory activity contracted for the sixth consecutive month. These economic indicators are contributing to recession fears globally. However, there are speculations that the US central bank will hold rates steady for the rest of the year, which may limit the downside for the Gold price for now. As a result, traders may refrain from making aggressive bearish bets before key central bank events on Wednesday and Thursday.
Gold is expected to return to an uptrend
Plan trade in the intro ♥
GOLD: Return of the Bears!Gold Price Forecround 2,000$, eyes on US Core PCE Price Indexast: XAU/USD bull-bear tug-of-extends a
On Friday morning, the price of gold is stagnant and hasn't been able to stay above 2000$ due to the recent increase in the value of the US dollar. The focus now shifts to the US Federal Reserve's Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) - Price Index, which is their preferred measure of inflation, to determine the future direction of the gold price.
Plan trade in the intro
Barrick: Dig Deeper! ⛏Barrick still has got heaps of digging operations to do. The share should continue the downwards movement it has started from the last high of wave (iv) in blue and drop below the support line at $12.65. Thereupon, Barrick should enter the yellow zone between $11.97 and $6.32 to develop wave (2) in yellow, whose low should then complete the overarching downwards trend and thus initiate fresh upwards movement. However, there is a 35% chance that Barrick could turn northwards earlier, climbing above the resistance at $22.80. In that case, the share should proceed and rise above $26.07 and $31.22 as well.
GOLD: CB Consumer Confidence!Fundamental Overview
On Monday, the US Dollar experienced a significant drop as sellers took over after a brief dip on Friday. This happened as the US Treasury bond yields decreased across the curve. The 10-year US Treasury bond yields fell by eight basis points, marking the largest single-day decline since March. Additionally, the 10-year US rates dropped below the 3.50% level once again.
The markets have reassessed their expectations for a potential rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). It is anticipated that the Fed will take a break after the 25 basis points hike in May. There are indications that the central bank may reduce rates in July, which would result in the year ending below 4.50%. Additionally, concerns surrounding the ongoing drama over the US debt ceiling have led to investors seeking safe haven in US government bonds. This has led to a decline in US Treasury bond yields and the US Dollar.
Will gold eventually fall to 1936?Recently, gold has shown a volatile market in the range. After the rebound, the upward trend is under pressure simultaneously. While the rally is slow, it is accompanied by a decline, and the intensity of the second retracement has not been opened. After each decline, it seems that it is about to fall and break the level, but it always succeeds in a V-shaped reversal at the low level.
Gold's single-day volatility has gradually increased, and after a short-term surge or plunge, the continuity is not strong, and it is likely to come out of a V-shaped reversal market. Therefore, in this extreme market, I have reminded everyone not to easily chase up or short in operation, otherwise it will be easy to be swept back and forth.This undoubtedly increases the difficulty for us in short-term gold trading, so we must set the pace in trading.
Regarding the current gold market, a new volatility range has been formed in a short period of time. Before the direction of gold is chosen, I think gold will continue to fluctuate within the range. Once the long and short direction is determined on the fundamentals, gold may have a trend behavior.Judging from the current market situation, gold is still running short, and only when there is a complete stop-fall signal can there be a continued upward trend.
Then in the short-term operation, first observe the defensive situation of the 1980 first line below, and it is best to choose to sell gold after the gold rebounds; during the period, you can buy gold in small batches at strong support levels in a timely manner.
For the recent ups and downs of the market, over and over again, and frequent long and short conversions, there may be many friends in the trading, back and forth continuous loss orders.So whether it is a friend whose trading order is blocked or a friend who has recently lost money in a row, you can enter my channel through the link below.I have the real strength to help you solve the problem or satisfy your desire to make money. Welcome everyone to visit the channel!
GOLD: Inflationary!Hi trader, i want to send you some useful information 🍀
The US economy's decline and subsequent fall back into the global pack could potentially cause an historic re-pricing of the US dollar, but such an event may not happen soon. Currently, the US dollar is experiencing an upward trend in its price, which could be the beginning of another significant increase. The market may be caught off guard by the unexpected strength and resurgence of inflation, which is prevailing over the Federal Reserve at current rate levels.
Re-acceleration of inflation and its win over the Fed will continue to catch the market by surprise
Profitable Gold Trading Signals
We have made a profit of more than 300% for two consecutive weeks, and we have completed the target profit of 500% this week. We plan to make a minimum profit of 60% tomorrow. If you are still losing money or don't know how to trade, then you should follow me!
Gold is currently in a critical position. 2015-2018 is the dividing line between short-term long and short-term. If it can be broken through, it may rise to near the previous high of 2048. If it cannot be broken through, it will continue to fall.
The resistance levels that are important to pay attention to now are 2007, 2013-2015-2018, and the lower support is 1993-1987.
If you can't grasp the trading opportunity well, you are welcome to come to me, and I will provide you with the most detailed and reliable trading signals.
GOLD: Next goal!Hello trader, Have a nice day, stop for a moment and take a look at the important information ✅
Fundamental Overview:
On Wednesday, financial markets began with a preference for low-risk investments, leading to an increase in demand for the US Dollar in the foreign exchange market. The price of XAU/USD dropped to 1,969.20, which is the lowest it has been in the last two weeks. However, it gradually increased and is currently trading at around 1,995 per troy ounce. This shift in market sentiment was caused by US Federal Reserve officials, Raphael Bostic and James Bullard, who recommended that additional rate hikes are necessary to manage inflation in the US. As a result, both Asian and European indexes decreased, and the yields on government bonds rose.
Gold struggles even as geopolitical, inflation fears propel US Dollar, yields
Gold Update, Weakening on the DailyGold is stalling out on the daily. MACD has oscillated bearishly, and daily and weekly RSI are near "overbought" levels.
There is a massive weekly MA convergence structure around low HKEX:1 ,800 range. I want to see a test of this zone and gold RSI <30 before I consider loading up on miners.
4/14 Gold trading signal: Short selling
In the Gold 1h chart, the resistance is located near 2042, and the support is near 2036, 2025, and 2013. If the European market cannot break through the resistance, the gold price will probably go down and the support will be backtested. Therefore, today's trading is mainly short-selling at high levels, focusing on the support near 2025 and the resistance near 2042-2044 above.
GOLD: Nice entry point for buyers!Greetings to all traders! I have some valuable trading-related information that I would like to share with you. Please give it a read and if you find it helpful, kindly leave a positive feedback and consider following me ❤️
According to the forecast, the real yields are expected to remain negative in the second quarter of 2023, which will have a positive impact on the gold price. Although the gold price showed a strong increase in the first quarter, it is likely to rise at a slower pace in the second quarter. The estimated price for Q2 is approximately HKEX:2 ,080. No information has been omitted while paraphrasing the original text.
Note: Full TP, SL for winning the market and safe trading!
XAUUSD: Weaker PPI figures boost GOLDGreetings to all traders! I have some valuable trading-related information that I would like to share with you ❤️
In the US, weaker PPI figures and an increase in jobless claims have led to a boost in stocks during the afternoon. This has resulted in the market hoping for more negative news to influence the Fed to pause beyond the next meeting. However, the possibility of 'no change' at the upcoming meeting is not very likely.
Predicting continuation of the uptrend GOLD
4/11 Gold trading Signals
Gold peaked near 2003 yesterday, so today this position is treated as the first resistance level, then the gap position near 2008, and the early support level near 2013-2016. These are the important resistance levels today. If the market encounters resistance near these points, you can trade short.
The strong support is based on yesterday's low as a reference, focusing on the vicinity of 1980, and above is the moving average support near 1996-1993.
During the trading process, pay attention to observe the conversion of the support pressure level, and at the same time learn to distinguish between true and false breakthroughs. It is usually judged by 2-3 K-lines (except for strong breakthroughs on the Dayang line). You can see the 30m chart.
If you need a specific trading strategy, please contact me in time.
4/4 Gold Trading Strategy
Gold launched a long-term upward attack in the support area of 1954~1950 yesterday. There was basically no adjustment on the way to continue the strong attack.
The current strong pressure is at 1988-1992. Once it breaks through here, it will open up short-term upside. (support 1974-1965)
Gold operation recommends buying in 1974-1977, target 1984~1988, if the rise breaks through 1988-1992, continue to look at the previous rebound high in 2009.
GOLD: It seems that there is a limit to the potential gains.The recent banking problems have caused the Fed to adopt a more cautious approach, resulting in a decrease in US yields and an increase in the value of gold. However, ANZ Bank economists do not anticipate a further increase in the price of gold at this time.
According to the statement, the Gold price is not expected to increase significantly in the short term due to the federal fund rate being at 5.5%. Although Gold is backed by concerns of a US recession, reduced inflationary pressure, and a more lenient monetary policy, its potential for growth is currently constrained due to the diminishing banking risks and future rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
The prediction for the growth of the yellow metal is not very high.
4/3 Gold Trading Strategy:big opportunity
Under the stimulus of risk aversion, gold rose from 1800 to 2000, and then began to oscillate. From a short-term perspective, it formed a double top pattern, which I shared with you last week. Interested friends can go and take a look.
Now let's talk about the trading strategy in detail based on the 4-hour chart.
As we can see from the chart, when it first reached above 2000 points, the large increase led to a large deviation, resulting in the need for technical pattern correction, coupled with the cooperation of news, the market began to pull back. Eventually, it found support near 1936, and at the same time, risk aversion swept over again, and the price of gold rebounded, once again approaching 2000 points. However, risk aversion will gradually decrease over time (without further stimulation), and the price of gold at 2000 points is also a resistance level. The market will pull back again, this time down to around 1947 to find support, of course, there is also the cooperation of news during this period.
When it rebounded to the resistance level near 1975, it oscillated repeatedly. On Friday, when US February data was announced, despite the small difference, the bulls still took the opportunity to break through 1975 and came to around 1986 (resistance level). Afterwards, the final value of the University of Michigan's 1-year inflation expectation for March was announced, with a published value of 3.6%, lower than the expected 3.8%, and February was 4.1%. It can be seen that the short-term inflation expectations of US consumers have declined significantly. It is also because of this that the price of gold quickly fell back to around 1966, and as of the closing, the market has not returned above 1975.
On the 4-hour chart, the MACD has formed a dead cross, which is a bearish indicator pattern. The resistance level continues to be around 1975. The small-scale support is around 1966-1963, and the 4-hour support is around 1948, which is also the support level during the last pullback. If it falls below, look for around 1920.
The daily MACD is about to form a dead fork. The MA20 is around 1928, and the MA30 and MA60 are around 1897. The MA5 and MA10 have formed a dead cross and are around 1969.
On the 30-minute chart, there is a demand for rebound, and the resistance level is around 1973-1977 (1975). Therefore, during the Asia-Pacific period on Monday, trading can be carried out around this position.
Buy: 1966-1963
TP: 1973-1975 (If it cannot break through around 1969, it needs to be closed in time and short-selling)
Sell: around 1970-1975 (if it cannot break through 1975-1977 in the rebound)
TP: 1966, 1963, 1957
During the European period, pay attention to the support and resistance situation. If the support around 1963-1957 is broken, look for around 1948. If the support is effective, pay attention to whether the rebound can break through the resistance around 1975.
Sell: 1975-1963
TP: 1955-1948
If the market is still oscillating around the 1963-1977 range during the Asian and European markets, pay attention to the breakthrough direction during the US market, and then I will give specific trading strategies based on the market.