Gold trend analysis, easily make money for you
Gold trend analysis, easily make money for you
In early trading in the Asian market on Monday (March 11), spot gold fell back after rising to a high of $2,188.88 per ounce, approaching the all-time high of $2,195.07 set last week. It is now back around $2,180.
Gold prices surged to a record high on Friday following U.S. non-farm payrolls data. On the 60-minute chart, gold prices continue to trade within an ascending channel. Gold prices surged to a record high after data showed a rise in U.S. unemployment, boosting expectations that the Federal Reserve may soon begin cutting interest rates.
Data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on Friday showed that the U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 275,000 in February, higher than the expected 200,000. However, the number of new non-farm payrolls in December last year was revised down from 333,000 to 290,000. people.
The U.S. non-farm unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 3.9% in February, a new high since January 2022, higher than market expectations of 3.7%, and the value before January was 3.7%.
The average hourly wage in the United States increased by 4.3% year-on-year in February, in line with expectations of 4.3%. The wage growth rate in January was revised down from 4.5% to 4.4%; the average hourly wage growth in February fell to 0.1% month-on-month, which was lower than expected. 0.2%, the previous value was revised down from 0.6% to 0.5%.
Spot gold closed up $19.38, or 0.9%, at $2,178.95 per ounce on Friday, with gold prices hitting an intraday high of $2,195.07 per ounce.
As I said before, the probability of gold rising is very high. In addition, combined with the impact of U.S. dollar interest rate cuts and rising unemployment rates, the negative gold news from the non-agricultural data was revised, and the U.S. dollar showed a weak downward trend. Therefore, the current gold price will continue to rise strongly;
Therefore, the short-term recommendation for gold is to go long on dips. It is still not recommended to go short and wait for the opportunity to go long at low levels.
Recommendation: Go long around $2178
TP 2190
SL 2168
Listen to my signal and advocate seeking victory in stability and not making rash advances.
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Goldminers
Gold trend analysis, easily make money for you
March 9 News: Market expectations for the Federal Reserve's policy easing may be coming to an end. Expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy to shift to easing are still dominant. The geopolitical situation is still tense. Global central banks continue to purchase gold. Adding to the possibility of the spread of the U.S. banking crisis, the impact on gold Form a mid- to long-term positive impact.
Gold recommendation: Going long at low levels is still the core. It is still not recommended to go short and wait for the opportunity to go long at low levels.
Recommendation: Go long around $2177
TP 2195
SL 2168
Listen to my signal and advocate seeking victory in stability and not making rash advances.
Comments welcome!
have a nice weekend!
xauusd(gold) daily outlookxauusd(gold) trading at an all-time high. so with the Dow Theory when a market makes an all-time high it will back to the most recent broken price. of course, you should wait for a reversal point.
note- keep in mind market takes less time to build a pattern when it’s about the bull market to move down. and when the market is bearish then it’s taking much time to build a reversal pattern to move upside.
Gold price trend analysis, easily make money for you
On Friday (March 8), the price of gold hit a maximum of $2,193. Gold prices were on track for their biggest weekly gain in five months, boosted by hints from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell that he would cut interest rates. Spot prices surged more than 3.5% this week, indicating strong investor expectations for a rate cut.
Gold prices are on the verge of their biggest weekly gain in five months and near record highs, buoyed by Powell's hints that a rate cut could come mid-year.
This week alone, gold spot prices soared by more than 3.5%, marking the largest weekly increase since the conflict between Israel and Hamas escalated in mid-October 2023, and is expected to rise for a third consecutive week.
Speculative trading has fueled the rise, but the underlying driver remains expectations of upcoming interest rate cuts, boosting gold's appeal. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar is set for its biggest weekly drop this year, further increasing gold's appeal to investors holding other currencies.
The current resistance level is $2193.25 and the support level is determined at $2174.34
Combined with the current gold trend: it is predicted that gold prices will continue to rise;
Short-term recommendation: Go long around $2,175
TP 2190
SL 2165
Listen to my signal and advocate seeking victory in stability and not making rash advances.
Comments welcome!
Today’s gold price analysis and guidance
Today’s gold price analysis and guidance
Yesterday, Jerome Powell testified before Congress that he expects to start cutting interest rates this year if inflation approaches the central bank's 2% target, paving the way for a fall in the dollar and a rise in gold.
Today, the price of gold broke through 2163, and the support level is 2154.6. It is currently oscillating at $2156.5. Based on the news observation, gold will show a volatile upward trend in the short term during the day.
have to be aware of is!
If today's non-agricultural data is released, the value is too high or too low, which will greatly affect the gold price trend. Before that, I referred to the performance of ADP data, and based on the fact that the two are more than 80% in the same direction. The probability that today's non-agricultural data will be positive for gold is very high. At the same time, combined with the impact of the US dollar interest rate cut, the US dollar has a weak trend of rising. I am more certain of the possibility of the market going up.
Combined with the current trend of gold prices, it is predicted that gold prices will show a slight upward trend in the short term;
Recommendation: Buy around $2156
TP:2165
SL:2150
Seek victory in a stable manner, follow the signals, and do not make rash advances.
How to trade accurately after gold surges?
Gold is very active in the Asian market and once reached a level of 2161. Just as I expected. Some small profits were made by buying low.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:DXY OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD VELOCITY:GOLD
Yesterday at the Fed officials, gold was extremely volatile. But then the Bank of New York suddenly fell sharply by 41%, leading to a trading suspension, and the trend of regional wars caused gold to rise again.
ACTIVTRADES:GOLD MCX:GOLD1! NCDEX:GOLD TVC:GOLD
The current gold market price remains within a narrow range of 2153 to 2155. Combined with the current market sentiment, the probability of gold rising to a new high again is more than 99.5%. The current price is still at a low level, and you can still continue to buy.
FOREXCOM:USOIL FX:USOIL BLACKBULL:WTI
2152-2155BUY
Tp2161.1
SL 2146
From Monday to Thursday, keep making money. Hardly any defeats. I believe the same is true for many of my friends who follow me. Let’s cheer together!
XAUUSD: 7/3 Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyGold held on to a strong trend on Thursday following yesterday's sharp gains. The U.S. dollar index tumbled to a nearly five-week low on Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell reiterated in congressional testimony that the Fed is still expected to cut interest rates starting later this year even if it is uncertain whether inflation can continue to make progress. International gold closed up 20 US dollars on Wednesday and once exceeded 2,150 US dollars during the session.
Market expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in June have barely changed. Spot gold prices are on track to close higher for a sixth consecutive trading day, while gold futures have closed higher or near flat on all but two of the past 14 trading days.
Gold hit a new record while other precious metals also rose sharply after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell reiterated that the central bank may cut interest rates this year. Earlier, U.S. ADP data showed that companies increased hiring in February, which also boosted gold prices. At the same time, the competition for gold's long and short positions is fierce, and trading volume shows that long orders continue to increase.
The gold market held on to recent gains as Powell reiterated his stance in congressional testimony that interest rates have peaked and are likely to fall this year. However, Powell also maintained a cautious attitude on monetary policy and said that interest rate cuts would not be soon.
Gold technical analysis
Daily resistance is 2150-2200, support below is 2100-2080
Four-hour resistance is 2150, support below is 2124
Gold operation suggestions:
From the four-hour analysis, today's lower support focuses on around 2124. The short-term bullish strong dividing line moves to the 2124 mark. If the daily line falls back below 2100, it may be a sign of the formation of a top. The daily long-short dividing line is 2080. Friday NFP will be a turning point for gold, and there may be a large number of long positions taking profits.
BUY:2124 near
BUY:2140 near
Gold trading opportunities in the US market on March 4
After the U.S. market opens. The US dollar began to fluctuate upward. There is support below for slowing inflation. In addition, there is no major news today, so there is not much change in the market trend. On the other hand, gold remains high. Driven by last week's non-farm payrolls data and geopolitics. Gold has also gone out of an independent market and has been rising sharply. Today, the overall price remains within the range of a minimum of 2079 to a maximum of 2088. There are also some trading opportunities. At present, the overall bullish trend in the market is still more obvious. If short-term geopolitics breaks out, there is a high probability that gold will hit the 2100 or even the previous high of 2146. My opinion is to buy at low prices. The current support below is at 2079. If it falls below the previous support. At that time, the support position can be lowered to the 2077-2073 line. Then continue to focus on buying.
VELOCITY:GOLD MCX:GOLD1! CAPITALCOM:GOLD TVC:GOLD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD NCDEX:GOLD PANCAKESWAP:GOLDUSDT_6E8688
Transaction prices mentioned in the article. Use the price of gold in TradingView as a reference.
The above are my personal trading ideas. Hope it helps some traders who don't know how to trade.
XAUUSD:5/3 Today’s Analysis and StrategyOn Tuesday, gold maintained a strong trend after soaring by more than $30 yesterday, with gold prices currently sitting around 2120. International gold continued to rise, near three-month highs, on expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
With the market betting that the first U.S. interest rate cut since early 2020 is imminent, traders have piled into gold, which is within striking distance of a record high. Intraday gold prices exceeded 2020 and were close to the all-time high of 2144 set in early December last year.
At the same time, central banks of various countries are actively increasing gold reserves. IMF data shows that India increased its gold holdings by 7.812 tons in January 2024 to 811.417 tons. Gold prices suffer when the U.S. adopts higher interest rates to curb inflation, boosting returns on competing assets like bonds and boosting the dollar, making the precious metal more expensive to buy with foreign currencies.
Gold technical analysis
Daily resistance is 2150, support below is 2100
Four-hour resistance is 2150, support below is 2100-2080
Gold operation suggestions:
Judging from the daily analysis, today's lower support is focused on around 2100-2080, and the upper target is still focused on breaking high. The short-term bullish strong dividing line has moved to 2100. Gold is currently expected to have a high probability of breaking through a new historical high.
BUY:near 2100
BUY:near 2080
XAUUSD: 4/3 Monday analysis and strategyGold broke out like crazy last week. At the beginning of the week, the overall price maintained a volatile pattern around 2030. Last Thursday, it rose to 2050 due to PCE data that was in line with expectations. Last Friday, it reached a higher level. Under the influence of weak US data, it soared by nearly 50 US dollars, once reaching 2088, and finally closing at 2083, hitting a record high. It closed up 2%, the largest increase in two and a half months.
Gold is building bullish momentum, hitting its highest level since early February on Friday above $2,050. Gold's near-term technical outlook offers encouraging signs for buyers, but investors may ignore the technical picture as they react to this week's U.S. February labor market data.
Looking at this week, on Tuesday, the ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) will be a bright spot for the U.S. economy. The overall PMI is expected to remain above 50 in February, highlighting the continued expansion of business activities in the service industry. The price payments index in the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) jumped to 64 in January from 56.7 in December, indicating accelerating input cost inflation. A similar increase in the inflation component in February could boost the dollar and put pressure on gold's gains.
Gold technical analysis
Daily resistance is 2088-2100, support below is 2066-53
Four-hour resistance is 2088, support below is 2066
Gold operation suggestions:
From the daily analysis, the lower support today is focused on around 2066-70, and the upper target is still focused on breaking through the high point. The dividing line for short-term bull strength has moved to 2050. The daily level is above this position, and bulls continue to be strong.
BUY:near 2068
BUY:near 2050
BUY:near 2100
XAUUSD: 1/3 Friday market analysis and strategyGold hit a one-month high of 2050 on Thursday and closed near 2044. U.S. inflation data was in line with expectations and the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits increased slightly, providing upward momentum for international gold. Traders' attention turned to further comments from Federal Reserve officials for clues about a rate cut.
The latest data were in line with expectations after recent strong inflation data, which showed the U.S. personal consumption expenditures (PEC) price index rose 0.3% in January and the core PCE price index rose 0.4%, putting pressure on the dollar. This makes gold cheaper for investors holding other currencies.
At the same time, U.S. Treasury yields fell, increasing gold's appeal, and the market adjusted expectations for a June interest rate cut. Although gold has traditionally been considered an inflation hedge, higher interest rates to control price increases would discourage investment in gold because it does not pay interest.
Gold technical analysis
Daily resistance is 2053, lower support is 2015
Four-hour resistance 2053, lower support 2038-26
✅Gold operation suggestions:
Gold bulls ended the multi-day oscillation yesterday and finally ushered in its first breakthrough. After the bulls broke through 2040, they directly touched near 2050 and have been oscillating around 2040. From the current point of view, short-term gold price support focuses on the hourly neckline. It is near 2038. The upper pressure is focused on the vicinity of 2053. The short-term bullish strong dividing line has moved to 2038. The daily level has not broken through and stood above 2053. We cannot fully believe that the bulls will return. Let’s first look at the operation in the 2053-2038 range.
Pay attention to the dividing line between long and short in 2038
SELL:near 2053
SELL:near 2038
BUY:near 2038
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
XAUUSD:28/2 Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyAlthough U.S. durable goods orders data in January performed poorly, gains in London gold prices were limited as some short-term bulls took profits. Investors will focus on key inflation data and comments from Federal Reserve officials this week.
The dollar index remained weak, hovering near a three-week low, making gold more attractive to overseas buyers. At least 10 Fed officials will speak this week, and the Fed's preferred PCE data will be released on Thursday.
Concerns about the economic outlook, especially the outlook for the labor market, and worries about the upcoming presidential election became consumers' top concerns in February, causing consumer confidence to fall after rising for three consecutive months. Consumer confidence dropped on Tuesday, but inflation expectations for the next 12 months fell to their lowest level in nearly four years.
Daily resistance 2037-40, lower support 2000-1966
Four-hour resistance 2037-40, lower support 2015
Gold operation suggestions:
Gold is constantly oscillating. Today, the upper resistance is around 2037-41. Relying on this position, continue to go short once. The lower support is around 2020. During the day, rely on this range to sell high and buy low. You can participate multiple times.
SELL:near 2041
SELL:near 2015
BUY:near 2000
XAUUSD: 27/2 Today’s Analysis and Strategy
gold technical aspect
Daily resistance 2037-40, lower support 2000-1966
Four-hour resistance 2037-40, lower support 2015
Gold operation suggestions:
Today, the upper resistance continues to focus on last Friday's high around 2040-42, and the lower support focuses on around 2020-15. According to this range, we will continue to sell high and buy low. In the short term, there is a high probability that time will be exchanged for space to continue the long and short narrow range operation.
SELL:near 2041
SELL:near 2015
BUY:near 2000
XAUUSD:26/2 Today’s analysis and strategygold technical aspect
Daily resistance 2037-40, lower support 2000-1966
Four-hour resistance 2037-40, support below 2030-15
Gold operation suggestions:
From the daily analysis, we are currently focusing on 2037-40 suppression at the top and support at 2030-15 at the bottom. If there is no stimulus from bullish news, gold may surge higher and then fall back.
SELL:near 2041
SELL:near 2015
BUY:near 2000
XAUUSD:23/2 Today’s Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2037-40, lower support 2000-1966
Four-hour resistance 2033-37, lower support 2020
Gold operation suggestions:
From a four-hour perspective, we will first focus on the short-term support of 2010 today. If 2010 falls below, it may test 2000, and then continue to focus on the suppression of 2025 above. The daily level is 2037-2040. If the daily long-short boundary does not break through 2037, we will continue to be bearish. , continue to rely on this range to sell high and buy low during the day.
SELL:near 2025
SELL:near 2010
BUY:near 2000
XAUUSD:22/2 Focus on the 2020~2040 rangegold technical aspect
Daily resistance 2037-40, lower support 2000-1966
Four-hour resistance 2033-37, lower support 2020
Gold operation suggestions:
From a four-hour perspective, we will first focus on the short-term support of 2020 today. If it does not break here for four hours, we can go long in the short term, and then continue to focus on the suppression of 2033 above. The daily level is the resistance of 2037-2040. If the NY market reaches it, we can participate in short positions.
SELL:near 2041
SELL:near 2037
SELL:near 2033
BUY:near 2020
XAUUSD: 20/2 Today’s analysis and strategygold technical aspect
Daily level resistance 2029-2037, support below 2000-1966
Four-hour resistance 2020-2031, support below 2011
✅Gold operation suggestions:
From the four-hour analysis, today's lower support is still focused on the vicinity of 2011, and the upper pressure is in the 2020-2025 area. The daily level long and short dividing line is 2037. The daily level is still in a short trend before it breaks through and stands above 2037.
SELL:near 2037
SELL:near 2030
SELL:near 2023
BUY:near 2011
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
XAUUSD: 19/2 Today’s Analysis and Strategygold technical aspect
Daily resistance 2029-37, lower support 2000-1966
Four-hour resistance 2020-31, support below 2000
Gold operation suggestions:
Today is the President’s Day in the United States. It is difficult for the momentum of the Asian Handicap to last for too long. It will eventually fall back. We consider arranging short positions in the pressure zone first.
SELL:near 2037
SELL:near 2030
SELL:near 2021
BUY:near 2000
Gold royalty streamers oversoldAs a group, gold royalty streaming companies reacted negatively to the drop in gold price on February 13, 2024. This movement was triggered by US CPI for February printing slightly higher than expected by consensus, on the index and also MoM and YoY readings.
Reaction was an immediate spike in TVC:DXY and commensurate selloff in FX_IDC:EURUSD . This dragged risk assets down, with equities markets getting hit. TVC:GOLD also lost more than 1% in lockstep reaction.
The opportunity here is in the unwind of yesterday's outsized movement amongst the gold royalty streaming companies as a group. While some have performed better than others over the past year, they were all punished on this move. Typical drawdown was 10% on the day .
For consideration: A) a short term buy of one of these names and holding to pre-CPI price level, or B) a longer term entry for those with a bullish view on gold and appetite for leveraged exposure and desire for dividend income.
XAUUSD: Today’s market analysis and strategyGold technical chart, daily pressure 2000-2037, lower support 1966
Four-hour pressure 2000-2032, support below 1966
One-hour pressure is 1997, support below is 1984
Operational suggestions: Judging from the daily chart analysis, focus on the resistance of 1997-2000 today, and the target below the short position is a new low near 1966
SELL:near 2000
SELL:near 1993
BUY:near 1966
XAUUSD: 14/2 Today’s Analysis and StrategyGold technical chart, the pressure above the daily line is 2045, support is 2000-1966
Four hours, the upper pressure is 1997, support is 1966.
One hour upper pressure is 1997, support is 1988
Operational suggestions: From the daily analysis, the short-term pressure above today focuses on the resistance level of 1997-2000, the dividing line between long and short is 2020, and the support below focuses on 1972~1966.
SELL:near 2000
SELL:near 1988
BUY:near 1966
XAUUSD: 12/2 Today Analysis and StrategyGold technical chart, daily pressure 2040-2053, support below 2020-2000
Four-hour pressure 2034-40, support below 2029-2020
One-hour pressure is 2034, support below is 2020
Operational suggestions: Judging from the daily analysis, the short-term pressure at the top today will focus on around 2035-40, and the bottom will further test the strength of the support near 2020.
SELL:near 2040
SELL:near 2020
BUY:near 2010
BUY:near 2000
XAUUSD: 8/2 Today’s Analysis and StrategyGold technical chart, 1-Day pressure 2040-2053, lower support 2020-2000
4H pressure 2034-2040, lower support 2029-2020
1H pressure 2034, lower support 2028
✅Operational suggestions: Gold continues to maintain range fluctuations. Today, the top price continues to sell around 2042. The short-term support below focuses on around 2028-30. The bottom focus range is around 2015-10. Try to go long with light positions.
SELL:near 2040
SELL:near 2020
BUY:near 2010
BUY:near 2000
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!