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29/4 Asian market choppy moves, analysis and signalsIn the Asian market on Monday, gold opened lower and fell sharply, falling as low as 2320. The rebound in gold prices was blocked last Friday, closing at 2337, after data showed that U.S. prices rose in line with expectations. As the crisis in the Middle East avoided a major escalation, some geopolitical risk premiums fell back, and gold prices still fell more than 2% on a weekly basis, the largest since December. fell.
The market expects the Federal Reserve to keep its policy interest rate unchanged at 5.25%-5.5%. The Fed is unlikely to provide any new hints on the timing of a policy shift in its statement. However, at the press conference after the meeting, Fed Chairman Powell is likely to be asked whether there is still the possibility of a rate cut in June if Powell does not close the door to a rate cut in June. The ensuing reaction could trigger a sharp drop in U.S. Treasury yields and boost international gold.
This week’s focus will be on the Federal Reserve’s decision on Wednesday, and gold and other markets may continue to follow the changes in expectations of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut in the long-short game. There will also be a U.S. non-farm payrolls report on Friday, which will be another major factor that triggers market turmoil after the Federal Reserve decision.
The structure of the gold daily chart keeps running below the MA10 daily moving average, and the moving average still maintains its opening downward. The RSI indicator adjusts above the central axis. Since the retracement of this round of adjustment to the middle track of 2291.8 Bollinger Bands, the price has risen at a low point, and the Bollinger Bands have moved to the current level. 2307 first line. In terms of the moving average, the four-hour chart opens slightly upward, the hourly chart is glued together, and the RSI indicator maintains its central axis adjustment in sync with the daily line. The market focus this week is on the non-agricultural data on Wednesday and Friday, when the market will experience greater impact and volatility. Trading at the beginning of the week was volatile and short-term thinking was the main focus.
Asian market analysis
1H resistance is 2333, support below is 2320
4H resistance is 2341, support below is 2305
Daily resistance is 2352, support below is 2296
BUY:2318-2320,SL2310
SELL:2340-2343,SL2352
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
XAUUSD: 26/4 Will gold continue its rally?Gold technical analysis
Daily resistance is 2361, support below is 2320
Four-hour resistance is 2361-69, square support is 2334-25
Gold operation suggestions:
Judging from the current trend, the short-term support below will focus on 2334-25, the important support will continue to focus on around 2319, and the pressure on the top will focus on the 2361-69 area. During the day, we will rely on this range to maintain high altitudes and low longs. The short-term long-short strength dividing line is 2319. Before the daily level breaks through and stands firm at this position, gold will continue to maintain long-short oscillations.
BUY:2334 near. SL2330 near
BUY:2320 near. SL2317 near
SELL:2361 near. SL2365 near
SELL:2369 near. SL2372 near
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
XAUUSD: 26/4 Will Gold Continue to Fall?In early trading in Asia on Friday (April 26), gold fluctuated within a narrow range around the 2330 key point. The United States announced an unexpected slowdown in economic growth in the first quarter and higher-than-expected inflation. The US dollar was hit, and gold rose by more than $16. The United States After the GDP data was released, the price of gold soared to 2344. In addition, the geopolitical situation is also conducive to the rebound of gold prices. Israeli media reported that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu approved a plan to launch a ground operation in the southern city of Rafah in the Gaza Strip.
For gold, the price gains come after falling almost 3% over the past week as traders lowered their assessment of expanding tensions in the Middle East. Weak GDP data could also lead to a reassessment of the Fed's stance on keeping interest rates higher for the longer term. The GDP data also dampened hopes for a soft landing for the U.S. economy. A soft landing is a scenario in which the Fed is able to achieve price stability while avoiding a recession. Meanwhile, a strong personal consumption expenditures price index (PCE) rose 3.4%, which may mean a further delay in interest rate cuts.
Currently, as tensions in the Middle East gradually ease, safe-haven demand for gold remains weak in the short term. Additionally, the current chart setup suggests that gold prices are on the back foot after this week’s steep decline. Looking ahead, investors will focus on core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) data for March, which will guide the next move in gold prices.
technical analysis
Gold fluctuated in a wide range and continued to adjust. On the daily chart, the MA10/7 daily moving average suppresses 2342/2352 and keeps opening downward. The RSI indicator is still adjusted above the 50 value on the central axis, and the price is adjusted on the central axis of the Bollinger Bands. As for the time-sharing chart and the hourly chart technical indicators, the reference value is not great, short-term adjustment and washout, and the small cycle indicators are of little reference value. Today and Friday, gold still has no trending market or swing market, and continues to fluctuate in a wide range accompanied by long and short competition. Assuming that 2330 is used as the central axis, that is the high altitude of 15/20 US dollars above and the low long position of 15/20 US dollars below.
1H resistance is 2337, support below is 2316
4H resistance is 2348, support below is 2305
Daily resistance is 2356, support below is 2296
Asian trading strategy:
BUY:2315-2318
SELL:2340-2343
Asian market strategies are not suitable for NY time
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Gold technical analysis and trading strategies
Now that gold has exceeded $2,330, the release of data on the number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending April 20 will have an impact on gold. After the data was released, the price of gold fluctuated rapidly.
On Thursday, the United States will release preliminary data on first-quarter gross domestic product (GDP), which is expected to grow at an annualized rate of 2.5% in the three months to March. Gold prices are trading between the 20-period moving average and below the 100-period moving average, with the former accelerating below the latter, often seen as a signal of increasing selling pressure. Meanwhile, technical indicators remain negative, the momentum indicator is rising, and the relative strength index (RSI) is consolidating around 43.
If gold prices break above $2,343.00, this will halt the bearish correction and push gold prices back to the main bullish trajectory.
The latest important support and resistance levels for gold prices:
Support levels: $2310.00; $2295.20; $2282.90
Resistance: $2343.30; $2361.55; $2372.90
Expectations for gold prices today are mostly mixed.
Trading idea: Go short after gold rebounds and go long after it falls.
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XAUUSD: 16/4 Today’s Analysis and Strategy. Continue to bullishGold technical analysis
Daily resistance is 2450, support below is 2326
Four-hour resistance is 2400, support below is 2365-2352
Gold operation advice: Yesterday, it was said in the article that the daily dividing line between long and short is 2320. Obviously our operation idea is to go long above 2320. From the daily analysis, the upper pressure is 2400 and the lower support is 2365-2352. These two prices are both It is a good position for bulls to enter the market. During the day, first rely on the two supports to go long, and wait patiently for the key points to enter the market. The 2320 price is the last defensive point for bulls. Once the position is broken, the short trend begins, otherwise it will only be a short-term correction, and the next step is to continue. Look at new highs!
BUY:2362-2365
BUY:2347-2352
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
XAUUSD:15/4 Today’s Analysis and StrategyDaily resistance is 2374, support below is 2326-2320
Four-hour resistance is 2374, support below is 2326-2320
Gold operation advice: Last Friday, relying on the 2370 mark, the unilateral rise and breakout trend started, and then further accelerated to reach the 2390 mark. The U.S. market ushered in an accelerated surge to break through the 2400 point integer mark, and fell back under pressure near 2432 and moved quickly. fell, and started a unilateral downward trend, breaking through the bottom of 2370 and reaching around 2333. The overall price accelerated above 2400 and then quickly fell back under pressure, and the price closed below the morning rising point of 2370 to welcome a deep adjustment. From this wave of bullish upwards From the perspective of the time cycle, the current market expectations for bulls have basically been completely released. In the short term, focus on the long and short watershed below the daily line of 2320. Standing firm at 2320 is still the bull trend.
From the daily analysis, the 2320 position will be the watershed between the daily long and short strength. Above it is the 2374 pressure level. During the day, rely on this range to sell high and buy low, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. Once 2320 breaks, the short trend will begin. !
BUY:near 2320
SELL:near 2374
XAUUSD: 12/4 strategy. Beware of extreme market conditions FriGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2400-2450, support below 2342
Four-hour resistance 2400-2420, support below 2383
Gold operation advice: Yesterday, the technical aspect of gold ushered in a strong bottoming out by bulls after repeated consolidation around the 2347 mark and rebounded to a new high. The overall price formed a strong counter-package by bulls and once again hit a record high. The short-term gold price still continues to be extremely unilateral by bulls. trend.
Judging from the current trend, today’s lower support focuses on the 2342 and 2383 levels, the upper pressure is 2400 and the 2410-20 area, and the short-term long and short dividing line is 2383
BUY: 2382~2086
BUY: 2372~2377
XAUUSD: 10/4 Today’s Analysis and Strategy. Gold range shockGold technical analysis
Daily resistance is 2370, support below is 2337-2300
Four-hour resistance is 2365-70, support below is 2344-37
Gold operation advice: The technical side of gold rose first and then fell on Tuesday. The price in Asia and Europe stabilized at 2338 and ushered in a bullish shock and broke through the high. It further accelerated to break through the previous day's high of 2353 and continued to rise to around 2365 and fell back under pressure. The market was in shock. Yesterday, the U.S. market fell back for the second time and stabilized at the 2340-45 line, and rebounded again. The overall price accelerated and broke through the high level, forming a fallback and shock market pattern. In the short period, it still stabilized above the 2330 mark, forming a strong sideways market for bulls. Yesterday's trend also Confirming this, it once again broke through new highs and rose. Although the US market fell back yesterday, it did not fall below the starting point of yesterday's early trading. This is a typical strong market. The lows are still moving up and the highs are also moving up. So it is still possible to reach 2400 this week
Judging from the daily analysis, today's upper resistance continues to focus on the 2360-64 area, the starting point of yesterday's hourly decline in the U.S. market. You can sell in this area before CPI. The short-term support below will focus on around 2344-37. CPI data will be released today, so trade with caution! Pay attention to risk management and control
BUY:2344near
BUY:2337near
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
XAUUSD: 11/4 Today’s Analysis and Strategy, Gold FallGold market analysis:
Daily resistance is 2366, support below is 2300-2280
Four hours 2344-37, support below 2300
Gold operation advice: Judging from the current trend, the lower support today will focus on 2320. After falling below, look towards the 2300 area. The upper pressure is 2350 and the 2358-60 area. Continue to rely on this range for sales during the day.
SELL:near 2344
SELL:near 2320
BUY:near 2300
I am a gold buyer. follow me!
Gold is bought at 2332-2336.
The short-term target is 2348-2355. If this position breaks through and stabilizes, move the target upward to 2365-2380 until above 2400.
The short-term lower support position is 2319. If it falls below. Look at the strong support of 2300.
Follow the trend. and boosted by news. Weak US dollar trend. Risk aversion is heating up, and all aspects of it are affecting it, making it the best time to buy gold. It’s good for buying gold.
For traders who don’t know how to operate, traders who continue to operate in the opposite direction, and traders whose accounts have suffered huge losses, remember to leave me a message to receive detailed trading signals.
XAUUSD: 9/4 Today’s Analysis and StrategyGold was helped by central bank buying and geopolitical tensions, with strong economic data failing to dampen the metal's appeal.
In recent times, the price trend of gold has attracted much attention, and today the price of gold hit a new high again. Gold has had a meteoric rise over the past two weeks or so. Still, a generally positive tone for equities amid easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East limited further gains for the safe-haven metal amid extreme jitters on the daily chart.
Ahead of this week's U.S. CPI data and the Federal Reserve meeting minutes, some bulls may choose to take profits and trigger a short-term correction in gold prices. Now that the gold price has strongly exceeded the 2350 mark, it is expected to rise towards the 2380-2400 area. There are few economic data on this trading day. We will focus on the market’s expectations for the U.S. CPI data for March that will be released on Wednesday, and pay attention to the situation in the Middle East.
gold analysis
Daily resistance is 2400, support below is 2300-2280
Four-hour resistance is 2370, support below is 2342-2330
✅Gold operation suggestions: Judging from the current market trend, focus on the strong support of 2328-2330 below, and the short-term long and short dividing line of 2328. Go long when reaching strong support, gold breaks through history again, short sellers will not participate for the time being
BUY:near 2330
BUY:near 2340
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
XAUUSD: 8/4 Today’s Analysis and StrategyDaily resistance is 2354, support below is 2300-2276
Four-hour resistance 2342-54, support below 2300-2276
Gold operation advice: From the perspective of the general cycle trend of gold, the gold weekly maintains an upward trend, with high points being refreshed again and again, with the target targeting 2400. Although there is hope that it will continue to break through, it will take time. The weekly trend has been rising in recent weeks. Large fluctuations, but the general direction remains unchanged
On Monday, gold opened lower and hit a low near 2304. Today, focus on the 2300 integer and 2276 support below. The upper resistance is 2342 and 2354. The short-term long-short dividing line is 2305. Fall back to this position and continue to go long.
BUY:2305 near
BUY:2276 near
SELL:2354 near
XAUUSD: 4/4 Today analysis and strategyA weaker U.S. dollar and geopolitical tensions provided support to gold prices. According to the latest news, three Iranian soldiers were killed in terrorist attacks on two military headquarters in southeastern Iran.
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell reiterated the path of interest rate cuts this year. The US dollar was sold off. International gold reversed its previous decline due to strong ADP employment data and turned to a sharp rise. Gold rose nearly 20 US dollars on Wednesday, once exceeding 2,300 US dollars, setting a record. . Concerns about inflationary pressures boosted hedging demand for gold, U.S. service sector growth slowed further in March, and the U.S. dollar index fell from a four-and-a-half-month high to a one-week low, continuing to provide upward momentum for gold prices.
Gold, a hedge against inflation and a safe haven in times of political and economic uncertainty, has risen more than 11% so far this year, helped by strong purchases by the Federal Reserve and safe-haven demand. This trading day will usher in the number of U.S. challenger company layoffs in March, the U.S. trade balance in February, and changes in the number of U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending March 30. Investors need to focus on this.
gold analysis
Daily resistance is 2340, support below is 2280-40
Four-hour resistance is 2305, support below is 2280-65
Gold operation advice: The price of gold accelerated its rise and hit a record high. The daily level has risen for seven consecutive days and continues to maintain a strong bullish rhythm. At the same time, the overall rhythm recently has been a strong adjustment within the day and accompanied by a late pull-up, breakthrough closing, and a strong bullish pattern.
The current highest price is around US$2,305. Gold continues to be bullish today and there is still room and demand for gold. Today, gold will focus on the lower support near 2,280. We can try to go long. Above, we can look at US$2,320 and US$2,340. !
BUY:2277-83
BUY:2265-69
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
XAUUSD: 3/4 Today Analysis and StrategyGold continued its gains on Wednesday and then began to fall after reaching 2288. Traders snapped up safe-haven assets amid rising tensions in the Middle East. Largely ignored, a stronger U.S. dollar and bets on U.S. interest rate cuts have sent gold prices to another record high.
Data released on Monday showed that U.S. manufacturing activity expanded in March for the first time in a year and a half, and the dollar jumped in response. After the data was released, traders saw the probability of a rate cut in June falling to 58% from around 60% previously. However, speeches by Fed officials and a mild slowdown in employment data on Tuesday pushed expectations for a rate cut by the Fed in June back up slightly to around 64%.
Gold continues to break historical records after news of an Israeli airstrike on the Iranian embassy in Syria was released. Investors seeking a safe haven as geopolitical risks intensified rushed to pursue gold. At the same time, gold prices have risen 14% since mid-February this year on signs that a much-anticipated U.S. Federal Reserve policy shift is nowhere in sight. This week, investors will focus on the U.S. non-farm payrolls (NFP) data for March, which will be released on Friday. Labor market data could provide clues as to when the Federal Reserve will begin cutting interest rates.
Daily resistance is 2300, support below is 2229
Four-hour resistance is 2290, support below is 2270-46
Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday, the gold price received support at the 2250 mark and ushered in a strong effort to break the all-time high. The short-term support is 2070-60 below. The dividing line between long and short is currently around 2246 below. Pay attention to the situation of breaking new highs and 2300 above.
BUY:2267~2270
BUY:2260~2255
BUY:2246~2250
SELL: near 2290
SELL:near 2230
XAUUSD: 2/4 Enter Gold Analysis and StrategyThe price of gold fell back on Monday. Earlier, as the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in June increased after the PCE data last Friday, gold once refreshed its all-time high to 2265, but then the price of gold gave back part of the gains. On the one hand, bulls took profits. On the other hand, the U.S. ISM only returned above the 50 mark after a year and a half of PMI data. Market expectations for an interest rate cut in June fell again, and the U.S. dollar and bond yields rose, causing spot gold to narrow its late gains to 0.8%. , closing at $2,251
Gold prices continue to climb this week. Gold cash hit an intraday high of $2,265, a record high. It is expected that under multiple factors such as the slow global de-inflation process, global central bank gold purchase demand will remain strong in the long term, which will also form strong support for the gold price center.
In the short term, the U.S. dollar index is still biased towards strength in the short term, while the gold price has risen too much in the short term. We need to beware of the risk of a short-term shock correction in gold prices. On this trading day, you need to pay attention to the monthly rate of U.S. factory orders and February JOLTs job vacancies in the U.S., pay attention to the speeches of New York Fed President Williams, Cleveland Fed President Mester, and San Francisco Fed President Daley, and pay attention to the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. Changes in the performance of the U.S. dollar and U.S. bond yields will also affect the short-term gold price trend.
Daily resistance is 2270, support below is 2200
Four-hour resistance is 2265, support below is 2217-2222
Yesterday, the technical side of gold rose first and then fell. The opening of the Asian market opened with a rapid rise based on the 2243 line. Later, it accelerated and broke through the 2265 mark and then fell back under pressure. It fell into a volatile consolidation. The US market pulled back for a second time and came under pressure at the 2257 mark, and then fell back and hit the downward trend. Crossing the 2240 mark and reaching around 2228, the overall price stepped back at the 2230 mark for a second time to test the effective support. In the short term, this position will become a watershed between bulls and bears. The daily level stabilizes above 2230 and continues to maintain the bullish strong rhythm.
Judging from the daily analysis, the lower support today is still focused on the 2222-35 area, and the upper pressure is focused on the 2260-65 area that opened yesterday.
SELL: 2265~2270
BUY:2222~2217
BUY:2235~2240
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Contact Jiesse for trading support
The price of gold is about to continue its phased decline,
Gold in the Asian market rose again to the 2060 level, which is similar to my expectations. The current digestion period of the news is almost over, and intraday trading is mainly selling at high levels. 2060-2057 is a good position.
There is currently no significant news boosting the market, which is not conducive to gold's rise. In terms of trend, the gold price rise is weak, so focus on it during the day. Can the positions of 2255-2254, 22482247, and 2240-2241 be stabilized smoothly? If not, you can mainly sell at high levels.
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XAUUSD: 28/3 Today’s Analysis and StrategyGold suddenly fell rapidly in the short term on Thursday, with the London gold price just falling below $2,190. Governor Waller, who has been the recent benchmark for Fed policy, said late Wednesday local time that he believed there should be no rush to cut interest rates after inflation data strengthened in the first two months of this year. Stimulated by Waller's latest remarks, the U.S. dollar index continued to rise in the short term, which put pressure on spot gold to decline.
The yen fell sharply to its lowest level since 1990, before rebounding sharply after Japanese officials met to discuss market conditions and signaled preparations for intervention. Spot gold prices climbed sharply by $16 on Wednesday as investors awaited key U.S. inflation data later this week, which could provide more clues on the Federal Reserve's policy path.
Investors are now awaiting key U.S. inflation data later this week, which could provide more clues on the Fed's policy path. This trading day will also see changes in the number of initial jobless claims in the United States, the final value of the fourth quarter GDP of the United States, and the final value of the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index in March.
Gold technical analysis
Daily resistance is 2250, support below is 2177-2145
Four-hour resistance is 2200, support below is 2150
Gold operation suggestions:
Judging from the daily analysis, today's support at the bottom will focus on 2178, and the pressure at the top will be 2200-2210. Today, we will rely on this range to sell high and buy low. The watershed between short-term long and short strength is 2170. Only if the daily level closes below this level will the downward adjustment space be opened. Otherwise, time will continue to be exchanged for space and the oscillations in the long and short range will continue.
SELL:near 2210
SELL:near 2178
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Buy at 2153-2154.See it and trade it
Buy at 2153-2154. TP2164,SL2144
The news that CPI and Treasury auctions led to a rise in the US dollar was almost completely digested. The dollar will fall in the short term.
Gold after a sharp decline. Rely on the support of the track below Bollinger Bands and choose to buy. CAPITALCOM:GOLD MCX:GOLD1! NCDEX:GOLD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:DXY OANDA:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD VELOCITY:GOLD
XAUUSD: 25/3 Today’s Analysis and StrategyGold was trading around 2166 on Monday; affected by a series of factors, gold prices experienced extremely rare fluctuations last week, with a single-week fluctuation of nearly $77. Last Friday, due to the optimistic economic outlook of the United States, DXY strengthened, and DXY refreshed its monthly high of 104.41. Precious metals faced a sharp sell-off, and the price of gold expanded its decline to around 2157.
After the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting, it retained expectations of three interest rate cuts during the year, which put pressure on the U.S. dollar, but helped London gold prices rise to a record high above $2,220. Although the Fed has hinted that it may cut interest rates three times in 2024, the final decision will depend on economic data. Gold bulls may stage a comeback if upcoming U.S. data supports a rate cut, however, bears are also lurking, waiting for the next opportunity to suppress prices.
Due to the tense conflict between Russia and Ukraine, investors need to beware of further escalation of the geopolitical situation caused by terrorist attacks, which is expected to provide further upward momentum for gold prices. New home sales data will be released on Monday, durable goods, consumer confidence and Richmond Fed survey data will be released on Tuesday, and MBA mortgage applications will be released on Wednesday. However, Thursday will be the busiest day next week due to the Easter long weekend, when final fourth-quarter GDP data, jobless claims, pending home sales data and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey will be released data.
Gold technical analysis
Daily resistance is 2250, support below is 2177-45
Four-hour resistance is 2186, support below is 2150
Gold operation suggestions:
Last Friday, as the market began to consider the possibility that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates later, the U.S. dollar index continued to strengthen. The technical aspect of gold was suppressed below 2186, showing a weak and volatile adjustment. The Asian market opened slightly higher throughout the day and came under pressure of 2186, and then began to fall continuously downward. Then it accelerated downward and broke through 2170 to reach around 2162 and fell into sideways shock. The US market reversed for a second time and came under pressure. 2180 fell back again and fluctuated downward to break the bottom and close. The daily K-line closed negative. The overall price continued to suppress and adjust at the short-term high of 2222, and the short-term long and short strength dividing line moved down to the 4-hour top-bottom conversion level of 2186.
Judging from the four-hour daily analysis, the current daily level is still consolidating in the range before it breaks through the 2145 position below. Today, the short-term resistance above is 2186. Before the short-term daily level does not break through and stands above 2186, high-level consolidation is cautious to pursue the bullish trend.
BUY:near 2145
SELL:near 2186
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Contact Jiesse for trading support