12.11 Gold Breakthrough? Exploring the bottom?Gold broke through the range yesterday and rose sharply, with a medium-sized positive line on the daily line.
This is mainly because it did not retreat to the key resistance level of 2688-9, which was the previous decline.
In addition, it also formed another force at 7-8 o'clock in the morning, and went through a cycle.
In terms of technical points, today's technical points are basically the same.
1. The previous day was strong, and the second day's morning 7-8 o'clock saw an increase.
2. The morning rose, forming a low point watershed. Today is 2693.
3. The European session broke the previous day's high, so the US session must be long twice, and the correction at 6-8 o'clock requires one more time in the US session.
4. There was no cyclical decline after 10 o'clock in the US session yesterday, and the resistance level of 2689 was blocked, but there was no decline.
5. The rise continued to break the high in the early morning, and it is destined to have more cycles in the morning today.
And the morning continued to rise, breaking the 2700 line. How to look at it today?
From the 4-hour perspective, the market has been rising with broken Yang all the way. There are two trends for this pattern:
1. Continue to accelerate the rise at the current position. The upper resistance is 2722-24, the previous high point.
2. This kind of broken Yang has a relatively fast bottoming out and rebound during the day, and then continues to be strong.
Because after the morning market, the long position is very stuck, it depends on how to understand it:
From the perspective of the pattern, it is unnecessary to short, either continue to wait, continue to rise during the day, and continue to be long in the US market.
Or wait for more intraday retracements, but this kind of retracement now, if it returns to the starting point in the morning, it is not meaningful, and it can only break the position and rise.
Therefore, we are more inclined to the latter, and the European market will quickly bottom out and rebound during the day.
In other words, there is no need to chase the longs, wait for more intraday retracements, or wait and see the US market.
Although the watershed in the morning is at 2693, according to the continued rise in the early morning, the watershed is at 2684-5, which is the focus of today's attention.
In view of the intraday retracement, especially the retracement after breaking the watershed, we are considering more, and we will see the bottom rise.
Or it is extremely strong, and it will continue to pull up directly, and we will see the show during the day, and we will see more highs and falls in the US market. The key resistance above is 2722-4.
Short-term support is 2684-5. Other positions are not considered for the time being, just pay attention to the intraday prompts.
Goldlong
Gold Spot Analysis - Bullish ScenarioOANDA:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: $2,789.87 (100% Fibonacci Extension)
Support Levels: $2,628.99 (50% Fibonacci Retracement), $2,607.20 (61.8% Fibonacci Retracement).
Bullish Setup:
The price has retraced to the 61.8% Fibonacci level (B), suggesting a potential upward move to the 100% Fibonacci Extension target at $2,789 (C).
Trading Idea:
Entry: $2,607 - $2,628.
Stop-Loss: Below $2,585.06.
Target: $2,789.87, extended to $2,840.08.
Technical indicators align with a corrective pullback phase (wave B), with the next rally possibly marking wave C.
Do your own analysis before trading!
12.11 Gold breaks resistance level, 2700 is comingTechnical analysis: key support and resistance levels
From a technical perspective, spot gold has successfully broken through and closed above the key resistance level of $2,650, and this breakthrough has provided new momentum for bulls. The oscillator indicators on the daily chart show positive upward momentum, suggesting that gold prices may continue to challenge the $2,700 mark and further touch the supply range of $2,720-2,722.
But at the same time, attention should be paid to the role of support levels. As a previous resistance level, $2,650 has now been transformed into an important short-term support. If it falls below this level, gold prices may further pull back to the $2,625-2,620 area, or even test the $2,600 integer mark. If it breaks below $2,600, it may open up more downside space, targeting the November low of $2,537-2,536.
Intraday analysis: upward momentum may continue
Overall, the upward momentum of spot gold remains solid. Under the combined effect of safe-haven demand, weak US dollar and geopolitical risks, gold prices are expected to continue to rise in the short term. However, before the Fed meeting and the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, the market may be volatile. If the CPI data shows that inflationary pressures are easing, it may provide conditions for gold bulls to further exert their strength.
In the medium and long term, the gold market is still strongly supported by fundamentals. Investors should pay close attention to the latest developments in the Fed's policy direction and the geopolitical situation, which will continue to affect market sentiment and gold prices.
XAUUSD Trade LogXAUUSD Daily/Monthly Long Setup
Trade Logic:
- Setup: Long position initiated within a high-confluence zone supported by multiple technical and structural factors.
- Confluence Factors:
- Daily/Monthly Buy Signal: Higher timeframe signals indicate strong bullish momentum and continuation potential.
- Trendline Support: Price has respected a long-term ascending trendline, acting as dynamic support.
- Fair Value Gap (FVG): Entry aligns with a daily FVG in a discount zone, offering a high-probability long opportunity.
- Kijun Support: Both daily and weekly Kijun lines provide additional support confluence.
- Liquidity Zone: Recent sweep of liquidity below equal lows clears the path for a bullish reversal.
- Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):
- Stop-loss set below the trendline and daily FVG for tight risk management.
- 1:3 RRR targeting the weak high at 2,910 , with secondary targets near 3,000 for extended profits.
Macro Context:
- Market Sentiment: Safe-haven demand for gold is rising amid geopolitical and economic uncertainty, aligning with bullish technical signals.
- Dollar Weakness: Weakening USD supports upside momentum in XAUUSD.
- Volume Profile: Strong buy-side volume near key support levels indicates institutional participation.
Execution Plan:
- Long entry near the confluence zone of the trendline, FVG, and Kijun support.
- Maintain stop-loss below the daily FVG to manage risk effectively.
- First target near 2,910 , with extended targets at 3,000 for partial or full profit-taking.
- Reassess position if price closes below the trendline or invalidates the daily buy signal.
Extra Note: Monitor macroeconomic events such as interest rate announcements or geopolitical developments that could affect gold prices. Let me know if further adjustments are needed!
$GOLD analysis XAUUSD 4H
1. The price reacted to the 0.618 Fibonacci level around 2674 and is attempting to break the downtrend line.
2. The next major resistance lies between 2745 and 2750.
3. If this resistance is broken, the potential target could be around 2800.
4. Key support is at 2635; losing this level may increase selling pressure.
5. The current structure indicates a potential breakout of the downtrend line and a move toward higher resistances.
Here’s why gold exploded, trading strategiesIn the Asian market on Tuesday, gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around 2667, holding most of the overnight gains. Gold prices hit a two-week high of 2676 on Monday, climbing more than 1%, because the Chinese central bank resumed buying gold after a six-month hiatus, and expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week also increased bullish sentiment, and the geopolitical situation also boosted safe-haven buying demand.
It should be reminded that the US dollar index and US Treasury yields rose slightly, which made gold bulls still cautious. The price of gold is still in a range of nearly two weeks. Before the release of US CPI data on Wednesday, gold may still maintain a volatile trend. This trading day will also usher in the Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rate decision, and investors also need to pay attention.
Gold surged and fell back in the late trading. It is expected that today it will be corrected before it can further test the sideline and upper line again. From the channel point of view, this wave of rebound has not shown a signal of turning bearish in the daily chart, so it is still a priority to buy at a low price! The daily support is around 2644. However, the support in the Asian session is around 2654!
Under the stimulation of risk aversion, gold finally fluctuated upward. Yesterday, gold rose to 2676 in the US market and fell back in the short term. Gold fell as expected, but the decline in gold was not large. Bulls began to accumulate momentum to rise. Gold fell back in the Asian session and went long!
Gold crossed the 1-hour moving average. If all the moving averages diverge upward, then gold still has room to move upward. The 1-hour moving average support of gold moved up to the 2644 line. Gold can enter the market near 2654 first.
First support: 2654, second support: 2644, third support: 2632
First resistance: 2676, second resistance: 2688, third resistance: 2700
Trading strategy:
BUY: 2652-2654
SELL: 2676-2678
The Bullion on the Rise Again📊 FX:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) Weekly Market Update
Hey traders,
While I couldn’t prepare our usual video analysis, here’s a detailed breakdown of the Gold market alongside chart snapshots.
Last week, Gold revisited the 2615 level, near the 38.2% Fibonacci zone , which turned out to be yet another bear trap. Many shorts got liquidated, as seen in the surge in short volume.
Thanks to our strategy, we stuck with the trend, entering at 2629 . We’re now running a strong 400 pips Open P/L , with Gold currently heading towards the 26.2% Fibonacci zone.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch:
Minor resistance expected at 2685 and 2710 before reaching the 2750 target profit.
🔍 Fundamental Backup to Our Trade:
1️⃣ Geopolitical Tensions:
Escalating Middle East instability: Rebel forces ousted President Bashar al-Assad in Syria, heightening fears of broader regional uncertainty.
Safe-haven demand for Gold surged as investors sought security amidst these developments.
2️⃣ China's Gold Purchases:
China's central bank resumed gold acquisitions in November after a six-month break, providing additional bullish momentum.
3️⃣ Dovish U.S. Monetary Policy:
Friday’s U.S. jobs report indicated softening labor market conditions, fueling expectations for a 25-basis-point rate cut at the Fed’s final meeting this year.
Lower interest rates enhance Gold’s attractiveness as a non-yielding asset.
🔮 Potential Scenarios:
Bullish: Sustained geopolitical instability and dovish monetary policy may drive Gold above the 50-period SMA (~$2,678) and closer to our target.
Bearish: A reduction in geopolitical risk premium or sticky inflation could pressure Gold toward the 100-period SMA (~$2,586)- very unlikely.
Stay sharp, watch these levels, and trade smart! 💡
🧠 Let’s Collaborate!
What’s your take on GOLD this week? Share your ideas and charts below in comment. Let’s discuss whether we’re headed to new highs or revisiting support levels!
Cheers,
The NFX Team™ 💚
GOLD 1HR CHART XAUUSD Gold is displaying strong indications of upward momentum, driven by favorable market conditions and a renewed interest in safe-haven assets. With global economic uncertainties, a weaker dollar, and ongoing geopolitical concerns, gold continues to attract investors seeking stability. Technical analysis suggests a bullish trajectory, with key resistance levels potentially being tested in the coming sessions. If these levels are breached, the upward trend could accelerate further, paving the way for significant price gains. However, traders should remain cautious and monitor macroeconomic developments that could influence market sentiment...
12.10 If gold falls back, go longYesterday, the gold market opened high at 2645.3 in the early trading due to fundamental risk aversion news. After that, the market first filled the gap and reached 2627.2. After that, the market rose strongly. The daily line reached 2676.4 and then the market consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 2660. After that, the market closed with a spindle pattern with long upper and lower shadows.
BUY: 2645 Stop loss: 2640 2635
$: 2657, 2667, 2677. Breakthroughs look at 2685, 2692, 2702-2710.
Prepare to go long gold nextBros, today is destined to be an extraordinary day. Our short position turned from profit to loss, and then successfully turned loss into profit again! Indeed, when gold broke through 2675, I changed from calmness at the beginning to nervousness, but I saw that gold failed to continue to break through several times, so I chose to add positions near 2675 to short gold again. Obviously, it turned out that my trading idea was correct. Gold then gradually fell back and has now reached around 2660. I just closed my short position manually near 2660. Although gold may continue to fall back to the shock range, the 2660-2655 area below has been transformed into a support area, so to avoid gold rebounding again with the support area, I no longer took risks and manually closed the order near 2660 to lock in profits in time.
Although there were some twists and turns in the trading process today, the results proved that I was right, so we were able to successfully turn losses into profits in the gold short trading! A very good trading experience, the most satisfying is turning losses into profits! If you follow my trading strategy, I believe you have also made a good profit, congratulations!
Then next, if gold cannot effectively fall below the 2660-2650 area during the decline, then I may look for a suitable opportunity to go long on gold!
Bros, have you followed me to short gold? So how do you trade gold next?If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
12.10 Geopolitical gold prices are expected to riseThe oscillating market is a market that accumulates momentum. The longer the oscillation lasts, the longer the unilateral continuation will last after the breakthrough. This is the basic law of the market trend.
In the morning of December 9, the price of gold rose first, which was a response to the risk events over the weekend. The safe-haven property of gold was reflected again.
The situation in the Middle East (Syria) is deteriorating continuously and rapidly. Its opposition has seized control of the capital Damascus, and the top leader has been forced to flee. This "evolution" is the key to the deterioration of the incident, which has aggravated market concerns.
Intraday analysis suggestions:
In the short term, the support below the gold price is $2,620. This position has been tested and tested many times in the early stage. The upper pressure is at $2,660 and the strong pressure is at $2,670. The early week period can maintain a bullish trend on the strong support of $2,620.
The pressure shown by the technical side is very obvious at the moment, but the fundamental support factors also exist. This is the reason for the continuous struggle between long and short positions, and it is also the reason for the breakthrough. On the whole, after the oscillation or struggle between long and short positions, the probability of the long side winning is relatively high. Therefore, the transaction can be mainly long on dips
XAUUSD possiblity 2678- 80XAUUSD Analysis Gold is approaching a critical level, where there could be a potential opportunity for a sell near the 80 mark. However, the market is currently in a volatile state, and with the unpredictable nature of price action, trading in this environment carries significant risk. If it fails to hold at this level, the market could continue to move in unpredictable directions, making it a dangerous space for traders without proper risk management...
GOLD / Consolidation Zone 2653 - 2661Gold Technical Analysis
The price will consolidate between 2653 and 2665. At first, it will try to teach 2665, and then it should break 2665 by closing a 4-hour candle above it to get 2678. Stability above 2678 will start a bullish area toward 2706.
closing 4h candle below 2653 will be bearish toward 2638 and 2623.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2653
Resistance Levels: 2665, 2678, 2706
Support Levels: 2638, 2623, 2612
World gold prices were under pressure last week from USDWorld gold prices were under pressure last week when the USD index increased. Recorded at 7:00 a.m. on December 8, the US Dollar Index measuring the fluctuation of the greenback with 6 major currencies was at 106,040 points (up 0.32%).
Kitco News's latest survey shows that experts continue to be divided, while individual investors are optimistic about gold prices next week.
“I expect gold prices to rise next week, as long as the $2,600/ounce level holds. Three central banks in the G10 group will cut interest rates and the market predicts two banks (the Bank of Canada and the Swiss National Bank) may cut interest rates by 25 basis points" - Marc Chandler - CEO Executive at Bannockburn Global Forex - said.
"The downtrend line from the record high in late October will be near $2,680 an ounce on Monday and fall to around $2,660 an ounce by the end of next week," he added.
🔥 TVC:GOLD SELL 2657 - 2659🔥
💵 TP1: 2650
💵 TP2: 2640
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2670
Gold on daily timeframe
As I mentioned in the previous analysis of gold, the $2600 level is a critical zone. The price has previously been rejected from this level and is currently showing signs of further upward movement. The next potential price target could be $2750.
---
If you have any specific areas you would like to refine or if you need further assistance, please let me know!
#XAUUSD 1HR CHART LOOKOUTThe XAU/USD market is showing strong indications of a bullish breakout, with price action aligning to support further upward momentum. Key resistance levels are being tested, and buyer confidence is increasing as technical indicators favor a move higher. With steady demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, the market appears poised for a sustained rally, creating opportunities for upward moves in the sessions ahead.
The 3 Reasons To Buy GoldThese past few days have been very
stressful
And i recently got my hands on a weekly
time table
which i am trying my best to follow
so that i can study more about
the financial markets
And read more books
because next year i intend to go all in on
the Bitcoin market
Honestly i have no clue how i survived the
Bitcoin market crashes
Because for me
i view market crashes as
an opportunity to buy
The stock market is quiet
but the commodities markets
are on fire with
Gold OANDA:XAUUSD about to gap
up in an uptrend
The Bitcoin COINBASE:BTCUSD mania has slowed down.
Because there was a flash crash
And many people lost money on their
options trading accounts
Because of lack of risk management
Gold is a great buy
at this position
because it follows the rocket booster strategy
So what is the rocket booster
strategy?
It has 3 steps:
#1-The price has to be above the 50 EMA
#2-The price has to be above the 200 EMA
#3-The price has to gap up in an trend
If you want to buy bitcoin COINBASE:BTCUSD
go ahead because full disclosure
that the asset class i trade.
To learn more rocket boos this content
Disclaimer:
trading is risky please learn risk
management
and profit taking
strategies
and feel free to use
a simulation trading to practise
before you trade with real money