Common retracement to top of pattern following gap up breakoutWe broke out of a symmetrical triangle in a gap up and are simply retracing back to the top of that pattern before making the move up. This is very common and has to do with market cycles. We should expect volume soon, but if there's no volume it is possible we can retrace all the way back down to the 200 Day SMA around $120-$130. Near term outlook is neutral, intermediate term outlook is very bullish, long term outlook is very bullish. Good luck.
GME
GME to over $700With 002 and 801 going into effect on Wednesday and the completed ATM offering, $GME is sure to take off. The chart is very, very bullish. $AMC is showing bearish divergence and a double top, which lends credence to the theories that it's a pump and dump to fund $GME losses. Not saying anything for certain, all we can do is wait and see.
PFE STILL MORE GAS IN THE TANKThis chart has been fairly predictable for the past year, however as we start to shape up the larger degree wave count, I've decided to alter this from an expanding diagonal to a typical impulse.
The main thing shaping this is the action for wave 2 which appears to be a flat.
Under this premise, we have subdivision of wave 3 underway. It appears to be an expanded third: triggering the 1.618 with evidence of another leg up to the 2.272 at $56. This is the primary trade at hand, as we target 15-20% gains here. This trade presents a 10:1 RR with a SL around $45.50 at the recent low for a 20% target.
Wave 4 of 3 looks to be complete, hitting the 1.618 extension of A to B (see chart below). We have RSI testing the 70 which will be telling: if it can get into overbought territory, then it's indication of a trend reversal (as markets typically only go into overbought when bullish). Not pictured is the stacking bullish divergence for this wave 4. Another thing that stands out as evidence of wave 4 complete is that it was sharper than wave 2 of 3. By rule of alternation, we would expect this.
Upon hitting this target near $56, we will reevaluate, likely close, and look for the next wave down. For now, I have a $45 level identified (w4 larger count) and a 2.618 target near $60 (w5 larger count) on the map. Remember: for extended wave 3s that approach the 2.0, we look for the next fib level near 2.618 for w5. These future targets are dependent on what happens here in this wave 3.
If GME's trends could talk [REPOSTED]Good morning Apes! This is a slightly retouched version of my last GME post. I noticed one trend line was slightly off and I corrected that mistake. As you can see since the first upbreak in January GME has been looking straight at the $500-ish area. I would guess, after every trend line confirming, that $500-ish is the price point that needs to be passed for MOASS. If not, that's still the area it wants to be in. NYSE:GME
For entertainment purposes only. Do your own research. NYSE:GME
God Bless
The Next 3 Extravagant Weeks ahead..!I believe there is a rational correlation between extravagant price moves like what happened in GME, AMC, and recently SPRT spiral and quadruple witching dates!
These types of price moves are strange and unexplainable phenomena for newbies..!
Let me explain why this phenomenon happens:
Stocks with high short interest are often very volatile and are well known for making explosive upside moves (known as a short squeeze). Stock traders will often flock to such stocks for no reason other than the fact that they have high short interest and the price can potentially move up very quickly as traders with open short positions move to cover.
1- What Is Short Interest?
Short interest is the number of shares that have been sold short but have not yet been covered or closed out. Short interest, which can be expressed as a number or percentage, is an indicator of market sentiment.
Extremely high short interest shows investors are very pessimistic (potentially overly pessimistic).
When investors are overly pessimistic it can lead to very sharp price rises at times.
Large changes in the short interest also flash warning signs, as it shows investors may be turning more bearish or bullish on a stock. (1)
2- What Is Quadruple Witching?
Quadruple witching refers to a date on which stock index futures, stock index options, stock options, and single stock futures expire simultaneously. While stock options contracts and index options expire on the third Friday of every month, all four asset classes expire simultaneously on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December.
Quadruple witching is similar to the triple witching dates, when three out of the four markets expire at the same time, or double witching when two markets out of the four markets expire at the same time. (2)
By now you should have a clear vision about these unexplainable prices movements! I believe with good timing we can use this information to make money extravagantly..!
I checked multiple resources and this is a watchlist of the stocks that may experience the squeeze phenomenon in the next 2-3 weeks!
www.tradingview.com
Be careful this types of price movements have some criteria:
1- They do not last long
2- They tend to be volatile (intraday) because of Algorithmic trading involvment.
3- They experience large Gaps
4- There is a risk of entrapment (look what happened in SPRT on Friday)
5- You have to be careful with volume, they usually experience a trading volume of more than 100% of the total outstanding share!
6- Monitoring the change in short interest is key to success, huge change could be considered as last day!
7- This rationale could explain the reason behind many "Wall Street Bets" moves!
for more information please read my related articles:
Max Pain or Short squeeze?
Is there hidden rationality beyond irrationality?
What is "witching" and why is it quadruple?
Reference Article:
1- www.investopedia.com
2- www.investopedia.com
GME going BEAST MODEGME - looking beastly on the daily and ready to move up.
Bull flag looking similar to chart in early March.
MACD ready to rip.
Relative Strength Index strong but not oversold.
Aroon 25 - settling in.
Cycles lining up for a potential run higher.
90-day high to high for the last two rips and GME is coming up quickly on that algo prediction/date.
Note - GME hitting the middle line of the Regression Channel from before the January high - it just needs to break through. IMO very soon.
Not financial advice.
Let's get into some stock trades #4 & #5 - AMC & GMEDespite AMC & GME having either bad business models given the era we live in or bad financials or a mixture of both, the meme stock craze doesn't seem to be going away. AMC currently at about 17-18% short interest of free float and GME at about 12-13% short interest of free float. Neither heavily shorted, but there is some juice. Clearly neither as short as during the major squeezes, but the charts look pretty strong.
Currently we live in a world were memes, brands, communities and networks is all that matters, and these stocks have all of that behind them. Will these end well? Probably not, but in the short term we have something big here.
Several weeks ago I put out some updates on AMC and GME, and both did drop substantially since then and then found support. I stupidly ignored my 32$ buy level for AMC and on GME I was a little more scared that it would hold 150 after it lost 180. However the current view is quite different as they are both showing substantial strength. Short term might both pullback, but in my opinion it isn't a bad idea to own a little bit of both and consider that money lost as they could both go up 200-500% from here or even higher depending on how the stock market craze progresses.
In my opinion we haven't see the parabolic rise of stock markets yet, but we might be pretty close. Before that we might get a dip which would definitely be a great buying opportunity.
AMC/GME " The 4th Cycle " before the biggest squeeze in historyAsk me questions.
look at my TA on the 2nd cycle. I WAS BANG ON THE MONEY, erhm in the money $
i was RIGHT again, Cycle 3 has started, I found this a month prior, fact check me.
SEE YOU @ $200-400. if big banks / SHF get liquidated or begin to cover in this bracket > ( like they should )
my next targets are $1200-4000.
Please this is not financial advise :P
p';s this applys to GAMESTOP
CANT STOP
WONT STOP
GAME STOP
AMC LONG -> BULLISH MONTH IN AUGUSTWhite line = RSI
Yellow line = Historic 180 day IV
Guys this is not a normal looking TA.
Just found something interesting.
Not advice, just an idea..
Going off of this, i feel next month is the next run up
Target is $200-400
p.s i predicted the last run up, check my post
GME and Wyckoff's Composite Man“…all the fluctuations in the market and in all the various stocks should be studied as if they were the result of one man’s operations. Let us call him the Composite Man, who, in theory, sits behind the scenes and manipulates the stocks to your disadvantage if you do not understand the game as he plays it; and to your great profit if you do understand it.” (The Richard D. Wyckoff Course in Stock Market Science and Technique, section 9, p. 1-2)
Wyckoff advised retail traders to try to play the market game as the Composite Man played it. In fact, he even claimed that it doesn't matter if market moves “are real or artificial; that is, the result of actual buying and selling by the public and bona fide investors or artificial buying and selling by larger operators.” (The Richard D. Wyckoff Method of Trading and Investing in Stocks, section 9M, p. 2)
Based on his years of observations of the market activities of large operators, Wyckoff taught that:
The Composite Man carefully plans, executes and concludes his campaigns.
The Composite Man attracts the public to buy a stock in which he has already accumulated a sizeable line of shares by making many transactions involving a large number of shares, in effect advertising his stock by creating the appearance of a “broad market.”
One must study individual stock charts with the purpose of judging the behavior of the stock and the motives of those large operators who dominate it.
With study and practice, one can acquire the ability to interpret the motives behind the action that a chart portrays. Wyckoff and his associates believed that if one could understand the market behavior of the Composite Man, one could identify many trading and investment opportunities early enough to profit from them.
Wyckoff's composite man theories, price cycles, schematics of accumulation/distribution and three laws have helped me a great deal in understanding how markets work.
Just as important has been Cem Karsan . The 19th I mapped out in this chart of a buy the dip trend:
was originally identified by Cem since 2020 as the Fed pumping stimulus (liquidity) into the markets. The Fed stimulus creates a well fed Gary (ape).
Gary is what people in vol markets refer to as how the majority of market markers are positioned for volatility. If a majority of MMs are long vol (well fed ape) it makes it harder for the underlying structure of the market to break down (corrections). Karsan identified this cycle of (dips) as a result of end of MM and HF 20 day cycles. With so much liquidity in the stock markets right now a well fed gary creates a pinning effect in major indexes for expiring contracts /hedging cycles.
Using order flow (supply / demand) of major derivatives, Karsan is able to identify market support/resistance levels from volatility hedges and dozens of other factors with weekly/monthly pin point accuracy.
What I think is causing all the short squeezes lately (AMC, SPRT, etc..) is that more people are identifying this cycle. All the short squeezes started up again at this wyckoff markup phase.
Gamestop is one of the OG short squeezes and the effects of these cycles/phases are clear in the charts now. There are several posts on popular subreddits related to these phases/cycles going back to the original short squeeze in Jan.
The thing with Gamestop are the Wyckoff price cycles are diminishing in volume and I don't know what that means.
AMC Short Squeeze Prediction (Third Times A Charm)When looking at AMC's price action in the previous months, September, particularly the week of 6th-10th, is looking real bullish for AMC. The first squeeze attempt happened Wednesday January 27th, the second Wednesday June 2nd. Both occurred in weeks where Monday landed on a holiday. Is it a coincidence that AMC's price action is rising and that September 6th happens to also be a holiday? Take this with a grain of salt because AMC is a hard one to predict, but September 8th looks really good on my calendar.
MOASS has just started. GMEThe mother of all short squeezes has just started and we think it will lead to a wave of liquidations, obliteration and bankruptcies of tradfi. We need to see the inefficient go before the new age can come into the foray. It looks like the short squeeze is ready to start from here it can happen before or after the crypto pump.
BULL CASE
Price goes to test the all time high after a short retest of 180.
BEAR CASE
Market makers tries to liquidate some more longs near the 120 level before the short squeeze begins.