Elliott Wave Intraday Analysis: GME Is Looking HigherHello traders and investors!
Today we will talk about short-term intraday GME structure in which we see pretty nice and clean bullish setup formation, at least for a three-wave (A)-(B)-(C) rally away from the lows.
As you can see GME made sharp and impulsive rally in March that belongs to first leg (A). In Elliott wave theory, after every five waves, we can expect a three-wave pullback before a trend continuation. So, currently we are tracking an A-B-C corrective setback within wave (B) that can be slowly approaching the end, as we see it moving in final stages of wave C of (B). Ideal support in Elliott wave theory is at the former wave 4 and golden 61,8% Fibonacci retracement which comes around 125 level, so final subwave "v" of C can be still missing.
What we want to say is that we should be ready for more gains within wave (C), but ideally once current wave (B) correction fully unfolds. Of course, there's a chance for bigger or more complex wave (B) correction, but the count remains valid as long as it's above 77 invalidation level.
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GME
GME on the reboundThe meme stock still feeling vibrations from its huge bull run last year. Looks like it may be on a bearish trend that could reverse if the pennant holds true. If the stock breaks the formation to the upside, expect it to run up to the top trend line between $160-180.
RSI is not showing signs of Divergence so on the other hand, GME may continue down and test the $80-90 range support
LRCMy plan remains the same from previous charts.
- Keeping it basic without clutter
- 15 or so indicators I use do point towards a bottom having already happened
- still depends on the rest of the globe no matter what
- no convoluted chart zoom ins
If we break below for a bear market I expect 30 cents. If the market picks up I still expect LRC to go well beyond 4 dollars.
Parabola Pitchfork - almost timeGME is a Buy over 150, expecting explosive pop as soon as it runs back over 150 could be today or tomorrow.
I haven't used the BBand/MFI/Vortex Indicator combo in a while but it works well for GME.
-Initial/intermediate target 196 (could run into some resistance there and drop back down to support in the 130s one last time before pop to 200s so watch that level close
- Target 223 by early May , they want to take it to the sky before they ultimately drop it so it could continue past 223 to some crazy levels... but that is speculation.. the mat/chart says 223 near-term
If you want to be slightly more conservative and enter later with confirmation watch for the VI to cross green over red, but by that time it will be higher than it is right now. I like entry above 150 because that is the intraday equilibrium level where supply = demand and it has the periodicity to pop on the next time it gets over 150.
Not Financial Advice.
Bless you all
~The Alpinist
GameStop respawning?GameStop - Short Term - We look to Buy at 138.50 (stop at 125.95)
Price action looks to be forming a bottom. As this corrective sequence continues we look to set longs on a dip at better risk/reward levels. Levels close to the 50% pullback level of 138.50 found buyers. Further upside is expected although we prefer to set longs at our bespoke support levels at 138.50, resulting in improved risk/reward.
Our profit targets will be 199.40 and 250.00
Resistance: 156.50 / 180.00 / 199.40
Support: 138.50 / 137.24 / 132.85
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GME - Break-out and Back-testGME appears to have successfully broken out of the long-term downtrend and also successfully back-tested this break-out. Looking for higher high on this run, surpassing the late March high of ~$200.
Sorry for the busy nature of the posted chart, but trying to show several previous break-outs and back-test - going back to late Jan 21 as examples. As you can see on the chart MOST of the break-outs and back-test have resulted in fairly significant upside moves. Also included are some failed break-outs and failed back-test.
The recent break-out has back tested the long-term trendline 5 times and held, bouncing up sharply (+7%) today. This also included a successful back-test of the smaller triangle break-out from the recent downturn off the high in late March. This break-out of a very long-term channel, successfully tested 5 times, is very bullish near term IMO.
Added long $165 strike calls w/ Apr 29th exp.
Not financial advice.
TLRY ThesisI have a bullish bias on TLRY. With the pending approval of federal legalization, we could see a huge increase in valuation. Not only am I fundamentally bullish, but I am also technically bullish. It is sitting at the golden pocket Fibonacci retracement level and could see large order flow coming in soon. Overall, seems like a good investment. As usual, this isn't investment advice. Do your own DD and risk what you're okay with losing.
DWAC AnalysisI have a bullish bias on this SPAC. I believe that once the merger is approved it will be a major catalyst for ticker symbol $DWAC. All that bread I will stack. I ain't gonna be living in no more lack. Getting money, run up the racks. Balling like I'm Shack. All these rhymes I just cracked. Once it squeezes, I pray I don't have a heart attack. Great dip buy opportunity IMO. Not investment advice of course.
Gamestop and the XLFWell. Interesting theory. What if the rounding top happening with the $XLF will precipitate $GME to the moon? Or visa versa?
An outside event that causes a desperate need for capital could cause hedge funds to liquidate short positions. Or perhaps a reversal from the feds to QE from QT because we're at risk of a recession, signaling cheap capital is coming and causing the demand to ratchet up the price.
No opinion; just thought it was an interesting correlation.
GME - back-test holds - bounce timeGME back-tested the recent break-out of the descending wedge and held/bounced during the Thursday/Friday trading sessions last week. Bullish.
Price is also finding support on the 0.382 fib level here. This fib was important on the way down as GME held/bounced along it at least 3 times on the down wave, and this general price zone has been important for this equity post sneeze providing significant support & resistance. Firefly (AFL momentum /volatility indicator via Lazybear) is trending bullish (14/3 setting) and GMEs price has bounced up +10% or more at the +/-65 level on 3 prior runs - see indicator on chart. A little more AFL Firefly Info here: www.wisestocktrader.com
Confirmation of a near-term bottom is supported via RSI 2 Strategy Lower Indicator (Chris Moody) which hit the short term buy signal on the daily last Friday. More information on this indicator is found in the community scripts on TV, where CM describes it as follows: T he RSI-2 Strategy is designed to use on Daily Bars, however it is a short term trading strategy. The average length of time in a trade is just over 2 days. But the results CRUSH the general market averages . My take is historically this indicator has not been a slam dunk for GME but has accurately identified several near-term bottoms including the decisive March 14th low and thankfully helped convince me to add several shares then at ~$88.
Further, the 100-day MA is hovering around $140 level providing additional support for GME and is just below Friday's closing price of $146.xx.
Spec paly = buy OTM call(s) in $155/$160 range on a "typical" AM price mash that takes GME down near 100-day MA with a fairly near term/cheaper exp. date and sell call on the anticipated bounce OR just buy/hold shares...
Max pain currently listed as $145 for 4/14 and $132 on 4/22 - so much caution is warranted . maximum-pain.com
Not financial advice.
Buckle Up ButtercupI have been following GME forever. I have even gone to that little movie that was created to show my dedication. I have GameStop merchandise and clothing. I love this company.
Lately things have been feeling different than usual, I still expect time to do its duty, as well as catalysts to potentially increase our duration at these levels as well.
Soon however, GME will be more than a stock.
Soon I expect large green bars.
Soon.
Buy. Hold. DRS.
Want a choccy milky from the gas station to fill ur tum tum with num nums?! NO!!!!
Because save $$ -> BUY -> HOLD -> DRS
I LOVE YOU ALL
GOODNIGHT
(NFA)
What does GameStop’s share split mean for the short squeeze?2022 is looking like a year of stock splits as companies seek to make their shares more appealing for retail investors. Following Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL), Amazon's (NASDAQ: AMZN) and Tesla's (NASDAQ:TSLA) recent split announcements, GameStop (NYSE:GME) followed suit, hinting at plans for its first stock split in 15 years.
The American video game retailer, which has become a favorite “meme stock” among retail investors, disclosed in an SEC filing during aftermarket hours on Thursday that it plans to implement a stock split of its class A shares in the form of a stock dividend.
GameStop said it plans to boost its share count to 1 billion from 300 million, indicating that it would carry out a three-for-1 stock split, giving existing shareholders two more shares for every share they hold in the company. The plan is still subject to shareholder approval at the company’s annual meeting.
The company’s stock, which surged to its 2022 peak of $189.59 on March 28, jumped 15% in premarket trading on Friday following the news before paring gains to close 0.8% lower on the New York Stock Exchange.
Compared with Apple and Amazon, whose share prices have hovered around $3,000 in recent months, and Tesla’s stock price that closed at over $1,000 on Friday, GameStop’s stock is relatively more affordable for mom-and-pop investors and those that are riding on a new investment trend that has become popular during the COVID-19 pandemic.
GameStop to the moon
GameStop is among the most favorite meme stocks on Reddit forums like the wildly popular subreddit WallStreetBets where users discuss the next stock to pump up. Investors piled into GameStop’s stock in January 2021, sending its shares skyrocketing 400% week on week on Jan. 29, 2021, to an all-time high of $325.
This caused a short squeeze in GameStop stocks in a blow to short sellers that collectively lost about $13 billion, according to estimates by financial analytics firm S3 Partners. Market watchers also attributed the spike in GameStop’s shares to hedge funds that made substantial profits from the short squeeze.
GameStop’s stock has since fallen 49% since that peak as of Friday, April 1, as many investors are unable to justify the company's stock price given its poor financials.
GameStop's financials fail to keep up
In the recent fiscal year ended Jan. 29, GameStop booked $381 million in net loss, 77% wider than its $215 million loss in 2020. Revenue, however, climbed to $6.01 billion from $5.09 billion the previous year. Prior to the short squeeze in January 2021, there had been rumors that GameStop may be going out of business as the company announced store closures and logged millions of dollars in debt.
“This greed by the short sellers to have GameStop go bankrupt — ironically, they now saved GameStop for probably forever,” Justin Dopierala, founder of DOMO Capital, was quoted by Digital Trends as saying.
With the money raised from the securities market, GameStop could turn its business around. The company recently disclosed plans to foray into non-fungible tokens or NFTs by the end of the second quarter of fiscal year 2022.
Risky bet for short sellers
For short sellers, GameStop’s planned stock split would force them to buy additional shares before they return their loaned shares.
As the company plans to carry out its stock split by issuing a stock dividend, shareholders who lend their shares to short sellers are still entitled to the dividend from GameStop, while the short seller will have to either repurchase the share before the ex dividend date or pay a dividend to the other party that acquired the shorted stock.