GLD
What are Tesla Bulls Waiting For?U.S. Markets finished up over 1% for the day, setting up an interesting end-of-week trading session. The jobs report lands tomorrow at 8:30 AM EST. and will likely determine the next trend. Today we will go over the PowerShares QQQ (QQQ) and Tesla, Inc. (TSLA). But, first I want to mention that a few days ago I posted a GLD chart stating that it was setting up for some upside. Today may have the start of that upside. Could the market be front running the jobs report tomorrow and could Gold be the sole beneficiary? Another hot name of note today was Square, Inc. (SQ) which blew up for nearly 10%. If you read over a week ago I mentioned that SQ was setting up with a cup and handle pattern and a measured move target of 73... target met.
All the "HOT" Tech Names Reported...Right?
It's obvious, tech has contributed to a vast majority of the rally off the March low. That is why I have been tracking the QQQ so often. The question I have now is, have all the hot tech stocks reported earnings? Nividia is the only one I can think that hasn't reported yet. Just something to think about. Below is the 4-hour chart of the QQQ.
I zoomed in a bit to get a cleaner shot of this rising wedge. Normally bearish, though there are instances when there are upside breaks. At times there are throw overs . Which happens when price breaks out from above the wedge then quickly reverses back into the wedge. Typically this turns out to be a strong reversal and has happened before on the Nasdaq-100 (NDX). Check the chart below.
The result of the throw over can be seen above. Unfortunately, back in September 2018, price reversed back up but eventually met the lower bound of the rising wedge which acted as resistance. Eventually, the NDX declined 23%. This is the scenario I am looking at. Current price action may lead to a throw over so watch for this potentially tomorrow. Bias: Bearish .
Elon and Joe...Again
I haven't listened to or watched the latest stint of Elon Musk on the Joe Rogan Show, so I can't speak to that. I can talk TA, and TSLA, a normally volatile stock traded sideways today netting a loss of -0.32% for the day. Perhaps the calm before a larger move to come? Below is the 4-hour chart of TSLA.
Chaikin continues to mimic itself from over a month ago. Price is also consolidating at the high below resistance while inching closer to trendline support. The longer it takes for the TSLA bulls to follow through the more bearish this chart gets. Keep an eye on TSLA the next few days, as it may be the key to the market. Bias: Bearish .
I'll be posting early in the morning ahead of the jobs report. I'll be taking a look at the VIX and Silver. Have a great evening!
Long Opportunity in GLD? (2/2)Here is a scenario that would match the broader assets' bearish case.
The subminuette 2 in blue is incredibly short in time which is quite an issue.
We were expecting a flat within the yellow micro 2 but we are currently consolidating instead of dumping (to start subwave C of the flat).
Long Opportunity in GLD? (1/2)Here is a scenario that would match the broader assets' bearish case.
The subminuette 2 in blue is incredibly short in time which is an issue.
We were expecting a flat within the yellow micro 2 but we are currently consolidating instead of dumping (to start subwave C of the flat).
GOLD looking bullish !GOLD ($GLD)
Currently in a bullish trend and displaying consolidating volatility which means a big move in either direction. Expectations of continuing in a bullish trend in a setup resembling something we currently have is usually more probable.
I will be looking to enter the trade at $161.10. Intermediate target at $165.29 and full target at $166.83. Potential to overperform as there is a “key level of significance” at $174 as your next major resistance. Stop Loss set at $158.10. On Balance Volume also looks strong for the bullish scenario on this chart as well as for $XAU/USD while doing a 360-degree analysis.
Gold- Symmetrical triangle, within a larger Broadening Top.Gold- Symmetrical triangle, within a larger Broadening Top.
Symmetrical Triangle- Has a 60% of Upward breakout, 40% chance of downward breakout.
thepatternsite.com
Broadening Top- Has a 61% of Upward Breakout, 39% chance of downward breakout (Thomas Bullkowski)
thepatternsite.com
Gold to Test ATH Soon?With the unemployment rate being announced later this week I have been keeping an eye on the gold markets for clues on a direction. Expectations are that unemployment will increase substantially from the last reported 4.4% to levels that haven't been seen since the 1930's. However, the price of gold hasn't really "outperformed" during the Covid-19 pandemic when compared next to other asset classes which begs the question, will the unemployment numbers really matter?
Looking at the charts gold has been in consolidation since breaking out of the inverse head and shoulders on April 6th. Price has retested and been trading flat since April 14th. The chart below is of the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD). Current support is 156.95 and is a must hold if more upside is to follow.
On the 4-hour chart above, I've highlighted how volume increased on the break of the inverse head and shoulders, and as price returned to retest support volume has settled nicely. MACD confirms this and is beginning to show potential strength in bullish momentum. If GLD breakout, targets should be set towards 174, which conveniently is nearly all-time high resistance.
How confident can we be on this trade? Below is the weekly chart of GDX, a Gold Miners ETF. Here, note the weekly retest of previous resistance at 31. How strong the support remains to be seen, but the strength on the gold miners is undeniable and reaffirms the gold trade to the upside.
Heading into the potentially historic unemployment announcement this Friday, it may be a safe bet to look into gold if you believe in the safe haven narrative. If you are a trader like me, GLD and GDX present opportunities to make 10-20% returns in a short period. Bias: Bullish .