GBPUSD strategiesOn Monday (October 9), GBP/USD closed at 1.2236, basically the same as last Friday's closing price, but the intraday low fell back to 1.2161. Although the market still predicts that the Bank of England will not raise interest rates further, data and events released in the UK last week may affect market expectations. Whether we can continue to raise interest rates remains to be seen how economic data from the UK performs. The rebound of the pound in the past few trading days is only a technical adjustment for the time being. Whether the British pound can completely reverse its decline still depends on the performance of the US dollar. In terms of technical graphics, the pound is still under pressure against the US dollar, just like the euro, and the overall trend is still in a downward channel. However, various technical indicators showed signs of oversold turning, which seemed to indicate a rebound to adjust the trading rhythm. In the near future, pay attention to the resistance in the 1.2260-1.2300 price area above. If it can be broken through, driven by the rebound potential, GBP/USD may be expected to rise higher.
Gbpusdshort
GBPUSD 4H maintains its positive stability GBPUSD
The pound sterling pair against the dollar focused on the breached resistance of the descending channel and rebounded upward to resume the expected upward corrective path in the immediate term.
stabilizing above 1.2172 will support rising to touch 1.2233 then 1.2280 then 1.2328
stabilizing under 1.2124 will support falling to touch 1.2095 then 1.2069
The expected trading range for today is between support 1.2035 and Resistance 1.2233
pivot price: 1.2172
Resistance prices: 1.2233 & 1.2280 & 1.2328
Support prices: 1.2095 & 1.2069 & 1.2035
The expected trading range for today is between support 1.2124 and resistance 1.2233
The general trend expected for today: bullish
timeframe: 4H
GBPUSD LONG TERM BUY IDEAHello Traders
In This Chart GBPUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
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🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the ChartS
GBPUSD 4H : Support further decline GBPUSD
New forecast
The price perfectly fulfills my last idea and price reached to our target .
The GBP/USD pair presented Negative trades today, as it tried to break the 1.2173 level to holding below it again, waiting for the bearish bias to resume to test the bearish resistance around 1.2122 as the next main target.
Therefore, the downward trend scenario will remain effective for the coming period, supported by the bearish trend, keeping in mind that breaking 1.2192 and stabilized above it will stop the expected decline and put pressure on the price to rise again.
The expect range trading for today it will be between the resistance line 1.2192 and support line 1.2122.
support line : 1.2122 , 1.2108
resistance line : 1.2173 , 1.2192
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GBP/USD Faces Pressure Amid Israel-Hamas Conflict and Economic..GBP/USD Faces Pressure Amid Israel-Hamas Conflict and Economic Challenges
The Pound Sterling (GBP) experienced a downturn, dropping below 1.22 against the US Dollar (USD) as geopolitical tensions escalated due to the Israel-Hamas conflict. This development has contributed to a risk-averse market sentiment, impacting the GBP's performance. Additionally, the UK faces economic challenges, particularly in its manufacturing and construction sectors, as higher mortgage rates create uncertainty.
Geopolitical Tensions Weigh on GBP:
The GBP/USD pair saw a significant decline on Monday as the Israel-Hamas conflict heightened the risk-aversion theme in the market. This geopolitical tension, which began over the weekend, added pressure to the Pound Sterling. Investors are closely monitoring the situation as it unfolds, as it has implications for market sentiment and risk appetite.
UK Economic Challenges Persist:
Apart from the geopolitical concerns, the UK is grappling with economic challenges. The manufacturing and construction sectors are currently vulnerable due to higher mortgage rates, which have impacted demand and borrowing costs. As a result, UK businesses are cautious about raising funds, leading to reduced labor demand and overall economic output. The situation is expected to persist, with the Bank of England (BoE) committed to maintaining restrictive interest rates until inflation reaches its target of 2%.
US Jobs Data and Fed Expectations:
In contrast to the UK, the United States is experiencing a more robust economic outlook. The latest US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, released on Friday, revealed the addition of 336,000 jobs in September, surpassing market estimates. This data reaffirms expectations for at least one more interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) before the year-end. The prospect of higher interest rates has boosted US Treasury bond yields, providing support to the USD.
However, it's worth noting that wage growth remained moderate during the same month, alleviating some concerns about inflationary pressures. This development may allow the Fed to adopt a less hawkish stance, depending on upcoming economic data and events.
Looking Ahead:
Investors are closely monitoring key events this week, including the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes and US consumer inflation figures. These releases will provide insights into the Fed's future policy decisions and influence the USD's trajectory, subsequently impacting the GBP/USD pair.
Furthermore, expectations that the Bank of England (BoE) will maintain its current interest rates in November are likely to limit significant upside potential for the British Pound (GBP). As geopolitical tensions persist and economic challenges persist in the UK, the GBP/USD pair remains under scrutiny by traders and investors.
Our preference
Short positions below 1.23075 with targets at 1.21100 & 1.2005 in extension.
GBP/USD Consolidates Gains Ahead of Key US NFP ReportGBP/USD Consolidates Gains Ahead of Key US NFP Report
The GBP/USD pair is currently treading water in the Asian session, consolidating its recent robust recovery from the 1.2035 area, which marked its lowest level since March 16 earlier this week. With traders on the sidelines, the focus is firmly on the impending release of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, a pivotal event that could significantly influence market sentiment and currency movements.
NFP's Influence on Market Expectations
The NFP report, widely watched by investors, carries significant weight in shaping expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's (Fed) future interest rate decisions. The outcome of this report is expected to impact the US Dollar (USD) and provide fresh direction to the GBP/USD pair. Forecasts suggest that the US economy likely added 170,000 jobs in September, a modest decline from the 187,000 reported in August. Simultaneously, the jobless rate is expected to dip from 3.8% to 3.7% for the reported month.
A Stronger NFP Report's Implications
A stronger NFP report, while indicating healthy job growth, may exert upward pressure on wages and inflation. This scenario could compel the Fed to maintain its hawkish stance and keep interest rates higher for an extended period. Such an outcome could provide renewed strength to the USD and potentially cap the GBP/USD pair's gains.
Mixed Labor Market Data
As traders brace for the NFP release, it has been a week marked by mixed labor market data. The monthly Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report for August showed higher-than-expected job openings, while private payroll numbers from the Automatic Data Processing (ADP) report fell short of market expectations. Additionally, Thursday's data revealed a slight increase in Weekly Jobless Claims compared to the previous week, albeit slightly below expectations. Overall, these figures align with expectations of robust economic growth in the US for the third quarter. Furthermore, several Fed officials have voiced support for at least one more 25 basis points rate hike by year-end.
Divergent Fed-BoE Policy Expectations
The prospects of further policy tightening by the Fed have kept US Treasury bond yields elevated and supported the USD. This has contributed to halting the corrective pullback in the USD this week, despite its strong performance year-to-date. In contrast, market expectations are leaning towards the Bank of England (BoE) leaving interest rates unchanged at its upcoming November meeting. This divergence in central bank policies further acts as a restraint on the GBP/USD pair's upside potential.
Waiting for Confirmation
Given the prevailing market dynamics and uncertainties, traders are exercising caution and waiting for strong follow-through buying before confirming that GBP/USD has established a near-term bottom. Such confirmation would set the stage for a potential extension of the recent robust recovery that has spanned the last two trading days.
Conclusion
The GBP/USD pair is consolidating its recent gains as traders await the crucial US Nonfarm Payrolls report. This release carries substantial implications for both the USD and GBP, with the potential to influence market expectations regarding future monetary policy decisions. While the current market outlook is cautiously optimistic, the NFP's outcome will likely determine the short-term direction of the GBP/USD pair.
Our preference
Short positions below 1.23075 with targets at 1.2110 & 1.2005 in extension.
GBPUSD - Bearish market structure ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we have similar situation as on GBPNZD, we are in a strong bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for short. I want price to make a retracement in order to fulfill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish order block.
Fundamental analysis: On Friday we have important news on USD, will be released NFP and Unemployment Rate. If the results are negative, it will support our analysis.
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GBPUSD LONG TERM BUY IDEAHello Traders
In This Chart GBPUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the ChartS
GBPUSD 4H begins an upward correction
GBPUSD
stabilizing above 1.2172 will support rising to touch 1.2233 then 1.2280 then 1.2328
stabilizing under 1.2124 will support falling to touch 1.2095 then 1.2069
The expected trading range for today is between support 1.2035 and Resistance 1.2233
pivot price: 1.2172
Resistance prices: 1.2233 & 1.2280 & 1.2328
Support prices: 1.2095 & 1.2069 & 1.2035
The general trend expected for today: bullish
timeframe: 4H
GBPUSD WEEKLY ANALYSIS-UPDATE 01/10/2023Anticipating Dollar Weakness for GBP/USD
📉 Expecting Dollar weakness to trigger a potential retracement on GBP/USD. Keep an eye on this pair for a possible pullback and correction and after we head back down following the current trend. 📈 #GBPUSD #Forex #TradingViewAnalysis
GBPUSD Daily Outlook!Hello Traders This is the Daily $GU Outlook overall we are on a Bearish Movement we broke a Huge Structure to the downside we gonna fall to the next Support level at 1.2020 before that i think we gonna Pullback to the Previous Support that will become Resistance So we must Retest the 1.2330 and i found A setup in 1.2364 So it could Reach these Areas Beetween 1.2330 - 1.2380 Next Week till the continuacion of the Fall of FX:GBPUSD
GBPUSD bearish still continuewe reach Head and shoulders projection with 529 pips profit at previous analysis,
and we can see bearish still perform with symetrical channel down.
We can follow this movement with short position at channel down resistance, and aim for march support level at 1.1816 with 349 pips profit projection.
good luck,
if you have any questions about this analysis, do not hesitate to contact me.
previous analysis :
GBPUSD 4H is on a narrow pathGBPUSD
stabilizing above 1.2124 will support rising to touch 1.2172 then 1.2233 then 1.2280
stabilizing under 1.2124 will support falling to touch 1.2095 then 1.2069
The expected trading range for today is between support 1.2035 and Resistance 1.2233
pivot price: 1.2124
Resistance prices: 1.2172 & 1.2233 & 1.2280
Support prices: 1.2095 & 1.2069 & 1.2035
timeframe: 4H
GBPUSD 4H OUTLOOK
GBPUSD
Analyze
If a price can stable above 1.2123 the direction will be uptrend again to reach 1.2160, 1.2205, 1.2243
For any reason if the price backs off and stable under 1.2123, the price will try to reach 1.2089If can break it then will reach 1.2047and 1.1984
Support line:1.2089 ,1.2047,1.1984
resistance line: 1.2160,1.2205,1.2243
GBPUSD SellGBPUSD is moving back up toward fair market value on the 4h chart. I will be waiting for price to reach the yellow line before waiting to see if there are signs that the price is beginning to trend down. On seeing this I will short the pair for a high risk to reward ratio trade. I will post updates on this trade as it progresses throughout the day.
GBPUSD LONG TERM BUY IDEAHello Traders
In This Chart GBPUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the ChartS
GBPUSD Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaThe GBPUSD currency pair has faced significant downward pressure in recent times. Currently, it has descended to a crucial support level and appears to be in an overextended state. In our video, we delve into a prospective trading opportunity, grounded in a comprehensive assessment encompassing market structure, price action, the prevailing trend, and other pivotal aspects of technical analysis.
It's important to reiterate that the content presented in the video is intended strictly for educational purposes. It should not be interpreted as financial advice or guidance. Our objective is to provide a detailed breakdown of the market dynamics, equipping viewers with valuable insights to make well-informed trading decisions.
[EN] GBPUSD long term trend // GaliortiTradingAfter failing to break above the 200 session average (summer 2014) FX:GBPUSD is still dominated by its long term bearish trendline (2007) .
Despite the bullish RSI divergence FX:GBPUSD was not able to restructure to the upside and developed a double top executing its target in September last year. The strong recovery since then failed to break above its long term downtrend line.
The loss of 1.20 would be a very bearish signal and would open the door to new lows in the 1.02-1.00 area . Above the latter prices, the stock could restructure to the upside .
Pablo G.