GBP/USD reaches first resistance, time for a pullbackHello traders, in all my past 4 GBP/USD idea, I recommended buying the
dips in GBP/USD. Price was at sub 1.21 levels. If you followed those idea, you
would have certainly made 250-300 pips profit.
Now, as expected, GBP/USD has reached the 100-day exponential moving average
level around 1.24. I expect the price to pullback here. Even in the hourly chart,
GBP/USD is very over-stretched.
So, if the 1.24 level holds, selling GBP/USD@1.2380-1.24 with SL above 1.2450
and TP at 1.2340 would be a potential sell idea.
Gbpusdshort
GBPUSD 4H : Wait for breach the support zone GBPUSD
New forecast
The pound sterling pair against the dollar is trading with noticeable negativity as it approaches retesting the resistance area, which constitutes important support at 1.2312, and the price needs to consolidate below this level for the bearish scenario to remain effective, whose next target is at 1.2270 extend to 1.2192.
Therefore, we will continue to favor the downward trend, provided it remains below level 1.2312 for the coming period, taking into account that breaking 1.2321 will stop the expected decline and put pressure on the price to rise again.
The expect range trading for today it will be between the resistance line 1.2365 and support line 1.2270.
Additionally ,Today News will affect the market .
support line : 1.2312 , 1.2270
resistance line : 1.2321 , 1.2365
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective and If this post was useful to you , don't forget to subscribe and like ❤️
💡 GBPUSD: Pressure from sellersSelling pressure came back into play for GBPUSD in the recent session as the price got closer to the 1.2400 resistance zone and produced more clear bearish indicators. Nevertheless, the earlier reversal signs, such as the double bottom pattern and the breakdown of price structure, remain intact. Therefore, it's advisable to maintain your current long positions with the target still set at around the 1.2600 level.
GBPUSD SellThis is my idea for GBP/USD on a 15-minute time frame, get a better view of the chart on a 5-minute time frame. I've entered a short position because it's evident that the price is in a downtrend, and it has broken below the established structure. This signals the potential for the entire trend to continue in this direction, with a target profit (TP) set at 1.22626.
120 Pips profit in GBP/USD, more fall ahead?Hello traders, in my yesterday's trading idea(idea attached below),
I recommended selling GBP/USD around the 1.2410 level as this
was the 100-day EMA resistance.
As you can see, the price fell strongly after hitting my sell zone. My sell
trades from yesterday are in over 120 Pips profit. I expect price to fall
further. However, I will not enter any new sell trades at the moment.
However, if there is a pullback to the resistance level again, I might consider
selling.
GBPUSD Shorts - A grade setup blueprintThis is how I would execute my trades after I analyse on the higher time frames to give me the perfect A grade setup that I go for once price enters my POI. On Sunday I posted a GBPUSD break down of price reacting off the 6hr supply, I mentioned that sells could possibly play out on a Monday which it did, so now I'm going to show you guys how my confluences generates an edge for me to execute these trades.
Firstly once price mitigates my 6hr Supply zone I would monitor price and wait for the asian high to get swept first before I validate a potential sell. Then I would wait for a clean CHOCH on the 10 or 15min to validate my UTAD (upthrust after distribution.) Once a CHOCH is formed it would typically leave a last point of supply (LPS), that will have a clean unmitigated order block that would have caused the expansion to happen. If it leaves an imbalance during this process it's usually a very good sign that price should come and retrace back to the LPS.
After I have my OB marked out I would set my sell limit In which I would then wait for price to come back and tap me in. From this point I would have already have pre defined my risk, written the confluences and set a take profit target for my trade to hit (in this case we will be targeting the touch of the 4hr imbalance as that acts as a magnet for price to come towards.)
In this specific scenario as you can see price didn't come back to the original 10min OB I had marked out. Price then decided to create a small BOS to the downside leaving another LPS for me to enter from which was the 6min OB. From there price came back to tap that 6min OB and literally melted towards our take profit target for a 1:15 RR with minimal drawdown.
P.S. when price entered my POI I would make sure that majority of the reversal magnets are eliminated i.e. any trendline liquidity, equal highs/lows, and asian highs/lows, so that price can move swiftly in our desired direction.
Hope you guys found this post insightful! as I wanted to show how I would typically execute my trading strategy using Wyckoff to catch big RR moves that enter my Higher time frame POI's.
GBP/USD Technical & Sentiment Analysis - Short-Term OutlookGBP/USD Technical Analysis with Sentiment Data:
Current Price and Support Levels: As of the latest close, GBP/USD is trading at 1.23791. It's important to consider that the current price is in close proximity to significant support levels at 1.23784, 1.23141, and 1.22637. These levels have historically acted as robust areas of price support, potentially attracting buying interest.
Major Resistance Levels: On the other hand, the current price is also approaching major resistance levels within the range of 1.23895 to 1.23897 and 1.24213. These are substantial price zones where traders may contemplate taking profits or initiating short positions if GBP/USD reaches these levels.
Short-Term Outlook: Given the technical analysis, my inclination towards a short position with the target of revisiting the 3rd support level at 1.22637 as a pullback appears technically sound. Should the price fail to breach the immediate resistance levels and begins to retreat, it could discover support around the levels which I've identified.
Sentiment Analysis: It's noteworthy that, based on sentiment data (Myfxbook), 76% of traders are currently in short positions, representing 11,193.20 lots, while 24% are in long positions, accounting for 3,505.61 lots. This indicates a bearish sentiment in the market, with a significantly higher number of traders shorting GBP/USD compared to those taking long positions. Specifically, 35,217 traders are short, while 11,825 are long, which further emphasizes the bearish sentiment.
Additional Considerations:
Market Sentiment: With the majority of traders holding short positions, it aligns with my short-term outlook. However, we have to keep a close eye on market sentiment as it can change rapidly.
Longer-Term Perspective: Maintain a broader perspective even though my primary focus is on the short-term. GBP/USD can be influenced by extended economic trends and political events, so staying well-informed about these influences is imperative.
Routine Monitoring: Continuously monitor price action, market sentiment, and adjust strategy in response to evolving market conditions.
Remember, trading in the forex market carries inherent risks, and it's vital to maintain a well-defined trading strategy and risk management plan. Seek guidance from a financial advisor or conduct further research before executing any trading decisions. VANTAGE:GBPUSD $XM:GBPUSD #GBPUSD #EAForexGlobal
Technical Analysis of GBP/USD - Bearish Crab PatternHello traders,
I would like to do detailed technical analysis of GBP/USD currency pair and the potential presence of a bearish crab pattern. The bearish crab pattern is a harmonic chart pattern used by traders to identify potential reversal (correction) points in the market. Let's examine the key aspects of this pattern in GBP/USD, including the retracement levels and extension ratios.
Bearish Crab Pattern Overview:
The bearish crab pattern is a reversal pattern that typically forms after a strong bullish trend. It consists of four key points: XA, AB, BC, and CD. In the context of GBP/USD, the pattern has the following characteristics:
1. AB retraced XA by 0.598:
The first part of the crab pattern is the AB leg, which retraced the XA leg by 0.598. This retracement level indicates a moderate pullback after a strong initial move.
2. BC retraced AB by 0.799:
The BC leg of the pattern retraced the AB leg by 0.799. This level of retracement is deeper than the typical Fibonacci retracements, suggesting a more substantial correction.
3. CD is an extension of BC by 3.172:
The CD leg is an extension of the BC leg by a ratio of 3.172. This means that the final leg of the pattern extends significantly beyond the BC leg. A 3.172 extension is a common feature of the bearish crab pattern and signals that the reversal is likely to be strong.
4. CD terminates at 1.24285:
The CD leg terminates at the price level of 1.24285. This is a crucial point for traders, as it is where the pattern suggests a potential reversal in the GBP/USD pair.
Technical Analysis and Implications:
The presence of a bearish crab pattern in the GBP/USD currency pair with the described characteristics is a bearish signal. I will be considering the following implications:
1. Reversal Signal : The bearish crab pattern is a reversal/correction pattern, suggesting that the bullish trend in GBP/USD may be losing momentum, and a bearish trend could develop.
2. Resistance Level : The termination point of the CD leg at 1.24285 serves as a significant resistance level which emanated from the rejection of price on the 11th and 12th of October. Having seen a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern at this zone, we anticipate reversal around this price.
3. Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Levels : We are setting 1.24550 as our invalidation zone, while our potential profit areas are 1.22990 and 1.22400 respectively.
4. Confirmation : This pattern is further confirmed by our elliott wave count. The reversal point seems to coincide with the end of impulsive wave 3, confirming that the drop may be a wave 4 correction. And if wave 4, our target should not be big (maybe 1.23006) as the trend is bullish.
Conclusion:
The presence of a bearish crab pattern in the GBP/USD currency pair with the described characteristics suggests a potential reversal (correction) in the bullish trend. We have seen further confirmation using Elliott wave and price action analysis, but remember no trading idea is foolproof hence the need to manage risk properly.
Cheers!!!
Chart to EW Analysis:
GBP/USD support zone unbroken, 1.24 in sight?Dear traders, the support zone as highlighted in my chart
has remained unbroken so far. Not only that, we also have a couple
of bullish reversal candlestick patterns including a hammer candlestick
that was formed on 26/10/2023.
So, a combination of these factors can lead to a further recovery
in GBP/USD. Keep in ming that price has already crossed the moving averages
in the lower time frames such as 15 min and 1 Hour
So, as long as the support zone stays unbroken, we can expect GBPUSD
to reach 1.24 in the coming days . My recommendation is to buy the dips
in GBP/USD.
GBPUSD short term Shorts to 1.22000GBPUSD has a similar bias to EU so im also currently looking for a sell setup to form to take price down towards an area of demand. This counter trend trade will allow us to catch a move before we end up buying alongside the bullish order flow at around the 1.22000 mark.
Scenario (A) - Price is currently reacting off our 6hr supply zone that we have marked out, this is were im expecting for price to fully complete a wyckoff distribution schematic and change character. As there has been an impulsive move to the upside it has left imbalances that im expecting to get filled. This will be a retracement as price has already expanded to the upside.
Scenario (B) - Is that price will continue to push higher and fail this zone to then mitigate the imbalance that is sitting just below the 9hr supply. From there, my next AOI will be at that level of supply to sell at a more premium price.
My confluences for GBPUSD shorts are as follows:
- Overall trend on the HTF (weekly/monthly) is bearish.
- Price tapped in to a 6hr supply zone and there is a daily supply just above.
- Momentum is slowing down expecting price to distribute and choch to the downside.
- Imbalances were left below due to NFP news so im expecting it to get filled via a pullback.
- For price to continue in its recent bullish trend im expecting price to come back to those demand levels below at 1.22000.
P.S. Either way the purporse behind these short term sells is to ride price back down towards areas of demand like the 6hr or the 1hr and then buy from there. This bias is also backed by the dollar index as you can see in that analysis post.
GBPUSD sell limit order This analysis outlines a potential short trading opportunity for the GBP/USD pair based on current fundamental, technical, and sentiment factors. The pair has been on a downward trend, with a further drop anticipated if certain psychological levels are breached. Technical indicators align with a bearish outlook, encountering significant resistance levels. The market sentiment, leaning towards risk-aversion, continues to exert downward pressure on the GBP against the USD.
Entry Point: 1.2160
Take Profit 1: 1.2100
Take Profit 2: 1.2050
Stop Loss: 1.2210
GBP/USD reaches the moderate resistance level, time for a sell?Hello traders, as predicted in my previous idea, GBP/USD has finally
breached the 1.23 level. However, the price has reached a moderate
resistance zone near 1.2310.
Based on the price action, if we see GBP/USD struggling to break this level,
then we can consider selling GBP/USD1.2310 with target at 1.2250 and 1.22
GBPUSD I Potential short from resistance zoneWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upAmidst a backdrop of economic uncertainty, the US Dollar has managed to hold its ground, gaining modest strength against various currencies. This resilience comes on the back of a surprising surge in the US economy, defying recession fears that have loomed since 2022. Data reveals a robust 4.9% growth rate in the third quarter, marking the fastest pace in nearly two years. Despite this positive momentum, the market remains on edge, balancing optimism from strong economic data against concerns of higher rates and a more restrictive Federal Reserve.
Meanwhile, the GBPUSD pair has maintained a steady position above the $1.2100 mark throughout October. Despite attempts to capitalize on this demand zone, the Pound struggles in the face of hawkish Fed expectations, which bolster the USD and limit upward movements. The anticipated Bank of England decision to maintain interest rates at 5.25% on November 2 adds another layer of complexity, potentially hindering bullish bets around the British Pound and capping the GBPUSD pair.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound find solid support at the $1.20500 zone, or are we heading towards a potential breakdown and a possible sell-off? The stakes are high, and we're on the edge of our seats!
The spotlight is on high-impact economic events from both the US dockets for clues. Brace yourselves as the anticipation and the actual events may trigger sharp price movements that could present incredible trading opportunities.
In this video, we've analyzed the Daily and 4-hour timeframes, exploring bullish and bearish sentiments to uncover the most promising trades for the week ahead. We've delved into key levels, trendlines, and support/resistance points, unveiling essential insights into the current market structure.
Keep a close eye on that demand zone at $1.20500. It's a decisive moment where both sellers and buyers are vying for control, and how the market reacts here will set the course for GBPUSD in the upcoming days.
Stay connected and join the conversation in the comment section to stay updated on the latest developments. Thank you for tuning in, and get ready for more enlightening insights into GBPUSD in our upcoming content. Buckle up for a thrilling journey ahead! Happy trading!
Disclaimer:
Trading on margin in the foreign exchange market (including commodities, CFDs, stocks, etc.) carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is provided by me for educational and informational purposes only to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not accept any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your situation before making any investment.
I do not guarantee the accuracy of the information provided and shall not be held liable for any loss or damage that may arise directly or indirectly from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications related to it.
Please note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results
GBPUSD 4H Midday update The GBP/USD pair has been showing sideways trading since the morning, and therefore, there is no change in the expected bullish trend scenario for today, whose next main target is 1.2290.
The moving average of 50 continues to support the suggested bullish wave, which will remain in place unless the 1.2290 level is broken and holds below it.
The general trend expected for today: Bullish
Pivot Price: 1.2229
Resistance prices: 1.2246& 1.2269 & 1.2295
Support prices: 1.2175 & 1.2137 & 1.21117
GBPUSD LOSS - Discussing a LOSS & what I could have done BetterHey guys what's up Brandon here..so as promised I am going to give a breakdown as to why I think I lost the GU trade.
This one is entirely my fault as I saw the consolidation where I know liquidity would have been trapped and I chose to ignore it.
I also saw that GU was becoming very exhausted yesterday and I also chose to ignore that as well and now I am paying for that.
I think it is important to note when you know you did shit and don't make excuses for yourself, this is how I've learnt to analyze the way that I do now. I never made an excuse for myself and I am not about to start now.
That being said I welcome your critiques and comments, did you see what I saw? Would you have taken this trade? What would you have done?
Let's try to learn and grow together, Even though I am consistently profitable doesn't mean I've stopped learning and growing.
The more I learn, the more I realize how much I don't know - Albert Einstein
GBPUSD 4H : Under sell pressure GBPUSD
New forecast
The British pound pair fell against the dollar at the 1.2125 barrier, which formed a strong resistance that forced the price to remain above it. By closely looking at the chart, we find that the recent trading is confined within a bearish continuation flag pattern, and therefore, breaking the support 1.2125 will activate the negative effect of this pattern and push the price to achieve... We expect declines to reach the 1.2104 area, and by breaking it, it will reach 1.2062 in the near term.
Therefore, the downward trend scenario will be remain valid and affective during coming period , taking into account that breaching 1.2192 will stop the negative scenario and push the price to build a positive momentum again.
The expect range trading for today it will be between the resistance line 1.2192 and support line 1.2104.
Additionally ,Today News will affect the market .
support line : 1.2125 , 1.2104
resistance line : 1.2192 , 1.2216
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective and If this post was useful to you , don't forget to subscribe and like ❤️
GBPUSD to Possibly Fall of A Cliff (SELL OPPORTUNITY)Hey guys, what's up Brandon here - So I just entered a sell on this pair (GBPUSD) and I briefly Breakdown as to why I took it
If we look at the details - everything aligns with sells nicely as the momentum is bearish on almost all timeframes with only 1 or 2 suggesting buys
Now on the few timeframes that may be suggesting buys we have to take into consideration that that could be an induction to buy because GU is a bearish market - and my question is why oh why?....Would you want to buy in a bear market
I don't think this ever makes sense because in essence what you are really doing is - believe it or not...CALLING A BOTTOM
And why would you call a bottom when the market is dropping?
I'll take my chances with the sell - I'm prepared to lose as that is one of the things that just comes with the territory so it is what it is
Let me know what you guys think