Gbpusdshort
GBPUSD Analysis (20th May 2024)
GBPUSD Analysis
On the 1 hour Timeframe, price has tapped into the 1 hour FVG and rejected very strongly and created a 15 minute Change of Charcter to the upside.
Currently Price has retested the 15 minute bullish OB at the 1.26865 - 1.26924 level.
There are 2 scenarios i am looking at.
1) IF price breaks through the Bullish OB with a body candle close below. If this happens i will be looking for price to do a break and retest to continue selling.
2) Price rejectes of the OB and creates a 15 minute CHOCH at the 1.27094. If we see that i want to see a retest of that key level or a retest of a bullish FVG or OB to continue longs.
GBPUSD Trading Insights: Capitalizing on Bearish Opportunities!Dear Traders,
On Friday, the GBPUSD experienced significant volatility, leading to a notable upward movement. This action resulted in the formation of a Low Resistance Liquidity Zone, indicating minimal resistance for price movement through this area. Additionally, the price left relatively equal lows, suggesting the presence of H4 Sell Stops. We anticipate the price to target this area, which aligns with the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), drawing liquidity in that direction.
Currently, we are considering two scenarios for potential confirmation entries towards our objectives:
H1 Bearish Order Block : We are at an H1 bearish order block, and a price sell-off from this point is possible if we receive the appropriate confirmation signals.
H1 Buy Stops : Alternatively, the price may trigger the H1 Buy Stops. In this scenario, we expect smart money to take positions against these buy stops, creating selling opportunities. Confirmation entries will be considered if this occurs.
Please stay tuned for our upcoming weekly video outlook on GBPUSD, where we will provide further insights and detailed analysis.
Best regards,
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
GBP/USD Shorts from 1.27500 back downMy bias this week is to look for nearby sell opportunities as we approach a strong supply zone on the 21-hour chart. I will wait for a Wyckoff distribution to unfold, likely on Monday or Tuesday, to take sells back down to the next demand zone.
Since the equal highs have been swept, I expect the price to slow down and provide a clear entry model for shorts. Despite the current bullish trend, I plan to take these sells down to the next demand zone, where I will look for long positions to continue the trend.
Confluences for GU Sells are as follows:
- 21hr supply zone has caused a break of structure to the downside and has an imbalance
- The overall trend on the higher time frame is bearish and the dollar is also overall bullish.
- Price has swept equal high liquidity enough to now break back down.
- Bullish pressure is getting exhausted after the bullish rallies we saw last week.
P.S. Since the price hasn't yet tapped into the supply zone, I'm also watching for an Asian high sweep, which will further confirm my sell bias. Additionally, we're approaching the psychological level of 1.27500, so it will be interesting to see how the price reacts.
Have a great trading week!
GBPUSD is oversold. Now is the time to buy
Everyone must have seen yesterday’s analysis. Both GBPUSD and EURUSD are in line with my expected decline range of 500-1000. The US dollar also reached a high of 105.5. Oil is back at buying prices. Gold has also come to a profitable price.
At present, I simply observed the market. There is currently no better opportunity to earn the difference in gold or oil prices. On the other hand, there are some good deals in Forex. The U.S. dollar index remains near 105.5, which puts strong pressure on the U.S. dollar's upward trend. So when the US dollar pulls back, GNPUSD can add some buy orders. About 600 pips profit
Friends who like to trade foreign exchange can trade in moderation. 600 points is equivalent to a 6 dollar fluctuation in gold. (Some people may not know the fluctuation ratio of foreign exchange. Here I will briefly popularize it)
In the past, you always failed when trading alone.
But everything will change after you follow me.
Because we will be the ultimate winner!
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upJoin us as we delve into the latest developments shaping the GBPUSD landscape. The Pound Sterling rebounded in the second half of the week driven by robust Q1 GDP figures from the UK's Office for National Statistics, indicating a resilient economy. With a growth rate of 0.6%, surpassing expectations, the UK appears to be steering clear of recessionary woes.
This buoyant economic growth paves the way for a 'soft landing,' according to Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey, instilling confidence in inflation returning to target levels. However, amidst this optimism, there's a divergence of opinions within the BoE's Monetary Policy Committee, with talks of a potential rate cut looming.
Meanwhile, across the pond, the US Dollar faces headwinds as jobless claims soar, reigniting concerns about the strength of the labor market. Against this backdrop, all eyes are now on upcoming data releases, including UK labor market statistics and US Consumer Price Index data, as investors brace for potential market shifts.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound maintain its momentum below the critical $1.25400 zone?
In this video, we've examined the 4-hour timeframes, dissecting bullish and bearish sentiments to unearth the most promising trades for the week ahead. Our analysis dives deep into key levels, trendlines, and support/resistance points, providing invaluable insights into the prevailing market structure.
Our focus remains fixed on the pivotal level at $1.25400 and descending trendline, where the direction of price action could herald the onset of significant market shifts. How the market responds here will chart the course for GBP/USD in the days to come.
Stay engaged and join the discourse in the comment section to stay abreast of the latest developments. Thank you for tuning in, and brace yourselves for further insights into GBP/USD in our upcoming content. Get ready for an exhilarating journey ahead! Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
Unlocking Opportunity: GBPUSD NY Session Sell Setup Unveiled!At present, GBP/USD is showing bearish momentum on the M15 timeframe. We anticipate that the price will target and fill the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), where sell stops are likely positioned. This is due to the smart money potentially using a retail pattern, such as the support zone, to engineer liquidity, which we expect the price to manipulate.
There are currently two key regions where price resistance may occur as it moves towards our sell-side objective: the bearish FVG and the bearish order block on the M15 timeframe. I am awaiting a confirmation entry signal that will indicate a push towards the downside.
For an in-depth understanding of my analysis on GBP/USD, please watch this video:
Happy Trading,
The_Architect
GBP/USD Retreats: Understanding the Factors at PlayGBP/USD underwent a technical correction, retracing to approximately 61.8% from the previous swing high before concluding Thursday's session in negative territory. The pair has continued its downward trend early into Friday.
Comments made by Federal Reserve (Fed) officials on Thursday contributed to a rebound in US Treasury bond yields and bolstered the US Dollar (USD). Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic acknowledged progress in inflation for April but emphasized that the Fed had not yet initiated policy easing. Similarly, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester remarked on the adequacy of current monetary policy, indicating a need to review additional data. Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin echoed these sentiments, stating on CNBC that recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) data did not align with the Fed's objectives for inflation.
Meanwhile, the US Department of Labor reported 222,000 weekly Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending May 11, down from 232,000 the previous week.
From a technical standpoint, there is potential for a bearish correction in the GBP/USD price, targeting the lower end of the chart to address inefficiencies stemming from the preceding bullish rally. This area has been highlighted in the Footprint chart for reference.
Footprint chart
DXY & GBPUSD: Addressing Inefficiencies 📉 | Friday OutlookGreetings Traders!
Join me in today's video as we delve into an in-depth analysis of GBPUSD and DXY, exploring key expectations for today's trading session and summarizing this week's trends. This analysis is crucial as it sets the tone for next week's trading as well. We've reached a critical juncture on both the DXY and GBPUSD charts, making it essential to understand what lies ahead.
What do you think will be the major market mover going into next week?
Stay tuned for valuable insights, and don't hesitate to leave any questions or comments in the section below.
Happy Trading,
The_Architect
Fundamental Analysis of the US Dollar
The trend of the US dollar is as I predicted. This can be seen directly from the trend chart of the Asian market. The U.S. dollar index is currently showing an oversold rebound trend. The key thing to pay attention to is the pressure level above, which is around 105.3-105.5 to see if it can stand firm.
In trading, EURUSD and GBPUSD can be sold at a higher price first. Wait for the market to fall.
In the past, you always failed when trading alone.
But everything will change after you follow me.
Because we will be the ultimate winner!
💡 GBPUSD: Analysis May 14GBPUSD increased yesterday, but has not made any changes in the chart structure. The overview shows that the price is still moving sideways in an overall downward trend.
The latest price increase helps GBPUSD H1 establish a new high price peak, continuing the short-term price uptrend. Today you can catch retests to buy in line with the short-term uptrend. The sell scenario will be activated if the price is pushed down again to reverse the GBPUSD H1 structure from increasing to decreasing.
💡 Trend H1: GBPUSD increases.
Today's trading idea: Buy GBPUSD.
💡 GBPUSD: Analysis May 16GBPUSD extended the series of increasing prices, creating the strongest increasing day after yesterday. The D1 bar structure creates a bullish marubozu model reflecting good buying pressure. At this time, the price is located at an important resistance zone. An upside break from this price peak will help GBPUSD D1 establish an uptrend again.
GBPUSD H1 continues its uptrend with the establishment of a new high price peak. The steep slope confirms strong bullish momentum. Today's pullbacks will be an opportunity to buy GBPUSD H1 during the day.
💡Trend H1: GBPUSD increases.
Today trading idea: Buy GBPUSD.
GBP USD short GBP/USD is the forex ticker that shows the value of the British Pound against the US Dollar. It tells traders how many US Dollars are needed to buy a British Pound. The Pound-Dollar is one of the oldest and most widely traded currency pairs in the world. Follow the live GBP/USD rate with the chart and keep up to date with Pound-Dollar news and analysis. Plan your trades with the GBP/USD forecast and key pivot points data and support and resistance levels.
Confirm signal
GBP USD short GBP/USD is the forex ticker that shows the value of the British Pound against the US Dollar. It tells traders how many US Dollars are needed to buy a British Pound. The Pound-Dollar is one of the oldest and most widely traded currency pairs in the world. Follow the live GBP/USD rate with the chart and keep up to date with Pound-Dollar news and analysis. Plan your trades with the GBP/USD forecast and key pivot points data and support and resistance levels.
Confirm signal
GBPUSD: The US dollar usually appreciates in May, but this year UBS, a Swiss bank, stated in a May thirteen report: "Historically, May has been a tremendous month for the greenback. Our seasonal indicator indicates that call for for USD commonly will increase in overdue April and peaking in mid-May, with the Euro (EUR), Australian Dollar (AUD) and New Zealand Dollar (NZD) commonly maximum affected."
However, UBS says that the greenback has now no longer proven an awful lot seasonal volatility so far, that is constant with the inventory market`s cutting-edge lack of "May selling" tendencies.
GBPUSD - Long from trendline ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look only for long position. My point of interest is if price makes a retracement and then rejects from trendline + liquidity zone.
Fundamental news: Tomorrow (GMT+3) we will see results of monthly and yearly CPI on USD, news with high impact on currency.
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Downtrend resumes - GBP/USDI have done plenty of analysis on the GBPUSD in the past few weeks and nothing has changed in our outlook.
The wave of disbelief has matured and we are now selling the cable.
The risk is 1.2636 about 60 pips from where we are right now.
For those who like confirmation, a break below 1.2568 is your first confirmation that more sellers have joined the party.