Gbpusdsell
Is the Rally Over? GBPUSD Peaking Is a Major Reversal Imminent?Is GBPUSD setting up for a massive reversal, or are we on the brink of one final explosive push above 1.31?
We've seen quite a rally this month with GBPUSD, as it cleanly broke through the 1.30 level this week, climbing above 1.31 yesterday and hitting a 2023 high, which is now acting as resistance.
So, what's next?
At 1.313, we've reached last year’s high, where we previously witnessed a massive 1100-pip drop down to 1.20 in just a few months. If you look at the daily chart below, you’ll notice a rising wedge pattern has formed over the past few months.
Is a SELL-OFF imminent? The current bullish move is highly overextended and extremely overbought on the higher timeframes. Zooming into the 4-hour charts, we can see clear signs of momentum slowing down as we approach this key resistance zone.
In the 4-hour chart below, the highlighted area shows how momentum is fading as we near the SELL Zone, with each new push higher being sharply sold off before one final surge into the resistance area.
This is a classic indication that a reversal is likely on the horizon. If you compare it to the 4-hour chart from last year’s sell-off, you’ll see the same pattern: a huge surge followed by a couple of brief pauses, then one last push into the resistance zone before selling off.
Given all this, the next likely move for this pair is to the downside over the coming days or weeks. We might see one final push above 1.31, but I expect the market to sell off toward the wedge trendline around 1.28. If that level breaks, a move down toward 1.25 could be on the cards.
This setup has a high probability, given the overextended upward move, extreme overbought conditions on the higher timeframes, and slowing momentum on the 4-hour charts—all occurring as we approach a significant Weekly SELL ZONE where we saw a 1100-pip move last year.
I’ll be looking to sell this pair on a move above 1.31 again or on the first 4-hour signal from my TRFX indicator.
Let me know what you think in the comments below :)
GBP/USD Best Place To Sell It And Get 250 Pips Very Clear !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
GU Shorts from 1.28600 back downThis week, GU is expected to align with its bearish trend. Following the recent downside structure break, I anticipate a retracement back up before continuing lower. Once price reaches the 22-hour supply zone, I will look for distribution on the lower timeframe to confirm the continuation of the bearish trend.
If price continues to drop and hits the 9-hour demand zone, I will monitor for accumulation signals to potentially buy back up in the short term, targeting the nearest supply zone. Given the significant liquidity on both sides, I will proceed with caution.
Confluences for GU Sells:
Structure Break: Price has broken structure to the downside, establishing new supply zones.
DXY Correlation: The bullish outlook on the DXY supports the bearish GU bias.
Liquidity: There is substantial liquidity to the downside that remains untouched.
Trend Consistency: Both higher and lower timeframes show a bearish trend.
P.S. I am focusing on sell opportunities this week, as the current trend remains bearish. With minimal news impacting the market, trading conditions appear favorable.
GBPUSD: +1000 PIPS Swing Sell Entry! OANDA:GBPUSD
First expect price to rise towards the previous high, once price reach to that level we can expect it reverse as DXY will likely to bounce back from it's current bearish trend. The full trade can be divided into three phrases first 300 pips and as it follows by setting two another take profit. In total we will aim 1000 pips in long term view.
good luck.
British Pound (GBPUSD) is getting close to 2007 crash!!!
CoT index shows Commercials(blue line) are in 3-year extreme low AND Retailers(green line) are in extreme high. Almost every time we are in this situation the asset goes down. The last time was May 2021 you can see what happened afterwards.
This is the CoT indicator of commercials net positions. Commercials net position is getting close to 2007 level where the big sell off took place.
Here is the 5, 10, and 15-year seasonality trends indicating that the market typically reaches a peak around August first. Therefore, it is expected to decline from that point onward.
GBP/USD Shorts from 1.29200 back downI am looking for sell opportunities in GBP/USD. Recently, the price dropped and broke structure to the downside, indicating a bearish trend. To capitalize on this move, I expect a retracement back to our marked points of interest (POIs).
Once the price retraces to these POIs, I'll be watching for a Wyckoff distribution pattern on the lower time frame to initiate sell positions. There’s significant liquidity below, making this a pro-trend idea that aligns with my bullish dollar bias.
Confluences for GU Sells:
Trend Formation: Price is forming lower lows and lower highs.
Supply Zone: A 5-hour supply zone caused the recent break of structure.
Liquidity: Significant liquidity below in the form of trend lines and Asia lows.
Dollar Strength: DXY (Dollar) is bullish on the higher time frame, supporting this pro-trend trade idea.
P.S. If the price continues to drop without tapping into my supply zone, I will wait for it to reach the 17-hour demand zone and look for buy opportunities back up. However, I am more inclined toward sell positions.
Strong drop possible on GBPUSDAfter a strong rejection from monthly resistance GBPUSD has changed it's local uptrend to downtrend. The price has grabbed liquidity multiple times and started to drop to order block.
as currently the price is breaking below the support, on a retest a short trade is high probable.
GBP/USD Shorts are becoming more dominant? GU sell opportunities are looking increasingly favorable as the dollar continues to rise. We now have some high-quality supply zones, specifically the 19-hour and 4-hour zones. If the price breaks the nearby low and structure again, the 2-hour supply zone I’ve identified will become more valid.
Since the price is not near any of my high-time-frame points of interest (POIs), if it keeps falling, I expect the imbalances to be filled and the demand zones to be mitigated. Ideally, we will see a reaction from the 3-hour or 17-hour demand zones.
Confluences for GU Sells:
The dollar is bullish, indicating GU should trend downward.
Valid supply zones are forming, presenting potential bearish trade setups.
There are numerous imbalances and liquidity below that can be targeted.
The price has changed character and broken structure to the downside on the higher time frame.
P.S. I will closely monitor the price action throughout the week and adapt accordingly. It appears that a sell position is becoming more likely due to the Wyckoff distribution observed on the high time frame.
GBP/USD Full Analysis , Best Buy & Sell Areas Very Clear Now !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
GBPUSD, a high probability idea to sell from trendlinesIdea No : 20
16 out of last 19 ideas were successful and 3 still running, let's talk about 20th
this idea is on our radar for the past few days now and we were waiting for the touch of either one of the red resistive trendlines and it did the touch after NFP last week
therefore this is a high probability idea and we expect selling pressure soon and it looks prety much inevitable now
by the way, our last idea on this pair was spot on, check the related idea
let's see...
GBP FACES CHALLENGES IN THE 3RD QUARTERGBP FACES CHALLENGES IN THE 3RD QUARTER
Pressure is mounting at the GBP withinside the 1/3 area as hobby price cuts are sooner or later considered, whilst the United Kingdom trendy election reasons a bout of volatility and weak point withinside the GBP, with the Conservative Party in power. recorded the bottom consequences in decades. The Labor Party gained a landslide victory withinside the July four election. With the brand new government`s spending plans nevertheless unclear, buyers might also additionally live farfar from GBP and GBP-denominated assets, till while the monetary state of affairs is extra stable.
UK INFLATION: TARGET ACHIEVED, BUT DIFFICULTIES STILL REMAIN
The UK reached a key monetary milestone in May while inflation information hit the BoE's goal. For the primary time in almost 3 years, UK headline inflation fell to 2%, in step with the BoE's long-time period goal and staining a outstanding turning factor withinside the nation's combat in opposition to growing rate pressures .
Core inflation - which includes meals and energy - additionally fell from 3.9% to 3.5%, whilst offerings inflation fell from 5.9% to 5.7%, proper on target however nevertheless worryingly excessive for the BoE.
GBPUSD : Short Trade , 4hHello traders, we want to check the GBPUSD chart. The price has broken the upward trend line, but we still cannot say that the trend is downward. Currently, we have two scenarios in front of us. The first case is that the price cannot break the specified support level and the price stays in a suffering zone for a while. And the second case is that the price can break this level and a downward trend is formed in the market. Considering the strength of the downward movement and the fact that there is no sign of weakness in the downward movement in the lower time frame, it seems that the second scenario is more likely and the price will enter a downward trend after breaking the support level. If the price trend is downward, we expect the price to fall to around 1.24700. Good luck.
GBPUSD SWING IDEA OVER 200 PIPSOn the daily chart, GBPUSD appears to be moving sideways at first glance. However, a closer look reveals a distinct pattern in the price action. There's a key level around 1.28200 that the price has consistently respected for some time. If you delve deeper, you'll notice that the price approached this level within a contracting channel, broke through it, and is now forming a bearish continuation pattern. This is a crucial development to watch closely. Stay alert for potential moves!
GBP/USD Gave Amazing Bearish P.A On Many T.F , Sell Soon !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
GU bearish reaction from 1.27600 or 1.27800My bias for GU this week is to look for sell opportunities. I expect the price to react from the current demand zone I identified last week, which should trigger a pullback towards the supply zone.
Once the price reaches either the 10-hour or 12-hour supply zone, I will look for a Wyckoff distribution on the lower time frame and a clear shift in trend, indicating the price is ready to resume its downward trend.
Confluences for GU Sells are as follows:
- Lots of liquidity below that needs to get taken as well as imbalances that need to get filled.
- DXY is also looking bullish which aligns with this idea as well.
- Price has left a clean level of supply that has been unmitigated.
- Price is currently in a downtrend so this is a pro-trend idea.
- Higher time frame and candle stick anatomy also show bearish
P.S. If the price continues to decline, I will wait for it to enter a deeper demand zone before buying back up, assuming the new week starts off bearish. However, my overall strategy for this week is to focus on sell opportunities.
GBPUSD Trading Plan -31/May/2024Hello Traders,
Hope you all are doing good!!
I expect GU to go Down after finishing the correction.
Look for your SELL setups.
Please follow me and like if you agree or this idea helps you out in your trading plan .
Disclaimer: This is just an idea. Please do your own analysis before opening a position. Always use SL & proper risk management.
Market can evolve anytime, hence, always do your analysis and learn trade management before following any idea.