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Gbpusdprediction

GBP/USD Sells down towards a long opportunityThis pair is currently in a bearish trend, but I anticipate a potential reversal near a major demand zone around 1.23000. While we wait for price to reach this level, I'll be monitoring for a minor retracement back to the recently formed 4-hour supply zone. Once the retracement occurs, I'll be looking for selling opportunities in line with the prevailing trend until price reaches the 3hr demand level. Upon reaching this level, I'll anticipate a liquidity sweep of the Asian low and a possible Wyckoff accumulation phase, expecting price to then rise. Confluences for GU Sells are as follows: - Price has been very bearish recently and confirms this via continuous break of structures. - Good 4hr supply that has recently been created which also caused a BOS. - Theres an imbalance below that needs to get filled as well as lots of liquidity to be taken. - The overall trend of the market on the higher time frame is bearish as well. - DXY also looking bullish as well and it's aligning very well with GU's Zones. P.S. This demand zone is particularly strong because it aligns with a strengthening dollar entering a robust supply zone. This could lead to a significant drop in the dollar and consequently a rise in GU. However, given the overall bearish trend of GU, selling positions remain valid. Have a good trading week!
Short
by Hassan_fx
GBPUSD Longs from 1.24000 up towards 1.25500This week, my bias for GBPUSD is to pursue buying opportunities to address significant imbalances above and to target the recent supply zone. Given the proximity of price to my 10-hour demand zone, I anticipate a temporary bullish move toward the supply area. With price currently exhibiting slower movement, I'll wait for an accumulation phase to develop before entering buy positions. Once in buys, I aim to drive price up toward the 18-hour supply zone, where I'll consider selling positions to capitalize on the pronounced bearish trend. While the trend is strongly bearish at present, I expect a pullback to occur before initiating any actions in line with this strategy. Confluences for GU Buys are as follows: - Price left so many imbalances above that need to be filled. - In order for price to continue the bearish trend price must pullback up - Approaching a really nice 10hr demand that has caused a BOS to the upside. - DXY is also near a good supply zone so could expect the dollar to drop a bit this week. P.S. If price breaks below the 10-hour demand zone, which I anticipate holding, there is a robust daily demand level below that. However, if this scenario does not materialize, I will simply wait for a pullback to consider potential selling opportunities. Have a great trading week ahead guys!
Long
by Hassan_fx
GBP/USD Longs from 1.27000 back up towards 1.28000I anticipate price heading towards the demand area first. So, early in the week, there might be a potential buying opportunity around the 1.27000 region, where the 9-hour demand is located. However, I'll exercise caution due to the presence of an Asian low, ensuring I don't enter too early. Ideally, I'd prefer to see the Asian low swept and the 3-hour demand mitigated, which sits just below. As price approaches the buy zone, the validity of buys becomes more apparent. However, if we witness a strong bullish reaction, we might see the imbalance below the 7-hour supply zone filled. In such a scenario, I'll then be on the lookout for short positions, considering that price has displayed a clear shift to the downside. Confluences for GU Buys are as follows: - Recent trend was bullish this downward movement could be just a retracement. - Nice demand zones left that has caused a recent break of structure to the upside. - Lots of liquidity to the upside as well as an imbalance that needs to get filled in. - DXY also approaching a near buy supply so the idea makes sense if the dollar goes down. P.S. Despite the shift in price direction to the downside, I'll focus on what's near the current price. Currently, the 9-hour demand zone is nearby, so I'll be considering buying opportunities to move back up. Have a great trading week guys and watch out for FOMC Wednesday!
Long
by Hassan_fx
1
GBPUSD Imminent Shorts down towards 1.24000This week, GU presents an intriguing setup as it appears to have made a decisive move. With the pair breaking structure to the downside and the dollar strengthening, it has reinforced a bearish trend in my view, prompting me to consider shorting opportunities. My focus is currently on the 4-hour supply zone, anticipating a Wyckoff distribution to unfold. At present, I don't see any clear buying opportunities, while selling positions align with the prevailing trend. Therefore, I'll await the Monday open to observe how price action around the Asian high unfolds, with the intention of initiating sells. The aim is to target the 1-hour demand zone and capitalise on the trendline liquidity below. Confluences for GU Sells are as follows: - Price left a clean 4hr supply zone with a refined version in which we can expect a bearish reaction to take place. - Price has been moving bearish regarding the recent break of structure to the downside. - DXY is also been moving bullish so it backs the GU downtrend. - Lots of liquidity to the downside like trendline liquidity and Asian lows. - The overall trend of this market like the monthly still shows its a bearish trend. P.S. As it's a bank holiday for the dollar on Monday, I'll proceed cautiously and anticipate limited market activity. However, if my trading edge aligns with all my confirming factors, I'll execute my trades promptly and decisively. HAPPY TRADING!
Short
by Hassan_fx
6
GBP/USD Shorts from 1.27400 pro trend idea.My previous scenario (A) for GU unfolded precisely as expected, with the bullish reaction aligning perfectly with the marked demand zone. This week, I anticipate further upward movement towards my supply zone (A) near 1.2400. My reasoning is that price will likely seek to address the significant imbalance in that area before initiating a downward move. Although not the closest point of interest, I also consider scenario (B), wherein price mitigates my 17-hour demand zone. This could trigger a temporary bullish reaction, potentially driving price to reach the marked supply level (A). Confluences for GU Sells are as follows: - Price has broken structure to the downside. - Major imbalance left below the supply level which needs to be filled. - Market trend is overall bearish on the higher time frame. - Aligns with the dollar (DXY) as that's moving bullish currently. - A clear 20-hour supply zone where I anticipate a Wyckoff distribution to take place. - Lots of liquidity to the downside in the form of equal lows and Asia lows. P.S. This idea is in line with the prevailing bearish trend, as price has broken structure to the downside, confirming its direction. Additionally, it aligns with the strengthening dollar (DXY), which I perceive to be on a bullish trajectory. Have a great week ahead guys and happy trading!
Short
by Hassan_fx
2
GBP/USD Longs from 1.25400 back up to 1.27400This week, I'm watching GU closely for a potential uptrend starting from the 11-hour demand zone below. If price reacts as expected, it could fill the gaps left after Friday's NFP. Another possibility is an upward move from the current 3-hour demand area towards a newly identified 10-hour supply zone. While navigating this situation, I exercise caution, especially concerning the 10hr supply zone, despite the presence of relative equal highs. Prior to considering any sell positions, I ensure that additional confirming factors align with my analysis. Nonetheless, my bias leans towards seeking buy opportunities, considering the temporary bullish sentiment prevailing in the market. Confluences for GU Buys are as follows: - Price is near a clean 11-hour demand zone that has broken structure to the upside. - Liquidity above zone so when it gets swept we can expect price to re-accumulate within our zone to then buy back up. - GU has been temporarily bullish as well so it's a pro-trend idea. - There's lots of liquidity to the upside that needs to be addressed as well as some imbalances. - Dollar (DXY) is still looking bearish as well which means more upside is still left for GU. P.S. Examining the higher time frames, we're currently in a consolidation phase with significant liquidity above and below our nearest Points of Interest (POIs). However, for now, I'll stay flexible and adhere to my trading strategy. If price enters any of the zones I've identified, I'll execute my plan accordingly. HOPE YOU TRADERS END THIS WEEK IN BLUES!
Long
by Hassan_fx
2
GBPUSD Imminent Longs or wait for 1.26600 for bullish reactionThis week's analysis suggests a bullish reaction in line with the current uptrend, making it a favorable pro-trend opportunity. Currently, price resides in a 2-hour demand zone, and I'll be closely monitoring for a Wyckoff accumulation pattern. Should my confirmation on the lower time frame align, I'll consider buying, although this zone isn't the most optimal. Ideally, I'd prefer this zone to fail, allowing for a potential move to mitigate the 2-hour demand zone below or the 3-hour demand zone that swept the bottom boundary of the consolidation. While this zone presents a promising setup, I'll exercise caution and await additional confirmation before considering an entry. Confluences for GBPUSD Buys are as follows: - Price has been temporarily bullish and this idea goes along with the current trend. - Pullback is ongoing so I can anticipate a potential Wyckoff accumulation to unfold. - Lots of liquidity above that needs to be swept as well as a strong supply as well. - Price has swept the bottom part of the consolidation causing price to break structure to the upside. - A few clean demand zones that need mitigating like the current 2 hour or the ones just below. P.S. Despite the current bullish sentiment, I find the supply zone around 1.28000 on the 10-hour chart intriguing for potential sell opportunities. Therefore, my plan is to aim for buying opportunities leading up to that zone. HAVE A GREAT TRADING WEEK EVERYONE!
Long
by Hassan_fx
1
GBPUSD Shorts from 1.27400 down towards 1.26200This week's analysis for GBPUSD is promising. I'm currently anticipating a slight upward movement to reach the nearby Asian high and mitigate the supply zone at a deeper level. Alternatively, if this doesn't happen, I'm prepared for a potential reaction from the 4-hour supply zone above. This particular supply level has triggered a change of character (CHOCH) to the downside and aligns with the 0.78 Fibonacci range. Since the price is in proximity, I'll be patiently waiting for a redistribution within the zone. Subsequently, my plan involves executing sell orders to guide the price down, targeting the trendline and addressing the 3-hour demand zone situated beneath it. Confluences for GBPUSD sells are as follows: - Overall trend of the market is bearish on the higher time frame - Price has caused a new CHOCH to the downside. - New supply zone has emerged that caused this move which aligns with 0.78 fib range. - Trendline liquidity below to target as well as a 3hr demand zone that needs mitigating. - Bullish momentum is slowly dying down and I can see price reversing soon. P.S. While this is my current perspective, I acknowledge the possibility of a temporary bullish scenario due to substantial liquidity to the upside. Therefore, I wouldn't be surprised if the price surpasses my identified supply level and reaches the extreme one ontop at the 10hr LET'S HAVE A GREAT WEEK AHEAD TRADERS AND LET'S CATCH THESE PIPS!
Short
by Hassan_fx
1
GBPUSD → Two Sell Signal Bars! Time to Short? Let's Answer.GBPUSD gave us more upward price action to finish last week and thus far has failed to break the neckline. The Weekly chart shows two wicks over the 200EMA, but not a clean break. Should we short here? How do we trade this?  🤔 We do not yet have the justification to short for several reasons. Most important, we're lacking a confirmation bar below the 200EMA. We have the two sell bars, but notice the last Daily candle from last week, it's a strong buy bar near a resistance line. A buy bar at a resistance line is not a buy signal because the context doesn't support a buy here. Buy bars this late in the game are often indicative of a potential reversal. The bulls tried to buy after a quick dip in price but failed to close above the 200EMA. This is a sign of potential weakness, key word: *potential*. That weakness needs to be confirmed with a strong bear bar closing on or near its low. Such a dip will likely bring us to the 30EMA where I would expect some support. My preference would be to wait for that price action to either close below the 30EMA, or come back up to the Resistance Zone (as depicted) and fail again to confirm the short entry. Until then, it's best to wait on the sidelines for the required price action. 💡  Trade Idea  💡 Short Entry: $2,225 🟥 Stop Loss: $2,510 ✅ Take Profit: $1,940 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1 🔑  Key Takeaways  🔑 1. Two Sell Signals at Resistance Zone 2. Failed to break 200EMA 3. Watch for Bear Close Below 200EMA and a re-test of Resistance Zone. 4. Look for Strong Bear Signal at Resistance to Short. 5. RSI near 58.00 above Moving Average, Contradicts Short Bias. 💰  Trading Tip  💰 A buy bar in isolation (bull candle with a large wick on the bottom) is a bullish bar. But bars in isolation are irrelevant when it comes to addressing a chart. Context is everything and when a buy bar appears near a Resistance Zone at what is possibly the end of a trend, it should not be considered a buy signal, but potentially a sign of weakness before the bears take over. ⚠️  Risk Warning!  ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
Short
by TraderEngineering
GBPUSD Shorts from 1.28000 down towards demand This pair continues to grab my attention, particularly as it approaches my 10-hour supply zone. I anticipate a redistribution and subsequent sell-off targeting the equal lows. It's important to note that this is a counter-trend trade aimed at capturing a temporary downward movement to a more favourable demand. Given the substantial liquidity at the newly identified 4-hourly demand zone, my strategy involves patiently waiting for the equal lows to be swept, filling the imbalance, and eventually triggering a reaction off the prominent 11-hour demand zone. However, I will assess price behaviour within the 4-hour zone, considering it as the closest opportunity for potential buys. Confluences for GBPUSD Sells are as follows: - Price has swept liquidity to the upside and now price is slowing down - Bullish pressure is now getting exhausted as you can see from the candlesticks. - Price has filled in an imbalance just below our 10-hour supply zone. - There is lots of liquidity to the downside that needs to get taken like equal lows. - Price is due for a pullback to enter a level of demand if price wants to keep pushing higher. - Overall on the higher time frame the market is bearish and I do see the dollar rising just a little more. P.S. As price steadily advances, this serves as additional confirmation that it is likely to react off the nearby supply zone. Consequently, I anticipate a Wyckoff distribution to unfold. Have a great week ahead traders!
Short
by Hassan_fx
GBPUSD Longs from 1.25400 back up!GBPUSD once again is in a very good place right now and opportunities are looking very good. even though I have marked out two scenarios I will focus on the buy opportunity that could potentially play out. For this i'm expecting price to descend to take out the equal lows and fill in the imbalance. From there I will be expecting a wyckoff accumulation to present itself within my 11hr demand zone. Once price changes character and leaves a clean entry point I will be looking to buy back up to the supply zone which sits above the equal highs and imbalance. From there I will be anticipating a good bearish reaction from as price would have swept lots of liquidity. Confluences for GBPUSD Longs are as follows: - Bullish pressure weakens, evident in a CHOCH and confirmed by a BOS - A 11hr demand zone below triggered a break of structure to the upside. - The market trend is bullish, aligning with this idea. - Imbalance above the demand signals favourable reaction at my POI. - Abundant liquidity above, including trend lines and untouched Asian highs. - Price needs to dip to a significant demand level for an upward rally to persist. - Triple Equal lows above my zone, once liquidity is swept we can expect a nice reaction. P.S. I do see a close 4hr demand but the reason why I didn't highlight that one in this post is because I expect it to fail. The relative triple equal lows below it makes this POI not a good one so I will rather wait for the most extreme lying at the more discounted area.
Long
by Hassan_fx
2
GBPUSD → Falling From Resistance! Should We Long or Short??GBPUSD touched the Resistance Zone and fell into the 30EMA ribbon, putting a slight pause on the fall. Will the price fall further or are we about to make contact with the Resistance Zone again? How do we trade this? 🤔 I do not believe a short is reasonable here because we don't have enough bear strength on the chart. Wait for another rejection at Resistance or wait for the price to fall and find support to enter a long. There are two potential long entries, at the Support Zone around 1.21150 and above the current Resistance Zone around 1.29. Both zones need to establish support and show confirmation to justify a long entry. This includes a bull signal bar closing on or near its high followed by a strong bull candle closing on or near its high. Until then, it's best to wait on the sidelines for a better opportunity! 💡 Trade Ideas 💡 Long Entry: 1.21150 🟥 Stop Loss: 1.18650 ✅ Take Profit: 1.26150 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 Long Entry: 1.29000 🟥 Stop Loss: 1.26450 ✅ Take Profit: 1.34100 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Trading Range after Bull Run, Bias to Long. 2. Macro Trend is Bearish, Use Caution at Weekly 200EMA. 3. If in Short Position, hold until Support Zone. 4. If not in a Position, Wait until Support to Long. 5. RSI near 53.00 under Moving Average, Bias to Short. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
Long
by TraderEngineering
GBPUSD Longs from 1.26500 Up towards 1.28000This GBPUSD scenario catches my attention due to the intriguing structure that price has formed. Presently, my strategy involves waiting for a slight dip in price to reach the Asian low and touch my 10hr demand zone. Following this, I anticipate a Wyckoff accumulation process, providing an opportunity for a buy position targeting the 10hr supply zone located within the psychological level of 1.28000. In the event that price decides to rise first, my inclination would be toward short-term sells initiated from the same 10hr supply zone, with the aim of guiding it down toward the demand. Additionally, my interest is piqued by the backup zones, where substantial liquidity is visible near my Points of Interest (POIs), offering reliable areas for potential trading opportunities. Confluences for GBPUSD Buys are as follows: - Unmitigated 10hr Demand zone has been left which caused a major BOS to the upside. - Temporary trend is also bullish as price has broken structure once again. - DXY is still looking bearish meaning that GBPUSD is expected to rise. - Asian low on top of demand is a good sign as price will sweep liquidity before entering. - In order for price to continue in its bullish course, it must ideally react off a demand level. P.S. As the current market conditions remain in equilibrium, my approach is to wait for price to reach either a discounted or premium level. Given the ongoing short retracement and the presence of liquidity below, I anticipate the demand to be mitigated first at the discounted price. However, I acknowledge the possibility of price reaching my 10hr supply, in which case, I would opt for selling positions to capture a downward movement. HAPPY NEW YEARS TO ALL OF YOU AND HOPE THIS YEAR BRING EVERYONE PROFITABILITY AND CONSISTENCY. LETS CATCH THESE PIPS!
Long
by Hassan_fx
GBPUSD Longs from 1.26500 or 1.25500This week's forecast for GBPUSD involves waiting for additional selling pressure to occur before considering buys around the two nearby demand zones I've identified (10-hour and 11-hour). Following the recent reaction from a 7-hour supply, as the price is currently descending, I am anticipating the exhaustion of selling pressure and the accumulation of price. Upon confirmation of a Wyckoff accumulation, validated by a CHOCH within my demand zone, I will be prompted to initiate buy positions aligned with the prevailing bullish trend in GBPUSD. Additionally, there is notable liquidity to the upside, including engineered liquidity and untouched Asian highs. Confluences for GBPUSD Buys are as follows: - There are two demand zones (the 10hr and the 11hr) that price could react off. - Lots of liquidity in the form of engineering liquidity and asian highs. - This idea aligns with the temporary bullish trend that GU has generated. - Selling pressure is slowly getting exhausted and is pending an accumulation. - For price to continue going higher and create a new leg it must react off a near demand. P.S. While acknowledging the temporary bullish trend in place, it's important to recognize the overall bearish trend for this pair. This implies that eventually, the price will reach a certain supply level, triggering a significant bearish movement. However, for the present moment, it's crucial to adapt and align with the current bullish trend.
Long
by Hassan_fx