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Gbpnzdsell

GBP/USD Surpasses 1.2200 Level After UK GDPGBP/USD extends its slide below the 1.2200 level in early US trading. UK GDP data reveals a better-than-expected 0.6% year-on-year growth in the third quarter. However, these figures fail to propel the currency pair as investors await next week's key data for clearer direction. The ascending trendline, the Fibonacci retracement level of the latest downtrend, the 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart, and the 200-period SMA collectively form a robust support level at 1.2200. If GBP/USD drops below this level and confirms it as resistance, the next downside targets could be set at 1,2140 (static level) and 1,2100 (static level). On the upside, 1,2250 (SMA 50) is considered a dynamic resistance level ahead of 1,2275 (SMA 20) and 1,2300 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement level).
by Larissa-Trader
GBPNZD - Short from bearish order block ✅Hello traders! ‼️ This is my perspective on GBPNZD. Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 1H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for a short position. I want price to make a retracement to take buy side liquidity and to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish order block. Fundamental news: Next week on Friday will be released monthly GDP on GBP. Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Short
by Snick3rSD
2
GBP/USD Consolidates Below 1.2200GBP/USD has entered a consolidation phase after testing the resistance at 1.2200. The upward momentum of the British Pound seems to pause, preparing for the Bank of England (BoE) policy announcement on 'Super Thursday.' The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart remains near 50, indicating indecision in GBP/USD. The 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) forms immediate resistance at 1.2175, followed by 1.2200 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the latest downtrend, SMA 200). A close above this level in the 4-hour timeframe could attract technical buyers and pave the way for an extended recovery towards 1.2260 (psychological level). On the flip side, the initial support lies at 1.2100 (psychological, static level) followed by 1.2050 (recent downtrend low) and 1.2000 (psychological, static level).
by Gwen_Humuna
GBP/USD Extends Gains Above 1.2150 Level"In the US trading session, GBP/USD rose to its highest level since last Wednesday, surpassing the 1.2170 mark. The pair was supported by a weaker US dollar on Monday, as market participants awaited US employment data, as well as the Fed and BoE meetings. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart remained below 50, and GBP/USD closed the last 4-hour candle below the 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), indicating the downtrend is still intact. On the flip side, 1.2075 (a static level) is considered a temporary support before 1.2050 (the recent low) and 1.2000 (a psychological level). The 50-period SMA formed dynamic resistance at 1.2140, ahead of 1.2180 (the 100-period SMA) and 1.2200 (the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, and the 200-period SMA).
by Gwen_Humuna
1
EUR/GBP Extends Gains Near 0.8720 Ahead of German Data"EUR/GBP has continued its upward trend for the second consecutive day, trading near the 0.8720 level in early European trading on Monday. The currency pair received support ahead of significant economic data releases from Germany. However, preliminary Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for Germany is expected to show a 0.3% decline for the quarter, with a 0.7% year-on-year decrease, compared to a 0.2% decline in the previous report. Additionally, initial forecasts for the Consumer Price Index (MoM) indicate a decrease of 0.2%, down from the previous 0.3%. Furthermore, the Euro weakened following the European Central Bank's (ECB) decision to maintain the deposit interest rate at 4.0%, reflecting concerns about the deteriorating economic outlook in the Eurozone. ECB President Christine Lagarde is navigating a delicate balance, steering the central bank through a challenging economic landscape. Maneuvering between a weakening economy and strong inflationary pressures is no easy task. With the increasing complexity of monitoring the Middle East crisis, relying solely on data seems unwise. On the other hand, the British Pound (GBP) may face challenges as traders adopt a cautious stance ahead of the Bank of England's (BoE) policy meeting scheduled for Thursday. Many predictions suggest that the central bank will maintain its current interest rate at a 15-year high of 5.25% due to growing concerns about economic recession. The UK economy is feeling the strain due to high-interest rates, adding to the challenges posed by persistent inflation. Economic data indicates significant declines in various sectors, coupled with high inflation, putting additional pressure on household budgets.
by Gwen_Humuna
GBP/USD Hits Three-Week Low Below 1.2100"GBP/USD extends this week's decline from near 1.2300, touching a three-week low in Asian trading on Thursday, pressured by a stronger US dollar. The pair weakens further below the key 1.2100 level and faces selling pressure. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart drops below 50, and the latest 4-hour candles close below the 100-period and 50-period Simple Moving Averages (SMA), indicating a downtrend. The level at 1.2100 (a psychological threshold) is considered the main support. If buyers fail to defend this level, further losses towards 1.2050 (the recent low) could be witnessed. To attract technical buyers, GBP/USD needs to surpass the resistance zone of 1.2190-1.2200, where the 100-period SMA and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level converge. In this scenario, 1.2250 (the 200-period SMA) and 1.2300 (the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level) could be seen as the next resistance levels. After a sharp decline on Tuesday, GBP/USD rallied back to 1.2200 on Wednesday. However, market caution prevented a sustained recovery. US data released on Tuesday revealed that private sector business activity expanded slightly faster in early October compared to September, with the S&P's global composite PMI improving from 50.2 to 51. While US Treasury bond yields continued to decline, the US dollar benefited from the optimistic PMI data, putting pressure on GBP/USD. In early European trading on Wednesday, US stock index futures traded negatively, and the yield on the 10-year US Treasury note maintained a modest daily increase of around 4.85%, supporting the US dollar. In the latter part of the day, the US New Home Sales data for September will be considered for new momentum. Some policymakers at the Federal Reserve have expressed concerns about the negative impact of high-interest rates on the housing market. Therefore, a significant decline in this data could immediately harm the US dollar. On Thursday, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis will release its initial estimate of third-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth.
by Gwen_Humuna
GBPNZD ShortOANDA:GBPNZD The GBPNZD currency pair has recently reached a significant trend line that could signal a bearish trend toward specific levels. This development is noteworthy as it may have implications for investors and traders who are tracking the performance of this currency pair. The potential for a bearish trend suggests that there may be a shift in the market dynamics, which could warrant further attention and analysis. As such, it may be advisable for interested parties to monitor the situation closely and stay informed about any further developments that may arise.
Short
by Dr_Candle
GBP/USD Approaches 1.2270 Ahead of PMI DataGBP/USD continues its upward momentum since Thursday, trading above the 1.2270 level in the Asian session on Tuesday. The pair receives support from the US Dollar (USD) adjustment, coupled with improved risk sentiment. Although GBP/USD started higher after testing the 1.2100 level, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart remains below 50, indicating the downward trend persists. If the pair closes below 1.2100 in the 4-hour timeframe, sellers might take action. In this scenario, the 1.2050 level (the recent low) could be the next target before 1.2000 (psychological level). On the upside, the 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) forms a dynamic resistance at 1.2150, preceding 1.2180 (SMA 100) and 1.2200 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent downtrend). Feel free to let me know if you need further assistance or if there's anything specific you'd like to add!
by Gwen_Humuna
2
GBP/USD Dips, Awaits UK CPI DataGBP/USD faced consecutive losses, trading around 1.2160 in Asian markets on Wednesday. Positive US economic data applied pressure. The pair retreated after reaching 1.2200, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, the 50 and 100-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) confirming significant resistance. The 4-hour chart's Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropped to 40, indicating accumulating bearish momentum. Immediate support lies at 1.2130 (static level). Closing below it in the 4-hour timeframe could bring further selling pressure, possibly testing temporary support at 1,2100 (static, psychological level) before targeting 1,2050, the recent downtrend's endpoint. If GBP/USD rises above 1,2200 and confirms it as support, it could aim higher towards 1,2250 (static) and 1,2300 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement level). The pair reversed its trend after breaching 1,2200 on Monday, dropping to the 1.2150 region on Tuesday. Short-term technical outlook indicates bearish momentum and potential additional losses if the 1,2130 support fails. US Retail Sales data for September is on the economic horizon, with a negative surprise possibly impacting the USD. However, GBP/USD might stand firm unless a significant, positive market sentiment change occurs. Stay tuned for updates on this evolving situation.
by Gwen_Humuna
1
GBPNZD - Short from bearish order block ✅Hello traders! ‼️ This is my perspective on GBPNZD. Technical analysis: Here we are in a strong bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for short. I want price to continue the retracement in order to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish order block. Fundamental analysis: Upcoming week on Wednesday we have important news on NZD, Cash Rate will be released. A positive result will support our analysis. Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Short
by Snick3rSD
2
GBPNZD - Short after filling the imbalance ✅Hello traders! ‼️ This is my perspective on GBPNZD. Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for short. I want price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish order block + institutional big figure 2.13000. Fundamental analysis: Upcoming week on Wednesday will be released monthly GDP on GBP, Pay attention to the result in order to validate the analysis. Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Short
by Snick3rSD
What Next 2.10 Looks Crucial?This currency pair has caught my attention due to its recent breakthrough of the 2.10 resistance zone last week, propelling it upwards to around 2.13. But what lies ahead? Initially, it's worth noting that on the lower timeframe charts, we're witnessing a significant overbought condition. This hints at an impending retracement. In fact, signs are already emerging that a downward move towards the 2.10 resistance-turned-support level could be in the works. I've taken the initiative to initiate a short position based on this outlook.(see image below) While the potential for a more substantial correction can't be dismissed, I'm particularly keen to observe how price behaves at the crucial 2.10 level. This resembles a situation we encountered at 2.05 earlier, where after an initial breakout towards 2.10 (for a detailed breakdown, refer to my previous post from about a month ago), a subsequent retracement occurred, finding firm support at 2.05.(see image below) Should we begin to notice the establishment of a support structure on the lower timeframes (4-hour and 1-hour) in the vicinity of 2.10, akin to what transpired around 2.05, it sets the stage for a potential new bullish leg, targeting the 2.175 region that marked the high during the rapid rally of 2020. For a more pronounced correction to materialize, my criteria involve a decisive momentum break beneath the 2.10 level, followed by a weekly close below this threshold. Should these conditions be met, my sights are set on 2.05 or potentially lower. Currently, a short-term SELL trade has been triggered at 2.125. My initial target stands at 2.10, with a pivotal breakeven point at 2.116. At this juncture, I'll close 50% of the position and adjust the stop loss to match the entry price. The trajectory of a deeper correction or the potential onset of the next bullish phase hinges on how price responds in the vicinity of 2.10. Hope you enjoyed the read
Short
by TheFxAce
25
GBPNZD - Expect retracement ✅Hello traders! ‼️ This is my perspective on GBPNZD. Technical analysis: Here we are in a strong bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for long. Firstly I expect price to make a retracement in order to fill imbalances and only after that to reject from bullish order block + institutional big figure 2.10000. Fundamental analysis: Upcoming week on Wednesday will be released Cash Rate on NZD, also yearly CPI on GBP. Pay attention to the results in order to validate the analysis. Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Long
by Snick3rSD
GBPNZD Sell Trade: High Probability, 1:6 Risk-Reward Adventure!"Introduction: Hello fellow traders! Today, we are back with an exciting long-term trade opportunity: Sell GBPNZD : 2.09450 Take Profit : 1.99403 Stop Loss : 2.11150. We will exit the trade if the Bank of England (BoE) maintains a hawkish rhetoric without softening. In this article, we will delve into the technical analysis and fundamental factors supporting this trade, all while keeping in mind the timeless wisdom of forex proverbs that guide us towards high probability trades. Technical Analysis: The decision to enter a sell trade at 2.09450 is driven by a compelling technical setup. The price level has consistently shown strong resistance, experiencing multiple rejections. Moreover, when applying Fibonacci Retracement levels from 1.89374 to 2.09450, we anticipate a 50% retracement downward. This enticing setup offers a remarkable 1:6 Risk Reward ratio, enhancing the trade's potential for substantial profit. "The trend is your friend." This age-old saying reminds us to align ourselves with prevailing market trends. As I have already mentioned that the GBP weakens in August 2023, the technical setup for the GBPNZD sell trade complements the broader downtrend, increasing our chances of success. Fundamental Analysis: The prevailing market sentiment suggests the BoE is likely to raise interest rates by 0.25% while signaling an end to their tightening policy. As a result, bearish traders are gearing up to capitalize on this expected scenario. "Trade what you see, not what you think." While expectations may be clear, as traders, we must be adaptable. If the BoE surprises with a more aggressive 0.50% rate hike or maintains their hawkish stance, the British pound could experience a significant surge. Staying open-minded and ready to adjust our strategy ensures we are prepared for all possible outcomes. Economists are raising concerns over downside risks for the British pound. The market may have overestimated the BoE's hawkishness over the past three months, and the UK economy's stagnation presents challenges in a G10 context. "Cut your losses short and let your profits run." As we venture into this trade, we must adhere to this timeless wisdom. If the trade doesn't unfold as expected, we should be ready to exit with minimal losses. Conversely, if conditions align with our analysis, we should let the profits run, maximizing our gains. Conclusion: The GBPNZD sell trade presents an enticing opportunity with its high probability setup and favorable Risk Reward ratio. However, it's essential to stay vigilant and agile, considering both technical and fundamental factors that may influence the trade's outcome. As traders, let us heed the wisdom of forex proverbs, guiding us towards successful and rewarding journeys in the dynamic world of forex trading. Happy trading!
Short
by AhsanTufail
8
Revolt of the colonies - why NZD will triumph over GBPI am splitting the trade into 2 entries: One right here at the current market price and a sell limit order at the high of 2.09000. The balance of power between the former colony and its rulers will shift soon: GBP view: - UK inflation came in lower than expected today. This was also likely because. 1. many leading economic indicators were already hinting at this in advance 2. analysts have been wrong in their forecasts for UK CPI more often in the past. - UK inflation will fall more than the market currently expects in the coming months. -> Most (but not all) of the BOE's priced-in rate hikes will have to be priced out. - Core inflation will remain sticky for now, but will also fall more sharply from Q4 2023 onwards -> Instead of the lavishly priced-in rate hikes, the BOE will tend to cut rates from 2024 onwards -> This will weigh on the GBP - US PMIs were bad this week - UK retail sales came in higher (as I forecasted) than the market expected this week, so I can't rule out a pullback in GBP NZD View: - Inflation data from New Zealand came in higher than expected -> The RBNZ says it has ended its rate hike cycle, but it may be forced to raise rates again in October or November. -> This will ultimately be decided by the NZ jobs data at the beginning of August.
Short
by PrimeTrading
2