GBPNZD poised to resume the “runaway” act… the week of 28 Aug2023 has been a good trending year for this pair. For the most part, pullbacks have not been deep. Looking at the H4 chart, it appears that we may have formed a base structure, but more importantly a pullback may be ending.
IMO the uptrend will soon resume and I want to be onboard if that happens.
My trade parameters are indicated on the chart. If my analysis is correct, we have the potential of a 3R trade (or more). If however, we see bearish PA, we will need to wait and analyze the situation much lower down in the 2.09 area.
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Gbpnzdanalysis
GBPNZD Analysis 2Sep2023Assuming that Wave C has the same length as Wave A, then we can estimate the next target price. Fibo Extension 1 is right in the SND area which is quite positive. With the closure of the week the boss will occur, it is likely that the price will continue the trend bearish to SND
GBPNZD, ripe to short to the next significant levelThe GBPNZD was rejected by the upper trendline of the ascending channel on 21st August, 2023.
made a pull back to the 2.13930 support. Price is currently being resisted by the EMA-50 on the 4HR time frame. A break below the EMA-50 could push the price down to ultimately re-test the EMA-200 support at 2.10941.
On the other hand, the fibo retracement could pull price above to 2.14605 resistance entry where the price can have a significant short.
GBPNZD - Expect retracement ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPNZD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a strong bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for long. Firstly I expect price to make a retracement in order to fill imbalances and only after that to reject from bullish order block + institutional big figure 2.10000.
Fundamental analysis: Upcoming week on Wednesday will be released Cash Rate on NZD, also yearly CPI on GBP. Pay attention to the results in order to validate the analysis.
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GBPNZD I Strong rise and safer to trade with the trendWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPNZD Analysis - Listen to video!
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GBPNZD Sell Trade: High Probability, 1:6 Risk-Reward Adventure!"Introduction:
Hello fellow traders! Today, we are back with an exciting long-term trade opportunity:
Sell GBPNZD : 2.09450
Take Profit : 1.99403
Stop Loss : 2.11150.
We will exit the trade if the Bank of England (BoE) maintains a hawkish rhetoric without softening. In this article, we will delve into the technical analysis and fundamental factors supporting this trade, all while keeping in mind the timeless wisdom of forex proverbs that guide us towards high probability trades.
Technical Analysis:
The decision to enter a sell trade at 2.09450 is driven by a compelling technical setup. The price level has consistently shown strong resistance, experiencing multiple rejections. Moreover, when applying Fibonacci Retracement levels from 1.89374 to 2.09450, we anticipate a 50% retracement downward. This enticing setup offers a remarkable 1:6 Risk Reward ratio, enhancing the trade's potential for substantial profit.
"The trend is your friend."
This age-old saying reminds us to align ourselves with prevailing market trends. As I have already mentioned that the GBP weakens in August 2023, the technical setup for the GBPNZD sell trade complements the broader downtrend, increasing our chances of success.
Fundamental Analysis:
The prevailing market sentiment suggests the BoE is likely to raise interest rates by 0.25% while signaling an end to their tightening policy. As a result, bearish traders are gearing up to capitalize on this expected scenario.
"Trade what you see, not what you think."
While expectations may be clear, as traders, we must be adaptable. If the BoE surprises with a more aggressive 0.50% rate hike or maintains their hawkish stance, the British pound could experience a significant surge. Staying open-minded and ready to adjust our strategy ensures we are prepared for all possible outcomes.
Economists are raising concerns over downside risks for the British pound. The market may have overestimated the BoE's hawkishness over the past three months, and the UK economy's stagnation presents challenges in a G10 context.
"Cut your losses short and let your profits run."
As we venture into this trade, we must adhere to this timeless wisdom. If the trade doesn't unfold as expected, we should be ready to exit with minimal losses. Conversely, if conditions align with our analysis, we should let the profits run, maximizing our gains.
Conclusion:
The GBPNZD sell trade presents an enticing opportunity with its high probability setup and favorable Risk Reward ratio. However, it's essential to stay vigilant and agile, considering both technical and fundamental factors that may influence the trade's outcome. As traders, let us heed the wisdom of forex proverbs, guiding us towards successful and rewarding journeys in the dynamic world of forex trading. Happy trading!
Revolt of the colonies - why NZD will triumph over GBPI am splitting the trade into 2 entries:
One right here at the current market price and a sell limit order at the high of 2.09000.
The balance of power between the former colony and its rulers will shift soon:
GBP view:
- UK inflation came in lower than expected today. This was also likely because.
1. many leading economic indicators were already hinting at this in advance
2. analysts have been wrong in their forecasts for UK CPI more often in the past.
- UK inflation will fall more than the market currently expects in the coming months.
-> Most (but not all) of the BOE's priced-in rate hikes will have to be priced out.
- Core inflation will remain sticky for now, but will also fall more sharply from Q4 2023 onwards
-> Instead of the lavishly priced-in rate hikes, the BOE will tend to cut rates from 2024 onwards
-> This will weigh on the GBP
- US PMIs were bad this week
- UK retail sales came in higher (as I forecasted) than the market expected this week, so I can't rule out a pullback in GBP
NZD View:
- Inflation data from New Zealand came in higher than expected
-> The RBNZ says it has ended its rate hike cycle, but it may be forced to raise rates again in October or November.
-> This will ultimately be decided by the NZ jobs data at the beginning of August.
GBPNZD Analysis 31July2023Prices look stuck by strong resistance and try to penetrate the area at least 4 times and have not been successful. At present the price is trying to penetrate the compression area, with this situation the possibility is the price of bearish to the support area. If the support area is pierced, the price will continue the bearish until SND below.
GBPNZD Analysis 13July2023This pair uses swing trade analysis, if you want to follow use small lots and money management strategies that you have adjusted.
the initial target is the support area as well as the SR Flip. if the area is broken, then the price will continue its bearish trend until the 2.618 fibo area which is also the SnD area.
DeGRAM | GBPNZD channel breakingGBPNZD broke and closed below the support level, which became the resistance level.
The market created a false breakout of the resistance level and a double top.
There's a nice confluence zone to short at the resistance level .
We expect a pullback from the resistance and a breakout of the channel.
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GBPNZD Long Term Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart GBPNZD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPNZD analysis 👆
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GBPNZD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
DeGRAM | GBPNZD trend continuation opportunityGBPNZD is moving in the ascending channel and making higher highs.
The market broke and closed above strong resistance that became support.
Following a bullish move, if price pulls back to the kill zone and fibo cluster, we expect a breakout pullback continuation trade.
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